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Upturn AI SWOT - About
ARI 
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: ARI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
6 Analysts rated it
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, frequently surpass the market, reflecting reliable and trustworthy advice.
Year Target Price $9.8
Year Target Price $9.8
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Under performing |
| 1 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -10.19% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/27/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.36B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 10 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.54 | 52 Weeks Range 7.70 - 10.32 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 7.70 - 10.32 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 10.19% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.05 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 3.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 37.81% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.12% | Return on Equity (TTM) 0.56% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 15.53 | Enterprise Value 7995482112 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.92 |
Enterprise Value 7995482112 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.92 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 45.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 138944000 | Shares Floating 129854126 |
Shares Outstanding 138944000 | Shares Floating 129854126 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.68 | Percent Institutions 67.76 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3.33 | Target Price 9.8 | Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy 1 | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 3 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) was founded in 2009. It is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on originating, investing in, and managing commercial real estate first mortgage loans and subordinate financings.
Core Business Areas
- Commercial Real Estate Lending: Originates, acquires, and manages commercial real estate debt, including first mortgage loans, mezzanine loans, and other subordinate financings.
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by Stuart Rothstein, Chief Executive Officer. It operates as a subsidiary of Apollo Global Management, Inc.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- First Mortgage Loans: ARI's primary offering is first mortgage loans on commercial properties. Market share data varies but estimates can be found in publicly available filings and real estate reports. Competitors include Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), Starwood Property Trust (STWD) and Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE).
- Subordinate Financings: Provides mezzanine loans and other subordinate debt financing. Market share data varies but estimates can be found in publicly available filings and real estate reports. Competitors include Blackstone Mortgage Trust (BXMT), Starwood Property Trust (STWD) and Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation (ACRE).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The commercial real estate lending market is influenced by interest rates, economic growth, and property valuations. Increasing interest rates and economic uncertainty impact the sector.
Positioning
ARI is a commercial mortgage REIT managed by Apollo Global Management. This affiliation gives it access to deal flow and capital. However, it's more vulnerable to rising interest rates with a large portfolio of floating rate mortgages.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The commercial real estate debt market is estimated in the trillions of dollars. ARI is a small player relative to the TAM, holding a small but still significant slice. Rising interest rates are shrinking this TAM.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced management team
- Access to Apollo Global Management's platform
- Diversified loan portfolio
- Established market presence
Weaknesses
- Sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations
- Reliance on external management
- Volatility of earnings
- Concentrated investment in specific sectors
Opportunities
- Growing demand for commercial real estate financing
- Expansion into new markets
- Strategic acquisitions
- Increased fee income
Threats
- Economic downturn
- Rising interest rates
- Increased competition
- Regulatory changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BXMT
- STWD
- ACRE
Competitive Landscape
ARI's affiliation with Apollo provides an advantage in sourcing deals. However, it competes with larger REITs like BXMT and STWD. Its size is a disadvantage.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is linked to commercial real estate market conditions. Check SEC filings to view historical growth data.
Future Projections: Analyst projections vary based on economic outlook. Look at recent analyst reports and earnings calls for future projections.
Recent Initiatives: ARI is focused on managing its existing portfolio and selectively originating new loans. Review company releases for specific initiatives.
Summary
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) operates in a volatile market sensitive to interest rate changes. Its relationship with Apollo Global Management is a competitive advantage, but rising interest rates, floating rate mortgages, and the potential for economic downturn present significant risks. Close monitoring of sector trends and ARI's strategic responses are essential for investors.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings
- Company Investor Relations
- Market Analysis Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual due diligence and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market Share information is estimates and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters New York, NY, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2009-09-24 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Stuart A. Rothstein CPA | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Mortgage | Full time employees - | Website https://www.apollocref.com |
Full time employees - | Website https://www.apollocref.com | ||
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. It is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.
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