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Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/03/2025: AUR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $9.79
1 Year Target Price $9.79
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 5 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -18.81% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 8.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.79 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 9.79 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10 | Beta 2.45 | 52 Weeks Range 3.60 - 10.77 | Updated Date 12/4/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 3.60 - 10.77 | Updated Date 12/4/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.45 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -22200% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -22.57% | Return on Equity (TTM) -37.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 6582130249 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4364.26 |
Enterprise Value 6582130249 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4364.26 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3291.07 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.95 | Shares Outstanding 1596585483 | Shares Floating 1203452389 |
Shares Outstanding 1596585483 | Shares Floating 1203452389 | ||
Percent Insiders 24.59 | Percent Institutions 72.86 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Aurora Innovation Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Aurora Innovation Inc. was founded in 2017 by Chris Urmson, Drew Bagnell, and Sterling Anderson. It focuses on developing self-driving technology for trucks and passenger vehicles. Aurora acquired Blackmore in 2019 and Uber's Advanced Technologies Group (ATG) in 2020, significantly expanding its talent and technology base. Publicly listed via SPAC in 2021.
Core Business Areas
- Aurora Driver: The core autonomous driving system designed for integration into trucks and passenger vehicles. It includes software, hardware, and data services.
- Aurora Horizon: A subscription service that offers trucking companies access to the Aurora Driver, vehicle integration, route planning, and 24/7 support.
- Aurora Connect: Focuses on integrating autonomous vehicles into ride-hailing networks. Currently less emphasized than trucking
Leadership and Structure
Chris Urmson is the CEO. The company has a structured engineering, product, and operations teams, reporting to the CEO. The board of directors includes representatives from various investment firms and industry experts.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Aurora Driver: Autonomous driving system for trucks and passenger vehicles. Market share data is not readily available as it's in development/testing. Competitors: Waymo, TuSimple (delisted), Embark (delisted, acquired by Applied Intuition), Kodiak Robotics. No specific revenue allocated to this product as it's the core of the entire business.
- Aurora Horizon: Subscription service providing autonomous trucking solutions. Market share is emerging and difficult to quantify. Competitors: Waymo Via, Torc Robotics. No specific revenue numbers are available, it is the entire revenue of the company.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The autonomous vehicle industry is rapidly evolving, with significant investments in technology and testing. The trucking segment is particularly promising due to potential cost savings and efficiency gains.
Positioning
Aurora is positioned as a leading provider of autonomous driving technology, focusing on both trucking and passenger vehicle applications. Their competitive advantages include their experienced team, comprehensive technology stack, and partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and fleet operators.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The estimated TAM for autonomous trucking and ride-hailing is in the trillions of dollars. Aurora is targeting a significant portion of this market through its Aurora Driver platform.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Experienced leadership team
- Advanced autonomous driving technology
- Strategic partnerships with major automotive manufacturers (Paccar, Volvo)
- Acquisition of Uber ATG
- Focus on the trucking market
Weaknesses
- High cash burn rate
- Technology is still in development and not yet commercially deployed at scale
- Reliance on regulatory approvals
- Limited revenue stream
- Stock volatility
Opportunities
- Growing demand for autonomous trucking solutions
- Potential for partnerships with logistics companies
- Expanding into new geographic markets
- Advancements in sensor technology and AI
- Government incentives for autonomous vehicle development
Threats
- Intense competition from other autonomous driving companies
- Regulatory hurdles and uncertainty
- Public perception and safety concerns
- Economic downturns impacting trucking demand
- Technological setbacks or delays
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Waymo (GOOGL)
- Kodiak Robotics
- Torc Robotics (Daimler Truck)
Competitive Landscape
Aurora faces intense competition from Waymo and other players. Its advantages include its experienced team and strategic partnerships. Disadvantages include a high cash burn rate and the need for regulatory approvals.
Major Acquisitions
Uber ATG
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): Undisclosed. Uber took a stake in Aurora and invested $400M
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Uber ATG provided Aurora with a significant boost in talent, technology, and testing data, accelerating its development timeline.
Blackmore Sensors and Analytics
- Year: 2019
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): Undisclosed
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Blackmore provided access to industry-leading lidar technology, a key component of autonomous driving systems.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Since going public, Aurora has focused on technology development and testing, with limited revenue generation so far. Historical growth is primarily reflected in technological advancements and partnerships.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on successful commercial deployment of Aurora Driver and Horizon. Analyst estimates vary, but generally anticipate significant revenue growth in the coming years as autonomous trucking adoption increases.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include partnerships with Paccar and Volvo for autonomous truck development, expansion of testing programs, and advancements in Aurora Driver technology.
Summary
Aurora Innovation is a key player in the autonomous driving space, particularly in trucking. Their partnership with Paccar and Volvo are positive, and they have a strong technology foundation. However, the company faces significant challenges related to commercialization, regulatory hurdles, and competition, and faces a high cash burn rate that must be addressed. Financial stability is a key factor for Aurora's future, needing to be watched carefully.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Aurora Innovation Inc. Investor Relations
- Company filings (SEC)
- Financial news sources (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry reports and analyst research
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after conducting thorough research and consulting with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data is estimated and may not be precise.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Aurora Innovation Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-05-10 | Co-Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Chairman Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D. | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Information Technology Services | Full time employees 1800 | Website https://aurora.tech |
Full time employees 1800 | Website https://aurora.tech | ||
Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate various vehicle types and applications. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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