CMG official logo CMG
CMG 2-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) company logo

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) 2-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$34.15
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/04/2025: CMG (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 2 star rating for performance

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

5 star rating from financial analysts

34 Analysts rated it

Highly popular stock, broad analyst coverage, trusted insights, strong investor interest.

1 Year Target Price $43.18

1 Year Target Price $43.18

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$43.18 Target price
52w Low $29.75
Current$34.15
52w High $66.74

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 42.68%
Avg. Invested days 66
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/04/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 45.51B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 30.04
1Y Target Price 43.18
Price to earnings Ratio 30.04
1Y Target Price 43.18
Volume (30-day avg) 34
Beta 0.99
52 Weeks Range 29.75 - 66.74
Updated Date 12/5/2025
52 Weeks Range 29.75 - 66.74
Updated Date 12/5/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.13

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.04%
Operating Margin (TTM) 16.13%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 13.58%
Return on Equity (TTM) 44.96%

Valuation

Trailing PE 30.04
Forward PE 28.33
Enterprise Value 48714636700
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86
Enterprise Value 48714636700
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.86
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.13
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 20.74
Shares Outstanding 1322278000
Shares Floating 1313061722
Shares Outstanding 1322278000
Shares Floating 1313061722
Percent Insiders 0.67
Percent Institutions 90.4

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc(CMG) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. was founded in 1993 by Steve Ells in Denver, Colorado. It aimed to offer a fast-casual dining experience focused on fresh, high-quality ingredients. Significant milestones include its IPO in 2006 and expansion across the US and internationally. Over time, Chipotle has focused on sustainability and responsible sourcing, facing occasional food safety challenges.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Restaurant Operations: This segment includes all company-operated restaurants where customers can order and dine in or take out food. The restaurants serves made-to-order burritos, bowls, tacos and salads.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Brian Niccol serves as the Chairman and CEO. The organizational structure includes executive leadership overseeing various functions such as operations, finance, marketing, and technology.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Burritos: Chipotle's signature product, featuring a variety of fillings like rice, beans, meats, salsas, and vegetables. Competitors include Qdoba and Moe's Southwest Grill. Market share is difficult to isolate specifically for burritos.
  • Bowls: A similar offering to burritos, served in a bowl without a tortilla. Customers enjoy this as a lower carb meal option. Competitors include Freebirds and many other fast casual restaurants.
  • Tacos: Soft or crispy tacos filled with various proteins, toppings, and salsas. Competitors include Taco Bell and Del Taco. Market share is difficult to isolate specifically for tacos.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The fast-casual restaurant industry is characterized by competition, changing consumer preferences, and evolving food trends. Key drivers include demand for healthier options, convenience, and customizable meals.

Positioning

Chipotle is positioned as a leader in the fast-casual Mexican food segment, emphasizing fresh ingredients, customizable meals, and a commitment to sustainability. Its competitive advantages include brand recognition, supply chain management, and focus on quality ingredients.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global fast food market is projected to reach $931.7 billion in 2028. Chipotle is positioned to capture a portion of this TAM, especially in the fast-casual Mexican sector by expanding its restaurant locations and digital offerings.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong Brand Recognition
  • Focus on Fresh Ingredients
  • Customizable Menu
  • Efficient Restaurant Operations
  • Loyalty Program
  • Robust digital presence

Weaknesses

  • History of Food Safety Issues
  • Higher Price Point Compared to Fast Food
  • Menu Limited to Mexican Cuisine
  • Dependence on Supply Chain for Fresh Produce

Opportunities

  • Expansion into New Markets (International)
  • Menu Innovation (New Items, Limited Time Offers)
  • Enhance Digital Ordering and Delivery
  • Leverage Loyalty Program for Targeted Marketing
  • Increase drive-thru 'Chipotlane' locations

Threats

  • Increased Competition from Other Fast-Casual Chains
  • Fluctuations in Food Costs
  • Changes in Consumer Preferences
  • Economic Downturn Affecting Consumer Spending
  • Food Safety Scandals Impacting Brand Reputation

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • YUM
  • MCD
  • WEN
  • QSR

Competitive Landscape

Chipotle's advantage lies in its focus on fresh ingredients and customizable meals. However, it faces competition from larger fast-food chains with more diversified menus and extensive global presence.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Chipotle has experienced steady growth in revenue and restaurant locations over the past decade, driven by expansion and increased same-store sales.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth for Chipotle, driven by new restaurant openings, digital sales, and menu innovation.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expansion of Chipotlanes, enhanced digital ordering and delivery capabilities, and the launch of new menu items.

Summary

Chipotle has built a strong brand based on fresh, customizable Mexican food. While its focus on quality is a strength, past food safety issues remain a vulnerability. Continued expansion, particularly through digital channels and new store formats like Chipotlanes, offers growth potential. It needs to remain proactive to mitigate external threats and stay ahead of consumer preferences.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on independent research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Newport Beach, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2006-01-26
CEO & Director Mr. Scott Boatwright
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 130000
Full time employees 130000

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as lifestyle bowls, kids's meal, chips, sides, and drinks. The company also provides delivery and related services through its app and website. It has operations in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Dubai, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.