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Upturn AI Summary - About
Alamo Group Inc(ALG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ALG
11/09/2026: ALG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Alamo Group is a specialized industrial machinery company known for its essential vegetation management and infrastructure maintenance equipment. Its primary strength lies in a decentralized portfolio of resilient brands and a steady aftermarket service business that generates consistent cash flow. The company's growth story centers on strategic, tactical acquisitions and the ongoing need for municipal infrastructure maintenance. Key risks include exposure to raw material price inflation, competitive pressure from larger industrial conglomerates, and reliance on government budget cycles. Alamo may suit investors seeking a stable, long-term industrial play, though it is best monitored for effective integration of new acquisitions and raw material cost management.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Alamo offers steady, methodical growth rather than aggressive, high-velocity expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock tends to trade based on long-term industrial trends rather than short-term price momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The company is often priced reasonably relative to its cash flow generation and industrial footprint. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | While reliable, the dividend yield is typically modest, serving as a supplement to total return rather than primary income. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | The essential nature of infrastructure maintenance provides a level of stability during economic downturns. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can experience swings aligned with broader industrial market sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Overpaying during market exuberance can compress long-term expected returns. |
| Competition risk (Industrial Conglomerates) | Medium / high | Large global players possess greater scale and R&D budgets. |
| Business quality | Strong | Alamo's focus on specialized, essential equipment results in high-quality, sticky customer relationships. |
| Dividend income | Low | The dividend is stable but not the primary driver for high-yield income seekers. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Integrating diverse, decentralized acquisitions requires consistent operational discipline. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -23.95% | Avg. Invested days 35 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/09/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.63B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 20.83 | 1Y Target Price 190.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 20.83 | 1Y Target Price 190.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 162.2K shares | Beta 1.07 | 52 Weeks Range 133.32 - 218.51 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 133.32 - 218.51 | Updated Date 11/08/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.97% | Basic EPS (TTM) 6.42 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Vegetation Management | Mowers, forestry tools, and brush cutters for roadsides and farms. | This is the core, stable engine of the company. |
| Infrastructure Maintenance | Snow equipment, sweepers, and vacuum trucks. | Driven largely by municipal and government infrastructure budgets. |
| Geography (North America) | Majority of revenue is generated within the US and Canadian markets. | The company is highly sensitive to North American infrastructure spending trends. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-02 | When After Market | Estimate 2.65 | Actual 2.06 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.72% | Operating Margin (TTM) 0.85% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.32% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.7% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 20.83 | Forward PE 11.21 | Enterprise Value 1.63B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 |
Enterprise Value 1.63B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.99 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.98 | Shares Outstanding 12.16M | Shares Floating 11.98M |
Shares Outstanding 12.16M | Shares Floating 11.98M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.17 | Percent Institutions 97.18 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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