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Upturn AI Summary - About
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc(RRGB)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for RRGB
09/25/2026: RRGB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc is a well-known casual dining restaurant chain centered on its gourmet burger menu and unique bottomless sides. The company is currently executing an operational turnaround, known as the North Star plan, aimed at improving restaurant-level margins and customer experience. Its main growth opportunity lies in refining off-premise channels and enhancing operational efficiency. However, the company faces significant risks, including intense casual dining competition, rising costs, and the challenge of executing its strategic plan while maintaining financial flexibility. This stock may suit investors interested in recovery-oriented plays, provided they monitor the progress of its turnaround efforts and cash flow stability closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company's focus is currently on stabilization and operational turnaround rather than aggressive top-line growth. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock has lacked consistent upward price momentum, making it less suitable for trend-following strategies. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Value investors may look for deep value, but the company's financial turnaround is still in progress. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Red Robin does not currently pay a dividend, providing no income component to the investment. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's operational challenges and market sensitivity make it too volatile for low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is susceptible to significant swings based on quarterly earnings reports and consumer spending trends. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuation fluctuates based on perceived success of turnaround plans, creating uncertainty in long-term pricing. |
| Competition risk (Casual Dining) | High | The highly saturated casual dining market forces constant defensive spending to maintain foot traffic. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the brand has legacy strength, operational execution has been inconsistent in recent years. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | No dividend payments mean investors must rely entirely on capital appreciation. |
| Execution risk | High | The success of the company depends heavily on effectively implementing its multi-year turnaround strategy. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 32.56% | Avg. Invested days 40 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/25/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 137.05M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.33 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.33 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 333.1K shares | Beta 2.44 | 52 Weeks Range 2.46 - 10.95 | Updated Date 09/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.46 - 10.95 | Updated Date 09/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -1.71 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Company-Operated Restaurants | Direct sales of food and beverages at locations owned by Red Robin. | This is the primary way the company generates revenue through customer dining. |
| Franchise Operations | Royalty fees and initial franchise fees from independently owned locations. | This provides a smaller, high-margin revenue stream with lower operational overhead. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 18.69 | Enterprise Value 618.95M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12 |
Enterprise Value 618.95M | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.12 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.52 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.84 | Shares Outstanding 18.90M | Shares Floating 14.39M |
Shares Outstanding 18.90M | Shares Floating 14.39M | ||
Percent Insiders 9.25 | Percent Institutions 70.57 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquarters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-07-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. David A. Pace | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 18852 | Website https://www.redrobin.com |
Full time employees 18852 | Website https://www.redrobin.com | ||
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
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