AA official logo AA
AA 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Alcoa Corp (AA) company logo

Alcoa Corp (AA)

Alcoa Corp (AA) 3-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$44.1
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY54.47%
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Strong Buy
BUY since 118 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/03/2025: AA (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 118 days. Simulated Profits (54.47%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 3 star rating for performance

Moderate Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Number of Analysts

3 star rating from financial analysts

14 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $39.96

1 Year Target Price $39.96

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$39.96 Target price
52w Low $21.33
Current$44.1
52w High $45.61

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 75.67%
Avg. Invested days 63
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 4.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/03/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 10.73B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.11
1Y Target Price 39.96
Price to earnings Ratio 9.11
1Y Target Price 39.96
Volume (30-day avg) 14
Beta 2.01
52 Weeks Range 21.33 - 45.61
Updated Date 12/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 21.33 - 45.61
Updated Date 12/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 0.96%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.55

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.91%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.77%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.83%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.16%

Valuation

Trailing PE 9.11
Forward PE 13.91
Enterprise Value 11902158695
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83
Enterprise Value 11902158695
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.83
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.92
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.56
Shares Outstanding 258964032
Shares Floating 257016622
Shares Outstanding 258964032
Shares Floating 257016622
Percent Insiders 0.45
Percent Institutions 97.02

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Alcoa Corp

Alcoa Corp(AA) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Alcoa Corp (AA) was founded in 1888 as the Pittsburgh Reduction Company, later becoming the Aluminum Company of America (Alcoa). In 2016, Alcoa split into two companies: Alcoa Corp, focusing on bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products, and Arconic, specializing in engineered products and solutions.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Bauxite: Mining of bauxite ore, the primary raw material for alumina production.
  • Alumina: Refining bauxite into alumina, a key ingredient in aluminum smelting.
  • Aluminum: Production of primary aluminum through smelting processes, as well as cast and rolled aluminum products.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Alcoa Corp is led by CEO William F. Oplinger. The company has a functional organizational structure, with distinct business units for bauxite, alumina, and aluminum. A board of directors provides oversight and strategic guidance.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Primary Aluminum: Primary aluminum is the core product, used in various industries like automotive, aerospace, and construction. Alcoa is a major global producer, but market share varies regionally and depends on specific aluminum grades. Competitors include Rio Tinto, Rusal, and BHP Billiton.
  • Alumina: Alcoa produces alumina for both its own aluminum production and for sale to other aluminum producers. They have a significant market share of specialty alumina products. Competitors include South32 and Hindalco Industries.
  • Bauxite: Alcoa mines bauxite, which is primarily used for in-house aluminum production. Alcoa also sells a small percentage to 3rd parties. Competitors include Rio Tinto and Vale.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The aluminum industry is cyclical and highly competitive, influenced by global economic growth, demand from key sectors (automotive, aerospace, construction), and energy prices. There is a growing focus on sustainability and recycled aluminum.

Positioning

Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum producer with operations spanning from bauxite mining to aluminum production. It seeks a competitive advantage through cost efficiency, technological innovation, and sustainable practices.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global aluminum market is estimated to be over $200 billion. Alcoa is positioned to capture a substantial share of this market by expanding its position in the upstream aluminum market through growing bauxite and alumina sales.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Vertically integrated operations
  • Global scale and reach
  • Technological expertise in aluminum production
  • Focus on sustainability
  • Strong brand reputation

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to volatile aluminum prices
  • High energy costs
  • Environmental liabilities
  • Dependence on cyclical industries
  • Geopolitical risks

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for aluminum in electric vehicles
  • Expansion into emerging markets
  • Increased use of recycled aluminum
  • Technological advancements in aluminum production
  • Government investments in infrastructure

Threats

  • Economic downturns
  • Increased competition from low-cost producers
  • Trade barriers and tariffs
  • Fluctuations in energy prices
  • Environmental regulations

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • RIO
  • BHP
  • AAUKF
  • NHYDY
  • CENX

Competitive Landscape

Alcoa competes with major global aluminum producers. Its advantages include its vertically integrated operations and technological expertise. Disadvantages include exposure to volatile aluminum prices and environmental liabilities. Alcoa is striving to lower CO2 emissions in its aluminum production to provide a greener aluminum solution.

Major Acquisitions

Alumina Espanola

  • Year: 2023
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 225
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Alcoa's alumina production capabilities and strengthened its position in the European market. Allowed Alcoa to better supply customers in the region and increase its overall production capacity and quality.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Historical growth analysis requires a specific timeframe to get correct information.

Future Projections: Future projections for Alcoa are reliant on analyst forecasts and industry trends. These depend on global economic conditions and specific market demand.

Recent Initiatives: Alcoa has recently focused on improving operational efficiency, reducing costs, and investing in sustainable aluminum production technologies, including the Elysis joint venture with Rio Tinto, and developing low carbon aluminium products.

Summary

Alcoa is a major player in the aluminum industry, benefiting from its integrated operations and scale. However, it faces challenges from volatile prices, environmental regulations, and competition. The company's focus on sustainability and innovation are positive signs, but its profitability remains sensitive to market conditions. Its strategic move to expand in the upstream Aluminum market can prove to be beneficial in the future. Further monitoring and analysis are required to judge the future growth.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates
  • Company Press Releases
  • Alcoa's Website

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a financial professional. Market data is subject to change.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alcoa Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-11-01
President, CEO & Director Mr. William F. Oplinger
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Aluminum
Full time employees 13900
Full time employees 13900

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining; and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, other industrial markets, and traders. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.