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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$50.89
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/12/2025: CMG (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

rating

34 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.

Year Target Price $57.94

Year Target Price $57.94

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$57.94Target price
Low$44.46
Current$50.89
high$66.74

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 67.76%
Avg. Invested days 77
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/12/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 74.17B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 48.72
1Y Target Price 57.75
Price to earnings Ratio 48.72
1Y Target Price 57.75
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 1.06
52 Weeks Range 44.46 - 66.74
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 44.46 - 66.74
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.13

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 13.59%
Operating Margin (TTM) 17.3%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 14.35%
Return on Equity (TTM) 45.57%

Valuation

Trailing PE 48.72
Forward PE 45.66
Enterprise Value 77390745200
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.46
Enterprise Value 77390745200
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.46
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.74
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 32.74
Shares Outstanding 1347360000
Shares Floating 1338080662
Shares Outstanding 1347360000
Shares Floating 1338080662
Percent Insiders 0.68
Percent Institutions 90.08

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.29
Target Price 57.94
Buy 4
Strong Buy 20
Buy 4
Strong Buy 20
Hold 10
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. was founded in 1993 by Steve Ells in Denver, Colorado. It aimed to offer a fast-casual dining experience with high-quality ingredients and customizable meals. Significant milestones include its initial public offering in 2006 and expansion across the United States and internationally. Chipotle has evolved from a single restaurant to a major player in the fast-casual dining sector.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Restaurant Operations: Chipotle's primary business involves operating and franchising Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. These restaurants serve a variety of Mexican-inspired dishes, including burritos, bowls, tacos, and salads.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Brian Niccol serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with regional and district managers overseeing restaurant operations. The board of directors provides strategic oversight.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Burritos: Burritos are a core product, consisting of a flour tortilla filled with rice, beans, meat (or sofritas), salsa, guacamole, and other toppings. Chipotleu2019s burritos are a significant revenue driver. Competitors include Qdoba, Moe's Southwest Grill, and various local burrito shops.
  • Bowls: Bowls offer the same ingredients as burritos but without the tortilla, catering to health-conscious consumers. Bowls are a popular choice and contribute significantly to revenue. Competitors include Sweetgreen and other fast-casual salad and bowl concepts.
  • Tacos: Tacos are offered with a choice of fillings and toppings. Tacos contribute to overall sales. Competitors include Taco Bell and local taquerias.
  • Salads: Salads offer a light and healthy choice with similar ingredients to burritos and bowls. Salads are important in drawing in different customer segment. Competitors include Sweetgreen, Tender Greens and Just Salad.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The fast-casual dining industry is characterized by higher quality ingredients and a more customized experience compared to traditional fast food. It's a competitive market with increasing consumer demand for healthier and ethically sourced food options.

Positioning

Chipotle is positioned as a leader in the fast-casual Mexican food segment. Its competitive advantages include its commitment to fresh ingredients, customizable menu, and brand recognition.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global fast-casual market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Chipotle is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through expansion and innovation.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Focus on fresh, high-quality ingredients
  • Customizable menu
  • Efficient restaurant operations
  • Strong digital ordering capabilities

Weaknesses

  • Past food safety incidents impacting reputation
  • Price point higher than traditional fast food
  • Reliance on a limited menu
  • Supply chain vulnerabilities

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Menu innovation (e.g., plant-based options)
  • Enhancing digital ordering and delivery
  • Loyalty program enhancements

Threats

  • Increased competition from other fast-casual chains
  • Fluctuations in food costs
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Economic downturn impacting discretionary spending

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • QSR
  • YUM
  • TACO

Competitive Landscape

Chipotle's advantages include its strong brand, fresh ingredients, and customizable menu. Disadvantages include a higher price point and past food safety issues compared to some competitors.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Chipotle has experienced significant growth in revenue and restaurant count over the past decade, with some fluctuations due to food safety incidents.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued growth in revenue and earnings driven by new restaurant openings, same-store sales growth, and digital initiatives.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding digital ordering capabilities, introducing new menu items (e.g., carne asada), and enhancing the loyalty program.

Summary

Chipotle demonstrates strength through its brand recognition and dedication to fresh ingredients, but needs to monitor for supply chain vulnerabilities and food safety. Continued menu innovation and digital expansion are working well, driving growth. Economic downturns and competitive pressure remain potential challenges. Overall, Chipotle exhibits a strong growth trajectory with minor areas for potential improvement.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings
  • Analyst Reports
  • Industry Reports

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Newport Beach, CA, United States
IPO Launch date 2006-01-26
CEO & Director Mr. Scott Boatwright
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 130504
Full time employees 130504

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages, such as burritos, burrito bowls, quesadillas, tacos, and salads, as well as lifestyle bowls, kids's meal, chips, sides, and drinks. The company also provides delivery and related services through its app and website. It has operations in the United States, Canada, France, Germany, Dubai, and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach, California.