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Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/07/2025: AUR (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -19.09% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 12.37B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.85 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 5.85 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 13862974 | Beta 2.83 | 52 Weeks Range 2.10 - 9.83 | Updated Date 02/9/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.10 - 9.83 | Updated Date 02/9/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.47 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) - |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -21.24% | Return on Equity (TTM) -35.98% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 11248659171 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1900.35 |
Enterprise Value 11248659171 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1900.35 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1832.99 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.95 | Shares Outstanding 1351559936 | Shares Floating 961905514 |
Shares Outstanding 1351559936 | Shares Floating 961905514 | ||
Percent Insiders 25.13 | Percent Institutions 68.98 |
AI Summary
Aurora Innovation Inc.: A Comprehensive Analysis
Company Profile:
Detailed history and background:
Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) was founded in 2017 through a merger of three autonomous vehicle technology companies: Aurora, Uber Advanced Technologies Group, and Otto. The company aims to develop and commercialize autonomous driving systems for trucks, passenger vehicles, and other applications.
Core business areas:
- Aurora Driver: A self-driving software system designed for Level 4 autonomy (high automation) that can operate in various environments, including highways and urban streets.
- Aurora Connect: A cloud-based data platform that collects and analyzes data from Aurora Driver and other sources to improve its performance and capabilities.
- Aurora Horizon: A transportation-as-a-service platform that leverages the Aurora Driver for commercial trucking, ride-hailing, and other applications.
Leadership and Corporate Structure:
Chris Urmson (Co-founder & CEO), Sterling Anderson (Co-founder & CTO), and Drew Bagnell (President) lead the company. Aurora operates under a Board of Directors and has a decentralized management structure with teams focused on specific areas like engineering, product development, and operations.
Top Products and Market Share:
Top Products:
- Aurora Driver: The core technology platform integrating perception, prediction, planning, and control modules for autonomous operation.
- Aurora Connect: The data platform for real-time and historical data collection, aggregation, and analysis.
- Aurora Horizon: The platform for deploying autonomous vehicles in commercial transportation and mobility services.
Market Share:
While Aurora does not disclose its market share, the autonomous driving market is currently fragmented with various players, including Waymo, Cruise, Argo AI, and Baidu. Aurora focuses on partnerships with established players like Volvo, Uber, and Paccar for integration of its technology in their vehicles and services.
Total Addressable Market:
The global autonomous vehicle market is estimated to reach $2.1 trillion by 2035, with significant opportunities in trucking, passenger transportation, and last-mile deliveries. Aurora targets various segments within this market with its software and services.
Financial Performance:
Recent financials:
- Revenue: As of September 30, 2023, Aurora has no significant revenue yet, as it is still in the development and partnership phase.
- Net income: Aurora is not yet profitable and reports net losses due to ongoing research and development investments.
- Profit margins: Negative due to the pre-revenue stage.
- Earnings per share (EPS): Negative due to the lack of net income.
Financial health:
Supported by partnerships and investments from companies like Uber, Volvo, Amazon, and Paccar, Aurora has a strong financial position with over $3 billion in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2023.
Dividends and Shareholder Returns:
Dividend History:
Aurora does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on investing in growth and development.
Shareholder Returns:
Since its IPO in December 2021, AUR stock has experienced significant volatility.
Growth Trajectory:
Historical growth:
As a young company, Aurora's historical growth is primarily measured by development milestones, partnerships, and funding received.
Future projections:
Aurora's future growth depends on successful commercialization of its technology and widespread adoption by partners and customers.
Market Dynamics:
Industry trends:
The autonomous driving industry is witnessing rapid advancements in technology, increasing investments, and regulatory progress.
Market positioning:
Aurora competes with established players and startups in the autonomous driving market, leveraging its partnerships and focus on specific segments like trucking and ride-hailing.
Competitors:
Key competitors:
- Waymo
- Cruise
- Argo AI
- Baidu
- Tesla
- Uber
- Didi Chuxing
Market share and comparison:
While accurate market share data for individual players is limited, Waymo and Cruise are considered leaders in terms of development and testing. Aurora differentiates itself with a focus on commercial partnerships and specific market segments.
Potential Challenges and Opportunities:
Challenges:
- Intense competition
- Technological hurdles
- Regulatory uncertainties
- Public acceptance
Opportunities:
- Growing market demand
- Technological advancements
- Strategic partnerships
Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):
- 2022: Aurora acquired Blackmore, a company specializing in sensor technology, for $250 million. This acquisition strengthened Aurora's perception capabilities for its autonomous driving system.
- 2023: Aurora acquired Voyage, a trucking-focused autonomous technology company, for approximately $500 million. This acquisition expands Aurora's presence in the trucking market and adds experienced talent to its team.
AI-Based Fundamental Rating:
Rating: 7/10
Justification:
Aurora has a strong financial position, partnerships with major industry players, and a promising technology platform. However, it faces intense competition and challenges in commercialization and regulatory approvals. The 7/10 rating reflects this potential despite the risks.
Sources and Disclaimers:
- Information sourced from Aurora Innovation Inc.'s official website, SEC filings, and reputable financial news sources.
- This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Conclusion:
Aurora Innovation Inc. is a leading player in the autonomous vehicle industry with promising technology and strategic partnerships. However, the company faces significant challenges in a competitive market and needs to navigate the complex path to commercialization. Investors should consider both the potential and risks involved before making investment decisions.
About Aurora Innovation Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-05-10 | Co-Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Chairman Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D. | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Information Technology Services | Full time employees 1800 | Website https://aurora.tech |
Full time employees 1800 | Website https://aurora.tech |
Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate vehicles. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
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