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Alumis Inc (ALMS)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/04/2025: ALMS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $19
1 Year Target Price $19
| 4 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 0 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -14.39% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 866.47M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 19 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 6 | Beta - | 52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 11.30 | Updated Date 12/5/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 11.30 | Updated Date 12/5/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -2.15 |
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-13 | When - | Estimate -1 | Actual -1.06 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -5372.31% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -61.46% | Return on Equity (TTM) -66.88% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 478517278 | Price to Sales(TTM) 39.17 |
Enterprise Value 478517278 | Price to Sales(TTM) 39.17 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 97208495 | Shares Floating 60318508 |
Shares Outstanding 97208495 | Shares Floating 60318508 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.82 | Percent Institutions 81.34 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alumis Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Alumis, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases. Founded in 2021, it quickly advanced its lead candidate through clinical trials, targeting unmet needs in immunology.
Core Business Areas
- Drug Development: Alumis focuses on researching, developing, and commercializing oral therapies for autoimmune disorders.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a management team with experience in drug development and immunology. The organizational structure is typical of a clinical-stage biotech, with departments focused on R&D, clinical trials, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- ESK-101: ESK-101 is Alumis's lead product, an oral small molecule for treating autoimmune diseases. This drug is designed to be a highly selective and potent TYK2 inhibitor. The direct competitors for this drug are BMS's Deucravacitinib and Takeda's TAK-279. Market share data for ESK-101 is not yet available as it is in clinical development.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The autoimmune disease therapeutics market is large and growing, driven by an increasing prevalence of autoimmune conditions and advances in treatment options. The market is competitive, with many companies developing new therapies.
Positioning
Alumis aims to differentiate itself by developing oral therapies with improved efficacy and safety profiles. Its focus on TYK2 inhibition positions it to compete with other companies developing similar drugs.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for autoimmune disease therapeutics is estimated to be over $100 billion. Alumis is positioned to capture a portion of this market by targeting specific autoimmune indications with its oral therapies.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong scientific team
- Promising lead candidate (ESK-101)
- Focus on oral therapies
- Experienced management team
Weaknesses
- Limited financial resources
- Single lead product
- Dependence on clinical trial success
- No revenue stream
Opportunities
- Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
- Expansion into new autoimmune indications
- Positive clinical trial results
- Regulatory approvals for ESK-101
Threats
- Clinical trial failures
- Competition from established pharmaceutical companies
- Patent challenges
- Regulatory hurdles
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BMY
- TAK
Competitive Landscape
Alumis faces competition from established pharmaceutical companies with greater resources and established products. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on oral therapies and its differentiated approach to TYK2 inhibition. The market share for Alumis is close to 0, while the 10% market share of BMY and TAK includes their respective TYK2 inhibitors.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been focused on advancing ESK-101 through clinical trials.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on the successful development and commercialization of ESK-101 and other pipeline candidates. Projections rely heavily on clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals.
Recent Initiatives: Initiated Phase 2 clinical trials for ESK-101.
Summary
Alumis is a promising clinical-stage biotech company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases, particularly ESK-101, which is currently in phase 2 trial. The company's success hinges on positive clinical trial outcomes and navigating a competitive landscape. Securing partnerships and additional funding will be critical for long-term growth. A strong team and targeted approach to TYK2 inhibition present opportunities, while clinical trial risks and competition pose significant challenges.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company website
- ClinicalTrials.gov
- Industry reports
- Analyst reports (where available)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents an opinion. It is not financial advice. Market share data is estimated based on available information.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alumis Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2024-06-28 | President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Martin Babler Ph.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 221 | Website https://www.alumis.com |
Full time employees 221 | Website https://www.alumis.com | ||
Alumis Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for autoimmune disorders. The company's clinical asset comprises ESK-001, an allosteric tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus; and A-005, a central nervous system-penetrant allosteric TYK2 inhibitor for neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative diseases. It also develops interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) to address immune dysfunction. The company was formerly known as Esker Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Alumis Inc. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

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