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Upturn AI Summary - About
Allegiant Travel Company(ALGT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ALGT
10/28/2026: ALGT (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Allegiant Travel Company operates a distinctive low-cost airline that links underserved small cities with major leisure destinations. By offering bundled travel packages and focusing on high-margin ancillary revenue, the company has carved out a unique, less competitive market niche. Its growth story currently centers on the successful integration and scaling of its Sunseeker Resort, a significant pivot into the hospitality sector. However, the company faces material risks, including high execution costs for non-airline assets, fuel price volatility, and intense industry competition. The stock may suit investors seeking exposure to the leisure travel market, though it requires monitoring of capital allocation and operational margin trends.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers a unique niche, but growth is tempered by capital-intensive projects and market sensitivity. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock often lacks sustained upward momentum required for this style due to cyclical industry headwinds. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The company may appear attractively priced during industry troughs, but execution risks on non-airline assets must be considered. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not currently pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Airline stocks are inherently volatile and sensitive to fuel costs and economic cycles, making them unsuitable for low-risk profiles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Airline stocks are subject to significant swings based on fuel prices and travel demand. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment toward airline capital intensity can cause rapid valuation shifts. |
| Competition risk | Medium / high | Legacy carriers can adjust capacity to pressure low-cost operators in specific markets. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business model is strong, but profitability is heavily dependent on external economic factors. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No dividend is currently paid, providing no income stream. |
| Execution risk | High | Integrating hospitality assets like Sunseeker Resort introduces operational complexities outside the core airline business. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 96.19% | Avg. Invested days 44 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  4.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/28/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.01B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 58.87 | 1Y Target Price 117.43 |
Price to earnings Ratio 58.87 | 1Y Target Price 117.43 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 457.8K shares | Beta 1.54 | 52 Weeks Range 57.11 - 123.63 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 57.11 - 123.63 | Updated Date 10/28/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.25 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Air Transportation | Passenger ticket sales for scheduled air travel on a point-to-point basis. | The core revenue stream generated by flying passengers to vacation destinations. |
| Ancillary Revenue | Baggage fees, seat selection, and other passenger-related charges. | Highly profitable fees charged for services beyond the basic airfare. |
| Vacation Packages | Bundling airfare with hotels, car rentals, and other travel products. | A cross-selling strategy that captures more of the customer's travel spend. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 58.87 | Forward PE 7.62 | Enterprise Value 2.83B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7 |
Enterprise Value 2.83B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.98 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.72 | Shares Outstanding 27.34M | Shares Floating 24.30M |
Shares Outstanding 27.34M | Shares Floating 24.30M | ||
Percent Insiders 10.11 | Percent Institutions 99.22 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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