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Upturn stock rating
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AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB)

Upturn stock rating
$189.32
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/22/2025: AVB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

24 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $216.48

1 Year Target Price $216.48

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$216.48 Target price
52w Low $177.24
Current$189.32
52w High $231.37

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 13.56%
Avg. Invested days 60
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/22/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 26.64B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 22.99
1Y Target Price 216.48
Price to earnings Ratio 22.99
1Y Target Price 216.48
Volume (30-day avg) 24
Beta 0.86
52 Weeks Range 177.24 - 231.37
Updated Date 10/21/2025
52 Weeks Range 177.24 - 231.37
Updated Date 10/21/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.69%
Basic EPS (TTM) 8.14

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 38.39%
Operating Margin (TTM) 30.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 2.81%
Return on Equity (TTM) 9.71%

Valuation

Trailing PE 22.99
Forward PE 35.71
Enterprise Value 35793601482
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.82
Enterprise Value 35793601482
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.82
Enterprise Value to Revenue 12.01
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.72
Shares Outstanding 142383022
Shares Floating 141411165
Shares Outstanding 142383022
Shares Floating 141411165
Percent Insiders 0.36
Percent Institutions 95.22

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

AvalonBay Communities Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. was founded in 1998 through the merger of Avalon Properties, Inc. and Bay Apartment Communities, Inc. It is a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) focused on developing, redeveloping, acquiring, and managing high-quality apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in the United States.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Development: Development and construction of new apartment communities. This includes identifying suitable locations, obtaining necessary permits, and overseeing the construction process.
  • Redevelopment: Renovating and upgrading existing apartment communities to improve their appeal and increase rental income.
  • Acquisition: Acquiring existing apartment communities that meet AvalonBay's investment criteria.
  • Property Management: Managing and operating apartment communities, including leasing, rent collection, maintenance, and resident services.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Benjamin Schall is the current CEO. The organizational structure includes departments for development, construction, property management, finance, and legal, overseen by a Board of Trustees.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Luxury Apartments: AvalonBay offers upscale apartment communities with modern amenities and convenient locations. Market share is difficult to pin down due to varied regional competition, but they are a leader in major metro areas. Competitors include Equity Residential (EQR) and UDR (UDR).
  • Mixed-Use Developments: Some AvalonBay properties include retail and commercial spaces in addition to apartments, creating integrated communities. Revenue from this segment is part of their total NOI. Competitors vary by region and specific project, often including local developers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The apartment industry is currently experiencing fluctuations due to rising interest rates, inflation, and changing demographic trends. Demand remains strong in many urban areas, but new supply is also coming online, creating a competitive landscape.

Positioning

AvalonBay is positioned as a premium apartment REIT, focusing on high-quality properties in desirable locations. Their competitive advantage lies in their development expertise, strong brand reputation, and efficient property management.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for rental housing in the US is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. AvalonBay is positioned to capture a significant share of this market through its focus on high-income renters in prime locations.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand reputation
  • Experienced management team
  • High-quality portfolio of assets
  • Disciplined capital allocation
  • Development expertise

Weaknesses

  • High debt levels
  • Exposure to economic downturns
  • Geographic concentration in high-cost markets
  • Susceptibility to interest rate fluctuations

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Development of new apartment communities
  • Acquisition of existing properties
  • Implementation of technology to improve efficiency
  • Increased demand for rental housing

Threats

  • Rising interest rates
  • Increased competition
  • Economic recession
  • Changes in government regulations
  • Oversupply of apartments in certain markets

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Equity Residential (EQR)
  • UDR, Inc. (UDR)
  • Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA)

Competitive Landscape

AvalonBay competes with other REITs and private developers for tenants and investment opportunities. Their competitive advantages include their brand reputation and development expertise. They are not necessarily at the top with more than single digit percentages for market share; hence there is plenty of competition in the market

Major Acquisitions

Archstone

  • Year: 2013
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 16000
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded AvalonBay's portfolio and presence in key markets.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: AvalonBay has experienced steady growth over the past decade, driven by development, acquisitions, and rent increases.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for AvalonBay, driven by demand for rental housing and the company's development pipeline.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include focusing on sustainability, expanding into new markets, and investing in technology.

Summary

AvalonBay is a strong REIT with a solid reputation and portfolio. Its development expertise and focus on prime locations provide a competitive edge. However, high debt and sensitivity to interest rates are risks to watch. Growth prospects remain positive due to sustained demand for rental housing.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on available information and is not financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About AvalonBay Communities Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Arlington, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1994-03-10
President, CEO & Director Mr. Benjamin W. Schall
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Residential
Full time employees 2928
Full time employees 2928

AvalonBay Communities, Inc., a member of the S&P 500, is an equity REIT that develops, redevelops, acquires and manages apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion regions of Raleigh-Durham and Charlotte, North Carolina, Southeast Florida, Dallas and Austin, Texas, and Denver, Colorado. As of June 30, 2025, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 315 apartment communities containing 97,212 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 20 communities were under development.