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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$56.35
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-6.02%
upturn advisory
WEAK BUY
BUY since 31 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: ALRM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

9 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.

Year Target Price $68.12

Year Target Price $68.12

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$68.12Target price
Low$48.23
Current$56.35
high$71.98

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -1.71%
Avg. Invested days 53
Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.80B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 23.78
1Y Target Price 67.43
Price to earnings Ratio 23.78
1Y Target Price 67.43
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 1
52 Weeks Range 48.23 - 71.98
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 48.23 - 71.98
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.37

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-06-05
When Before Market
Estimate 0.5088
Actual 0.54

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.45%
Operating Margin (TTM) 12.44%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.2%
Return on Equity (TTM) 16.07%

Valuation

Trailing PE 23.78
Forward PE 26.25
Enterprise Value 2680143207
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.93
Enterprise Value 2680143207
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.93
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.81
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.81
Shares Outstanding 49742000
Shares Floating 47291718
Shares Outstanding 49742000
Shares Floating 47291718
Percent Insiders 5.38
Percent Institutions 98.94

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.78
Target Price 68.12
Buy 2
Strong Buy 3
Buy 2
Strong Buy 3
Hold 3
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alarm.com Holdings Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alarm.com was founded in 2000. Initially a subsidiary of MicroStrategy, it became an independent company in 2009 and went public in 2015. It has grown through organic growth and acquisitions, expanding its platform and service offerings.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Smart Home Security: Provides cloud-based security and smart home automation solutions for residential and small business customers.
  • Commercial Solutions: Offers similar security and automation solutions tailored for larger commercial properties and enterprises.
  • Energy Management: Integrates energy monitoring and control into the security system, allowing users to manage energy consumption and costs.
  • Wellness Solutions: Offers solutions for independent living and aging-in-place, including activity monitoring and emergency response features.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team includes Dave Yale (CEO). The company has a functional organizational structure with departments focusing on engineering, sales, marketing, operations, and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Alarm.com Platform: A cloud-based platform that connects security systems, smart home devices, and video monitoring. Key competitors are ADT, Vivint, SimpliSafe, Comcast Xfinity Home, and Ring. Estimated market share is difficult to pinpoint exactly but it's a leading player in the professionally installed smart home security market. Market share data varies by report.
  • Smart Home Automation: Includes smart thermostats, lighting controls, door locks, and other connected devices that integrate with the security system. Competitors include companies like Google (Nest), Amazon (Ring), and Resideo (Honeywell Home). Market share data varies by device type.
  • Video Monitoring: Offers video surveillance cameras and cloud-based video storage solutions. Competitors include Arlo, Google Nest, Ring, and Lorex.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The smart home security and automation market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing consumer demand for security, convenience, and energy efficiency. The market is highly competitive, with established players and new entrants vying for market share.

Positioning

Alarm.com is positioned as a leading provider of professionally installed smart home security and automation solutions. Its competitive advantages include its robust platform, strong dealer network, and focus on innovation.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global smart home market is expected to reach hundreds of billions of USD in the coming years. Alarm.com is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its diverse product offerings and strong partnerships.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand reputation
  • Robust cloud-based platform
  • Extensive dealer network
  • Recurring revenue model
  • Focus on innovation

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on dealer network
  • Higher price point compared to DIY solutions
  • Limited international presence
  • Can be impacted by supply chain constraints

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new geographic markets
  • Development of new products and services
  • Partnerships with other technology companies
  • Increasing adoption of smart home technology
  • Growth in the commercial security market

Threats

  • Increasing competition from DIY solutions
  • Cybersecurity threats
  • Economic downturn
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Data privacy regulations

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ADT (ADT)
  • Vivint Smart Home (VVNT)
  • Resideo Technologies (REZI)

Competitive Landscape

Alarm.com competes with both established security companies and emerging technology providers. It differentiates itself through its strong dealer network, robust platform, and focus on professional installation.

Major Acquisitions

OpenEye

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 187
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Alarm.com's video surveillance capabilities and presence in the commercial security market.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Alarm.com has experienced strong revenue growth in recent years, driven by increasing adoption of its smart home security and automation solutions.

Future Projections: Future growth projections depend on various factors, including market conditions, competition, and the company's ability to innovate. Analyst estimates should be consulted for specific projections.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include product development, strategic partnerships, and acquisitions to expand its market reach and product offerings.

Summary

Alarm.com is a leading player in the smart home security market, leveraging its robust platform and dealer network. It demonstrates healthy growth, though it faces challenges from DIY solutions and evolving cybersecurity threats. Acquisitions have been a successful strategy and should remain an option for expanding its tech. It will need to continue innovation and global expansion to thrive in the long term.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates
  • Company Press Releases
  • Market Data Platforms

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change and may not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alarm.com Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Tysons, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 2015-06-26
CEO & Director Mr. Stephen S. Trundle
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Full time employees 2020
Full time employees 2020

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides various Internet of Things (IoT) and solutions for residential, multi-family, small business, and enterprise commercial markets in North America and internationally. The company operates through Alarm.com and Other segments. It offers solutions to control and monitor security systems, as well as to IoT devices, including door locks, garage doors, thermostats, and video cameras; and video analytics, AI deterrence, vacation watch, video doorbells, intelligent integration, live streaming, secure cloud storage, and video alerts. The company also provides scenes, video analytics triggers, thermostat schedules, responsive savings, precision comfort, energy usage monitoring, places feature, whole home water safety, and solar monitoring solutions, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning monitoring services. In addition, it offers demand response programs, commercial grade video, commercial video analytics, access control, cell connectors, enterprise dashboard and multi-site management, connected fleet, energy savings, protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, and daily safeguard solutions. Further, the company provides a permission-based online portal that provides account management, sales, marketing, training, and support tools; service dashboard, a unified interface that displays key operational and customer experience indicators; installation and support services; MobileTech Application and Remote Toolkit; video health reports; smart gateway; AI-powered enhancements to professional monitoring and false alarm reduction; Web services and business intelligence; sales, marketing, and training services; and home builder programs. Additionally, it offers electric utility grid and water management, indoor gunshot detection, and health and wellness and data-rich emergency response solutions. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Tysons, Virginia.