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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: RRGB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11
1 Year Target Price $11
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -51.71% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 71.50M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 2.21 | 52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 7.89 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 7.89 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.25 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-10 | When - | Estimate -0.68 | Actual -0.7 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) -238.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 576452546 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 |
Enterprise Value 576452546 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.06 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.47 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 22.8 | Shares Outstanding 17964459 | Shares Floating 13929282 |
Shares Outstanding 17964459 | Shares Floating 13929282 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.96 | Percent Institutions 72.61 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. was founded in 1969 by Sam Anson in Seattle, Washington. Initially known as 'Sam's Red Robin', the company focused on high-quality burgers and a unique dining experience. It grew through franchising and acquisitions, expanding its footprint across the United States. A significant milestone was its acquisition by Hospitality International, Inc. in 1985, and subsequent spin-off as a publicly traded company in 2000. Over the years, Red Robin has evolved its menu and restaurant design to adapt to changing consumer preferences and market conditions, emphasizing its 'Gourmet Burger' positioning.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: The primary business of Red Robin is the operation of casual-dining restaurants. These restaurants specialize in gourmet burgers, appetizers, salads, soups, and desserts, offering a full-service dining experience. The company operates both company-owned and franchised locations.
- Franchising: Red Robin licenses its brand and operational model to independent franchisees who own and operate restaurants under the Red Robin name. This segment contributes to revenue through franchise fees and royalties.
Leadership and Structure
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is led by a management team with a CEO at the helm, responsible for overall strategy and operations. The company has a Board of Directors that oversees governance. Key leadership positions typically include roles in operations, marketing, finance, and human resources, with a hierarchical structure managing regional and individual restaurant operations.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gourmet Burgers: Red Robin is most famous for its wide variety of gourmet burgers, featuring unique toppings and flavor combinations. The company offers over two dozen types of burgers. Specific burger sales contribute significantly to overall revenue, though precise market share for individual burger types is not publicly disclosed. Competitors in the burger segment include McDonald's (MCD), Burger King (RBI), Shake Shack (SHAK), and other fast-casual and casual dining burger joints. Red Robin aims for a premium burger experience compared to fast-food giants.
- Appetizers: A range of appetizers, such as 'Bottomless' Steak Fries, onion rings, and various shareable plates, are a significant part of the menu, contributing to higher check averages. These compete with appetizers offered by most casual dining restaurants.
- Beverages and Desserts: The company also offers a selection of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, including specialty drinks, as well as decadent desserts, which are important for overall revenue and profitability.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
Red Robin operates within the highly competitive casual dining and fast-casual restaurant industry. The industry is characterized by evolving consumer tastes, a focus on value and convenience, and increasing competition from delivery services and ghost kitchens. Trends include a growing demand for healthier options, plant-based alternatives, and unique culinary experiences. Labor costs and supply chain disruptions are also significant factors.
Positioning
Red Robin positions itself as a family-friendly casual dining restaurant offering a 'Gourmet Burger' experience with a focus on quality ingredients and a fun atmosphere. Its 'Bottomless' fries and extensive burger customization are key differentiators. The company aims to provide a step up from traditional fast food while remaining accessible to a broad demographic. Its competitive advantages include its established brand recognition and a loyal customer base. However, it faces challenges from fast-casual concepts offering higher quality and speed, and from traditional fast-food chains adapting their offerings.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for the US casual dining and fast-casual restaurant sector is substantial, estimated in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. Red Robin operates within the burger-centric segment of this market. While precise TAM figures for 'gourmet burgers' are difficult to isolate, the overall burger market is a significant portion of the broader restaurant industry. Red Robin aims to capture a share of this market by offering a differentiated, full-service experience compared to fast-food competitors, and a more casual, accessible option compared to upscale dining.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition in the gourmet burger segment.
- Extensive menu variety, especially with burgers.
- Loyal customer base attracted to its unique offerings and atmosphere.
- 'Bottomless' fries and other signature value propositions.
- Established franchising model that can support growth.
Weaknesses
- High operating costs associated with full-service dining.
- Vulnerability to economic downturns affecting discretionary spending.
- Perceived as somewhat dated by younger demographics compared to newer fast-casual concepts.
- Dependence on a limited core product (burgers) making it susceptible to changing dietary trends.
- Past struggles with profitability and debt.
Opportunities
- Expansion of to-go and delivery services to capture more off-premise dining.
- Menu innovation, including healthier options and plant-based alternatives.
- Leveraging technology for personalized marketing and improved customer experience.
- Reimagining restaurant design and ambiance to attract a broader audience.
- Further optimization of operating costs and supply chain efficiencies.
Threats
- Intense competition from fast-food, fast-casual, and other casual dining chains.
- Rising food and labor costs.
- Changing consumer preferences and dietary trends (e.g., shift towards healthier eating).
- Economic recession impacting consumer spending on dining out.
- Negative publicity related to food safety or operational issues.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE)
- Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN)
- Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)
- Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG)
- McDonald's Corporation (MCD)
- Restaurant Brands International Inc. (RBI)
Competitive Landscape
Red Robin's competitive advantages lie in its niche as a gourmet burger specialist within the casual dining segment, its established brand, and its 'Bottomless' fries. However, it faces significant disadvantages in scale compared to fast-food giants like McDonald's and RBI, and in agility compared to fast-casual players like Chipotle. Competitors like The Cheesecake Factory and Darden offer broader dining experiences, while Shake Shack (not listed as a primary competitor here but relevant) offers a more premium fast-casual burger. Red Robin needs to continually innovate its menu and customer experience to stay relevant.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Red Robin's historical growth has been characterized by periods of significant expansion through franchising and acquisitions, followed by phases of consolidation and efforts to improve same-store sales. The company has faced challenges in consistently growing revenue and profitability, often impacted by industry headwinds and competitive pressures. Recent years have seen a focus on operational improvements and cost management.
Future Projections: Future growth projections for Red Robin are typically based on analyst estimates, which consider factors like same-store sales growth, new restaurant development (if any), margin improvements, and market trends. Analysts might project modest revenue growth, with a focus on enhancing profitability through operational efficiencies and menu optimization. Specific projections would vary depending on the analyst and the timeframe.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives at Red Robin have likely focused on enhancing the customer experience, optimizing operations, expanding digital channels (online ordering, delivery, loyalty programs), and menu diversification. This may include streamlining kitchen operations, improving staff training, and potentially updating restaurant designs to appeal to a modern diner.
Summary
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is a well-established casual dining chain specializing in gourmet burgers, possessing strong brand recognition. The company benefits from a loyal customer base and signature offerings like 'Bottomless' fries. However, it faces intense competition, rising operational costs, and the challenge of adapting to evolving consumer preferences in a dynamic restaurant market. Key areas for future success include expanding digital channels, menu innovation, and optimizing operational efficiencies to improve profitability.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations reports (e.g., 10-K, 10-Q filings)
- Financial news and analysis websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, MarketWatch, Seeking Alpha)
- Industry research reports on the restaurant sector
- General business knowledge
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general market knowledge. Financial data and market share figures are subject to change and may vary depending on the source and reporting period. This information should not be considered investment advice, and readers are encouraged to conduct their own due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-07-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. David A. Pace | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 21443 | Website https://www.redrobin.com |
Full time employees 21443 | Website https://www.redrobin.com | ||
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, soups, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.

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