Avis Budget Group Inc logo

Avis Budget Group Inc(CAR)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
2-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$104.93
09/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

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*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CAR

09/28/2026: CAR (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Avis Budget Group is a global provider of vehicle rental services, operating well-known brands such as Avis, Budget, and Zipcar. The company benefits from a strong presence at major airports and a diversified portfolio that addresses both premium and value-conscious segments. A primary growth story centers on digital integration and fleet optimization, though the business faces risks from travel cyclicality, rising debt costs, and evolving competition from ride-sharing platforms. The stock is best suited for investors comfortable with cyclical volatility and may be less attractive to those seeking regular dividends. Key developments to monitor include used vehicle market pricing and shifts in consumer mobility trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is tied closely to travel industry cyclicality rather than secular expansion.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often experiences sharp price movements tied to travel demand trends and earnings surprises.
Value investorMixed fitValuation can appear attractive during market downturns, but high debt levels require careful scrutiny.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not provide a regular dividend, prioritizing share buybacks instead.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe business is highly sensitive to economic cycles and vehicle market volatility.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is highly sensitive to travel sentiment and market cycles.
Valuation riskMediumThe company's valuation fluctuates based on changing investor outlooks for the travel sector.
Competition risk (mobility services)HighCompetition from ride-sharing and car-sharing models threatens traditional rental volume.
Business qualityMediumCapital-intensive nature and cyclicality create inherent challenges in sustaining high margins.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect regular income from dividends.
Execution riskMediumManaging fleet logistics and vehicle residual values is crucial to profitability.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 115.46%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CAR receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CAR has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+51.2%) is partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -102.8%), slightly negative revenue growth (-1.2%), weak profitability (net margin -7.6%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CAR's financial health is supported by moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 13.4% of revenue). Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is CAR's strongest growth driver at +51.2% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-1.2%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-83.0%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 118.0% and approximately 42.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 1.42% provides only moderate management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

SRS Investment Management, LLC 49.34%
UBS Group AG 12.37%
Pentwater Capital Management LP 7.11%
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 5.99%
HSBC Holdings PLC 4.82%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CAR generates approximately $244 of gross profit, $110 of operating income, and $-1,028 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 4.31%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CAR has a Value-Oriented profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.83B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 128.57
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 128.57
Volume (30-day avg) 387.9K shares
Beta 1.9
52 Weeks Range 85.96 - 847.70
Updated Date 09/26/2026
52 Weeks Range 85.96 - 847.70
Updated Date 09/26/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -18.02

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Vehicle Rental (Americas)Revenue from car rentals in North/South America under Avis and Budget brands.The primary revenue driver, heavily impacted by US leisure and business travel.
Vehicle Rental (International)Revenue from rentals outside the Americas.Provides geographic diversification but exposes the company to international economic trends.
Zipcar / MobilityMembership and usage fees from the Zipcar sharing platform.A smaller, niche segment aimed at urban mobility trends.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 3.39
Enterprise Value 32.30B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.33
Enterprise Value 32.30B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.33
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.73
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.41
Shares Outstanding 35.33M
Shares Floating 14.85M
Shares Outstanding 35.33M
Shares Floating 14.85M
Percent Insiders 1.42
Percent Institutions 118.01

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Avis Budget Group Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Parsippany, NJ, United States
IPO Launch date 1990-01-12
CEO -
Sector Industrials
Industry Rental & Leasing Services
Full time employees 17000
Full time employees 17000

Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia, and Australasia. The company operates the Avis brand, which offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions to the commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry and the Zipcar brand, a car sharing network that offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions comprising budget car rental and budget truck. It also operates various other car rental brands, such as Payless, Apex, Maggiore, Morini Rent, FranceCars, AmicoBlu, Turiscar, and ACL Hire and McNicoll vehicle Hire. The company was formerly known as Cendant Corporation and changed its name to Avis Budget Group, Inc. in September 2006. Avis Budget Group, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Parsippany, New Jersey.