Home 
Today's Top Picks 
Top Performers 
Watchlist 
My Robo Portfolios 
ETF Zone 
How It Works 
News - Chart
- Upturn Summary
- Highlights
- Revenue
- Valuation
Upturn AI Summary - About
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc(CMG)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CMG
10/19/2026: CMG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Chipotle Mexican Grill is a leading fast-casual restaurant chain known for its focus on fresh, high-quality ingredients and a company-owned restaurant model. The company's primary strengths include its strong brand identity, highly efficient digital-first operations, and reliable unit-level profitability. Its main growth story is centered on the aggressive expansion of its store footprint, particularly via 'Chipotlane' drive-thrus, and menu innovation. Investors should monitor risks such as rising food and labor costs, food safety challenges, and a high valuation that demands consistent performance. The stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors, though it remains sensitive to broader consumer spending trends and market sentiment.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Strong fit | The company has a consistent history of scaling operations and increasing earnings, making it a staple for growth-oriented portfolios. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | Chipotle often displays strong relative strength and price momentum, making it attractive when market sentiment is bullish. |
| Value investor | Weak fit | The stock historically trades at a high P/E multiple, which often conflicts with traditional value investing valuation criteria. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Chipotle does not currently pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused portfolios. |
| Low-risk investor | Mixed fit | While the business model is high-quality, the stock's high valuation and growth expectations can lead to significant price volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium / high | The stock often experiences sharp price movements based on quarterly same-store sales data. |
| Valuation risk | High | A high earnings multiple leaves little room for error if growth expectations are not met. |
| Competition risk (fast-casual peers) | Medium | Increasing competition from peers like CAVA could pressure market share. |
| Business quality | Strong | The company maintains a high-quality, recognizable brand with strong unit-level economics. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not rely on this stock for current income. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Rapid expansion requires consistent execution in staffing and quality control across thousands of locations. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 0.94% | Avg. Invested days 48 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/19/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 37.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.42 | 1Y Target Price 43.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.42 | 1Y Target Price 43.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 18.2M shares | Beta 0.96 | 52 Weeks Range 28.04 - 42.74 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 28.04 - 42.74 | Updated Date 10/18/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.09 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Restaurant Sales | In-store dining, digital order pick-up, and third-party delivery sales of burritos, bowls, and salads. | The vast majority of revenue comes from customers buying food directly at company-owned locations. |
| Geography: North America | Over 3,500 locations across the United States, with select presence in Canada. | The company's success is heavily tied to the health of the North American consumer economy. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.42 | Forward PE 28.49 | Enterprise Value 51.94B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.04 |
Enterprise Value 51.94B | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.04 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.94 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 24.4 | Shares Outstanding 1.27B | Shares Floating 1.26B |
Shares Outstanding 1.27B | Shares Floating 1.26B | ||
Percent Insiders 0.72 | Percent Institutions 92.64 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
Note: This website is maintained by Upturn Corporation, which is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Such registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Investing in securities has risks. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. No assurance is provided as to any particular investment return, and you may lose money using our services. You are strongly advised to consult appropriate counsel before making any investments in companies you learn about through our services. You should obtain appropriate legal, tax, investment, accounting, and other advice that takes into account your investment portfolio and overall financial situation. You are solely responsible for conducting due diligence on a potential investment. We do not affect trades for you. You will select your own broker through which to transact. Investments are not FDIC insured, they are not guaranteed, and they may lose value. Please see the Privacy Policy, Terms of Use, and Disclosure for more information.
All company names, trademarks, logos, and brands are the property of their respective owners and are used for identification and informational purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks, and logos does not imply endorsement by their respective owners.