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Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: ULCC (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $4.72
1 Year Target Price $4.72
0 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
10 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 24.82% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.01B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.72 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 4.72 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 2.62 | 52 Weeks Range 2.89 - 10.26 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.89 - 10.26 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.15 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-05 | When Before Market | Estimate -0.27 | Actual -0.31 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -0.87% | Operating Margin (TTM) -11.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -3.41% | Return on Equity (TTM) -6.43% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 14.64 | Enterprise Value 5317728678 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 |
Enterprise Value 5317728678 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.27 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.41 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 100.33 | Shares Outstanding 228155008 | Shares Floating 55955126 |
Shares Outstanding 228155008 | Shares Floating 55955126 | ||
Percent Insiders 49.17 | Percent Institutions 56.69 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is the parent company of Frontier Airlines, founded in 1994. It has evolved from a regional carrier to an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC), focusing on leisure travelers and price-sensitive customers. It went public in 2017.
Core Business Areas
- Passenger Air Service: Provides scheduled passenger air transportation through Frontier Airlines, focusing on point-to-point routes and unserved or underserved markets.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes Barry Biffle (CEO). The organizational structure is typical of a publicly traded airline, with departments focusing on operations, finance, marketing, and customer service.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Air Transportation: Frontier's primary offering is air transportation, focusing on low fares. The number of passengers fluctuates, but in 2023, they flew approximately 31.5 million passengers. Competitors include Spirit Airlines, Allegiant Air, and other major airlines on overlapping routes.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The airline industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by fuel prices, economic conditions, and regulatory changes. The ULCC segment is growing, driven by demand for affordable travel.
Positioning
Frontier is positioned as an ultra-low-cost carrier, competing on price. Its competitive advantage lies in its cost structure, allowing it to offer lower fares. This enables it to capture price-sensitive customers in leisure markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global airline market size is estimated at over $800 billion. Frontier targets the price-sensitive leisure travel segment, which is a significant portion of this TAM. Frontier is well-positioned to grow within this market due to its ULCC model.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Low operating costs
- Focus on underserved markets
- Strong brand recognition in select markets
- Direct sales strategy
Weaknesses
- Customer service reputation
- Reliance on ancillary revenue
- Exposure to fuel price volatility
- Labor relations
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Increased demand for leisure travel
- Strategic partnerships
- Technological advancements to improve efficiency
Threats
- Competition from other airlines
- Economic downturns
- Regulatory changes
- Geopolitical instability
- Fluctuations in fuel prices
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- SAVE
- AAL
- UAL
- DAL
- LUV
- ALK
Competitive Landscape
Frontier competes primarily on price, targeting leisure travelers. It has a lower cost structure than many major airlines, but its customer service reputation is a disadvantage. Spirit, Allegiant, American, United, Delta and Southwest also are main competitors for domestic routes.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Frontier has grown significantly by expanding its route network and increasing passenger volume, even with volatile recent financials due to high fuel costs
Future Projections: Analysts predict continued growth in revenue and passenger numbers, contingent on economic conditions and fuel prices. Profitability is expected to improve with cost-cutting measures.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its route network, enhancing its loyalty program, and investing in fuel-efficient aircraft.
Summary
Frontier Airlines has a strong foothold as an ultra-low-cost carrier, capitalizing on price-sensitive leisure travelers. They have the ability to expand into new markets and have been growing in passenger volume. Their biggest challenges are increasing competition, poor customer service reviews, and fuel price volatility. To improve, the company needs to improve fuel efficiency and improve customer satisfaction.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Frontier Group Holdings Investor Relations
- SEC Filings
- Airline industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Frontier Group Holdings Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Denver, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-04-01 | CEO & Director Mr. Barry L. Biffle | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Airlines | Full time employees 7766 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com |
Full time employees 7766 | Website https://www.flyfrontier.com |
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., provides low-fare passenger airline services to leisure travelers in the United States and Latin America. The company sells its products through direct distribution channels, such as website, mobile app, and contact centers. As of December 31, 2024, it had a fleet of 159 Airbus single-aisle aircrafts. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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