- Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI SWOT - About
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- Pass (Skip investing)
Stock price based on last close (see disclosures)
- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
Upturn Advisory Summary
12/04/2025: CMG (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $43.18
1 Year Target Price $43.18
| 20 | Strong Buy |
| 4 | Buy |
| 10 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 42.68% | Avg. Invested days 66 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 45.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 30.04 | 1Y Target Price 43.18 |
Price to earnings Ratio 30.04 | 1Y Target Price 43.18 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 34 | Beta 0.99 | 52 Weeks Range 29.75 - 66.74 | Updated Date 12/5/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 29.75 - 66.74 | Updated Date 12/5/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.13 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 13.04% | Operating Margin (TTM) 16.13% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 13.58% | Return on Equity (TTM) 44.96% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 30.04 | Forward PE 28.33 | Enterprise Value 48714636700 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86 |
Enterprise Value 48714636700 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.13 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.74 | Shares Outstanding 1322278000 | Shares Floating 1313061722 |
Shares Outstanding 1322278000 | Shares Floating 1313061722 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.67 | Percent Institutions 90.4 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. was founded in 1993 by Steve Ells in Denver, Colorado. It aimed to offer a fast-casual dining experience focused on fresh, high-quality ingredients. Significant milestones include its IPO in 2006 and expansion across the US and internationally. Over time, Chipotle has focused on sustainability and responsible sourcing, facing occasional food safety challenges.
Core Business Areas
- Restaurant Operations: This segment includes all company-operated restaurants where customers can order and dine in or take out food. The restaurants serves made-to-order burritos, bowls, tacos and salads.
Leadership and Structure
Brian Niccol serves as the Chairman and CEO. The organizational structure includes executive leadership overseeing various functions such as operations, finance, marketing, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Burritos: Chipotle's signature product, featuring a variety of fillings like rice, beans, meats, salsas, and vegetables. Competitors include Qdoba and Moe's Southwest Grill. Market share is difficult to isolate specifically for burritos.
- Bowls: A similar offering to burritos, served in a bowl without a tortilla. Customers enjoy this as a lower carb meal option. Competitors include Freebirds and many other fast casual restaurants.
- Tacos: Soft or crispy tacos filled with various proteins, toppings, and salsas. Competitors include Taco Bell and Del Taco. Market share is difficult to isolate specifically for tacos.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The fast-casual restaurant industry is characterized by competition, changing consumer preferences, and evolving food trends. Key drivers include demand for healthier options, convenience, and customizable meals.
Positioning
Chipotle is positioned as a leader in the fast-casual Mexican food segment, emphasizing fresh ingredients, customizable meals, and a commitment to sustainability. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, supply chain management, and focus on quality ingredients.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global fast food market is projected to reach $931.7 billion in 2028. Chipotle is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM, especially in the fast-casual Mexican sector by expanding its restaurant locations and digital offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong Brand Recognition
- Focus on Fresh Ingredients
- Customizable Menu
- Efficient Restaurant Operations
- Loyalty Program
- Robust digital presence
Weaknesses
- History of Food Safety Issues
- Higher Price Point Compared to Fast Food
- Menu Limited to Mexican Cuisine
- Dependence on Supply Chain for Fresh Produce
Opportunities
- Expansion into New Markets (International)
- Menu Innovation (New Items, Limited Time Offers)
- Enhance Digital Ordering and Delivery
- Leverage Loyalty Program for Targeted Marketing
- Increase drive-thru 'Chipotlane' locations
Threats
- Increased Competition from Other Fast-Casual Chains
- Fluctuations in Food Costs
- Changes in Consumer Preferences
- Economic Downturn Affecting Consumer Spending
- Food Safety Scandals Impacting Brand Reputation
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- YUM
- MCD
- WEN
- QSR
Competitive Landscape
Chipotle's advantage lies in its focus on fresh ingredients and customizable meals. However, it faces competition from larger fast-food chains with more diversified menus and extensive global presence.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Chipotle has experienced steady growth in revenue and restaurant locations over the past decade, driven by expansion and increased same-store sales.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Chipotle, driven by new restaurant openings, digital sales, and menu innovation.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expansion of Chipotlanes, enhanced digital ordering and delivery capabilities, and the launch of new menu items.
Summary
Chipotle has built a strong brand based on fresh, customizable Mexican food. While its focus on quality is a strength, past food safety issues remain a vulnerability. Continued expansion, particularly through digital channels and new store formats like Chipotlanes, offers growth potential. It needs to remain proactive to mitigate external threats and stay ahead of consumer preferences.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on independent research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Newport Beach, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2006-01-26 | CEO & Director Mr. Scott Boatwright | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Restaurants | Full time employees 130000 | Website https://www.chipotle.com |
Full time employees 130000 | Website https://www.chipotle.com | ||
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as lifestyle bowls, kids's meal, chips, sides, and drinks. The company also provides delivery and related services through its app and website. It has operations in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Dubai, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.

Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
Home 

