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Upturn AI Summary - About
Avis Budget Group Inc(CAR)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CAR
10/27/2026: CAR (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Avis Budget Group is a major player in the global vehicle rental industry, operating well-known brands such as Avis, Budget, and Zipcar. The company benefits from a strong footprint in travel hubs, offering a multi-brand strategy that captures both premium and value-conscious segments. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging digital mobility platforms and operational efficiencies, while its core risks include high debt levels, sensitivity to used-car price fluctuations, and competition from ride-sharing services. The stock may suit value-oriented investors who are comfortable with the cyclical nature of travel demand, though the lack of dividends requires a focus on capital returns through share repurchases.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth is largely tied to cyclical travel demand rather than structural tech-driven expansion. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often exhibits high beta and sensitivity to travel trends that can lead to significant price momentum. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at low valuation multiples, though earnings volatility requires careful analysis. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | Avis Budget Group does not pay a regular dividend, prioritizing share repurchases instead. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | High debt levels and cyclical revenue create significant volatility that is unsuitable for risk-averse portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is highly sensitive to travel sector cycles and broader economic conditions. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Earnings can swing dramatically, making traditional P/E ratios difficult to interpret. |
| Competition risk (Ride-sharing) | Medium / high | Alternative mobility options like Uber and Lyft challenge the traditional car rental value proposition. |
| Business quality | Medium | The business is capital intensive and dependent on large, recurring fleet acquisitions. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Income-focused investors will find no yield here. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Optimizing fleet mix and remarketing vehicles is essential for maintaining margins. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Extreme Price Shocks
The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 468.34% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  5.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/27/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.60B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 122.86 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 122.86 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 442.3K shares | Beta 2.11 | 52 Weeks Range 85.96 - 847.70 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 85.96 - 847.70 | Updated Date 10/26/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -18.13 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Vehicle Rental | Daily and weekly car rentals under Avis, Budget, and local brands. | The core business is renting cars to travelers and local customers. |
| Car Sharing | Zipcar subscription and on-demand hourly rentals. | A smaller, tech-focused segment serving urban commuters. |
| Geography | Operations split between the Americas and International regions. | Most revenue comes from the Americas, though global presence provides diversification. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-03 | When After Market | Estimate 8.47 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -5.43% | Operating Margin (TTM) 14.91% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 2.7% | Return on Equity (TTM) -273.05% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 3.39 | Enterprise Value 32.14B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31 |
Enterprise Value 32.14B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.72 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.37 | Shares Outstanding 35.33M | Shares Floating 14.85M |
Shares Outstanding 35.33M | Shares Floating 14.85M | ||
Percent Insiders 1.42 | Percent Institutions 118.74 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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