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Aemetis Inc (AMTX)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/08/2025: AMTX (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $13.38
1 Year Target Price $13.38
| 2 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -3.27% | Avg. Invested days 34 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 99.66M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 13.38 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 13.38 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 2.29 | 52 Weeks Range 1.22 - 3.66 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 1.22 - 3.66 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.55 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-12 | When - | Estimate -0.1969 | Actual -0.3729 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -43.65% | Operating Margin (TTM) -14.37% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -13.26% | Return on Equity (TTM) - |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 447583183 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.49 |
Enterprise Value 447583183 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.49 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.22 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -8.77 | Shares Outstanding 65568542 | Shares Floating 60930879 |
Shares Outstanding 65568542 | Shares Floating 60930879 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.07 | Percent Institutions 15.84 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Aemetis Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Aemetis Inc. was founded in 2004. It is a renewable fuels and biochemicals company focused on producing advanced biofuels and renewable chemicals from waste and agricultural products. The company has grown by developing and operating production facilities for ethanol and biodiesel, and is expanding into areas like renewable natural gas (RNG) and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF).
Core Business Areas
- Ethanol Production: Aemetis operates ethanol production facilities, primarily in the United States, converting corn and other feedstocks into fuel-grade ethanol. This segment has been a foundational part of the company's business.
- Biodiesel Production: The company also produces biodiesel from various feedstocks, including used cooking oil and animal fats, contributing to the renewable diesel market.
- Renewable Natural Gas (RNG): Aemetis is investing heavily in RNG production from dairy farm waste. This segment involves capturing methane from manure and converting it into renewable natural gas for injection into the pipeline system.
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): A significant growth area for Aemetis is the production of SAF, aiming to supply the aviation industry with lower-carbon fuel alternatives derived from waste materials.
- Renewable Chemicals: The company is also exploring and developing production of other renewable chemicals derived from biomass, offering sustainable alternatives to petroleum-based chemicals.
Leadership and Structure
Aemetis Inc. is led by a management team with experience in the energy, agriculture, and industrial sectors. The company operates through various subsidiaries and divisions corresponding to its core business areas.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Ethanol: Fuel-grade ethanol produced from corn and other feedstocks. Competitors include large agricultural cooperatives and integrated energy companies. Market share data for individual companies is highly fragmented and dependent on regional production and sales.
- Biodiesel: Biodiesel produced from waste oils and animal fats. Competitors include other biodiesel producers and large refining companies. Market share is influenced by government mandates and feedstock availability.
- Renewable Natural Gas (RNG): Biomethane captured from agricultural waste. Competitors include other RNG developers and energy companies focusing on biogas. This is a rapidly growing market with increasing demand.
- Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF): Aviation fuel produced from renewable sources. This is an emerging market with a limited number of producers. Key competitors are developing similar technologies and feedstocks.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Aemetis operates in the renewable fuels and biochemicals industry, which is driven by government regulations, environmental concerns, and the increasing demand for sustainable alternatives to fossil fuels. Key trends include the push for decarbonization in transportation and industry, the development of advanced biofuels, and the circular economy.
Positioning
Aemetis is positioning itself as a leader in the production of advanced biofuels and renewable chemicals, with a focus on utilizing waste and agricultural byproducts. Its competitive advantages include its integrated approach to feedstock utilization, its existing infrastructure, and its strategic focus on high-growth segments like RNG and SAF.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for renewable fuels and biochemicals is substantial and growing, driven by global decarbonization efforts. For renewable fuels alone, it's estimated to be hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Aemetis is positioned to capture a portion of this market by developing and scaling its production of ethanol, biodiesel, RNG, and SAF.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Focus on waste-to-value production methods.
- Diversified product portfolio in renewable fuels and chemicals.
- Strategic investments in high-growth areas like RNG and SAF.
- Existing production infrastructure and operational expertise.
- Government incentives and mandates supporting renewable energy.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on fluctuating feedstock prices and availability.
- Capital-intensive nature of production facilities.
- Execution risk associated with new project development and scaling.
- Competition from established fossil fuel industries and other renewable energy sources.
- Potential for regulatory changes impacting incentives.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for SAF from the aviation industry.
- Expanding markets for RNG in transportation and power generation.
- Advancements in biomass conversion technologies.
- Increased corporate sustainability commitments driving demand for renewable products.
- Potential for strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
Threats
- Volatility in commodity prices (feedstocks, energy).
- Changes in government policies and subsidies.
- Intensifying competition from other renewable energy companies.
- Technological disruptions by competitors.
- Environmental and social license to operate challenges.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
- Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC)
- ADM (ADM)
- Green Plains Inc. (GPRE)
- Renewable Energy Group (REGI) - now part of CHS Inc.
Competitive Landscape
Aemetis competes with larger, more established energy and agricultural companies, as well as specialized renewable fuel producers. Its advantages lie in its focus on specific waste streams and advanced technologies, while larger competitors benefit from scale and established market access. Its disadvantage is its smaller size relative to industry giants.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Aemetis has demonstrated growth through the expansion of its production capacity, diversification into new renewable product lines like RNG, and strategic development of its SAF projects. Growth has been characterized by organic development and strategic investments.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by the expansion of its RNG and SAF businesses, leveraging existing infrastructure and new project pipelines. Analyst estimates would need to be consulted for specific forward-looking projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include significant investments in RNG projects, the development of its SAF production facility, and strategic partnerships to secure feedstocks and off-take agreements.
Summary
Aemetis Inc. is a renewable fuels and biochemicals company with a strong focus on waste-to-value production. Its core strengths lie in its diversified product portfolio, particularly its strategic expansion into high-growth areas like RNG and SAF. The company faces challenges related to feedstock price volatility and the capital-intensive nature of its operations. However, increasing demand for sustainable alternatives and supportive government policies present significant opportunities. Continued execution on its growth initiatives and efficient management of its operations will be crucial for its success.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Aemetis Inc. Investor Relations
- Industry reports on renewable fuels and biochemicals
- Financial news and analysis websites
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and financial performance are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Aemetis Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cupertino, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2014-05-15 | Co-Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO Mr. Eric A. McAfee | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Specialty Chemicals | Full time employees 223 | Website https://www.aemetis.com |
Full time employees 223 | Website https://www.aemetis.com | ||
Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. It operates through three segments: California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel. The company engages in the operation, acquisition, development, and commercialization of low and negative carbon intensity products and technologies that replace fossil fuel products. It also produces and sells ethanol; wet distillers grains, distillers corn oil, and condensed distillers solubles to dairies and feedlots as animal feed; and distilled biodiesel and refined glycerin products. In addition, the company produces renewable natural gas; and USP alcohol and hand sanitizer. Aemetis, Inc. is headquartered in Cupertino, California.

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