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AA logo AA
Upturn stock rating
AA logo

Alcoa Corp (AA)

Upturn stock rating
$36.79
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY28.55%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 96 days
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W

Upturn Advisory Summary

10/31/2025: AA (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

14 Analysts rated it

Moderately tracked stock, growing coverage, gaining market and investor attention.

1 Year Target Price $39.62

1 Year Target Price $39.62

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$39.62 Target price
52w Low $21.38
Current$36.79
52w High $47.29

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 46.22%
Avg. Invested days 58
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/31/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.53B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 8.09
1Y Target Price 39.62
Price to earnings Ratio 8.09
1Y Target Price 39.62
Volume (30-day avg) 14
Beta 2.2
52 Weeks Range 21.38 - 47.29
Updated Date 11/1/2025
52 Weeks Range 21.38 - 47.29
Updated Date 11/1/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 1.09%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.55

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-10-22
When After Market
Estimate 0.41
Actual -0.02

Profitability

Profit Margin 8.91%
Operating Margin (TTM) 2.77%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.83%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.16%

Valuation

Trailing PE 8.09
Forward PE 13.59
Enterprise Value 10152999802
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value 10152999802
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.74
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.79
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.68
Shares Outstanding 258964032
Shares Floating 256990726
Shares Outstanding 258964032
Shares Floating 256990726
Percent Insiders 0.45
Percent Institutions 79.99

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Alcoa Corp

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Alcoa Corp (AA) was founded in 1888, initially known as the Pittsburgh Reduction Company. It has evolved into a leading global aluminum producer, undergoing significant restructuring, including a split from Arconic in 2016.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Bauxite: Alcoa mines bauxite, the raw material for aluminum production.
  • Alumina: Alcoa refines bauxite into alumina, an intermediate product.
  • Aluminum: Alcoa produces primary aluminum through smelting and manufactures value-added aluminum products.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Alcoa is led by CEO William F. Oplinger. The organizational structure is divided into business segments corresponding to its core business areas.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Smelting-Grade Alumina: Alumina used in the production of aluminum metal. Market share data is variable based on region, but Alcoa is a significant global supplier. Competitors include Rio Tinto Alcan, Rusal, and Chalco.
  • Primary Aluminum: Primary aluminum produced through smelting. Alcoa is a major player in the global aluminum market. Market share varies by region. Primary competitors: Rio Tinto, Rusal, BHP, South32
  • Bauxite: Raw materials, mainly to their own refinery. Competitors in bauxite sales include Rio Tinto, BHP

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The aluminum industry is cyclical, influenced by global economic growth, demand from key sectors (automotive, aerospace, construction, packaging), and supply dynamics. ESG concerns are increasingly important.

Positioning

Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum producer with a focus on sustainability and innovation. It aims to be a cost-competitive and environmentally responsible supplier of aluminum.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global aluminum market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Alcoa's TAM includes various market segments, and its vertically integrated approach allows it to compete across multiple stages of the aluminum value chain.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Vertically integrated operations
  • Established brand reputation
  • Advanced technology and innovation
  • Commitment to sustainability

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to cyclical commodity prices
  • High energy costs associated with aluminum smelting
  • Environmental liabilities
  • Legacy pension obligations

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for aluminum in electric vehicles
  • Expansion into value-added products
  • Investments in low-carbon smelting technologies
  • Partnerships with other industrial companies

Threats

  • Fluctuations in aluminum prices
  • Increased competition from low-cost producers
  • Geopolitical risks
  • Environmental regulations

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • RIO
  • BHP
  • AAUKY
  • NTRLY

Competitive Landscape

Alcoa has advantages in vertically integrated operations and technology, but faces challenges from low-cost producers and cyclical pricing.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Alcoa's growth has been tied to the global economy and demand for aluminum. The company has focused on cost reductions and efficiency improvements.

Future Projections: Analyst projections vary, with expectations of growth driven by demand for aluminum in sustainable applications and the global economy.

Recent Initiatives: Alcoa is investing in low-carbon smelting technologies (e.g., Elysis) and expanding its portfolio of value-added aluminum products.

Summary

Alcoa Corp operates in a cyclical industry, with strengths in vertical integration and technology offset by commodity price volatility. Growth prospects are tied to aluminum demand, particularly in sustainable applications and they must navigate increasing environmental regulations. Financial performance fluctuates, but recent strategic initiatives show potential for long-term success. Careful risk management of pricing and cost is essential for Alcoa.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Alcoa Corp. Investor Relations
  • Industry Reports
  • Financial News Articles

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Alcoa Corp

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 2016-11-01
President, CEO & Director Mr. William F. Oplinger
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Aluminum
Full time employees 13900
Full time employees 13900

Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining; and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, other industrial markets, and traders. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.