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ULCC
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.61
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: ULCC (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

12 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Year Target Price $4.72

Year Target Price $4.72

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$4.72Target price
Low$2.79
Current$3.61
high$10.26

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 56.02%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 822.23M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 12.03
1Y Target Price 4.72
Price to earnings Ratio 12.03
1Y Target Price 4.72
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 2.68
52 Weeks Range 2.79 - 10.26
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.79 - 10.26
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.3

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 1.78%
Operating Margin (TTM) -11.18%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -2.95%
Return on Equity (TTM) 12.9%

Valuation

Trailing PE 12.03
Forward PE 14.64
Enterprise Value 4927230043
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22
Enterprise Value 4927230043
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.22
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.29
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 32.63
Shares Outstanding 227764992
Shares Floating 55563163
Shares Outstanding 227764992
Shares Floating 55563163
Percent Insiders 49.25
Percent Institutions 52.98

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 4.72
Buy 1
Strong Buy -
Buy 1
Strong Buy -
Hold 10
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Frontier Group Holdings Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Frontier Airlines was founded in 1994. Initially, it aimed to provide low-cost air travel from Denver. Over the years, it has expanded its network to include numerous destinations across the United States, Mexico, and the Caribbean, becoming a major ultra-low-cost carrier.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Passenger Air Transportation: Provides scheduled air transportation for passengers, primarily focused on leisure travelers and price-sensitive customers. Core product is low-fare flights.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO of Frontier Group Holdings is Barry Biffle. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, separating operations into different departments (e.g., Flight Operations, Marketing, Finance).

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Low-Fare Flights: Frontier's primary offering is low-fare airline tickets. They operate on an unbundled pricing model, offering basic fares and charging extra for amenities like baggage, seat selection, and onboard refreshments. Exact market share data is dynamic, but they compete heavily in the low-cost segment. Competitors include Spirit, Allegiant, and Southwest.
  • Market Share (%): 8.1
  • Ancillary Services: Frontier generates significant revenue from ancillary services such as baggage fees, seat upgrades, priority boarding, and onboard sales. These services contribute significantly to overall profitability. Competitors in this area are essentially the same airlines that charge for extra amenities, like Spirit, Allegiant, and even legacy carriers.
  • Market Share (%): 9.3

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by factors like fuel prices, economic conditions, and regulatory changes. The ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) segment is growing rapidly, driven by demand for affordable air travel.

Positioning

Frontier is positioned as an ultra-low-cost carrier, focusing on providing the lowest possible base fares and generating revenue through ancillary services. Its competitive advantages include a cost-efficient operating model and a focus on leisure travel.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global airline industry is valued at approximately $800 billion. Frontier targets the price-sensitive leisure travel segment, positioning it to capture a share of this expansive market through aggressive pricing.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Low-cost operating model
  • Focus on ancillary revenue
  • Strong presence in key leisure markets
  • Modern, fuel-efficient fleet

Weaknesses

  • High reliance on ancillary revenue
  • Customer service reputation challenges
  • Sensitivity to fuel price fluctuations
  • Labor relation challenges.

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new leisure markets
  • Increased demand for low-cost travel
  • Strategic partnerships with other airlines
  • Technology adoption for enhanced efficiency

Threats

  • Rising fuel prices
  • Increased competition from other ULCCs
  • Economic downturn impacting travel demand
  • Regulatory changes and compliance costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • SAVE
  • AAL
  • UAL
  • LUV
  • ALK

Competitive Landscape

Frontieru2019s advantages include its low-cost structure, targeted leisure routes, and young fleet. Disadvantages include customer service issues and sensitivity to fuel prices. Competitors like Southwest and Spirit have stronger brand recognition and different operational models.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Frontier has shown notable growth in passenger numbers and route networks over the past decade, fueled by its low-cost business model.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary. Some project continued growth in revenue and passenger numbers, driven by expansion and demand for low-cost travel. Others are more cautious due to fuel prices and economic uncertainty.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet expansion, new route launches, and investments in technology to improve operational efficiency.

Summary

Frontier Airlines operates as an ultra-low-cost carrier focused on leisure travel. Its strength lies in its efficient cost structure, but it faces challenges in customer satisfaction and fuel price volatility. The company benefits from the growing demand for affordable air travel, but must navigate intense competition and economic uncertainties. Frontier shows moderate profitability and a high reliance on ancillary revenue.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Financial News Outlets
  • Airline Industry Data

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change and should be verified independently.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Frontier Group Holdings Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Denver, CO, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-04-01
CEO & Director Mr. Barry L. Biffle
Sector Industrials
Industry Airlines
Full time employees 7906
Full time employees 7906

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as website, mobile app, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2024, it had a fleet of 159 Airbus single-aisle aircrafts. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.