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Carnival Corporation (CCL)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/11/2025: CCL (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $35.11
1 Year Target Price $35.11
| 17 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 8 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 125.49% | Avg. Invested days 47 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 35.63B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.55 | 1Y Target Price 35.11 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.55 | 1Y Target Price 35.11 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 30 | Beta 2.54 | 52 Weeks Range 15.07 - 32.80 | Updated Date 12/11/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 15.07 - 32.80 | Updated Date 12/11/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.94 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-12-19 | When - | Estimate 0.2471 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 10.07% | Operating Margin (TTM) 27.87% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.28% | Return on Equity (TTM) 25.73% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.55 | Forward PE 10.65 | Enterprise Value 59595421805 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.36 |
Enterprise Value 59595421805 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.36 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.27 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.74 | Shares Outstanding 1167541049 | Shares Floating 1215227147 |
Shares Outstanding 1167541049 | Shares Floating 1215227147 | ||
Percent Insiders 8.31 | Percent Institutions 75.91 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Carnival Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Carnival Corporation was founded in 1972 by Ted Arison and Micky Arison. It began with a single ship, the TSS Mardi Gras. Key milestones include its IPO in 1987, the acquisition of Holland America Line in 1989, and the creation of the AIDA brand in 1996, targeting the German market. The company has grown through strategic acquisitions and organic expansion to become the world's largest cruise operator.
Core Business Areas
- North America: This segment includes brands primarily targeting the North American market, such as Carnival Cruise Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, and Seabourn.
- Europe, Australia & Asia: This segment comprises brands catering to European, Australian, and Asian markets, including AIDA Cruises, P&O Cruises, P&O Cruises Australia, Costa Cruises, and Cunard.
- Canada, Alaska & Mexico: This segment focuses on specific geographical markets and cruise itineraries within these regions.
Leadership and Structure
Carnival Corporation is led by a Board of Directors and a senior executive team, including a Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and various divisional presidents overseeing its distinct brands. The company operates a decentralized model, allowing its individual cruise line brands significant autonomy while adhering to corporate standards and strategies.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Cruise Vacations: Carnival Corporation offers a wide range of cruise vacations across its various brands, serving diverse customer segments from budget-conscious to ultra-luxury. This includes short-term itineraries, world cruises, and themed voyages. Revenue from cruise vacations is the primary driver of the company's top line. Key competitors include Royal Caribbean Group and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings. Market share is substantial within the global cruise industry, though exact percentages for specific product lines are proprietary.
- Onboard Revenue: This includes revenue generated from activities and sales that occur onboard the ships, such as dining, beverages, gaming, retail, and shore excursions. This segment is crucial for profitability and complements ticket sales. Competitors include all other cruise lines. This revenue stream is significant, contributing a substantial portion to overall profitability.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The cruise industry is a global, highly competitive, and capital-intensive sector. It is influenced by economic conditions, consumer confidence, geopolitical events, and travel trends. The industry experienced a significant downturn due to the COVID-19 pandemic but has shown strong signs of recovery.
Positioning
Carnival Corporation is the largest cruise operator globally by fleet size and passenger capacity. Its competitive advantages include its extensive brand portfolio catering to various market segments, economies of scale, vast operational experience, and strong brand recognition. Its scale allows for significant purchasing power and operational efficiencies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global cruise market TAM is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, encompassing all leisure travel spending that can be directed towards cruise vacations. Carnival Corporation, as the market leader, holds a significant portion of this TAM, but there is still substantial room for growth as cruising gains popularity and penetrates new markets.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Largest global cruise operator by fleet size and passenger capacity.
- Diverse portfolio of well-recognized brands catering to different market segments.
- Extensive operational experience and economies of scale.
- Strong global brand recognition and customer loyalty.
- Significant purchasing power for supplies and services.
Weaknesses
- High fixed costs associated with operating a large fleet.
- Vulnerability to global economic downturns and travel restrictions.
- Environmental impact concerns and increasing regulatory scrutiny.
- Potential for brand dilution across its many offerings if not managed carefully.
Opportunities
- Growth in emerging markets, particularly in Asia.
- Expansion of ultra-luxury and expedition cruise segments.
- Leveraging technology to enhance guest experience and operational efficiency.
- Sustainable tourism initiatives to attract environmentally conscious travelers.
- Increased consumer demand for experiential travel post-pandemic.
Threats
- Geopolitical instability and terrorism threats.
- Fluctuations in fuel prices.
- Intense competition from other cruise lines and alternative vacation options.
- Increased regulatory requirements and compliance costs.
- Potential for negative publicity related to safety, health, or environmental incidents.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Royal Caribbean Group (RCL)
- Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH)
Competitive Landscape
Carnival Corporation benefits from its significant scale and diversified brand portfolio, allowing it to cater to a broad spectrum of travelers. Royal Caribbean Group and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings are its primary direct competitors, with strong brands and significant market presence. Carnival's advantage lies in its sheer size and breadth of offerings, while competitors may have more focused strategies or innovative offerings in specific niches.
Major Acquisitions
AIDA Cruises
- Year: 1996
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: To expand its presence in the lucrative German and European markets and tap into a growing segment of the cruise industry.
Princess Cruises
- Year: 1999
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2600
- Strategic Rationale: To enhance its North American market share and expand its premium brand offerings.
Holland America Line
- Year: 1989
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 650
- Strategic Rationale: To gain a foothold in the premium and luxury segments of the cruise market and diversify its brand portfolio.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Prior to the pandemic, Carnival Corporation demonstrated consistent growth in revenue and passenger volumes, driven by fleet expansion and market penetration. The company's strategy involved both organic growth and strategic acquisitions. The pandemic presented an unprecedented challenge, halting growth and leading to significant financial strain.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Carnival Corporation generally indicate continued revenue growth as the company operates at higher occupancy levels and benefits from the recovery in global travel demand. Efforts to optimize fleet utilization, introduce new ships, and manage costs are expected to drive future profitability.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the introduction of new, more fuel-efficient ships, the divestment of older vessels, a focus on improving onboard revenue, and the continued optimization of its brand portfolio to better serve evolving consumer preferences. The company is also investing in sustainability initiatives.
Summary
Carnival Corporation, the world's largest cruise operator, is demonstrating a robust recovery post-pandemic, with significant revenue and profitability improvements. Its strengths lie in its diversified brand portfolio, economies of scale, and strong market position. However, it faces challenges with high fixed costs and vulnerability to economic downturns. Key opportunities include growth in emerging markets and sustainable tourism, while threats involve geopolitical risks and intense competition. The company needs to carefully manage its debt and continue innovating to maintain its leadership.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Carnival Corporation Official Investor Relations Website
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Financial data is based on reported figures and may be subject to revision. Market share percentages are estimates and can fluctuate. Analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Carnival Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Miami, FL, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1987-07-24 | CEO & Director Mr. Joshua Ian Weinstein | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Travel Services | Full time employees 115000 | Website https://www.carnivalcorp.com |
Full time employees 115000 | Website https://www.carnivalcorp.com | ||
Carnival Corporation & plc, a cruise company, provides leisure travel services in North America, Australia, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: NAA Cruise Operations, Europe Cruise Operations, Cruise Support, and Tour and Other. It operates port destinations and islands, as well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motorcoaches. The company offers its services under the AIDA Cruises, Carnival Cruise Line, Costa Cruises, Cunard, Holland America Line, P&O Cruises (Australia), P&O Cruises (UK), Princess Cruises, and Seabourn brands. It sells its cruises through travel agents, tour operators, vacation planners, websites, and onboard future cruise consultants. Carnival Corporation & plc was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

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