
Cancel anytime
- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Valuation
Upturn AI SWOT
- About


Alumis Inc (ALMS)



- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- Pass (Skip investing)


(see disclosures)
- ALL
- YEAR
- MONTH
- WEEK
Upturn Advisory Summary
08/28/2025: ALMS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $19
1 Year Target Price $19
4 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -46.28% | Avg. Invested days 17 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
![]() ![]() | ![]() ![]() |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 489.10M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 0.14 | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Price to earnings Ratio 0.14 | 1Y Target Price 19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.11 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.11 | Updated Date 08/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 33.18 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-13 | When - | Estimate -1.3875 | Actual 0.77 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -4532.6% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -59.84% | Return on Equity (TTM) -66.35% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 0.14 | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 37444544 | Price to Sales(TTM) 24.39 |
Enterprise Value 37444544 | Price to Sales(TTM) 24.39 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.87 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 96004400 | Shares Floating 71049902 |
Shares Outstanding 96004400 | Shares Floating 71049902 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.83 | Percent Institutions 81.06 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alumis Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Alumis, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases. Founded in 2021, it emerged from Foresite Labs, emphasizing precision medicine through disease-driver targeting.
Core Business Areas
- Autoimmune Disease Therapies: Development of oral therapies for autoimmune conditions with a focus on disease-driver targeting.
- Precision Medicine: Employing precision medicine approaches to identify and target specific disease mechanisms.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a management team with experience in drug development and autoimmune diseases, supported by a board of directors with expertise in biotechnology and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- ESK-001 (Oral TYK2 Inhibitor): ESK-001 is Alumis' lead drug candidate, an oral allosteric TYK2 inhibitor in Phase 2 clinical trials for psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Market share data is not publicly available as the drug is still in clinical trials. Key competitors in TYK2 inhibition include Bristol Myers Squibb (Sotyktu), and other companies developing TYK2 inhibitors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The autoimmune disease therapeutics market is large and growing, driven by increasing prevalence of autoimmune conditions and the development of novel therapies. There is a growing trend towards oral therapies that provide convenience and improve patient compliance.
Positioning
Alumis is positioned as an innovative company developing a next-generation TYK2 inhibitor with potentially improved efficacy and safety compared to existing treatments. Their precision medicine approach may allow for more targeted therapies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global autoimmune disease market is estimated at over $100 billion. Alumis is positioned to capture a significant share through targeted TYK2 inhibition, however, the actual captured market share is highly dependent on clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Novel TYK2 inhibitor with potential for improved efficacy and safety
- Experienced management team
- Strong focus on precision medicine
- Backed by reputable investors
Weaknesses
- Early-stage clinical development (Phase 2)
- Limited product pipeline beyond ESK-001
- Reliance on successful clinical trial outcomes
- No current product revenue
Opportunities
- Successful clinical trials leading to regulatory approval
- Expansion of pipeline through further research and development
- Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Expanding the indications of ESK-001
Threats
- Clinical trial failures
- Competition from existing and emerging therapies
- Regulatory hurdles
- Intellectual property challenges
- Difficulty in raising further capital
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BMY
- PFE
- ABBV
- LLY
Competitive Landscape
Alumis is competing in a crowded market for autoimmune disease therapies. Their competitive advantage lies in the potential for ESK-001 to be a best-in-class TYK2 inhibitor with improved efficacy and safety. However, they face significant competition from established pharmaceutical companies with approved therapies.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical Growth information is not fully public, thus this section cannot be completely filled.
Future Projections: Future growth hinges on the success of ESK-001 in clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approval. Analyst projections are not available due to the company's stage and private status.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives focus on advancing ESK-001 through Phase 2 clinical trials for psoriasis and SLE, as well as exploring other autoimmune indications.
Summary
Alumis, Inc. is a promising biopharmaceutical company in the clinical stage, focused on developing a next-generation TYK2 inhibitor for autoimmune diseases. Their success hinges on the clinical trial outcomes of ESK-001 and their ability to navigate a competitive landscape. They need to focus on expanding its pipeline and secure partnerships to mitigate risks and achieve long-term growth. It should be noted that, being a private company, infromation is very limited.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Alumis, Inc. Website
- Company Press Releases
- ClinicalTrials.gov
- Market Research Reports (Autoimmune Disease Therapeutics)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates, which are subject to change. The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alumis Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-06-28 | President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Martin Babler Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 225 | Website https://www.alumis.com |
Full time employees 225 | Website https://www.alumis.com |
Alumis Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for autoimmune disorders. The company's clinical asset comprises ESK-001, an allosteric tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus; and A-005, a central nervous system-penetrant allosteric TYK2 inhibitor for neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative diseases. It also develops interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) to address immune dysfunction. The company was formerly known as Esker Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Alumis Inc. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.