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Microsoft Corporation(MSFT)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
3-STAR RATING
STRONG BUY
BUY for 40 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+11.28% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$516.17
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MSFT

09/25/2026: MSFT (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 40 days. Simulated Profits (11.28%). Updated daily EoD!

Microsoft Corporation is a prominent global technology company that provides software, cloud services, and hardware. Its primary strength lies in the successful integration of its pervasive productivity suite with its market-leading cloud infrastructure, Azure. The company's current investment story revolves around its leadership in Generative AI, positioning it to monetize these technologies across its vast enterprise user base. Investors should be aware of risks including intense competition in cloud services, potential antitrust regulatory actions, and the execution required to maintain high growth. It may suit investors seeking a balance of stable long-term growth and reliable dividend income, while monitoring ongoing AI integration and regulatory developments.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitMicrosoft consistently exhibits strong growth in its cloud and AI segments.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often benefits from positive sentiment regarding AI adoption and cloud leadership.
Value investorMixed fitThe valuation frequently reflects high growth expectations, making it less of a classic value play.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company offers a reliable, growing dividend supported by massive cash flow.
Low-risk investorStrong fitMicrosoft is often viewed as a stable, blue-chip technology anchor for diversified portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumTechnology stocks are subject to broader market sentiment and sector-specific swings.
Valuation riskMedium / highHigh P/E ratios require consistent growth to justify current price levels.
Competition risk (AI competition)HighRapid advancements by competitors like Google and specialized AI firms threaten market share.
Business qualityStrongThe company has an established and deeply entrenched ecosystem of enterprise products.
Dividend incomeLowWhile consistent, the dividend yield is relatively low compared to high-income assets.
Execution riskMediumSuccessfully integrating AI across all platforms requires flawless operational execution.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 22.17%
Avg. Invested days 49
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
MSFT receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
MSFT has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid earnings growth (+31.3%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 20.2%) are partially offset by very low insider ownership of 0.09%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
MSFT's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $67.0B (20.2% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is MSFT's strongest growth driver at +31.3% FY2026 versus FY2025 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+17.8%, solid) is also solid, while free-cash-flow growth (-6.5%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 75.8% and approximately 99.9% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.09%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 7.99%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.50%
State Street Corp 4.13%
FMR Inc 2.56%
Geode Capital Management, LLC 2.54%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
MSFT generates approximately $679 of gross profit, $468 of operating income, and $202 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 19.40%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
MSFT has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Quality TiltLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.83T USD
Price to earnings Ratio 28.72
1Y Target Price 577.26
Price to earnings Ratio 28.72
1Y Target Price 577.26
Volume (30-day avg) 21.8M shares
Beta 1.11
52 Weeks Range 348.54 - 549.20
Updated Date 09/26/2026
52 Weeks Range 348.54 - 549.20
Updated Date 09/26/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.73%
Basic EPS (TTM) 17.97

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Intelligent CloudAzure, server products, and enterprise services.The primary growth engine, focused on providing digital infrastructure to businesses.
Productivity & Business ProcessesMicrosoft 365, LinkedIn, and Dynamics.Recurring subscription revenue from the standard office and professional tools used globally.
More Personal ComputingWindows OS, Xbox, Surface hardware.A mix of consumer and enterprise hardware/software sales with varying cycles.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 28.72
Forward PE 25.13
Enterprise Value 3.70T
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.55
Enterprise Value 3.70T
Price to Sales(TTM) 11.55
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.08
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 17.72
Shares Outstanding 7.43B
Shares Floating 7.41B
Shares Outstanding 7.43B
Shares Floating 7.41B
Percent Insiders 0.09
Percent Institutions 75.8

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

News (Last Updated: 09/27/2026)

About Microsoft Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Redmond, WA, United States
IPO Launch date 1986-03-13
Chairman & CEO Mr. Satya Nadella
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Full time employees 223000
Full time employees 223000

Microsoft Corporation, a technology company, develops and supports a portfolio of technology solutions for individuals and businesses worldwide. Its products include operating systems, server applications, business solution applications, software development tools, desktop and server management tools, and video games; and devices, such as PCs, tablets, gaming and entertainment consoles, other intelligent devices, and related accessories. The company's Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Microsoft 365 Commercial, Enterprise Mobility + Security, Power BI, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Microsoft 365 Security and Compliance, Microsoft 365 Copilot, and Windows Commercial on-premises and Office licensed on-premises. This segment also provides Microsoft 365 Consumer products and cloud services; LinkedIn, including talent solutions, marketing solutions, subscriptions, and sales solutions; Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based applications; and on-premises ERP and CRM applications. Its Intelligent Cloud segment offers server products and cloud services; cloud and AI consumption-based services, GitHub cloud services, health and life sciences cloud services, as well as virtual desktop offerings, and other cloud services; SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related client access licenses; and enterprise support services, industry solutions, Microsoft partner network, and learning experience. The company's More Personal Computing segment provides Windows OEM licensing and devices comprising Surface and PC accessories; XBOX hardware, and XBOX first- and third-party content and services; XBOX Game Pass and other subscriptions; XBOX Cloud Gaming, advertising, and other cloud services; and search advertising consisting of Bing, Copilot, Microsoft News, Microsoft Edge, and third-party affiliates. It sells its products through partners and retail networks. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, Washington.