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Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/18/2025: AUR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $9.79
1 Year Target Price $9.79
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -18.81% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.88B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.79 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.79 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 2.47 | 52 Weeks Range 3.60 - 10.77 | Updated Date 12/18/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.60 - 10.77 | Updated Date 12/18/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.45 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -22200% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -22.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) -37.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 6833728477 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3938.48 |
Enterprise Value 6833728477 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3938.48 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3416.86 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.95 | Shares Outstanding 1596585483 | Shares Floating 1203452389 |
Shares Outstanding 1596585483 | Shares Floating 1203452389 | ||
Percent Insiders 24.59 | Percent Institutions 72.74 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Aurora Innovation Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Aurora Innovation Inc. was founded in 2017 by former heads of Google's self-driving car project, Chris Urmson, Sterling Anderson, and Drew Bagnell. The company's mission is to develop the Aurora Driver, a self-driving system capable of operating safely and reliably in various conditions. Key milestones include the acquisition of Uber's ATG (Advanced Technologies Group) in 2020, significant partnerships with major automotive and logistics companies, and the successful completion of pilot programs for autonomous trucking and ride-hailing services. Aurora's evolution has focused on building a comprehensive autonomous driving platform and integrating it across different vehicle types and use cases.
Core Business Areas
- Aurora Driver Platform: Development and deployment of a universal self-driving system, the Aurora Driver, designed for trucks and passenger vehicles. This includes hardware, software, and data services required for autonomous operation.
- Autonomous Trucking: Focus on commercializing autonomous trucking solutions, including partnerships with logistics providers and truck manufacturers to integrate the Aurora Driver into freight operations.
- Ride-Hailing Services: Development of autonomous ride-hailing services, partnering with mobility providers to offer driverless transportation solutions.
Leadership and Structure
Aurora is led by its co-founders: Chris Urmson (CEO), Sterling Anderson (Chief Product Officer), and Drew Bagnell (Chief Technology Officer). The company has a hierarchical management structure with key executives overseeing engineering, product development, operations, and business development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Competitors: Waymo (Alphabet Inc.),Cruise (General Motors),Argo AI (Ford, Volkswagen - now defunct as an independent entity),TuSimple,Kodiak Robotics
- Description: A proprietary self-driving system that integrates hardware, software, and data services to enable autonomous operation of vehicles. It is designed to be adaptable to various vehicle types and use cases.
- Market Share Data: As of current public data, precise market share for autonomous driving systems is nascent and highly fragmented. Aurora is a key player in the development phase, aiming for significant future market penetration.
- Product Name: Aurora Driver
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The autonomous vehicle (AV) industry is characterized by rapid innovation, significant investment, and complex regulatory landscapes. It encompasses various segments, including passenger vehicles, ride-hailing, and commercial trucking. The industry is driven by the potential for increased safety, efficiency, and new mobility services. However, it faces challenges related to technological maturity, public acceptance, safety validation, and ethical considerations.
Positioning
Aurora is positioning itself as a leading developer of a universal autonomous driving platform, targeting both trucking and ride-hailing markets. Its strategy emphasizes broad partnerships with established automotive and logistics companies, aiming to accelerate deployment and scale. The acquisition of Uber ATG provided significant talent, technology, and strategic relationships. Aurora's competitive advantages lie in its experienced leadership team, its integrated hardware and software approach, and its focus on a 'driverless' end-to-end solution.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for autonomous driving technology is projected to be in the trillions of dollars, encompassing freight transportation, passenger mobility, and related services. Aurora is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM by focusing on scalable deployment across multiple vehicle classes and geographies.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced leadership team with deep expertise in autonomous driving technology.
- Comprehensive Aurora Driver platform designed for broad applicability.
- Strategic partnerships with major players in automotive and logistics industries.
- Acquisition of Uber ATG significantly enhanced capabilities and talent pool.
- Focus on a 'driverless' solution, aiming for full autonomy.
Weaknesses
- High capital expenditure requirements for R&D and deployment.
- Long development cycles and technological hurdles to achieve full Level 4/5 autonomy.
- Regulatory uncertainty and varying deployment timelines across different regions.
- Dependence on strategic partners for vehicle integration and deployment.
- Competition from well-funded and established players.
Opportunities
- Growing demand for efficient and safer logistics and transportation solutions.
- Expansion of ride-hailing services and new mobility models.
- Advancements in AI, sensor technology, and computing power.
- Potential for new revenue streams through data and software licensing.
- Government initiatives and investments supporting AV technology.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from established tech giants and startups.
- Slower than expected public or regulatory acceptance of autonomous vehicles.
- Significant safety incidents that could lead to public backlash and stricter regulations.
- Cybersecurity risks and potential for system breaches.
- Economic downturns impacting investment and deployment timelines.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Waymo (GOOGL)
- Cruise (GM)
- Argo AI (Defunct as independent entity, assets integrated into Ford and VW)
- TuSimple (TSP)
- Kodiak Robotics (Private)
Competitive Landscape
Aurora faces intense competition from well-funded tech giants like Waymo and established automakers like GM, who have significant resources and existing vehicle manufacturing capabilities. While Aurora has a strong focus on a universal platform and key partnerships, competitors like Waymo have a head start in commercial deployment for ride-hailing. The trucking segment is becoming increasingly competitive with players like TuSimple and Kodiak Robotics also vying for market share. Aurora's advantage lies in its integrated approach and its strategy to partner across different segments of the transportation industry.
Major Acquisitions
Uber's Advanced Technologies Group (ATG)
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 4000
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Uber ATG provided Aurora with a significant talent pool, valuable autonomous driving technology, including mapping and simulation capabilities, and a strategic relationship with Uber, a major player in ride-hailing and logistics.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Aurora's growth has been marked by rapid technological development, strategic acquisitions (notably Uber ATG), and the formation of key industry partnerships. The company has steadily expanded its team, intellectual property portfolio, and testing capabilities.
Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by the successful commercialization of the Aurora Driver in trucking and ride-hailing segments. Analyst estimates would focus on the timeline to achieve significant revenue generation and eventual profitability, contingent on widespread adoption and regulatory approvals.
Recent Initiatives: Ongoing expansion of pilot programs for autonomous trucking with logistics partners.,Advancements in the Aurora Driver's capabilities, including enhanced perception and prediction systems.,Strategic collaborations to accelerate the integration of the Aurora Driver into commercial fleets.,Focus on regulatory engagement and public safety validation to facilitate deployment.
Summary
Aurora Innovation Inc. is a prominent player in the burgeoning autonomous driving technology sector, focusing on a universal self-driving platform for trucks and passenger vehicles. Its strengths lie in its experienced leadership, strategic partnerships, and the acquisition of Uber ATG, positioning it well to address the large total addressable market in transportation. However, the company faces significant challenges including high capital requirements, regulatory uncertainties, and intense competition from well-established tech giants and automakers. Continued progress in technological development, successful commercialization, and navigating the complex regulatory landscape will be crucial for Aurora's future success.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Aurora Innovation Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (Form 10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry reports from reputable market research firms
- Financial news outlets
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information as of the date of generation and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Aurora Innovation Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-05-10 | Co-Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Chairman Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D. | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Information Technology Services | Full time employees 1800 | Website https://aurora.tech |
Full time employees 1800 | Website https://aurora.tech | ||
Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate various vehicle types and applications. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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