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Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
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Alcoa Corp (AA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$38.61
Delayed price
upturn advisory
PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/21/2025: AA (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -23.11%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 01/21/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 6.49B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 6.51
1Y Target Price 36.62
Price to earnings Ratio 6.51
1Y Target Price 36.62
Volume (30-day avg) 4295244
Beta 2.28
52 Weeks Range 21.53 - 47.62
Updated Date 04/23/2025
52 Weeks Range 21.53 - 47.62
Updated Date 04/23/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.64%
Basic EPS (TTM) 3.85

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 6.79%
Operating Margin (TTM) 20.78%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.18%
Return on Equity (TTM) 15.35%

Valuation

Trailing PE 6.51
Forward PE 7.75
Enterprise Value 7742094314
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.51
Enterprise Value 7742094314
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.51
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.61
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.7
Shares Outstanding 258884992
Shares Floating 256895264
Shares Outstanding 258884992
Shares Floating 256895264
Percent Insiders 0.43
Percent Institutions 76.47

Analyst Ratings

Rating 4.21
Target Price 48.43
Buy 1
Strong Buy 8
Buy 1
Strong Buy 8
Hold 5
Sell -
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alcoa Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alcoa Corp was founded in 1888 as the Pittsburgh Reduction Company, later renamed Aluminum Company of America (Alcoa). It pioneered the aluminum industry, developing key technologies and expanding globally. In 2016, Alcoa split into two separate entities: Alcoa Corp (upstream operations) and Arconic (downstream engineered products).

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Bauxite: Mining of bauxite ore, the primary raw material for aluminum production.
  • Alumina: Refining bauxite into alumina, an intermediate product used in aluminum smelting.
  • Aluminum: Smelting alumina into primary aluminum, including smelting, casting, and rolling. Sale of aluminum products such as ingot and slab.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Roy C. Harvey is the President and CEO. Alcoa operates with a functional organizational structure, dividing its operations into bauxite, alumina, and aluminum segments.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Bauxite: Alcoa is a major bauxite producer, with significant mining operations in several countries. While specific market share data is variable due to regional differences in pricing and extraction cost, they are in the top three bauxite producers globally. Competitors include Rio Tinto and BHP.
  • Alumina: Alumina is crucial for aluminum production. Alcoa is one of the worldu2019s largest alumina producers. While market share data shifts, they maintain a competitive position with large refineries worldwide. Competitors include Rio Tinto and South32.
  • Primary Aluminum: Alcoa produces primary aluminum in various forms (ingot, billet, slab). Market share fluctuates due to pricing and global demand, but is typically in the top 10. Competitors include Rio Tinto, Rusal, and China Hongqiao Group.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The aluminum industry is cyclical and heavily influenced by global economic growth, demand from key sectors (automotive, construction, packaging), and energy prices. There is also an increasing focus on sustainability and low-carbon aluminum production.

Positioning

Alcoa Corp is positioned as a vertically integrated aluminum producer, with operations spanning the entire value chain. This provides some cost control and supply chain security. Its competitive advantages include its bauxite reserves and some low-cost smelting assets.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global aluminum market is valued at approximately $250 billion. Alcoa is positioned with a significant presence across the value chain, allowing them to address a sizable portion of this TAM. The overall aluminum market size will be affected by decarbonization initiatives and government subsidies.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Vertical Integration
  • Low-Cost Bauxite Reserves
  • Advanced Aluminum Production Technologies
  • Strong Global Presence

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to Cyclical Aluminum Prices
  • High Energy Costs in Some Regions
  • Legacy Liabilities (Pension and Environmental)
  • Operational Disruptions

Opportunities

  • Growing Demand for Aluminum in Electric Vehicles
  • Increasing Focus on Sustainable Aluminum Production
  • Potential for Strategic Acquisitions
  • Development of New Aluminum Alloys and Applications

Threats

  • Global Economic Slowdown
  • Increased Aluminum Production Capacity in China
  • Rising Energy Prices
  • Trade Wars and Tariffs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • RIO
  • BHP
  • AA

Competitive Landscape

Alcoa's competitive advantage lies in its integrated value chain and bauxite reserves. However, it faces challenges from lower-cost producers and cyclical aluminum prices.

Major Acquisitions

Alumina Espanola

  • Year: 2024
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 225
  • Strategic Rationale: Strengthen Alcoa's position in the alumina market, reducing dependence on outside alumina purchase

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Alcoa's historical growth has been cyclical, influenced by aluminum prices and global demand.

Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates which are subject to change based on industry conditions. Analysts projections should be reviewed for an outlook.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in low-carbon aluminum production, operational efficiency improvements, and strategic partnerships.

Summary

Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company with strong bauxite reserves, but is exposed to volatile aluminum prices. Focus on operational improvements and growth in the EV and sustainable products can benefit its financials. Alcoa needs to manage energy costs and legacy liabilities. Alcoa's long-term success depends on its ability to navigate commodity cycles and adapt to industry trends.

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Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Alcoa Corp. SEC Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alcoa Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-11-01
President, CEO & Director Mr. William F. Oplinger
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Aluminum
Full time employees 13900
Full time employees 13900

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining; and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, other industrial markets, and traders. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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