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Upturn AI Summary - About
Aurora Innovation Inc(AUR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AUR
11/11/2026: AUR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Aurora Innovation is an early-stage company focused on developing the Aurora Driver, a comprehensive autonomous platform for the heavy-duty trucking industry. Its primary strength lies in a focused engineering approach and high-level partnerships with major truck manufacturers, positioning it to address the critical logistics demand for automated freight. The investment story centers on the company’s potential to successfully deploy driverless trucking at scale. However, the company faces significant risks, including high cash burn, execution complexity, and intense competition from larger, well-capitalized tech rivals. Aurora is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate high volatility and long-term uncertainty while monitoring progress toward commercial fleet deployment.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | Aurora offers high-risk, high-reward exposure to the emerging autonomous trucking sector. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Suitable for momentum traders when the stock shows technical strength during positive product milestones. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The company lacks current earnings and traditional valuation metrics, making it unsuitable for value strategies. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay dividends and is focused on capital-intensive expansion. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high volatility and business execution risks make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock price is highly sensitive to news, technical progress, and speculative growth sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | High | Determining an appropriate valuation is difficult due to the lack of current revenue and long timeline to profitability. |
| Competition risk (AI competition) | High | Well-funded competitors could reach commercial scale or market dominance faster than Aurora. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the technology is advanced, the business model is still unproven at full commercial scale. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | This is a growth-stage company that does not offer income. |
| Execution risk | High | Successfully transitioning from testing to safe, driverless commercial freight operations is a monumental technical and safety challenge. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -47.84% | Avg. Invested days 18 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/11/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.19B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24.7M shares | Beta 2.87 | 52 Weeks Range 3.60 - 8.56 | Updated Date 11/11/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 3.60 - 8.56 | Updated Date 11/11/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.47 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Autonomous Driving as a Service (Trucking) | Subscription-based fees for logistics companies using the Aurora Driver and Aurora Horizon platform. | Aurora aims to earn recurring revenue by charging carriers to use its self-driving system for moving freight. |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 8.24B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1313.29 |
Enterprise Value 8.24B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1313.29 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1208.76 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.95 | Shares Outstanding 1.73B | Shares Floating 1.54B |
Shares Outstanding 1.73B | Shares Floating 1.54B | ||
Percent Insiders 10.78 | Percent Institutions 89.51 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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