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The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.(BWIN)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-0.28%
LAST CLOSE
$31.95
09/22/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • BUY Advisory
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  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
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Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for BWIN

09/22/2026: BWIN (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 15%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/22/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

BWIN receives a 3-star rating, supported by available scored pillars. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

BWIN has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-37.9%), soft cash generation (FCF margin -4.6%), moderate revenue growth (+9.3%).

Financial Health Rating

BWIN's financial health is supported by moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 5.5% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

Revenue growth is BWIN's strongest growth driver at +9.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while earnings growth (-37.9%, negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-212.8%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

Institutional ownership is 98.0% and approximately 77.6% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 2.57% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 14.41%
William Blair Investment Management, LLC 6.95%
BlackRock Inc 6.87%
Bank of New York Mellon Corp 4.05%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 3.59%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

BWIN generates approximately $128 of gross profit, $73 of operating income, and $-46 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong cash conversion and healthy margins support the rating, although capital efficiency remains below the highest tier.

Economic Dimensions

Effective Tax Rate: 35.50%

Quantitative Style Profile

BWIN has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.09B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 32.93
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 32.93
Volume (30-day avg) 3.3M shares
Beta 1.03
52 Weeks Range 15.88 - 32.70
Updated Date 09/22/2026
52 Weeks Range 15.88 - 32.70
Updated Date 09/22/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.05

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 12.33
Enterprise Value 6.97B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78
Enterprise Value 6.97B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.78
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.05
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 84.25
Shares Outstanding 96.84M
Shares Floating 75.15M
Shares Outstanding 96.84M
Shares Floating 75.15M
Percent Insiders 2.57
Percent Institutions 98.01

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc.

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Tampa, FL, United States
IPO Launch date 2019-10-24
President & CEO of Retail Brokerage Operations Mr. Daniel Galbraith
Sector Financial Services
Industry Insurance Brokers
Full time employees 5000
Full time employees 5000

The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. operates as an independent insurance distribution firm that delivers insurance and risk management solutions in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Insurance Advisory Solutions; Underwriting, Capacity & Technology Solutions; and Mainstreet Insurance Solutions. Its Insurance Advisory Solutions segment provides private risk management, commercial risk management, employee benefits, and Medicare insurance solutions for businesses and high-net-worth individuals, as well as their families. The Underwriting, Capacity & Technology Solutions segment offers MGA platform, that manufactures technology-enabled insurance product suite comprises personal, commercial, and professional lines. Its Mainstreet Insurance Solutions segment provides personal insurance, commercial insurance, and life and health solutions to individuals and businesses in communities, as well as offers reinsurance brokerage; and consultation for government assistance programs and solutions, including traditional Medicare and Medicare advantage and affordable care act to seniors and eligible individuals through a network of primarily independent contractor agents. The company was formerly known as BRP Group, Inc. and changed its name to The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. in May 2024. The Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.