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Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: ULCC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Year Target Price $4.72
Year Target Price $4.72
0 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
10 | Hold |
0 | Under performing |
1 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 56.02% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 822.23M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 12.03 | 1Y Target Price 4.72 |
Price to earnings Ratio 12.03 | 1Y Target Price 4.72 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 2.68 | 52 Weeks Range 2.79 - 10.26 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.79 - 10.26 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.3 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 1.78% | Operating Margin (TTM) -11.18% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -2.95% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.9% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 12.03 | Forward PE 14.64 | Enterprise Value 4927230043 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 |
Enterprise Value 4927230043 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.29 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 32.63 | Shares Outstanding 227764992 | Shares Floating 55563163 |
Shares Outstanding 227764992 | Shares Floating 55563163 | ||
Percent Insiders 49.25 | Percent Institutions 52.98 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 4.72 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy - |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy - | ||
Hold 10 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Frontier Airlines was founded in 1994. Initially, it aimed to provide low-cost air travel from Denver. Over the years, it has expanded its network to include numerous destinations across the United States, Mexico, and the Caribbean, becoming a major ultra-low-cost carrier.
Core Business Areas
- Passenger Air Transportation: Provides scheduled air transportation for passengers, primarily focused on leisure travelers and price-sensitive customers. Core product is low-fare flights.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO of Frontier Group Holdings is Barry Biffle. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, separating operations into different departments (e.g., Flight Operations, Marketing, Finance).
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Low-Fare Flights: Frontier's primary offering is low-fare airline tickets. They operate on an unbundled pricing model, offering basic fares and charging extra for amenities like baggage, seat selection, and onboard refreshments. Exact market share data is dynamic, but they compete heavily in the low-cost segment. Competitors include Spirit, Allegiant, and Southwest.
- Market Share (%): 8.1
- Ancillary Services: Frontier generates significant revenue from ancillary services such as baggage fees, seat upgrades, priority boarding, and onboard sales. These services contribute significantly to overall profitability. Competitors in this area are essentially the same airlines that charge for extra amenities, like Spirit, Allegiant, and even legacy carriers.
- Market Share (%): 9.3
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by factors like fuel prices, economic conditions, and regulatory changes. The ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) segment is growing rapidly, driven by demand for affordable air travel.
Positioning
Frontier is positioned as an ultra-low-cost carrier, focusing on providing the lowest possible base fares and generating revenue through ancillary services. Its competitive advantages include a cost-efficient operating model and a focus on leisure travel.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global airline industry is valued at approximately $800 billion. Frontier targets the price-sensitive leisure travel segment, positioning it to capture a share of this expansive market through aggressive pricing.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low-cost operating model
- Focus on ancillary revenue
- Strong presence in key leisure markets
- Modern, fuel-efficient fleet
Weaknesses
- High reliance on ancillary revenue
- Customer service reputation challenges
- Sensitivity to fuel price fluctuations
- Labor relation challenges.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new leisure markets
- Increased demand for low-cost travel
- Strategic partnerships with other airlines
- Technology adoption for enhanced efficiency
Threats
- Rising fuel prices
- Increased competition from other ULCCs
- Economic downturn impacting travel demand
- Regulatory changes and compliance costs
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SAVE
- AAL
- UAL
- LUV
- ALK
Competitive Landscape
Frontieru2019s advantages include its low-cost structure, targeted leisure routes, and young fleet. Disadvantages include customer service issues and sensitivity to fuel prices. Competitors like Southwest and Spirit have stronger brand recognition and different operational models.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Frontier has shown notable growth in passenger numbers and route networks over the past decade, fueled by its low-cost business model.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary. Some project continued growth in revenue and passenger numbers, driven by expansion and demand for low-cost travel. Others are more cautious due to fuel prices and economic uncertainty.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet expansion, new route launches, and investments in technology to improve operational efficiency.
Summary
Frontier Airlines operates as an ultra-low-cost carrier focused on leisure travel. Its strength lies in its efficient cost structure, but it faces challenges in customer satisfaction and fuel price volatility. The company benefits from the growing demand for affordable air travel, but must navigate intense competition and economic uncertainties. Frontier shows moderate profitability and a high reliance on ancillary revenue.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
- Airline Industry Data
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change and should be verified independently.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-01 | CEO & Director Mr. Barry L. Biffle | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 7906 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com |
Full time employees 7906 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com |
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as website, mobile app, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2024, it had a fleet of 159 Airbus single-aisle aircrafts. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
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