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AUR
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Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$7.2
Delayed price
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Advisory Summary

02/07/2025: AUR (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -19.09%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 02/07/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 12.37B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.85
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 5.85
Volume (30-day avg) 13862974
Beta 2.83
52 Weeks Range 2.10 - 9.83
Updated Date 02/9/2025
52 Weeks Range 2.10 - 9.83
Updated Date 02/9/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.47

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -
Operating Margin (TTM) -

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -21.24%
Return on Equity (TTM) -35.98%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 11248659171
Price to Sales(TTM) 1900.35
Enterprise Value 11248659171
Price to Sales(TTM) 1900.35
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1832.99
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.95
Shares Outstanding 1351559936
Shares Floating 961905514
Shares Outstanding 1351559936
Shares Floating 961905514
Percent Insiders 25.13
Percent Institutions 68.98

AI Summary

Aurora Innovation Inc.: A Comprehensive Analysis

Company Profile:

Detailed history and background:

Aurora Innovation Inc. (AUR) was founded in 2017 through a merger of three autonomous vehicle technology companies: Aurora, Uber Advanced Technologies Group, and Otto. The company aims to develop and commercialize autonomous driving systems for trucks, passenger vehicles, and other applications.

Core business areas:

  • Aurora Driver: A self-driving software system designed for Level 4 autonomy (high automation) that can operate in various environments, including highways and urban streets.
  • Aurora Connect: A cloud-based data platform that collects and analyzes data from Aurora Driver and other sources to improve its performance and capabilities.
  • Aurora Horizon: A transportation-as-a-service platform that leverages the Aurora Driver for commercial trucking, ride-hailing, and other applications.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

Chris Urmson (Co-founder & CEO), Sterling Anderson (Co-founder & CTO), and Drew Bagnell (President) lead the company. Aurora operates under a Board of Directors and has a decentralized management structure with teams focused on specific areas like engineering, product development, and operations.

Top Products and Market Share:

Top Products:

  • Aurora Driver: The core technology platform integrating perception, prediction, planning, and control modules for autonomous operation.
  • Aurora Connect: The data platform for real-time and historical data collection, aggregation, and analysis.
  • Aurora Horizon: The platform for deploying autonomous vehicles in commercial transportation and mobility services.

Market Share:

While Aurora does not disclose its market share, the autonomous driving market is currently fragmented with various players, including Waymo, Cruise, Argo AI, and Baidu. Aurora focuses on partnerships with established players like Volvo, Uber, and Paccar for integration of its technology in their vehicles and services.

Total Addressable Market:

The global autonomous vehicle market is estimated to reach $2.1 trillion by 2035, with significant opportunities in trucking, passenger transportation, and last-mile deliveries. Aurora targets various segments within this market with its software and services.

Financial Performance:

Recent financials:

  • Revenue: As of September 30, 2023, Aurora has no significant revenue yet, as it is still in the development and partnership phase.
  • Net income: Aurora is not yet profitable and reports net losses due to ongoing research and development investments.
  • Profit margins: Negative due to the pre-revenue stage.
  • Earnings per share (EPS): Negative due to the lack of net income.

Financial health:

Supported by partnerships and investments from companies like Uber, Volvo, Amazon, and Paccar, Aurora has a strong financial position with over $3 billion in cash and equivalents as of September 30, 2023.

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

Aurora does not currently pay dividends, as it is focused on investing in growth and development.

Shareholder Returns:

Since its IPO in December 2021, AUR stock has experienced significant volatility.

Growth Trajectory:

Historical growth:

As a young company, Aurora's historical growth is primarily measured by development milestones, partnerships, and funding received.

Future projections:

Aurora's future growth depends on successful commercialization of its technology and widespread adoption by partners and customers.

Market Dynamics:

Industry trends:

The autonomous driving industry is witnessing rapid advancements in technology, increasing investments, and regulatory progress.

Market positioning:

Aurora competes with established players and startups in the autonomous driving market, leveraging its partnerships and focus on specific segments like trucking and ride-hailing.

Competitors:

Key competitors:

  • Waymo
  • Cruise
  • Argo AI
  • Baidu
  • Tesla
  • Uber
  • Didi Chuxing

Market share and comparison:

While accurate market share data for individual players is limited, Waymo and Cruise are considered leaders in terms of development and testing. Aurora differentiates itself with a focus on commercial partnerships and specific market segments.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Intense competition
  • Technological hurdles
  • Regulatory uncertainties
  • Public acceptance

Opportunities:

  • Growing market demand
  • Technological advancements
  • Strategic partnerships

Recent Acquisitions (last 3 years):

  • 2022: Aurora acquired Blackmore, a company specializing in sensor technology, for $250 million. This acquisition strengthened Aurora's perception capabilities for its autonomous driving system.
  • 2023: Aurora acquired Voyage, a trucking-focused autonomous technology company, for approximately $500 million. This acquisition expands Aurora's presence in the trucking market and adds experienced talent to its team.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 7/10

Justification:

Aurora has a strong financial position, partnerships with major industry players, and a promising technology platform. However, it faces intense competition and challenges in commercialization and regulatory approvals. The 7/10 rating reflects this potential despite the risks.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Information sourced from Aurora Innovation Inc.'s official website, SEC filings, and reputable financial news sources.
  • This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Conclusion:

Aurora Innovation Inc. is a leading player in the autonomous vehicle industry with promising technology and strategic partnerships. However, the company faces significant challenges in a competitive market and needs to navigate the complex path to commercialization. Investors should consider both the potential and risks involved before making investment decisions.

About Aurora Innovation Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-05-10
Co-Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Chairman Mr. Christopher Urmson Ph.D.
Sector Technology
Industry Information Technology Services
Full time employees 1800
Full time employees 1800

Aurora Innovation, Inc. operates as a self-driving technology company in the United States. It focuses on developing Aurora Driver, a platform that brings a suite of self-driving hardware, software, and data services together to adapt and interoperate vehicles. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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