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Alcoa Corp (AA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/24/2025: AA (3-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 133 days. Simulated Profits (87.85%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $46.92
1 Year Target Price $46.92
| 7 | Strong Buy |
| 2 | Buy |
| 4 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 113.64% | Avg. Invested days 67 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 13.89B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.79 | 1Y Target Price 46.92 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.79 | 1Y Target Price 46.92 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 14 | Beta 2 | 52 Weeks Range 21.33 - 54.36 | Updated Date 12/24/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 21.33 - 54.36 | Updated Date 12/24/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.75% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.55 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 8.91% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.77% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.83% | Return on Equity (TTM) 19.16% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.79 | Forward PE 17.89 | Enterprise Value 14986420316 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.08 |
Enterprise Value 14986420316 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.08 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.16 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 7 | Shares Outstanding 258964032 | Shares Floating 257034750 |
Shares Outstanding 258964032 | Shares Floating 257034750 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.45 | Percent Institutions 81.88 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Alcoa Corp

Company Overview
History and Background
Alcoa Corporation (AA) was founded in 1888 as the Pittsburgh Reduction Company by Charles Martin Hall. It pioneered the Hall-Hu00e9roult process for aluminum smelting. The company was renamed Aluminum Company of America in 1907 and Alcoa Inc. in 1999. In 2016, Alcoa Inc. split into two independent companies: Alcoa Corporation (focusing on upstream bauxite, alumina, and aluminum) and Arconic Inc. (focusing on downstream engineered products). Alcoa Corporation is now a leading global producer of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum.
Core Business Areas
- Alumina: Alcoa produces alumina, a key ingredient in the production of aluminum. This segment includes mining bauxite and processing it into smelter-grade alumina. Alumina is sold to third-party customers and also used internally for aluminum smelting.
- Aluminum: Alcoa smelts alumina into primary aluminum. This segment involves the energy-intensive process of smelting aluminum using electrolytic cells. The primary aluminum produced is used in various industries, including automotive, aerospace, and packaging.
- Casting: This segment involves producing advanced aluminum casting products for the automotive industry. It focuses on lightweighting solutions for vehicles to improve fuel efficiency.
Leadership and Structure
Alcoa Corporation is led by a Board of Directors and an executive leadership team. Key positions include the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Chief Financial Officer (CFO). The company operates globally with facilities in North America, South America, Europe, and Australia.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Smelter-Grade Alumina: Alcoa is one of the world's largest producers of smelter-grade alumina. Alumina is the critical raw material for producing primary aluminum. Competitors include Rio Tinto Alcan, Chalco, and Rusal.
- Primary Aluminum: Alcoa produces various grades of primary aluminum, including ingots and billets. This metal is a fundamental commodity used across many industries. Major competitors include Rio Tinto Alcan, Chalco, and Hydro. Alcoa's market share in primary aluminum production is significant globally, but specific market share figures fluctuate and are often proprietary.
- Aluminum Cast Products: These are value-added products, primarily for the automotive sector, focusing on lightweighting components. Key competitors in this niche include Norsk Hydro and various specialized casting companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The aluminum industry is cyclical, influenced by global economic growth, energy prices, and trade policies. Demand for aluminum is driven by sectors like automotive, aerospace, construction, and packaging. The industry is also increasingly focused on sustainability and recycled aluminum.
Positioning
Alcoa is a vertically integrated producer with significant global operations in bauxite, alumina, and aluminum. Its competitive advantages include its long history, established operational expertise, strategic resource locations, and a focus on innovation in aluminum production. The company is also investing in decarbonization technologies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global aluminum market is substantial, with demand for primary aluminum and related products estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of USD annually. Alcoa, as a major upstream producer, is positioned to capture a significant portion of the bauxite, alumina, and primary aluminum segments of this TAM. The exact TAM for Alcoa's specific product segments is dynamic and dependent on global economic conditions and specific end-market demands.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Vertically integrated operations from bauxite to aluminum
- Significant global operational footprint
- Long history and established industry expertise
- Commitment to sustainability and innovation
- Strategic raw material reserves
Weaknesses
- Exposure to commodity price volatility (aluminum and energy)
- Capital-intensive operations
- Dependence on global economic conditions
- Potential for environmental regulatory changes
Opportunities
- Growing demand for lightweight materials in automotive and aerospace
- Increased use of aluminum in renewable energy infrastructure
- Expansion into higher-value casting products
- Leveraging recycled aluminum for sustainability initiatives
- Technological advancements in aluminum production efficiency
Threats
- Fluctuations in global aluminum prices
- Rising energy costs
- Increased competition from emerging markets
- Trade protectionism and tariffs
- Stringent environmental regulations and carbon pricing
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Rio Tinto (RIO)
- Chalco (CH)
Competitive Landscape
Alcoa competes with major global aluminum producers. Its advantages lie in its integrated value chain and established operational capabilities. Challenges include managing volatile commodity prices, energy costs, and the increasing focus on environmental sustainability among its customers and regulators. The market is highly competitive, with players striving for cost leadership and technological innovation.
Major Acquisitions
Arconic Inc. (Downstream Assets Spin-off)
- Year: 2016
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: This was a spin-off rather than an acquisition, where Alcoa Inc. split into Alcoa Corporation (upstream) and Arconic Inc. (downstream engineered products). The strategic rationale was to create two more focused and agile companies, allowing each to pursue its respective growth strategies more effectively.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Alcoa has experienced periods of significant growth driven by global demand for aluminum and strategic acquisitions. However, its growth has also been constrained by the cyclical nature of the industry and competitive pressures.
Future Projections: Future growth for Alcoa is expected to be driven by increasing demand in key sectors like automotive (for lightweighting) and renewable energy infrastructure. Analyst projections often focus on the company's ability to manage costs, benefit from price upticks, and execute its strategic initiatives, including sustainability improvements.
Recent Initiatives: Alcoa has been focused on operational excellence, cost reduction, and investing in sustainability initiatives. This includes efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and develop lower-carbon aluminum production processes. Strategic partnerships and potential acquisitions in value-added segments are also possibilities.
Summary
Alcoa Corporation is a major global player in the aluminum industry, benefiting from its integrated operations and strong market position. Its strengths lie in its operational expertise and strategic resource access. However, the company is vulnerable to commodity price volatility and global economic cycles. To ensure continued success, Alcoa must focus on cost management, innovation in sustainable production, and capitalizing on the growing demand for lightweight materials.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Alcoa Corporation Investor Relations
- Industry Analysis Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This information is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and financial figures are estimates and subject to change. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Alcoa Corp
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2016-11-01 | President, CEO & Director Mr. William F. Oplinger | ||
Sector Basic Materials | Industry Aluminum | Full time employees 13900 | Website https://www.alcoa.com |
Full time employees 13900 | Website https://www.alcoa.com | ||
Alcoa Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Alumina and Aluminum. It operates bauxite and other aluminous ores mining; and processes bauxite into alumina for sale to aluminum smelter customers and customers who process it into industrial chemical products through supply contracts to third parties, as well as aluminum smelting and casting businesses. The company offers primary aluminum in the form of alloy ingot or value-add ingot to customers that produce products for transportation, building and construction, packaging, wire, other industrial markets, and traders. In addition, it provides energy that generates and sells electricity in the wholesale market to traders, large industrial consumers, distribution companies, and other generation companies. The company was formerly known as Alcoa Upstream Corporation and changed its name to Alcoa Corporation in October 2016. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

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