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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
02/25/2026: RRGB (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $11.25
1 Year Target Price $11.25
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 65.21M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 11.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5 | Beta 2.3 | 52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 7.89 | Updated Date 02/25/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.50 - 7.89 | Updated Date 02/25/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.18 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-03-04 | When - | Estimate -0.585 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) -2.09% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 1.66% | Return on Equity (TTM) -238.31% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 631542514 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.05 |
Enterprise Value 631542514 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.05 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.51 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.19 | Shares Outstanding 17964459 | Shares Floating 13934312 |
Shares Outstanding 17964459 | Shares Floating 13934312 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.81 | Percent Institutions 66.97 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. was founded in 1969 by Gerry Kingen in Seattle, Washington. Originally named 'Red Robin', it began as a small bar with a juke box playing "Good Ol' Boys" by Frank Sinatra. The first gourmet burger was added to the menu in 1973. The company grew through franchising and acquisitions, expanding its presence across the United States. Key milestones include its initial public offering (IPO) and subsequent periods of rapid expansion and challenges in adapting to changing consumer tastes and market conditions. In 2019, the company was taken private by an affiliate of Sardar Biglariu2019s investment firm, Biglari Holdings Inc.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: Operates and franchises Red Robin gourmet burger restaurants known for their extensive burger menu, bottomless fries, and casual dining experience. This includes dine-in, takeout, and delivery services.
- Brand Development and Marketing: Focuses on building brand loyalty, attracting new customers, and promoting menu innovations through various marketing campaigns and digital platforms.
Leadership and Structure
As a privately held company since 2019, Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is managed by a leadership team appointed by its parent company, Biglari Holdings Inc. Specific details on the current operational leadership team are best obtained from Biglari Holdings' investor relations or official company statements. The organizational structure is typical of a large restaurant chain, with divisions for operations, marketing, finance, human resources, and supply chain management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Gourmet Burgers: Red Robin's signature offering, featuring a wide variety of burger creations with unique toppings and sauces. The company is known for its 'Greatest Burgers Anywhere' slogan. Specific market share data for individual burger types is not publicly disclosed. Competitors include Five Guys, Shake Shack, McDonald's (McRib, specialty burgers), Burger King, and local burger joints.
- Bottomless Fries: A signature unlimited side of crispy fries that is a key differentiator and customer draw. Market share data is not available. Competitors offer unlimited fries as promotions or part of meal deals (e.g., Five Guys).
- Craft Beer and Beverages: A selection of craft beers, milkshakes, and other beverages to complement the food menu. Market share data is not specific to Red Robin's beverage offerings. Competitors include any restaurant serving alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The casual dining segment of the restaurant industry is highly competitive and influenced by evolving consumer preferences for healthier options, plant-based alternatives, convenience (delivery, takeout), and value for money. The industry is also sensitive to economic conditions, labor costs, and food inflation.
Positioning
Red Robin is positioned as a mid-tier casual dining restaurant focused on gourmet burgers and a family-friendly atmosphere. Its competitive advantages include its extensive burger menu, the 'bottomless fries' offering, and a loyal customer base built over decades. However, it faces strong competition from fast-casual burger chains, fast-food giants, and other casual dining establishments.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The U.S. restaurant market is valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars. The burger segment alone represents a significant portion of this. Red Robin operates within the casual dining segment of this broad market. Its positioning is within the gourmet burger niche within the overall burger market, facing both direct burger competitors and broader casual dining options.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established brand recognition and loyal customer base.
- Signature 'bottomless fries' offering provides a unique selling proposition.
- Extensive and diverse gourmet burger menu caters to various preferences.
- Strong franchise model and operational experience.
- Private ownership under Biglari Holdings may allow for focused strategic decisions.
Weaknesses
- Facing intense competition from fast-casual burger chains and other casual dining options.
- Perception of being a dated brand compared to newer, trendier competitors.
- Historically struggled with profitability and operational efficiency.
- Reliance on dine-in traffic, which can be vulnerable to external factors.
- Potential for menu fatigue among customers.
Opportunities
- Expanding off-premise dining options (delivery, online ordering, catering).
- Menu innovation with healthier options, plant-based burgers, and limited-time offers (LTOs).
- Leveraging technology for improved customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Targeting new demographic segments with tailored marketing.
- Potential for real estate optimization and streamlining operations under private ownership.
Threats
- Rising labor and food costs impacting profit margins.
- Economic downturns leading to reduced consumer discretionary spending.
- Increased competition from national chains and independent restaurants.
- Shifting consumer preferences towards healthier eating and plant-based diets.
- Negative publicity or food safety incidents.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (US: CAKE)
- Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (US: CMG)
- McDonald's Corporation (US: MCD)
- Burger King (part of Restaurant Brands International Inc.) (US: RBI)
- Five Guys Burgers and Fries (Private)
- Shake Shack Inc. (US: SHAK)
Competitive Landscape
Red Robin's advantage lies in its established brand and extensive burger menu. However, it is at a disadvantage against larger, more diversified players like McDonald's and fast-casual leaders like Chipotle and Shake Shack, which often offer perceived better value, healthier options, or more modern dining experiences. Its success hinges on differentiating its gourmet burger offering and improving operational efficiency to compete on value and experience.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Red Robin experienced significant growth through expansion and franchising. However, in recent years, it has faced challenges in maintaining consistent growth and profitability, leading to a strategic shift to privatization.
Future Projections: Future projections for Red Robin are intrinsically linked to the strategic direction set by Biglari Holdings Inc. as a private entity. Analysts would typically provide projections based on the company's operational plans, market conditions, and management's strategic initiatives.
Recent Initiatives: Following its privatization, Red Robin has focused on operational efficiencies, cost management, and potentially optimizing its restaurant footprint. Initiatives likely include improving the off-premise dining experience, menu adjustments, and leveraging technology to enhance customer engagement and operational performance.
Summary
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc., now privately held, possesses a recognized brand and a loyal customer base drawn to its gourmet burgers and 'bottomless fries'. However, it operates in a fiercely competitive casual dining market, facing pressure from fast-casual alternatives and larger chains. The company's strengths lie in its established concept, while its weaknesses include past profitability struggles and the need to adapt to evolving consumer tastes. Future success will depend on effective strategic initiatives under private ownership to enhance operational efficiency, innovate its menu, and strengthen its digital presence.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) prior to privatization.
- Financial news and analysis websites (e.g., Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg).
- Industry reports and market research data.
- Biglari Holdings Inc. investor relations (for current status).
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and general industry knowledge. As Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. is now a privately held company, detailed financial performance and strategic updates may be limited. Market share data for specific product categories or the entire industry is an estimate and can vary based on reporting methodology. This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Englewood, CO, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2002-07-19 | President, CEO & Director Mr. David A. Pace | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 21443 | Website https://www.redrobin.com |
Full time employees 21443 | Website https://www.redrobin.com | ||
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, soups, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Englewood, Colorado.

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