Dutch Bros Inc logo

Dutch Bros Inc(BROS)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$37.74
09/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BROS

09/28/2026: BROS (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Dutch Bros Inc is a high-growth operator and franchisor of drive-thru coffee shops that distinguishes itself through an energetic customer-service culture and proprietary beverage menu. The company has a leading position in its core markets and has demonstrated strong revenue growth through a proven, scalable, and capital-efficient unit expansion model. Its primary investment story centers on the vast national whitespace available for new shop openings. However, the company faces notable risks, including intense competition from global giants, exposure to rising labor costs, and a high valuation that hinges on sustained execution. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors who can tolerate volatility while monitoring unit-growth momentum.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorStrong fitThe company is in an aggressive unit-expansion phase, prioritizing revenue growth over immediate profitability.
Momentum investorMixed fitStock performance is highly sensitive to earnings surprises and unit growth targets.
Value investorWeak fitThe company's valuation is typically priced for high growth, lacking traditional value characteristics.
Dividend investorWeak fitThere is no current dividend policy as cash is reinvested into the business.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe stock exhibits significant volatility typical of high-growth retail concepts.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock's beta reflects high sensitivity to broader market swings and growth expectations.
Valuation riskHighHigh P/E multiples require sustained growth to justify current share prices.
Competition risk (Coffee giants)Medium / highAggressive promotional pricing from competitors could pressure margins and traffic.
Business qualityMediumThe company has a strong brand, but operational consistency remains vital during rapid scaling.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect income generation from this stock.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccess depends on finding and staffing high-quality locations consistently.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 85.32%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
BROS receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and strong analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
BROS has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+126.5%) and solid revenue growth (+27.9%) are partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 3.3%), soft profitability (net margin 4.9%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
BROS's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (3.3% of revenue). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is BROS's strongest growth driver at +126.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). Revenue growth (+27.9%, solid) and free-cash-flow growth (+120.3%, strong) are also constructive, though not equally high across every growth measure.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 95.7% and approximately 94.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 5.18% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 10.06%
FMR Inc 6.94%
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 5.53%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.13%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 3.97%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
BROS generates approximately $259 of gross profit, $98 of operating income, and $33 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with soft cash conversion and moderate capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 13.53%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
BROS has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.65B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 52.62
1Y Target Price 75.48
Price to earnings Ratio 52.62
1Y Target Price 75.48
Volume (30-day avg) 4.2M shares
Beta 2.29
52 Weeks Range 37.40 - 74.02
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 37.40 - 74.02
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 0.72

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Company-Operated ShopsDirect sales of beverages and food at locations owned by Dutch Bros.This is the primary way the company drives top-line revenue through daily operations.
FranchisingRoyalty fees and initial franchise fees from partner-owned shops.High-margin revenue stream that allows for expansion with lower capital requirements.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 52.62
Forward PE 32.57
Enterprise Value 6.24B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.53
Enterprise Value 6.24B
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.53
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.31
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 19.48
Shares Outstanding 137.94M
Shares Floating 130.18M
Shares Outstanding 137.94M
Shares Floating 130.18M
Percent Insiders 5.18
Percent Institutions 95.66

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Dutch Bros Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters Tempe, AZ, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-09-15
CEO, President & Director Ms. Christine Barone
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 27000
Full time employees 27000

Dutch Bros Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates and franchises drive-thru shops in the United States. The company sells and distributes coffee, coffee-related products, and accessories. It operates through Company-Operated Shops and Franchising and Other segments. The company sells its products under various brands such as Dutch Bros, Dutch Bros Coffee, Dutch Bros Rebel, Dutch Bros, and Blue Rebel. Dutch Bros Inc. was founded in 1992 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.