MCD logo MCD
Upturn stock rating
MCD logo

McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)

Upturn stock rating
$298.43
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/31/2025: MCD (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

36 Analysts rated it

Highly popular stock, broad analyst coverage, trusted insights, strong investor interest.

1 Year Target Price $330.1

1 Year Target Price $330.1

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$330.1 Target price
52w Low $271.86
Current$298.43
52w High $322.66

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 13.11%
Avg. Invested days 50
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/31/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 212.96B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 25.57
1Y Target Price 330.1
Price to earnings Ratio 25.57
1Y Target Price 330.1
Volume (30-day avg) 36
Beta 0.5
52 Weeks Range 271.86 - 322.66
Updated Date 11/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 271.86 - 322.66
Updated Date 11/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.31%
Basic EPS (TTM) 11.67

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-11-05
When Before Market
Estimate 3.33
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 32.21%
Operating Margin (TTM) 47.67%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 13.26%
Return on Equity (TTM) -

Valuation

Trailing PE 25.57
Forward PE 22.62
Enterprise Value 267986697667
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.17
Enterprise Value 267986697667
Price to Sales(TTM) 8.17
Enterprise Value to Revenue 10.28
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 18.81
Shares Outstanding 713604434
Shares Floating 712377034
Shares Outstanding 713604434
Shares Floating 712377034
Percent Insiders 0.23
Percent Institutions 75.03

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

McDonald’s Corporation

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Founded in 1940 by Richard and Maurice McDonald, McDonald's Corporation is a global foodservice retailer. Ray Kroc joined in 1954 and built it into the global franchise it is today. Significant milestones include introducing the Speedee Service System, franchising, international expansion, and menu diversification.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Franchising: McDonald's primarily operates through a franchise system, granting licenses to independent owner-operators who run restaurants under the McDonald's brand. This includes rental income from properties leased to franchisees.
  • Company-Operated Restaurants: McDonald's also owns and operates restaurants, generating revenue through direct sales to customers.
  • Supply Chain: Manages a global supply chain, ensuring consistent quality and sourcing of food products.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Chris Kempczinski. The organizational structure is hierarchical, with regional and functional divisions supporting global operations. The Board of Directors oversees management.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Big Mac: A flagship burger consisting of two beef patties, special sauce, lettuce, cheese, pickles, and onions on a sesame seed bun. Competitors include Burger King's Whopper and Wendy's Dave's Single. Estimated market share within the burger category is difficult to isolate specifically for the Big Mac, but it contributes significantly to McDonald's overall burger sales.
  • French Fries: McDonald's fries are a popular side dish. They hold a significant market share within the fast-food french fry market, competing with fries from Burger King, Wendy's, and other quick-service restaurants.
  • Happy Meal: A meal targeted towards children, including a main item, side, drink, and a toy. Competitors include similar kids' meals offered by Burger King and Wendy's. Market share is significant as it attracts family business.
  • Coffee and Beverages: Offers a range of hot and cold beverages, including McCafu00e9 coffee and soft drinks. Competes with Starbucks, Dunkin', and other beverage retailers. Market share is growing with the McCafu00e9 brand.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry is highly competitive, with trends including digital ordering, delivery, menu innovation, and focus on value. The industry is influenced by consumer preferences for convenience and affordability.

Positioning

McDonald's is positioned as a leading global QSR chain, known for its brand recognition, consistency, and affordability. Its competitive advantages include a vast restaurant network, strong supply chain, and brand loyalty.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global QSR market is estimated at hundreds of billions of dollars. McDonald's is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its global presence and brand recognition.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Global Brand Recognition
  • Extensive Restaurant Network
  • Strong Supply Chain
  • Franchise Business Model
  • Brand Loyalty

Weaknesses

  • Negative Perceptions About Health
  • High Employee Turnover
  • Franchise Dependence
  • Menu Stagnation (Historically)

Opportunities

  • Menu Innovation (Healthier Options)
  • Digital Ordering and Delivery Growth
  • International Expansion (Emerging Markets)
  • Technological Advancement (Automation)
  • Plant-Based Menu Items

Threats

  • Changing Consumer Preferences (Healthier Eating)
  • Increased Competition
  • Economic Downturns
  • Rising Labor Costs
  • Supply Chain Disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • YUM
  • QSR
  • WEN

Competitive Landscape

McDonald's advantages include its scale, brand recognition, and franchise model. Disadvantages include negative health perceptions and potential menu stagnation compared to competitors.

Major Acquisitions

Apprente

  • Year: 2019
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 0
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquired to enhance voice-based ordering technology.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: McDonald's has experienced steady growth over the years, driven by expansion into new markets, menu innovation, and technology investments.

Future Projections: Future growth is projected to be driven by digital initiatives, menu diversification, and international expansion.

Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investments in technology (mobile ordering, delivery), menu innovation (plant-based options), and restaurant modernization.

Summary

McDonald's is a dominant force in the QSR industry due to its global brand and franchise model. It benefits from its scale, but faces challenges from health concerns and competition. Strategic investments in technology and menu innovation are crucial for future growth and maintain market dominance. Supply chain disruptions and changing consumer tastes are key risks.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • McDonald's Corporation Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings
  • Market Research Reports (e.g., IBISWorld, Statista)
  • Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Yahoo Finance)

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data and estimates are subject to change. Financial data and performance should be independently verified.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About McDonald’s Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 1965-04-21
Chairman President, & CEO Mr. Christopher J. Kempczinski
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Restaurants
Full time employees 150000
Full time employees 150000

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.