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Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/26/2025: ALRM (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $66.71
1 Year Target Price $66.71
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.76% | Avg. Invested days 43 | Today’s Advisory WEAK BUY |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.59B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.95 | 1Y Target Price 66.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.95 | 1Y Target Price 66.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 9 | Beta 0.89 | 52 Weeks Range 46.65 - 64.26 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 46.65 - 64.26 | Updated Date 12/28/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.36 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 12.92% | Operating Margin (TTM) 15.7% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.76% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.95 | Forward PE 26.25 | Enterprise Value 2584940220 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.61 |
Enterprise Value 2584940220 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.61 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.61 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.55 | Shares Outstanding 49879680 | Shares Floating 47432084 |
Shares Outstanding 49879680 | Shares Floating 47432084 | ||
Percent Insiders 5.3 | Percent Institutions 98.53 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alarm.com Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and spun off from its parent company, MicroStrategy, in 2009. It has since become a leading platform for connected smart home and security solutions. The company's evolution has been marked by continuous innovation in cloud-based services for interactive security, home automation, and intelligent automation. It went public in 2015.
Core Business Areas
- Platform Services: Alarm.com provides a cloud-based platform that enables security dealers to offer a wide range of smart home and security services to their customers. This includes interactive security, video surveillance, energy management, and automation.
- Hardware and Software Solutions: While Alarm.com primarily focuses on its platform, it also offers a suite of integrated hardware and software solutions designed to work seamlessly with its platform, enhancing user experience and system functionality.
Leadership and Structure
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. is led by a management team with extensive experience in technology and security. The company operates as a platform provider, partnering with a large network of authorized security dealers who sell and install Alarm.com's services to end-users. This dealer-centric model is a key aspect of its organizational structure.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Smart Security Platform: Alarm.com's core offering is its cloud-based platform that connects various smart devices, including security sensors, cameras, smart locks, and thermostats, enabling remote monitoring, control, and automation. It competes with platforms from ADT, Vivint, and various DIY smart home brands like Google Nest and Amazon Alexa for home automation integration. Market share is difficult to isolate for the platform itself as it's sold through dealers. However, it is a significant player in the professionally installed and monitored security market.
- Interactive Security and Automation Services: This encompasses the subscription-based services that end-users pay for, providing features like mobile app control, real-time alerts, professional monitoring, and custom automation rules. This segment competes with other professional monitoring services and the growing DIY security market. While exact user numbers for this specific service are not always publicly broken out, Alarm.com powers millions of connected security and smart home systems.
- Video Surveillance Solutions: Alarm.com offers a comprehensive suite of video solutions, including cloud-based video recording, live streaming, and intelligent analytics. Competitors include established security camera manufacturers and cloud storage providers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The smart home and security industry is characterized by rapid technological advancement, increasing consumer adoption of connected devices, and a growing demand for integrated solutions. Key trends include the rise of AI-powered features, enhanced cybersecurity concerns, and the shift towards subscription-based services. The market is segmented between professionally installed and monitored systems, and the DIY market.
Positioning
Alarm.com is positioned as a leading platform provider for the professionally installed and monitored security and smart home market. Its competitive advantage lies in its robust, cloud-based platform, its strong relationships with a vast network of security dealers, and its comprehensive ecosystem of integrated devices and services. The company focuses on providing a scalable and reliable solution for its dealer partners, enabling them to offer advanced and customizable services.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for smart home and security solutions is substantial and growing. Estimates for the global smart home market vary, but many projections place it in the hundreds of billions of dollars, with a significant portion attributable to security and automation. Alarm.com is well-positioned to capture a significant share of the professionally installed and monitored segment of this market, which is estimated to be tens of billions of dollars annually.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong dealer network and partner ecosystem
- Robust and scalable cloud-based platform
- Comprehensive suite of integrated smart home and security services
- Established brand reputation in the professional installation market
- Continuous innovation in technology and features
Weaknesses
- Reliance on third-party security dealers for end-user sales
- Potential for competition from direct-to-consumer smart home brands
- Complexity of managing a large partner network
- Perceived higher cost compared to some DIY solutions
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Growth in the commercial security and automation sector
- Integration with emerging smart home technologies (e.g., 5G, advanced AI)
- Increasing consumer demand for integrated home automation
- Partnerships with insurance companies and utility providers
Threats
- Increasing competition from other platform providers and integrated smart home solutions
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches
- Changes in consumer preferences and adoption rates
- Economic downturns affecting consumer spending on discretionary services
- Regulatory changes impacting the security industry
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ADT Inc. (ADT)
- Vivint Smart Home, Inc. (VVNT - now part of NRG Energy)
- Johnson Controls International plc (JCI)
- Resideo Technologies, Inc. (REZI)
- Verisure (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Alarm.com differentiates itself through its open platform approach and its strong reliance on its dealer network, offering flexibility and customization. ADT and Vivint are major competitors with direct-to-consumer models and significant brand recognition. Johnson Controls and Resideo are also significant players, often focusing on specific segments or broader building automation. Alarm.com's advantage lies in empowering its dealers to provide a superior, branded customer experience with a technologically advanced platform.
