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AVB 
AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: AVB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
24 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $211.52
1 Year Target Price $211.52
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 14 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 13.56% | Avg. Invested days 60 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/05/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 25.12B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 21.44 | 1Y Target Price 211.52 |
Price to earnings Ratio 21.44 | 1Y Target Price 211.52 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 24 | Beta 0.75 | 52 Weeks Range 166.73 - 231.37 | Updated Date 11/5/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 166.73 - 231.37 | Updated Date 11/5/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) 8.21 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-03 | When After Market | Estimate 1.65 | Actual 1.4014 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 38.12% | Operating Margin (TTM) 28.68% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.79% | Return on Equity (TTM) 9.75% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 21.44 | Forward PE 35.71 | Enterprise Value 35793601482 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.19 |
Enterprise Value 35793601482 | Price to Sales(TTM) 8.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.01 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.72 | Shares Outstanding 142654308 | Shares Floating 141683778 |
Shares Outstanding 142654308 | Shares Floating 141683778 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.36 | Percent Institutions 95.17 |
Upturn AI SWOT
AvalonBay Communities Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. was founded in 1998 through the merger of Avalon Properties, Inc. and Bay Apartment Communities, Inc. It is a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) focused on developing, redeveloping, acquiring, and managing high-quality apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in the United States.
Core Business Areas
- Development: Development and construction of new apartment communities. This includes identifying suitable locations, obtaining necessary permits, and overseeing the construction process.
- Redevelopment: Renovating and upgrading existing apartment communities to improve their appeal and increase rental income.
- Acquisition: Acquiring existing apartment communities that meet AvalonBay's investment criteria.
- Property Management: Managing and operating apartment communities, including leasing, rent collection, maintenance, and resident services.
Leadership and Structure
Benjamin Schall is the current CEO. The organizational structure includes departments for development, construction, property management, finance, and legal, overseen by a Board of Trustees.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Luxury Apartments: AvalonBay offers upscale apartment communities with modern amenities and convenient locations. Market share is difficult to pin down due to varied regional competition, but they are a leader in major metro areas. Competitors include Equity Residential (EQR) and UDR (UDR).
- Mixed-Use Developments: Some AvalonBay properties include retail and commercial spaces in addition to apartments, creating integrated communities. Revenue from this segment is part of their total NOI. Competitors vary by region and specific project, often including local developers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The apartment industry is currently experiencing fluctuations due to rising interest rates, inflation, and changing demographic trends. Demand remains strong in many urban areas, but new supply is also coming online, creating a competitive landscape.
Positioning
AvalonBay is positioned as a premium apartment REIT, focusing on high-quality properties in desirable locations. Their competitive advantage lies in their development expertise, strong brand reputation, and efficient property management.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for rental housing in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. AvalonBay is positioned to capture a significant share of this market through its focus on high-income renters in prime locations.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation
- Experienced management team
- High-quality portfolio of assets
- Disciplined capital allocation
- Development expertise
Weaknesses
- High debt levels
- Exposure to economic downturns
- Geographic concentration in high-cost markets
- Susceptibility to interest rate fluctuations
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Development of new apartment communities
- Acquisition of existing properties
- Implementation of technology to improve efficiency
- Increased demand for rental housing
Threats
- Rising interest rates
- Increased competition
- Economic recession
- Changes in government regulations
- Oversupply of apartments in certain markets
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Equity Residential (EQR)
- UDR, Inc. (UDR)
- Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA)
Competitive Landscape
AvalonBay competes with other REITs and private developers for tenants and investment opportunities. Their competitive advantages include their brand reputation and development expertise. They are not necessarily at the top with more than single digit percentages for market share; hence there is plenty of competition in the market
Major Acquisitions
Archstone
- Year: 2013
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 16000
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded AvalonBay's portfolio and presence in key markets.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: AvalonBay has experienced steady growth over the past decade, driven by development, acquisitions, and rent increases.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for AvalonBay, driven by demand for rental housing and the company's development pipeline.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include focusing on sustainability, expanding into new markets, and investing in technology.
Summary
AvalonBay is a strong REIT with a solid reputation and portfolio. Its development expertise and focus on prime locations provide a competitive edge. However, high debt and sensitivity to interest rates are risks to watch. Growth prospects remain positive due to sustained demand for rental housing.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About AvalonBay Communities Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Arlington, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-03-10 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Benjamin W. Schall | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry REIT - Residential | Full time employees 2928 | Website https://www.avalonbay.com |
Full time employees 2928 | Website https://www.avalonbay.com | ||
AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of the S&P 500, is an equity REIT that develops, redevelops, acquires and manages apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 314 apartment communities containing 97,219 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 21 communities were under development.
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