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Affirm Holdings Inc (AFRM)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: AFRM (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $92.71
1 Year Target Price $92.71
| 11 | Strong Buy |
| 6 | Buy |
| 7 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 100.66% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 22.44B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 98.54 | 1Y Target Price 92.71 |
Price to earnings Ratio 98.54 | 1Y Target Price 92.71 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 3.58 | 52 Weeks Range 30.90 - 100.00 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 30.90 - 100.00 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.69 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 6.74% | Operating Margin (TTM) 6.82% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) 7.6% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 98.54 | Forward PE 85.47 | Enterprise Value 28158707647 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.49 |
Enterprise Value 28158707647 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.49 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.14 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 30.68 | Shares Outstanding 289362771 | Shares Floating 276344251 |
Shares Outstanding 289362771 | Shares Floating 276344251 | ||
Percent Insiders 4.39 | Percent Institutions 83.02 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Affirm Holdings Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Affirm Holdings Inc. was founded in 2012 by Max Levchin, a co-founder of PayPal. The company revolutionized the 'buy now, pay later' (BNPL) industry by offering consumers interest-free installment loans at the point of sale. Key milestones include its public offering (IPO) on the Nasdaq in January 2021, partnerships with major retailers, and expansion of its product offerings. Affirm aims to provide transparent and flexible payment solutions, differentiating itself from traditional credit cards.
Core Business Areas
- Platform Business: Affirm operates a technology platform that enables merchants to offer its 'Buy Now, Pay Later' (BNPL) services to their customers. This involves integrating Affirm's payment solutions into the checkout process of partner merchants.
- Lending Business: Affirm directly provides installment loans to consumers, allowing them to pay for purchases over time. This segment is crucial to Affirm's revenue generation through merchant fees and interest income.
- Network Business: Affirm builds a network of consumers and merchants, fostering repeat usage and brand loyalty. This includes features like the Affirm app and loyalty programs.
Leadership and Structure
Affirm is led by its co-founder and CEO, Max Levchin. The company is structured into various departments including Engineering, Product, Sales, Marketing, and Finance. It operates as a publicly traded company with a board of directors overseeing its strategic direction.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Product Name 1: Pay in 4 Installments: This is Affirm's flagship offering, allowing consumers to split purchases into four interest-free payments. Market share is difficult to pinpoint for specific products within BNPL, but Affirm is a leading player in the US BNPL market. Competitors include Klarna, Afterpay (Block, Inc.), PayPal Credit, and various credit card options.
- Product Name 2: Longer-Term Loans: Affirm also offers longer repayment terms with varying interest rates, catering to larger purchases. This competes more directly with traditional credit lines and personal loans. Competitors include traditional banks, credit card issuers, and other fintech lenders.
- Product Name 3: Affirm Card: A physical and virtual card that allows users to access Affirm's BNPL options at any merchant, not just those integrated with Affirm. This is a direct play against traditional credit cards. Competitors include all major credit card networks and issuers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The 'Buy Now, Pay Later' (BNPL) industry is a rapidly growing segment of the digital payments landscape. It caters to a consumer demand for flexible payment options and has seen significant adoption, particularly among younger demographics. The industry is characterized by intense competition from both fintech startups and established financial institutions. Regulatory scrutiny is also increasing.
Positioning
Affirm is positioned as a leading innovator in the BNPL space, emphasizing transparency, no hidden fees, and customer-centricity. Its competitive advantages include strong merchant partnerships, a user-friendly platform, and a focus on responsible lending. The company differentiates itself through its technology and its commitment to offering true interest-free options on many of its products.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for BNPL services is substantial and growing, with estimates varying but often in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally for e-commerce. Affirm is a significant player within the US market and is actively expanding its international presence. Its positioning is strong due to its early mover advantage and established merchant network.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty in the BNPL space.
- Innovative technology platform with a user-friendly interface.
- Extensive network of merchant partnerships across various sectors.
- Focus on transparency and customer-centricity (no late fees, no compounding interest for Pay in 4).
- Experienced leadership team with deep fintech expertise.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on merchant adoption and their willingness to pay fees.
- Potential for increased regulatory scrutiny impacting business operations.
- Sensitivity to economic downturns and consumer credit risk.
- Competition from established financial institutions and other fintech players.
- Profitability challenges as the company scales and invests heavily in growth.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new geographic markets and international growth.
- Development of new product features and services to enhance customer value.
- Increased adoption of BNPL by consumers and merchants.
- Partnerships with larger financial institutions and enterprises.
- Leveraging data analytics for personalized offerings and risk management.
Threats
- Increased competition and price wars among BNPL providers.
- Changes in consumer spending habits and economic recession.
- Stricter regulations on consumer credit and lending practices.
- Cybersecurity risks and data breaches.
- Erosion of merchant goodwill if fees become too high or integration becomes complex.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Block, Inc. (SQ) - Afterpay
- PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) - PayPal Credit
- Klarna Bank AB (Private)
- Sezzle Inc. (SZLS) - Acquired by Intuit
- Perpay (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Affirm's advantages lie in its transparent fee structure and focus on responsible lending, which appeals to both consumers and merchants seeking alternatives to traditional credit. However, it faces strong competition from larger, established players like PayPal and Block (which acquired Afterpay), which have extensive customer bases and integrated ecosystems. New entrants and evolving regulatory landscapes also present challenges.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Affirm has experienced rapid historical growth in terms of Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) and active users, driven by its expansion in the US and key international markets. Partnerships with major retailers have been instrumental in this growth.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Affirm's future growth are generally positive, anticipating continued expansion in GMV and user base. However, profitability remains a key focus for investors, and projections often hinge on the company's ability to manage credit risk and operating expenses effectively. Future growth will likely be driven by further merchant acquisition, product innovation, and international expansion.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the launch of the Affirm Card, expansion of its 'Pay in 4' and longer-term loan offerings, and strategic partnerships aimed at broadening its reach and deepening customer engagement.
Summary
Affirm Holdings Inc. is a prominent player in the rapidly growing 'Buy Now, Pay Later' (BNPL) sector, characterized by strong revenue growth and a commitment to transparent consumer finance. Its key strengths lie in its innovative technology, merchant partnerships, and customer-centric approach. However, the company faces significant challenges from intense competition, increasing regulatory scrutiny, and the inherent risks of consumer credit. To sustain its growth and achieve profitability, Affirm must continue to innovate, expand its user base and merchant network, and effectively manage credit risk while navigating a dynamic market.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Filings (SEC)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Market Research Reports on the BNPL Industry
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Market share data is estimated and may vary across different reports. Financial metrics and future projections are subject to change and market volatility. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Affirm Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-01-13 | Founder, CEO & Chairman Mr. Max Roth Levchin | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Infrastructure | Full time employees 2206 | Website https://www.affirm.com |
Full time employees 2206 | Website https://www.affirm.com | ||
Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates payment network in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Its platform includes point-of-sale payment solution for consumers, merchant commerce solutions, and a consumer-focused app. The company's commerce platform, agreements with originating banks, and capital markets partners enables consumers to pay for a purchase over time. It has active merchants covering small businesses, large enterprises, direct-to-consumer brands, brick-and-mortar stores, and companies with an omni-channel presence. The company's merchants represent a range of industries, including sporting goods and outdoors, home and lifestyle, travel and ticketing, electronics, fashion and beauty, equipment and auto, and general merchandise. Affirm Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

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