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Alumis Inc. Common Stock (ALMS)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/14/2025: ALMS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $21
1 Year Target Price $21
4 | Strong Buy |
2 | Buy |
0 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -53.13% | Avg. Invested days 12 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 363.23M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 21 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 21 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.50 | Updated Date 07/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.50 | Updated Date 07/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -11.24 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -583.86% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -101.07% | Return on Equity (TTM) -247.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 186357212 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.89 |
Enterprise Value 186357212 | Price to Sales(TTM) 20.89 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.72 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 96004400 | Shares Floating 8664083 |
Shares Outstanding 96004400 | Shares Floating 8664083 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.64 | Percent Institutions 53.94 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alumis Inc. Common Stock
Company Overview
History and Background
Alumis, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases. Founded in 2021, Alumis emerged from research on TYK2 (tyrosine kinase 2) inhibition and quickly progressed its lead candidate through clinical trials.
Core Business Areas
- Autoimmune Disease Therapies: Alumis focuses on developing oral TYK2 inhibitors for various autoimmune diseases like psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and potentially others in the future.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team consists of experienced biopharmaceutical executives with expertise in drug development, regulatory affairs, and commercialization. The organizational structure is typical of a clinical-stage biotech company, with focused teams for research, clinical development, and business operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- ESK-001: ESK-001 is an oral TYK2 inhibitor in Phase 2 clinical trials for psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis. Alumis plans to explore its efficacy in other autoimmune diseases. Competitors include Bristol Myers Squibb's Sotyktu (deucravacitinib) and other TYK2 inhibitors and traditional treatments like biologics (TNF inhibitors, IL-17 inhibitors) and small molecule immunosuppressants.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The autoimmune disease market is a large and growing market driven by increasing prevalence, improved diagnosis, and the development of new therapies. The market is highly competitive, with established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotech companies vying for market share.
Positioning
Alumis is positioned as a developer of differentiated oral TYK2 inhibitors with the potential for improved efficacy and safety compared to existing treatments. Their advantage lies in developing highly selective TYK2 inhibitors.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for autoimmune disease therapies is estimated to be over $100 billion. Alumis is targeting a significant portion of this market with its oral TYK2 inhibitor, aiming to replace or complement existing injectable biologics and offering a more convenient and potentially safer treatment option.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Novel TYK2 inhibitor with potential for improved efficacy and safety
- Experienced leadership team
- Strong intellectual property position
- Focus on a large and growing market
Weaknesses
- Clinical-stage company with no marketed products
- Reliance on a single lead candidate
- High cash burn rate
- Subject to regulatory approval risks
Opportunities
- Expansion of ESK-001 into other autoimmune indications
- Potential for partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Positive clinical trial results
- Development of next-generation TYK2 inhibitors
Threats
- Competition from established pharmaceutical companies and other biotech companies
- Clinical trial failures
- Regulatory hurdles
- Patent challenges
- Economic downturn affecting healthcare spending
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BMY
- LLY
- ABBV
- PFE
Competitive Landscape
Alumis faces significant competition from established pharmaceutical companies with marketed products and larger research and development budgets. Its advantage lies in developing a potentially best-in-class TYK2 inhibitor with improved efficacy and safety.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: N/A - Limited data available since company foundation in 2021.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on the successful completion of clinical trials and regulatory approval of ESK-001. Analyst estimates are not widely available due to the company's early stage. Projections will depend on market penetration of their products if they receive approval.
Recent Initiatives: Alumis is focused on advancing ESK-001 through clinical trials and expanding its pipeline of TYK2 inhibitors.
Summary
Alumis, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, shows potential with its novel TYK2 inhibitor for autoimmune diseases. The company has experienced leadership and a focused approach but faces the inherent risks of drug development, particularly clinical trial success and regulatory approval. The autoimmune disease market is highly competitive, and Alumis needs to differentiate its product effectively and demonstrate significant clinical benefit over existing treatments. Overall, Alumis is a promising early stage company, but faces significant execution risk. Securing financing for continued development is crucial.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company press releases
- Clinical trial data
- Industry reports
- Analyst reports (limited availability)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Investing in biotechnology companies is highly speculative and involves significant risks.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alumis Inc. Common Stock
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-06-28 | President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Martin Babler Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 182 | Website https://www.alumis.com |
Full time employees 182 | Website https://www.alumis.com |
Alumis Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for autoimmune disorders. The company's clinical asset comprises ESK-001, an allosteric tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus; and A-005, a central nervous system-penetrant allosteric TYK2 inhibitor for neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative diseases. It also develops interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) to address immune dysfunction. The company was formerly known as Esker Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Alumis Inc. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

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