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CENX
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Century Aluminum Company (CENX)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$17.29
Delayed price
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PASS
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  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/03/2025: CENX (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

AI Based Fundamental Rating

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Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 11.46%
Avg. Invested days 31
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/03/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 1.78B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 5.91
1Y Target Price 25
Price to earnings Ratio 5.91
1Y Target Price 25
Volume (30-day avg) 941050
Beta 2.67
52 Weeks Range 11.40 - 25.39
Updated Date 03/23/2025
52 Weeks Range 11.40 - 25.39
Updated Date 03/23/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.27

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 14.36%
Operating Margin (TTM) 7.81%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.01%
Return on Equity (TTM) 60.15%

Valuation

Trailing PE 5.91
Forward PE -
Enterprise Value 2277023005
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8
Enterprise Value 2277023005
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.8
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.03
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.07
Shares Outstanding 92293296
Shares Floating 51549524
Shares Outstanding 92293296
Shares Floating 51549524
Percent Insiders 44.61
Percent Institutions 58.71

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.33
Target Price 24.33
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Buy -
Strong Buy 2
Hold 1
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

Upturn AI SWOT

Century Aluminum Company: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

History: Century Aluminum Company (CENX) was established in 1996 and is headquartered in Hawthorne, New York. The company has a long and rich history dating back to the early 20th century, evolving from Consolidated Aluminum Corporation and Ravenswood Aluminum Corporation. CENX operates under two segments: Primary Aluminum and Value-Added Products.

Core Business Areas:

  • Primary Aluminum: CENX operates four smelters in the United States that produce standard and value-added primary aluminum products, including sow ingots, billet, slab, and foundry alloys. Their facilities use hydroelectric power, making them among the most sustainable primary aluminum producers globally.
  • Value-Added Products: Through their Hawtal Whiting plant, CENX produces aluminum billet, rod, bar, and other engineered shapes for various industries such as aerospace, automotive, transportation, and electrical applications.

Leadership and Corporate Structure:

  • Michael Bless: President and Chief Executive Officer
  • Brian Kimmet: Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
  • Mark P. Ghiloni: Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer
  • Board of Directors: Comprised of eleven members with extensive experience in the aluminum industry and financial expertise.

Top Products and Market Share:

Products:

  • Standard Aluminum: Sow ingots, billet, slab
  • Value-Added Aluminum: Foundry alloys, billet, rod, bar, engineered shapes
  • Hawtal Whiting Products: Aluminum forgings, extrusions, and other fabricated products

Market Share:

  • Global Aluminum Market: Approximately 3.5%
  • US Aluminum Market: Approximately 8% (CENX is the second-largest primary aluminum producer in the US)

Competitive Landscape:

Major Competitors:

  • Alcoa (AA) - Market Share: 10% (Global), 15% (US)
  • Rio Tinto (RIO) - Market Share: 9% (Global), 12% (US)
  • Norsk Hydro (NHYDY) - Market Share: 5% (Global), 6% (US)
  • Constellium (CSTM) - Market Share: 3% (Global), 4% (US)

Competitive Advantages:

  • Sustainable production using hydroelectric power
  • Focus on value-added products with higher margins
  • Strong customer relationships and long-term contracts
  • Experienced leadership team

Total Addressable Market:

The global aluminum market is expected to reach 114.9 million metric tons by 2027, growing at a CAGR of 5.4%. The US aluminum market is estimated to be around 9 million metric tons, representing a significant portion of the global market.

Financial Performance:

Recent Financial Statements:

  • Revenue: $2.67 billion (2022)
  • Net Income: $336.9 million (2022)
  • Gross Profit Margin: 23.3% (2022)
  • Operating Profit Margin: 16.1% (2022)
  • Earnings per Share (EPS): $3.45 (2022)

Year-over-Year Performance:

  • Revenue increased by 22% year-over-year (2022)
  • Net income increased by 83% year-over-year (2022)
  • Profit margins have remained stable in recent years

Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:

  • Strong cash flow from operations in recent years
  • Low debt-to-equity ratio
  • Healthy balance sheet

Dividends and Shareholder Returns:

Dividend History:

  • CENX has a history of paying dividends, but the company suspended the dividend in March 2020 due to the pandemic. They reinstated the dividend in March 2023 with a quarterly dividend of $0.25 per share.
  • Recent dividend yield: 2.4%
  • Payout ratio: 31%

Shareholder Returns:

  • Total shareholder returns over the past year: 33%
  • Total shareholder returns over the past five years: 158%
  • Total shareholder returns over the past ten years: 336%

Growth Trajectory:

Historical Growth:

  • Revenue and earnings have grown significantly over the past five years, driven by strong demand and higher aluminum prices.

Future Growth Projections:

  • The company expects continued growth in demand for aluminum, particularly in the automotive and construction sectors.
  • CENX plans to expand its value-added product offerings and invest in new technologies to improve efficiency and sustainability.

Recent Product Launches and Strategic Initiatives:

  • Launched a new line of high-performance aluminum alloys for the automotive industry.
  • Announced plans to build a new recycling facility to increase its use of recycled aluminum.

Market Dynamics:

Industry Overview:

  • The aluminum industry is cyclical and affected by global economic conditions and demand from key sectors like transportation and construction.
  • Increasing environmental regulations and the shift towards sustainable production methods are influencing the industry.

Competitive Positioning:

  • CENX is well-positioned with its sustainable production methods, focus on value-added products, and strong customer relationships.
  • The company faces competition from larger players in the industry, but it differentiates itself through its niche focus and environmental commitment.

Potential Challenges and Opportunities:

Challenges:

  • Volatility in aluminum prices
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Competition from larger players
  • Rising energy costs

Opportunities:

  • Growing demand for aluminum in key sectors
  • Increasing focus on sustainability
  • Opportunities for expansion through acquisitions or joint ventures

Recent Acquisitions (Last 3 Years):

  • No acquisitions have been made in the past 3 years.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Rating: 8 out of 10

Justification: CENX has a strong financial performance, a differentiated market position, and exciting growth prospects. The company faces certain challenges, but its commitment to sustainability and strategic initiatives position it well for future success.

Sources and Disclaimers:

  • Sources used for data analysis include company filings, financial reports, industry reports, and news articles.
  • This information is intended for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

About Century Aluminum Company

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chicago, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 1996-03-28
President, CEO & Director Mr. Jesse E. Gary J.D.
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Aluminum
Full time employees 2971
Full time employees 2971

Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products in the United States and Iceland. It also owns and operates a carbon anode production facility located in Vlissingen, the Netherlands, as well as engages in the bauxite mining and alumina refining business in Jamaica. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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