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Brinker International Inc(EAT)
Top performer 
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for EAT
10/23/2026: EAT (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Brinker International Inc is a prominent operator in the US casual dining sector, primarily known for its Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy brands. The company's main strength lies in the strong brand recognition of Chili's and its successful recent focus on value-driven marketing and virtual kitchen strategies. Its primary growth story centers on operational efficiency and leveraging digital engagement to bolster traffic in a competitive landscape. Investors should monitor risks related to labor and commodity cost inflation, alongside intense competition from fast-casual alternatives. The stock may appeal to value investors, though it carries risks associated with the cyclical nature of discretionary consumer spending.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers moderate growth potential through operational improvements rather than rapid unit expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Investors should monitor this style for positive upturn signals in traffic and comparable sales growth. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at valuations that attract value-oriented investors seeking stable, established restaurant operations. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | While the company has a history of returns, dividend payouts are subject to capital allocation priorities such as debt reduction. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | Restaurant stocks are inherently subject to high operational leverage and consumer discretionary spending risks. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock is sensitive to consumer sentiment and broader economic shifts. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market expectations for traffic growth can impact the stock multiple significantly. |
| Competition risk (Casual Dining) | High | Market saturation and intense competition from fast-casual alternatives pressure margins. |
| Business quality | Medium | Brinker holds a stable market position with well-known brands. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are not guaranteed and compete with other capital needs. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Success relies heavily on maintaining operational standards across thousands of locations. |
Price Behavior
Rolling Over
The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 289.84% | Avg. Invested days 51 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/23/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 7.65B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.81 | 1Y Target Price 256.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.81 | 1Y Target Price 256.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares | Beta 1.26 | 52 Weeks Range 100.30 - 254.99 | Updated Date 10/23/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 100.30 - 254.99 | Updated Date 10/23/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 10.87 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Company-owned and franchised restaurant revenue from food and beverage sales. | This is the primary engine of the company, generating the bulk of its revenue and profit. |
| Maggiano's Little Italy | Upscale-casual dining revenue focused on Italian-American cuisine. | Provides a smaller but higher-check-average contribution to the company's total earnings. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-10-28 | When Before Market | Estimate 2.49 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.39% | Operating Margin (TTM) 11.26% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 14.28% | Return on Equity (TTM) 119.57% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.81 | Forward PE 17.64 | Enterprise Value 10.64B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.32 |
Enterprise Value 10.64B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.32 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.83 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 12.66 | Shares Outstanding 41.88M | Shares Floating 41.23M |
Shares Outstanding 41.88M | Shares Floating 41.23M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.13 | Percent Institutions 114.31 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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