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Upturn AI Summary - About
Bloomin Brands Inc(BLMN)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BLMN
11/03/2026: BLMN (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Bloomin Brands is a well-established player in the casual dining industry, recognized for its flagship Outback Steakhouse brand and a diversified portfolio including Carrabba's and Bonefish Grill. The company has a leading position in the steakhouse market and has successfully strengthened its off-premise and digital capabilities to adapt to changing consumer habits. While its diverse brand portfolio offers stability, the company faces significant execution, competitive, and inflationary risks that can impact margins. It may suit dividend-oriented and value-focused investors looking for steady, established brands. Key developments to monitor include same-store sales performance and the company’s ability to manage rising labor and commodity costs effectively.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Moderate growth prospects limit appeal for pure growth seekers. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is conditional on positive, sustained market sentiment. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | Frequent valuation compressions make it attractive to value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Reliable dividend payments offer steady income potential. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | Industry volatility introduces risk that may exceed conservative thresholds. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | Restaurant stocks often swing with broader economic sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Stock performance is highly dependent on achieving analyst earnings targets. |
| Competition risk (Steakhouse segment) | High | Strong competition from players like Texas Roadhouse puts pressure on margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | Strong brand recognition provides a moat but operating leverage is susceptible to costs. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividend sustainability depends on consistent free cash flow generation. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully managing large-scale operations across multiple brands requires precision. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 2.78% | Avg. Invested days 31 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/03/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 933.27M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 33.03 | 1Y Target Price 12.05 |
Price to earnings Ratio 33.03 | 1Y Target Price 12.05 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 2.8M shares | Beta 1.27 | 52 Weeks Range 5.19 - 12.63 | Updated Date 11/02/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 5.19 - 12.63 | Updated Date 11/02/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.33 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Casual Dining | Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's, and Bonefish Grill operations. | The vast majority of revenue comes from customers dining at or ordering food from these core brands. |
| Upscale Dining | Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. | A premium dining segment that caters to higher-end consumers and business dining occasions. |
| Geography | United States and select international markets. | The US market drives most revenue, with international exposure providing a secondary growth lever. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 33.03 | Forward PE 6.2 | Enterprise Value 2.75B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 |
Enterprise Value 2.75B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.23 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.69 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.01 | Shares Outstanding 85.62M | Shares Floating 83.14M |
Shares Outstanding 85.62M | Shares Floating 83.14M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.44 | Percent Institutions 106.62 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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