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Arqit Quantum Inc.(ARQQ)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ARQQ
11/10/2026: ARQQ (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Arqit Quantum Inc. is a speculative, high-growth cybersecurity company focused on delivering software-based, quantum-safe encryption. Its primary strength lies in a platform-agnostic approach that aims to secure data against future threats without requiring complex hardware. The core investment story centers on the urgent need for global enterprises and governments to upgrade security standards, representing a significant long-term market opportunity. However, investors face substantial risks related to intense competition from major cybersecurity incumbents, unproven market scale, and historical financial losses. The stock is most suitable for high-risk, growth-oriented investors who can tolerate significant volatility, while monitoring key indicators like revenue growth and major enterprise contract wins.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers high-risk, high-reward exposure to the quantum encryption sector. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum fit is conditional on a clear uptrend and positive momentum in commercial adoption, which has been historically inconsistent. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company does not demonstrate positive earnings or cash flow, making it unsuitable for traditional value metrics. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Arqit pays no dividends and is focused on capital preservation for growth. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company faces high volatility and significant execution risks, making it inappropriate for low-risk strategies. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is subject to sharp price fluctuations typical of small-cap, pre-profitable technology firms. |
| Valuation risk | High | Valuation is speculative as it relies on future, unproven mass-market adoption of proprietary encryption technology. |
| Competition risk (cybersecurity) | High | Established incumbents have greater resources and existing customer relationships to challenge Arqit's product adoption. |
| Business quality | Medium | The underlying software model is scalable, but its commercial validation remains in early stages. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No dividend income is available for investors. |
| Execution risk | High | The company must successfully convert technical development into sustained, large-scale commercial contracts. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -47.74% | Avg. Invested days 16 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/10/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 293.40M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 60 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 60 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 299.4K shares | Beta 3.01 | 52 Weeks Range 11.52 - 32.72 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 11.52 - 32.72 | Updated Date 11/10/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.21 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Quantum-Safe Software Licensing | Subscriptions and licensing fees for the QuantumCloud and related encryption software products. | The company generates revenue by selling software that protects organizations against advanced cyber threats. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 18.73 | Enterprise Value 252.01M | Price to Sales(TTM) 270.17 |
Enterprise Value 252.01M | Price to Sales(TTM) 270.17 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 232.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 1.82 | Shares Outstanding 17.40M | Shares Floating 5.85M |
Shares Outstanding 17.40M | Shares Floating 5.85M | ||
Percent Insiders 3.15 | Percent Institutions 82.31 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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