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ALMS
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating

Alumis Inc. Common Stock (ALMS)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$3.6
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

07/14/2025: ALMS (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

6 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $21

1 Year Target Price $21

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$21 Target price
52w Low $2.76
Current$3.6
52w High $13.5

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -53.13%
Avg. Invested days 12
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 1.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 07/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 363.23M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 21
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 21
Volume (30-day avg) 6
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.50
Updated Date 07/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 13.50
Updated Date 07/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -11.24

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -583.86%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -101.07%
Return on Equity (TTM) -247.05%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 186357212
Price to Sales(TTM) 20.89
Enterprise Value 186357212
Price to Sales(TTM) 20.89
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.72
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 96004400
Shares Floating 8664083
Shares Outstanding 96004400
Shares Floating 8664083
Percent Insiders 0.64
Percent Institutions 53.94

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alumis Inc. Common Stock

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alumis, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases. Founded in 2021, Alumis emerged from research on TYK2 (tyrosine kinase 2) inhibition and quickly progressed its lead candidate through clinical trials.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Autoimmune Disease Therapies: Alumis focuses on developing oral TYK2 inhibitors for various autoimmune diseases like psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and potentially others in the future.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team consists of experienced biopharmaceutical executives with expertise in drug development, regulatory affairs, and commercialization. The organizational structure is typical of a clinical-stage biotech company, with focused teams for research, clinical development, and business operations.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • ESK-001: ESK-001 is an oral TYK2 inhibitor in Phase 2 clinical trials for psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis. Alumis plans to explore its efficacy in other autoimmune diseases. Competitors include Bristol Myers Squibb's Sotyktu (deucravacitinib) and other TYK2 inhibitors and traditional treatments like biologics (TNF inhibitors, IL-17 inhibitors) and small molecule immunosuppressants.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The autoimmune disease market is a large and growing market driven by increasing prevalence, improved diagnosis, and the development of new therapies. The market is highly competitive, with established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotech companies vying for market share.

Positioning

Alumis is positioned as a developer of differentiated oral TYK2 inhibitors with the potential for improved efficacy and safety compared to existing treatments. Their advantage lies in developing highly selective TYK2 inhibitors.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for autoimmune disease therapies is estimated to be over $100 billion. Alumis is targeting a significant portion of this market with its oral TYK2 inhibitor, aiming to replace or complement existing injectable biologics and offering a more convenient and potentially safer treatment option.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Novel TYK2 inhibitor with potential for improved efficacy and safety
  • Experienced leadership team
  • Strong intellectual property position
  • Focus on a large and growing market

Weaknesses

  • Clinical-stage company with no marketed products
  • Reliance on a single lead candidate
  • High cash burn rate
  • Subject to regulatory approval risks

Opportunities

  • Expansion of ESK-001 into other autoimmune indications
  • Potential for partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Positive clinical trial results
  • Development of next-generation TYK2 inhibitors

Threats

  • Competition from established pharmaceutical companies and other biotech companies
  • Clinical trial failures
  • Regulatory hurdles
  • Patent challenges
  • Economic downturn affecting healthcare spending

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BMY
  • LLY
  • ABBV
  • PFE

Competitive Landscape

Alumis faces significant competition from established pharmaceutical companies with marketed products and larger research and development budgets. Its advantage lies in developing a potentially best-in-class TYK2 inhibitor with improved efficacy and safety.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: N/A - Limited data available since company foundation in 2021.

Future Projections: Future growth depends on the successful completion of clinical trials and regulatory approval of ESK-001. Analyst estimates are not widely available due to the company's early stage. Projections will depend on market penetration of their products if they receive approval.

Recent Initiatives: Alumis is focused on advancing ESK-001 through clinical trials and expanding its pipeline of TYK2 inhibitors.

Summary

Alumis, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, shows potential with its novel TYK2 inhibitor for autoimmune diseases. The company has experienced leadership and a focused approach but faces the inherent risks of drug development, particularly clinical trial success and regulatory approval. The autoimmune disease market is highly competitive, and Alumis needs to differentiate its product effectively and demonstrate significant clinical benefit over existing treatments. Overall, Alumis is a promising early stage company, but faces significant execution risk. Securing financing for continued development is crucial.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company press releases
  • Clinical trial data
  • Industry reports
  • Analyst reports (limited availability)

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Investing in biotechnology companies is highly speculative and involves significant risks.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alumis Inc. Common Stock

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2024-06-28
President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Martin Babler Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 182
Full time employees 182

Alumis Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for autoimmune disorders. The company's clinical asset comprises ESK-001, an allosteric tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus; and A-005, a central nervous system-penetrant allosteric TYK2 inhibitor for neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative diseases. It also develops interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) to address immune dysfunction. The company was formerly known as Esker Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Alumis Inc. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.