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Alumis Inc (ALMS)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$4.7
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY14.63%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 22 days
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/28/2025: ALMS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

6 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $19

1 Year Target Price $19

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$19 Target price
52w Low $2.76
Current$4.7
52w High $13.11

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -46.28%
Avg. Invested days 17
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/28/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 489.10M USD
Price to earnings Ratio 0.14
1Y Target Price 19
Price to earnings Ratio 0.14
1Y Target Price 19
Volume (30-day avg) 6
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.11
Updated Date 08/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.11
Updated Date 08/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 33.18

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-08-13
When -
Estimate -1.3875
Actual 0.77

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -4532.6%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -59.84%
Return on Equity (TTM) -66.35%

Valuation

Trailing PE 0.14
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 37444544
Price to Sales(TTM) 24.39
Enterprise Value 37444544
Price to Sales(TTM) 24.39
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.87
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 96004400
Shares Floating 71049902
Shares Outstanding 96004400
Shares Floating 71049902
Percent Insiders 0.83
Percent Institutions 81.06

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alumis Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alumis, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases. Founded in 2021, it emerged from Foresite Labs, emphasizing precision medicine through disease-driver targeting.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Autoimmune Disease Therapies: Development of oral therapies for autoimmune conditions with a focus on disease-driver targeting.
  • Precision Medicine: Employing precision medicine approaches to identify and target specific disease mechanisms.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by a management team with experience in drug development and autoimmune diseases, supported by a board of directors with expertise in biotechnology and finance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • ESK-001 (Oral TYK2 Inhibitor): ESK-001 is Alumis' lead drug candidate, an oral allosteric TYK2 inhibitor in Phase 2 clinical trials for psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Market share data is not publicly available as the drug is still in clinical trials. Key competitors in TYK2 inhibition include Bristol Myers Squibb (Sotyktu), and other companies developing TYK2 inhibitors.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The autoimmune disease therapeutics market is large and growing, driven by increasing prevalence of autoimmune conditions and the development of novel therapies. There is a growing trend towards oral therapies that provide convenience and improve patient compliance.

Positioning

Alumis is positioned as an innovative company developing a next-generation TYK2 inhibitor with potentially improved efficacy and safety compared to existing treatments. Their precision medicine approach may allow for more targeted therapies.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global autoimmune disease market is estimated at over $100 billion. Alumis is positioned to capture a significant share through targeted TYK2 inhibition, however, the actual captured market share is highly dependent on clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Novel TYK2 inhibitor with potential for improved efficacy and safety
  • Experienced management team
  • Strong focus on precision medicine
  • Backed by reputable investors

Weaknesses

  • Early-stage clinical development (Phase 2)
  • Limited product pipeline beyond ESK-001
  • Reliance on successful clinical trial outcomes
  • No current product revenue

Opportunities

  • Successful clinical trials leading to regulatory approval
  • Expansion of pipeline through further research and development
  • Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Expanding the indications of ESK-001

Threats

  • Clinical trial failures
  • Competition from existing and emerging therapies
  • Regulatory hurdles
  • Intellectual property challenges
  • Difficulty in raising further capital

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BMY
  • PFE
  • ABBV
  • LLY

Competitive Landscape

Alumis is competing in a crowded market for autoimmune disease therapies. Their competitive advantage lies in the potential for ESK-001 to be a best-in-class TYK2 inhibitor with improved efficacy and safety. However, they face significant competition from established pharmaceutical companies with approved therapies.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical Growth information is not fully public, thus this section cannot be completely filled.

Future Projections: Future growth hinges on the success of ESK-001 in clinical trials and subsequent regulatory approval. Analyst projections are not available due to the company's stage and private status.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives focus on advancing ESK-001 through Phase 2 clinical trials for psoriasis and SLE, as well as exploring other autoimmune indications.

Summary

Alumis, Inc. is a promising biopharmaceutical company in the clinical stage, focused on developing a next-generation TYK2 inhibitor for autoimmune diseases. Their success hinges on the clinical trial outcomes of ESK-001 and their ability to navigate a competitive landscape. They need to focus on expanding its pipeline and secure partnerships to mitigate risks and achieve long-term growth. It should be noted that, being a private company, infromation is very limited.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Alumis, Inc. Website
  • Company Press Releases
  • ClinicalTrials.gov
  • Market Research Reports (Autoimmune Disease Therapeutics)

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates, which are subject to change. The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alumis Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2024-06-28
President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Martin Babler Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 225
Full time employees 225

Alumis Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for autoimmune disorders. The company's clinical asset comprises ESK-001, an allosteric tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus; and A-005, a central nervous system-penetrant allosteric TYK2 inhibitor for neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative diseases. It also develops interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) to address immune dysfunction. The company was formerly known as Esker Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Alumis Inc. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.