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Upturn AI Summary - About
Armstrong World Industries Inc(AWI)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for AWI
10/26/2026: AWI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Armstrong World Industries is a leading manufacturer of ceiling and wall systems primarily serving the commercial construction market. The company has successfully transitioned into a specialized firm focused on high-margin architectural solutions, which is its primary growth engine. While it benefits from strong brand recognition and a solid dividend, its performance is subject to cyclical risks within the commercial real estate and office renovation sectors. Key risks include shifts in workplace demand and macroeconomic sensitivity. The company may suit value and dividend-focused investors, though market participants should monitor commercial renovation spending and the integration of new specialty acquisitions.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers moderate growth through segment expansion but is tied to the cyclical construction industry. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | AWI often sees periods of strong price momentum correlated with building cycle upswings. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company's focus on cash flow and disciplined capital allocation often provides a attractive valuation floor. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | AWI provides a consistent and stable dividend payout suited for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While established, the stock is subject to broader economic and housing market volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | The stock can be sensitive to fluctuations in the broader construction and housing sectors. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market pricing of construction stocks is heavily dependent on interest rate environments. |
| Competition risk (Building Materials) | Medium | Intense competition exists from larger, diversified building material manufacturers. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company has a long history and a dominant, specialized market niche. |
| Dividend income | Low | The dividend is stable, though growth may be moderate rather than aggressive. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Successful integration of smaller specialty acquisitions is key to long-term growth. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 49.22% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/26/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.11B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 23.01 | 1Y Target Price 207.64 |
Price to earnings Ratio 23.01 | 1Y Target Price 207.64 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 372.4K shares | Beta 1.16 | 52 Weeks Range 150.00 - 204.83 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 150.00 - 204.83 | Updated Date 10/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.79% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.31 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Mineral Fiber | Ceiling tiles and suspension systems for office, school, and healthcare sectors. | This is the 'bread and butter' stable cash-generating core of the business. |
| Architectural Specialties | Custom wood, metal, and felt ceiling/wall systems. | This is the higher-growth, higher-margin innovation engine of the company. |
| Geography | Primarily North American revenue with some international specialty product exposure. | The company's performance is closely tied to the North American commercial construction market. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-27 | When Before Market | Estimate 2.35 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 18.6% | Operating Margin (TTM) 21.57% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 10.62% | Return on Equity (TTM) 36.62% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 23.01 | Forward PE 24.27 | Enterprise Value 8.97B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.19 |
Enterprise Value 8.97B | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.19 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 5.74 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.73 | Shares Outstanding 42.26M | Shares Floating 41.55M |
Shares Outstanding 42.26M | Shares Floating 41.55M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.55 | Percent Institutions 104.92 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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