Bilibili Inc logo

Bilibili Inc(BILI)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$12.68
10/30/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BILI

10/30/2026: BILI (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Bilibili is a major player in China's online entertainment landscape, serving as a distinct, community-focused hub primarily for younger demographics. Its core strengths include high user engagement driven by its unique interaction model and a diverse, subculture-oriented content library. The primary investment story centers on the company's transition from rapid, scale-focused growth to improving operational margins and profitability. Key risks include intense competition from short-video giants, strict regulatory oversight, and the challenge of balancing content quality with cost control. Bilibili may best suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance, who should monitor quarterly trends in profitability and advertising revenue growth.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company is transitioning from a high-growth phase to a focus on profitability, which may appeal to those looking for a turnaround rather than pure explosive growth.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may find interest when the stock price reflects positive sentiment regarding margin improvement or successful ad-revenue scaling.
Value investorWeak fitBilibili's historical lack of consistent profitability and volatile margins make it a challenging fit for traditional value-based investment strategies.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a dividend and is unlikely to initiate one in the near term.
Low-risk investorWeak fitExposure to Chinese regulatory risks and high share price volatility makes this unsuitable for conservative, low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to sharp price swings driven by regulatory news and sector-wide sentiment.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuations are highly sensitive to changing growth expectations and market sentiment toward Chinese tech.
Competition risk (Video/Gaming)HighAggressive competition from larger platforms like Douyin limits Bilibili's pricing power and growth ceiling.
Business qualityMediumWhile the platform has high user stickiness, the business model is still proving its ability to generate sustainable free cash flow.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not rely on Bilibili for income generation.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessfully balancing rapid growth with the need to reach profitability is a significant operational challenge.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -5.51%
Avg. Invested days 26
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/30/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
BILI receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
BILI has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+186.2%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 18.0%) are partially offset by soft profitability (net margin 3.9%), very low insider ownership of 0.03%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
BILI's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $5.3B (18.0% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is BILI's strongest growth driver at +186.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+10.0%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+24.9%, solid) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 8.3% (soft) and 89.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (strong). Insider ownership is only 0.03%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 0.92%
UBS Group AG 0.73%
SIH Partners LLLP 0.47%
Yiheng Capital LLC 0.36%
Panagora Asset Management Inc 0.34%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
BILI generates approximately $371 of gross profit, $37 of operating income, and $180 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins and strong cash conversion support a 3-star rating, while capital efficiency is soft.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 1.42%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
BILI has a liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 5.24B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 24.86
1Y Target Price 25.91
Price to earnings Ratio 24.86
1Y Target Price 25.91
Volume (30-day avg) 2.7M shares
Beta 0.65
52 Weeks Range 12.64 - 36.40
Updated Date 11/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 12.64 - 36.40
Updated Date 11/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.51

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
AdvertisingVideo ads, display banners, and brand partnerships within the Bilibili app.This is a key growth lever as the company monetizes its massive, highly engaged user base.
Value-Added ServicesPremium memberships, live streaming gifts, and virtual items.This reflects the platform's community-driven nature where users support creators.
Mobile GamesDistribution and operation of ACG-themed mobile games.A historical pillar of revenue that is becoming less dominant as the company diversifies.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE 24.86
Forward PE 9.92
Enterprise Value 3.09B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.17
Enterprise Value 3.09B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.17
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.65
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.99
Shares Outstanding 333.64M
Shares Floating 296.89M
Shares Outstanding 333.64M
Shares Floating 296.89M
Percent Insiders 0.03
Percent Institutions 8.33

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.