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AVB 
AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/09/2025: AVB (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Below Average Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.
Number of Analysts
24 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $203.79
1 Year Target Price $203.79
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 14 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.56% | Avg. Invested days 60 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 12/09/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 25.29B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.63 | 1Y Target Price 203.79 |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.63 | 1Y Target Price 203.79 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 0.74 | 52 Weeks Range 166.73 - 224.32 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 166.73 - 224.32 | Updated Date 12/8/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.90% | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 38.12% | Operating Margin (TTM) 29.28% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.75% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.63 | Forward PE 33.78 | Enterprise Value 33918827181 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.25 |
Enterprise Value 33918827181 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.25 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 11.26 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.64 | Shares Outstanding 141594945 | Shares Floating 132961249 |
Shares Outstanding 141594945 | Shares Floating 132961249 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.36 | Percent Institutions 96.66 |
Upturn AI SWOT
AvalonBay Communities Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
AvalonBay Communities Inc. (AVB) was founded in 1994 as Avalon Properties. It merged with Bay Apartment Communities in 1998 to form AvalonBay Communities Inc. The company is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on developing, acquiring, and managing upscale apartment communities in high-growth urban and suburban markets across the United States. Key milestones include its IPO in 1998 and consistent expansion into new, desirable geographic locations.
Core Business Areas
- Development: Developing new apartment communities in strategically chosen locations. This involves land acquisition, design, construction, and lease-up.
- Acquisition and Redevelopment: Acquiring existing apartment communities and redeveloping them to enhance value, followed by management and operation.
- Property Management: Operating and managing its portfolio of apartment communities, providing services to residents and ensuring optimal financial performance.
Leadership and Structure
AvalonBay Communities Inc. is led by a Board of Directors and a senior management team. Key executives include the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, Chief Operating Officer, and Executive Vice Presidents responsible for development, acquisitions, and asset management. The company operates through a decentralized structure with regional teams managing properties and development projects.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Apartment Rentals: AvalonBay's primary offering is the rental of apartment units. These are typically modern, well-appointed apartments in amenity-rich communities. While specific market share for individual apartment communities is not publicly disclosed, AvalonBay is a major player in the multifamily REIT sector. Competitors include other large REITs and private real estate developers/operators.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The multifamily real estate sector is characterized by consistent demand driven by demographic trends, urbanization, and a preference for rental living. The industry is influenced by economic conditions, interest rates, construction costs, and local market supply/demand dynamics. REITs play a significant role in institutionalizing real estate investment.
Positioning
AvalonBay Communities Inc. is positioned as a leading owner, developer, and operator of high-quality apartment homes in select markets. Its competitive advantages include a strong brand reputation, experienced management team, extensive development expertise, and a focus on attractive, supply-constrained markets.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for rental housing in the US is substantial and continues to grow. While precise TAM figures for multifamily REITs are complex to define, it represents hundreds of billions of dollars annually in rental revenue. AvalonBay is a significant participant, holding a notable share of the institutional-grade apartment market in its operating regions.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and reputation for quality.
- Extensive experience in development, acquisition, and property management.
- Portfolio diversified across desirable, high-growth markets.
- Experienced and stable management team.
- Access to capital through public markets and debt financing.
Weaknesses
- High capital requirements for development and acquisitions.
- Sensitivity to economic downturns and rising interest rates.
- Concentration risk within specific geographic markets.
- Reliance on external financing for growth.
Opportunities
- Continued demand for rental housing due to demographic trends.
- Potential for acquisitions of underperforming or value-add properties.
- Expansion into new, attractive markets.
- Leveraging technology to enhance resident experience and operational efficiency.
Threats
- Increasing competition from other REITs and private developers.
- Rising construction and labor costs.
- Regulatory changes and local zoning restrictions.
- Economic recession impacting rental demand and affordability.
- Interest rate hikes increasing borrowing costs.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Equity Residential (EQR)
- Essex Property Trust (ESS)
- UDR, Inc. (UDR)
- Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA)
Competitive Landscape
AvalonBay competes in a fragmented but highly competitive multifamily REIT market. Its advantages lie in its focus on premium markets and its integrated development and management capabilities. Disadvantages can arise from the scale of some competitors and their ability to secure prime development sites or acquire portfolios.
Major Acquisitions
Various smaller apartment communities and land parcels
- Year: Ongoing
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): Varies
- Strategic Rationale: To expand the portfolio in attractive markets, enhance density, and capitalize on market opportunities.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AvalonBay has experienced significant growth over the past decades through strategic development, acquisitions, and consistent lease-up of its communities in prime locations.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for AvalonBay's future growth are typically positive, driven by its development pipeline, favorable market conditions, and ongoing demand for its product. Forecasts often focus on FFO per share growth and same-store NOI growth.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include the ongoing development of new communities, strategic dispositions of non-core assets, and investments in technology to improve resident experience and operational efficiency. Focus on sustainability and ESG initiatives is also becoming increasingly important.
Summary
AvalonBay Communities Inc. is a strong player in the US multifamily REIT market, benefiting from its prime locations, development expertise, and consistent demand for rental housing. Its focus on quality and amenities creates a competitive advantage. However, the company faces risks from rising interest rates, construction costs, and economic slowdowns, necessitating careful management of its balance sheet and development pipeline.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations (SEC Filings - 10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, FactSet)
- Industry Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions. Market share data is an estimation and may vary based on methodology.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AvalonBay Communities Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Arlington, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-03-10 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Benjamin W. Schall | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Residential | Full time employees 2928 | Website https://www.avalonbay.com |
Full time employees 2928 | Website https://www.avalonbay.com | ||
AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of the S&P 500, is an equity REIT that develops, redevelops, acquires and manages apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 314 apartment communities containing 97,219 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 21 communities were under development.
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