Century Aluminum Company logo

Century Aluminum Company(CENX)

Top Performer Top performer
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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
4-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$38.39
09/25/2026
(24-hour delay)

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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CENX

09/25/2026: CENX (4-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Century Aluminum is a US-based producer of primary aluminum that operates smelters in Kentucky and Iceland. The stock provides pure-play exposure to the cyclical aluminum commodity market, with strengths in value-added alloy production and access to sustainable energy. Its primary growth opportunity lies in the accelerating trend toward lightweight materials in electric vehicles. Investors face significant risks from volatile energy costs and global LME metal price fluctuations, which can lead to erratic financial performance. The stock is best suited for experienced investors who understand cyclical commodity dynamics and is generally not for those seeking stable dividend income or low-volatility returns.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers exposure to industrial growth, but is heavily tethered to commodity price cycles.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often exhibits high beta and sharp price movements correlated with LME aluminum cycles.
Value investorMixed fitValuation is often dependent on book value and cyclical earnings peaks.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay a regular dividend.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility in revenue and earnings makes this unsuitable for conservative portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighProfitability is directly linked to the LME aluminum price which is highly unpredictable.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock can become overextended during cyclical commodity peaks.
Competition risk (Global Commodity Producers)Medium / highLarge-scale competitors can pressure margins through economies of scale.
Business qualityMediumThe smelting business is asset-heavy and energy-dependent.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo current policy exists to return cash to shareholders via dividends.
Execution riskMediumOperational success requires managing high-temperature industrial processes and energy contracts effectively.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 217.35%
Avg. Invested days 47
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/25/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CENX receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CENX has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid revenue growth (+13.9%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-87.6%), soft cash generation (FCF margin 3.4%), soft profitability (net margin 1.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CENX's financial health is supported by solid cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (3.4% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is CENX's strongest growth driver at +179.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+13.9%, solid) is also solid, while earnings growth (-87.6%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 78.4% and approximately 69.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 30.89% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Glencore PLC 29.99%
BlackRock Inc 9.10%
State Street Corp 4.72%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.28%
FMR Inc 2.69%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CENX generates approximately $101 of gross profit, $63 of operating income, and $34 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Strong margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -485.19% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CENX has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while elevated volatility.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltHigh VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.80B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 6.63
1Y Target Price 69
Price to earnings Ratio 6.63
1Y Target Price 69
Volume (30-day avg) 1.7M shares
Beta 1.99
52 Weeks Range 25.40 - 70.43
Updated Date 09/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 25.40 - 70.43
Updated Date 09/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.79

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Primary Aluminum SalesSale of standard ingot, billet, and molten metal to manufacturers.The company earns money by turning raw materials and electricity into aluminum metal, which they sell to industrial buyers.
Geography: North America & IcelandOperations located in Kentucky and Iceland.Production capacity is concentrated in regions where energy access is strategic.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 6.63
Forward PE 6.48
Enterprise Value 3.98B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.42
Enterprise Value 3.98B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.42
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.49
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.64
Shares Outstanding 98.99M
Shares Floating 68.61M
Shares Outstanding 98.99M
Shares Floating 68.61M
Percent Insiders 30.89
Percent Institutions 78.4

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Century Aluminum Company

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Chicago, IL, United States
IPO Launch date 1996-03-28
President, CEO & Director Mr. Jesse E. Gary J.D.
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Aluminum
Full time employees 2906
Full time employees 2906

Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces primary aluminum and alumina in the United States and Iceland. The company engages in the production of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products. It also owns and operates a carbon anode production facility in Vlissingen, the Netherlands; and operates aluminum reduction facilities or smelters; and bauxite mining and alumina refining in Jamaica. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.