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ULCC
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Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$4.43
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/14/2025: ULCC (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

12 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $4.72

1 Year Target Price $4.72

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$4.72 Target price
52w Low $2.89
Current$4.43
52w High $10.26

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 24.82%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.01B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.72
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 4.72
Volume (30-day avg) 12
Beta 2.62
52 Weeks Range 2.89 - 10.26
Updated Date 08/15/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.89 - 10.26
Updated Date 08/15/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.15

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-05
When Before Market
Estimate -0.27
Actual -0.31

Profitability

Profit Margin -0.87%
Operating Margin (TTM) -11.73%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -3.41%
Return on Equity (TTM) -6.43%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 14.64
Enterprise Value 5317728678
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27
Enterprise Value 5317728678
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.41
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 100.33
Shares Outstanding 228155008
Shares Floating 55955126
Shares Outstanding 228155008
Shares Floating 55955126
Percent Insiders 49.17
Percent Institutions 56.69

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Frontier Group Holdings Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is the parent company of Frontier Airlines, founded in 1994. It has evolved from a regional carrier to an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC), focusing on leisure travelers and price-sensitive customers. It went public in 2017.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Passenger Air Service: Provides scheduled passenger air transportation through Frontier Airlines, focusing on point-to-point routes and unserved or underserved markets.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team includes Barry Biffle (CEO). The organizational structure is typical of a publicly traded airline, with departments focusing on operations, finance, marketing, and customer service.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Air Transportation: Frontier's primary offering is air transportation, focusing on low fares. The number of passengers fluctuates, but in 2023, they flew approximately 31.5 million passengers. Competitors include Spirit Airlines, Allegiant Air, and other major airlines on overlapping routes.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by fuel prices, economic conditions, and regulatory changes. The ULCC segment is growing, driven by demand for affordable travel.

Positioning

Frontier is positioned as an ultra-low-cost carrier, competing on price. Its competitive advantage lies in its cost structure, allowing it to offer lower fares. This enables it to capture price-sensitive customers in leisure markets.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global airline market size is estimated at over $800 billion. Frontier targets the price-sensitive leisure travel segment, which is a significant portion of this TAM. Frontier is well-positioned to grow within this market due to its ULCC model.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Low operating costs
  • Focus on underserved markets
  • Strong brand recognition in select markets
  • Direct sales strategy

Weaknesses

  • Customer service reputation
  • Reliance on ancillary revenue
  • Exposure to fuel price volatility
  • Labor relations

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Increased demand for leisure travel
  • Strategic partnerships
  • Technological advancements to improve efficiency

Threats

  • Competition from other airlines
  • Economic downturns
  • Regulatory changes
  • Geopolitical instability
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • SAVE
  • AAL
  • UAL
  • DAL
  • LUV
  • ALK

Competitive Landscape

Frontier competes primarily on price, targeting leisure travelers. It has a lower cost structure than many major airlines, but its customer service reputation is a disadvantage. Spirit, Allegiant, American, United, Delta and Southwest also are main competitors for domestic routes.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Frontier has grown significantly by expanding its route network and increasing passenger volume, even with volatile recent financials due to high fuel costs

Future Projections: Analysts predict continued growth in revenue and passenger numbers, contingent on economic conditions and fuel prices. Profitability is expected to improve with cost-cutting measures.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its route network, enhancing its loyalty program, and investing in fuel-efficient aircraft.

Summary

Frontier Airlines has a strong foothold as an ultra-low-cost carrier, capitalizing on price-sensitive leisure travelers. They have the ability to expand into new markets and have been growing in passenger volume. Their biggest challenges are increasing competition, poor customer service reviews, and fuel price volatility. To improve, the company needs to improve fuel efficiency and improve customer satisfaction.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Frontier Group Holdings Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings
  • Airline industry reports
  • Analyst estimates

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Frontier Group Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Denver, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-04-01
CEO & Director Mr. Barry L. Biffle
Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Full time employees 7766
Full time employees 7766

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as website, mobile app, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2024, it had a fleet of 159 Airbus single-aisle aircrafts. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.