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ULCC 
Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/13/2025: ULCC (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
12 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $5.22
1 Year Target Price $5.22
| 0 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11.83% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 921.98M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.22 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.22 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 2.58 | 52 Weeks Range 2.89 - 10.26 | Updated Date 11/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.89 - 10.26 | Updated Date 11/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.61 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate -0.37 | Actual -0.34 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.65% | Operating Margin (TTM) -20.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -4.65% | Return on Equity (TTM) -27.67% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 15.15 | Enterprise Value 5388047426 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25 |
Enterprise Value 5388047426 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.25 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.44 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 99.99 | Shares Outstanding 228229561 | Shares Floating 57125543 |
Shares Outstanding 228229561 | Shares Floating 57125543 | ||
Percent Insiders 48.92 | Percent Institutions 54.12 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is the parent company of Frontier Airlines, an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC). Founded in 1994 as a regional airline, it has evolved into a nationwide ULCC.
Core Business Areas
- Airline Services: Providing scheduled passenger air transportation within the United States and to international destinations.
- Ancillary Revenue: Generating revenue through optional services such as baggage fees, seat selection, and onboard purchases.
Leadership and Structure
The company has a board of directors and a management team led by the CEO. The organizational structure is typical of an airline, with departments for operations, finance, marketing, and other key functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Passenger Air Transportation: Frontier Airlines offers low-fare flights to various destinations. Market share is approximately 3-4% of the US market. Competitors include Spirit Airlines, Allegiant Air, and Southwest Airlines.
- Optional Services: Frontier offers a range of optional services. Revenue from optional services accounts for a significant portion of total revenue. Competitors: Spirit Airlines, Allegiant Air.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, with fluctuating fuel costs and passenger demand impacting profitability.
Positioning
Frontier is positioned as an ultra-low-cost carrier, targeting price-sensitive travelers and competing primarily on fares.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The estimated TAM for the US airline industry is over $150 billion. Frontier is positioned to capture a segment of the price-sensitive traveler portion.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low-cost structure
- Focus on underserved markets
- Ancillary revenue generation
- Young fleet
Weaknesses
- Customer service reputation
- Dependence on ancillary revenue
- Sensitivity to fuel prices
- Exposure to economic downturns
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Increased demand for budget travel
- Strategic partnerships
- Fleet modernization
Threats
- Intense competition
- Fluctuating fuel prices
- Economic recession
- Regulatory changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SAVE
- AAL
- UAL
- LUV
- ALK
Competitive Landscape
Frontier faces intense competition from other ULCCs and legacy carriers. Its advantage lies in its low-cost structure, but its customer service reputation is a disadvantage.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been driven by expansion into new markets and increased passenger volume.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by continued expansion and increased demand for budget travel, but is uncertain.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include fleet modernization and expansion of routes.
Summary
Frontier Group Holdings operates in a competitive environment. Its ULCC model allows for low fares, but its customer service faces continuous scrutiny. Future profitability relies on fuel prices and maintaining operational efficiency. Expansion and fleet modernization are key initiatives. Overall the company is weak with a high level of uncertainty.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Filings (SEC)
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance may change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-01 | CEO & Director Mr. Barry L. Biffle | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 7535 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com |
Full time employees 7535 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com | ||
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as website, mobile app, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2024, it had a fleet of 159 Airbus single-aisle aircrafts. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
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