Microsoft Corporation logo

Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)

upturn advisory logo
EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
STRONG BUY
BUY for 60 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+13.08% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$524.51
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MSFT

10/23/2026: MSFT (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 60 days. Simulated Profits (13.08%). Updated daily EoD!

Microsoft Corporation is a diversified technology company with a leading position in enterprise software, cloud computing, and personal computing. The company generates robust cash flow through its subscription-based business model, particularly with Azure and Microsoft 365, which serve as core pillars for global businesses. The primary investment story centers on the integration of generative AI across its software stack, offering potential for significant future growth. Investors should monitor risks related to intense competition in the cloud and AI sectors, as well as evolving regulatory scrutiny. Microsoft represents a fit for growth and dividend-oriented investors seeking exposure to the infrastructure of the digital economy while maintaining a solid risk profile.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitMicrosoft offers steady long-term growth driven by cloud infrastructure and AI integration.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock frequently benefits from sustained uptrends fueled by innovation in AI and enterprise demand.
Value investorMixed fitWhile high-quality, the stock often commands a premium valuation that may limit traditional value appeal.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company has a reliable history of dividend growth and sufficient cash flow to sustain payouts.
Low-risk investorStrong fitMicrosoft is considered a core portfolio holding due to its stable business model and balance sheet strength.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumTechnology stocks are subject to broader market sentiment and macroeconomic fluctuations.
Valuation riskMedium / highHigh market expectations for AI-driven growth can lead to sensitivity in the stock price.
Competition risk (Cloud & AI)HighThe race for cloud dominance and AI leadership against massive peers is constant and resource-intensive.
Business qualityStrongThe company maintains a high-quality franchise with entrenched enterprise presence.
Dividend incomeLowWhile safe, the dividend yield is relatively low compared to high-yield income investments.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on the effective integration of AI into complex enterprise workflows.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 25.08%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MSFT receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MSFT has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid earnings growth (+31.3%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 20.2%) are partially offset by very low insider ownership of 0.08%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MSFT's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $67.0B (20.2% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is MSFT's strongest growth driver at +31.3% FY2026 versus FY2025 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+17.8%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-6.5%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 75.8% and approximately 99.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.08%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 8.18%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.53%
State Street Corp 4.25%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.55%
FMR Inc 2.50%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MSFT generates approximately $679 of gross profit, $468 of operating income, and $202 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.40%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MSFT has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.89T USD
Price to earnings Ratio 29.22
1Y Target Price 601.73
Price to earnings Ratio 29.22
1Y Target Price 601.73
Volume (30-day avg) 21.4M shares
Beta 1.1
52 Weeks Range 348.54 - 551.15
Updated Date 10/24/2026
52 Weeks Range 348.54 - 551.15
Updated Date 10/24/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.70%
Basic EPS (TTM) 17.95

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Intelligent CloudAzure cloud services, server products, and enterprise support.This is the primary growth engine and a core pillar of modern digital infrastructure.
Productivity and Business ProcessesOffice 365, LinkedIn, Dynamics 365.This segment provides highly recurring and predictable revenue from core workplace tools.
More Personal ComputingWindows OS, Xbox gaming, and search advertising.This area captures value from consumer engagement across devices and digital services.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Advertisement

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-28
When After Market
Estimate 4.71
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 40.31%
Operating Margin (TTM) 45.11%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 14.09%
Return on Equity (TTM) 34.04%

Valuation

Trailing PE 29.22
Forward PE 25.13
Enterprise Value 3.70T
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.74
Enterprise Value 3.70T
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.08
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.72
Shares Outstanding 7.43B
Shares Floating 7.41B
Shares Outstanding 7.43B
Shares Floating 7.41B
Percent Insiders 0.08
Percent Institutions 75.78

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.