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Upturn AI Summary - About
Mach Natural Resources LP(MNR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for MNR
11/04/2026: MNR (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Mach Natural Resources LP is an upstream oil and gas company focused on acquiring and operating mature, low-decline assets primarily in the Anadarko Basin. The company functions as a yield-focused master limited partnership, aiming to distribute significant cash flow to unitholders rather than pursuing aggressive production growth. Its main strengths lie in an experienced management team and a portfolio of stable production fields that require limited capital reinvestment. Key risks include exposure to volatile commodity prices, high geographic concentration, and potential regulatory pressures on energy producers. This stock is best suited for income-focused investors comfortable with the inherent cyclicality and operational risks of the oil and gas sector.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company's focus on mature, low-decline assets favors income generation over high-growth capital appreciation. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum appeal is highly conditional on commodity price upturns and favorable market sentiment toward energy. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The asset-heavy, cash-generative nature of the MLP model often appeals to value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | The core strategy is centered on providing consistent cash distributions from production assets. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Exposure to commodity price volatility and the risks of a concentrated asset base make this unsuitable for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The company's revenue is directly tied to the highly volatile global markets for oil and natural gas. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations for MLPs are sensitive to interest rate environments and yield requirements of the broader market. |
| Competition risk (regional production) | Medium | The firm faces competition for asset acquisitions from better-capitalized peers in the Anadarko Basin. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the asset base is stable, relying on older, mature wells presents long-term degradation risks. |
| Dividend income | Medium / high | Distributions are not guaranteed and can be reduced if commodity prices fail to support current cash flows. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success depends on the company's ability to integrate acquisitions efficiently and maintain production from older fields. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -22.85% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/04/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 1.73B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 17.25 | 1Y Target Price 16.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio 17.25 | 1Y Target Price 16.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 484.6K shares | Beta -0.39 | 52 Weeks Range 9.35 - 13.97 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 9.35 - 13.97 | Updated Date 11/03/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 17.39% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.6 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Oil Production | Extraction and sale of crude oil from Anadarko Basin properties. | Oil sales are the primary driver of the company's cash flow and dividend capability. |
| Natural Gas/NGL Production | Sale of produced natural gas and associated natural gas liquids. | Secondary revenue stream that complements oil production, though prices for these can be more volatile. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-05 | When After Market | Estimate 0.29 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 7.75% | Operating Margin (TTM) 33.65% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.05% | Return on Equity (TTM) 6.25% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 17.25 | Forward PE 8.15 | Enterprise Value 2.88B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.33 |
Enterprise Value 2.88B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.33 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.23 | Shares Outstanding 166.95M | Shares Floating 61.74M |
Shares Outstanding 166.95M | Shares Floating 61.74M | ||
Percent Insiders 22.9 | Percent Institutions 60.99 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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