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Upturn AI Summary - About
Ardmore Shpng(ASC)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for ASC
10/19/2026: ASC (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 55 days. Simulated Profits (11.04%). Updated daily EoD!
Ardmore Shipping is a specialized tanker company focused on the transportation of refined petroleum and chemical products. It differentiates itself through a modern, fuel-efficient fleet that offers operational flexibility in changing markets. The company's primary investment story centers on its ability to capture value during cyclical freight rate upturns. Key risks include the inherent volatility of global shipping markets and the capital intensity of fleet maintenance. Ardmore may suit investors who understand maritime cycles and seek exposure to global energy trade dynamics, though it requires monitoring of demand trends and balance sheet management due to its dividend policy and sector-specific risks.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is highly dependent on unpredictable cyclical shipping market conditions. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Momentum investors may find opportunity during periods of rising tanker freight rates. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The company can trade at discounts to net asset value, but requires deep understanding of cyclical bottoms. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividends are often variable and tied to volatile tanker market earnings rather than steady payouts. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The volatility of the shipping industry and cyclical earnings make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Shipping stock prices fluctuate wildly based on spot freight rate cycles. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Assets are hard to value due to varying market cycles and scrap values. |
| Competition risk (shipping market) | Medium / high | Intense competition from larger fleets can suppress margins during downturns. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business depends on external trade demand and fuel consumption trends. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Income is not guaranteed and fluctuates with net profits. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Effective timing of fleet renewal and maintenance is critical to long-term profitability. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 67.99% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/19/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 773.33M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 7.37 | 1Y Target Price 22.5 |
Price to earnings Ratio 7.37 | 1Y Target Price 22.5 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 660.7K shares | Beta 0.09 | 52 Weeks Range 9.56 - 20.60 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 9.56 - 20.60 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 7.24% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.57 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Product Tanker Shipping | Time charters and spot market voyages for refined petroleum. | Revenue is earned by transporting fuel around the world; higher demand for fuel shipping means higher profits. |
| Chemical Shipping | Transportation of various chemical products. | Provides additional revenue streams using the same versatile vessel fleet. |
Valuation
Trailing PE 7.37 | Forward PE 3.39 | Enterprise Value 706.24M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.1 |
Enterprise Value 706.24M | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.1 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.92 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.6 | Shares Outstanding 40.85M | Shares Floating 34.52M |
Shares Outstanding 40.85M | Shares Floating 34.52M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.83 | Percent Institutions 85.73 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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