Major Acquisitions
CyberKnight
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 30
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance Alarm.com's cybersecurity capabilities and offer more robust protection for its connected systems and customer data.
Mobileye Remote Access
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To expand Alarm.com's offerings in the vehicle security and fleet management space.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Alarm.com has demonstrated a consistent track record of revenue growth over the past several years, driven by an increasing number of connected systems and a growing subscriber base. This growth is largely attributable to the expansion of its dealer network and the increasing demand for integrated smart home and security solutions.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Alarm.com's future growth are generally positive, anticipating continued revenue expansion fueled by new product introductions, market penetration, and the increasing adoption of smart home technologies. Growth is expected to be driven by both new customer acquisition and the upsell of additional services to existing customers.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by Alarm.com have focused on enhancing its platform capabilities with advanced AI-driven features, expanding its video analytics, and strengthening its cybersecurity measures. The company also continues to explore strategic partnerships and potential acquisitions to broaden its service offerings and market reach.
Summary
Alarm.com Holdings Inc. is a well-established leader in the connected smart home and security platform market, particularly within the professionally installed sector. Its robust platform, strong dealer network, and recurring revenue model provide a solid foundation for continued growth. While facing intense competition, its focus on innovation and partnerships positions it favorably to capitalize on the expanding smart home market. Key areas to watch are its ability to maintain its dealer relationships and its response to evolving consumer demands for integrated and secure connected living.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Alarm.com Holdings Inc. Investor Relations
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Research Reports
- Financial News and Analysis Websites
Disclaimers:
The information provided in this JSON is based on publicly available data and general industry knowledge as of the last update. Financial figures and market share data are subject to change and should be independently verified. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alarm.com Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Tysons, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2015-06-26 | CEO & Director Mr. Stephen S. Trundle | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 2075 | Website https://www.alarm.com |
Full time employees 2075 | Website https://www.alarm.com | ||
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides various Internet of Things (IoT) and solutions for residential, multi-family, small business, and enterprise commercial markets in North America and internationally. The company operates through Alarm.com and Other segments. It offers solutions to control and monitor security systems, as well as to IoT devices, including door locks, garage doors, thermostats, and video cameras; and video analytics, AI deterrence, vacation watch, video doorbells, intelligent integration, live streaming, secure cloud storage, and video alerts. The company also provides scenes, video analytics triggers, thermostat schedules, responsive savings, precision comfort, energy usage monitoring, places feature, whole home water safety, and solar monitoring solutions, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning monitoring services. In addition, it offers demand response programs, commercial grade video, commercial video analytics, access control, cell connectors, enterprise dashboard and multi-site management, connected fleet, energy savings, protection for valuables and inventory, temperature monitoring, and daily safeguard solutions. Further, the company provides a permission-based online portal that provides account management, sales, marketing, training, and support tools; service dashboard, a unified interface that displays key operational and customer experience indicators; installation and support services; MobileTech Application and Remote Toolkit; video health reports; smart gateway; AI-powered enhancements to professional monitoring and false alarm reduction; Web services and business intelligence; sales, marketing, and training services; and home builder programs. Additionally, it offers electric utility grid and water management, indoor gunshot detection, and health and wellness and data-rich emergency response solutions. Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. has a strategic partnership with Everon, LLC to deliver a unified console to manage integrated intrusion protection, access control, remote vi

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