ALMS official logo ALMS
ALMS 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Alumis Inc (ALMS) company logo

Alumis Inc (ALMS)

Alumis Inc (ALMS) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$8.3
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY80.04%
upturn advisory logo
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 35 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock price based on last close icon Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/04/2025: ALMS (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

2 star rating from financial analysts

6 Analysts rated it

Limited analyst coverage, niche firm, research info may be scarce.

1 Year Target Price $19

1 Year Target Price $19

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$19 Target price
52w Low $2.76
Current$8.3
52w High $11.3

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -14.39%
Avg. Invested days 26
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/04/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 866.47M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 19
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 19
Volume (30-day avg) 6
Beta -
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 11.30
Updated Date 12/5/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.76 - 11.30
Updated Date 12/5/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -2.15

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-11-13
When -
Estimate -1
Actual -1.06

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -5372.31%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -61.46%
Return on Equity (TTM) -66.88%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 478517278
Price to Sales(TTM) 39.17
Enterprise Value 478517278
Price to Sales(TTM) 39.17
Enterprise Value to Revenue 19.6
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 97208495
Shares Floating 60318508
Shares Outstanding 97208495
Shares Floating 60318508
Percent Insiders 0.82
Percent Institutions 81.34

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Alumis Inc

Alumis Inc(ALMS) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Alumis, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases. Founded in 2021, it quickly advanced its lead candidate through clinical trials, targeting unmet needs in immunology.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Drug Development: Alumis focuses on researching, developing, and commercializing oral therapies for autoimmune disorders.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The company is led by a management team with experience in drug development and immunology. The organizational structure is typical of a clinical-stage biotech, with departments focused on R&D, clinical trials, and business development.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • ESK-101: ESK-101 is Alumis's lead product, an oral small molecule for treating autoimmune diseases. This drug is designed to be a highly selective and potent TYK2 inhibitor. The direct competitors for this drug are BMS's Deucravacitinib and Takeda's TAK-279. Market share data for ESK-101 is not yet available as it is in clinical development.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The autoimmune disease therapeutics market is large and growing, driven by an increasing prevalence of autoimmune conditions and advances in treatment options. The market is competitive, with many companies developing new therapies.

Positioning

Alumis aims to differentiate itself by developing oral therapies with improved efficacy and safety profiles. Its focus on TYK2 inhibition positions it to compete with other companies developing similar drugs.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for autoimmune disease therapeutics is estimated to be over $100 billion. Alumis is positioned to capture a portion of this market by targeting specific autoimmune indications with its oral therapies.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong scientific team
  • Promising lead candidate (ESK-101)
  • Focus on oral therapies
  • Experienced management team

Weaknesses

  • Limited financial resources
  • Single lead product
  • Dependence on clinical trial success
  • No revenue stream

Opportunities

  • Partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies
  • Expansion into new autoimmune indications
  • Positive clinical trial results
  • Regulatory approvals for ESK-101

Threats

  • Clinical trial failures
  • Competition from established pharmaceutical companies
  • Patent challenges
  • Regulatory hurdles

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • BMY
  • TAK

Competitive Landscape

Alumis faces competition from established pharmaceutical companies with greater resources and established products. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on oral therapies and its differentiated approach to TYK2 inhibition. The market share for Alumis is close to 0, while the 10% market share of BMY and TAK includes their respective TYK2 inhibitors.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Growth has been focused on advancing ESK-101 through clinical trials.

Future Projections: Future growth depends on the successful development and commercialization of ESK-101 and other pipeline candidates. Projections rely heavily on clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals.

Recent Initiatives: Initiated Phase 2 clinical trials for ESK-101.

Summary

Alumis is a promising clinical-stage biotech company focused on developing oral therapies for autoimmune diseases, particularly ESK-101, which is currently in phase 2 trial. The company's success hinges on positive clinical trial outcomes and navigating a competitive landscape. Securing partnerships and additional funding will be critical for long-term growth. A strong team and targeted approach to TYK2 inhibition present opportunities, while clinical trial risks and competition pose significant challenges.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company website
  • ClinicalTrials.gov
  • Industry reports
  • Analyst reports (where available)

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and represents an opinion. It is not financial advice. Market share data is estimated based on available information.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alumis Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters South San Francisco, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2024-06-28
President, CEO & Chairman Mr. Martin Babler Ph.D.
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 221
Full time employees 221

Alumis Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of medicines for autoimmune disorders. The company's clinical asset comprises ESK-001, an allosteric tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and systemic lupus erythematosus; and A-005, a central nervous system-penetrant allosteric TYK2 inhibitor for neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative diseases. It also develops interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) to address immune dysfunction. The company was formerly known as Esker Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Alumis Inc. in January 2022. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.