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Upturn AI SWOT - About
AMTX 
Aemetis Inc (AMTX)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: AMTX (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
5 Analysts rated it
Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.
1 Year Target Price $12.8
1 Year Target Price $12.8
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 17.06% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/30/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 130.12M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 12.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 1.49 | 52 Weeks Range 1.22 - 4.73 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.22 - 4.73 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.8 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -36.92% | Operating Margin (TTM) -36.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -11.99% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 465909991 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.55 |
Enterprise Value 465909991 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.55 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.96 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.77 | Shares Outstanding 55369400 | Shares Floating 50670161 |
Shares Outstanding 55369400 | Shares Floating 50670161 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.42 | Percent Institutions 20.68 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 12.8 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 2 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Aemetis Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Aemetis, Inc. was founded in 2006. It initially focused on biodiesel production and has since expanded into renewable natural gas and sustainable aviation fuel.
Core Business Areas
- Renewable Fuels: Production of renewable fuels, including biodiesel, renewable diesel, and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF).
- Renewable Natural Gas (RNG): Development and operation of dairy digesters and production of pipeline-quality RNG.
- Carbon Capture and Sequestration: Projects focused on capturing and storing carbon dioxide generated during the biofuel production process.
Leadership and Structure
Eric McAfee serves as the Chairman and CEO. The company has a board of directors and various operational divisions focused on production, development, and finance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Biodiesel: Aemetis produces biodiesel from various feedstocks. Market share data is difficult to obtain as the industry is fragmented, but biodiesel contributes significantly to revenue. Competitors include Renewable Energy Group (acquired by Chevron), Neste, and World Energy.
- Renewable Natural Gas (RNG): RNG produced from dairy digesters. The market share for Aemetis in RNG is growing. Competitors include Clean Energy Fuels, Republic Services, and Waste Management.
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Aemetis is developing and planning to produce SAF. The SAF market is nascent but growing rapidly. Competitors will include Neste, World Energy, and Gevo when their facilities are online.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The renewable fuels industry is driven by government mandates, tax incentives, and increasing demand for low-carbon fuels. It's characterized by technological innovation and competition.
Positioning
Aemetis is positioned as a vertically integrated producer of renewable fuels, focusing on advanced biofuels and RNG, leveraging carbon sequestration. They aim for low carbon intensity fuels.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for renewable fuels is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Aemetis aims to capture a significant share by focusing on high-value, low-carbon fuels. The SAF market is especially large and growing.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Vertically integrated business model
- Focus on high-value, low-carbon fuels
- Strong relationships with feedstock suppliers
- Strategic partnerships for distribution
- Innovative technology for carbon sequestration
Weaknesses
- History of net losses
- Dependence on government subsidies and incentives
- Relatively small scale compared to major oil companies
- High debt levels
- Project execution risks
Opportunities
- Growing demand for renewable fuels
- Increasing government support for biofuels
- Expansion into new markets (e.g., sustainable aviation fuel)
- Technological advancements in biofuel production
- Increasing ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investing
Threats
- Fluctuations in feedstock prices
- Changes in government regulations
- Competition from established oil companies
- Technological disruptions
- Economic downturns
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- REGI
- CLNE
- Gevo
Competitive Landscape
Aemetis faces competition from larger, more established players in the renewable fuels industry. Its competitive advantage lies in its focus on low-carbon fuels and vertical integration.
Major Acquisitions
Exclusive Energy, Inc.
- Year: 2011
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 15
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded biodiesel feedstock supply.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Aemetis has experienced variable growth, heavily tied to the success of its ongoing projects.
Future Projections: Analyst projections vary widely, depending on the completion of the planned SAF and RNG projects.
Recent Initiatives: Focus on completing the Riverbank sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) plant and expanding RNG production.
Summary
Aemetis is a growing renewable fuels company with a focus on high-value, low-carbon products. Its strength lies in its vertically integrated business model and focus on SAF. However, the company faces challenges related to project execution, financing, and competition. Success is tied to the completion of key SAF and RNG projects.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Website
- Analyst Reports (estimates)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Market share data is based on limited publicly available information and may not be entirely accurate.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Aemetis Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cupertino, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-05-15 | Co-Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Eric A. McAfee | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Specialty Chemicals | Full time employees 223 | Website https://www.aemetis.com |
Full time employees 223 | Website https://www.aemetis.com | ||
Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. It operates through three segments: California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel. The company engages in the operation, acquisition, development, and commercialization of low and negative carbon intensity products and technologies that replace fossil fuel products. It also produces and sells ethanol; wet distillers grains, distillers corn oil, and condensed distillers solubles to dairies and feedlots as animal feed; and distilled biodiesel and refined glycerin products. In addition, the company produces renewable natural gas; and USP alcohol and hand sanitizer. Aemetis, Inc. is headquartered in Cupertino, California.
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