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Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: COF (4-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 1 days. Simulated Profits (0.00%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $260.24
1 Year Target Price $260.24
| 11 | Strong Buy |
| 4 | Buy |
| 7 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 53.3% | Avg. Invested days 58 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 147.52B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 78.73 | 1Y Target Price 260.24 |
Price to earnings Ratio 78.73 | 1Y Target Price 260.24 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 22 | Beta 1.17 | 52 Weeks Range 141.84 - 233.01 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 141.84 - 233.01 | Updated Date 12/6/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.04% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.93 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 38.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.25% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.62% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 78.73 | Forward PE 10.74 | Enterprise Value 149639020544 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.11 |
Enterprise Value 149639020544 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.05 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 635733605 | Shares Floating 622974432 |
Shares Outstanding 635733605 | Shares Floating 622974432 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.81 | Percent Institutions 87.66 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Capital One Financial Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1994 by Richard Fairbank and Nigel Morris. It was initially a division of Richmond, Virginia-based Signet Banking Corporation. Capital One quickly became known for its innovative credit card marketing strategies and data-driven approach. A significant milestone was its spin-off from Signet in 1995, becoming an independent public company. Over the years, Capital One has expanded beyond credit cards into other financial services, including consumer banking, commercial banking, and auto loans, often through acquisitions.
Core Business Areas
- Credit Cards: Capital One is one of the largest credit card issuers in the United States, offering a wide range of credit card products for consumers and small businesses. This segment focuses on rewards programs, balance transfers, and building credit.
- Consumer Banking: This segment includes deposits, loans, and other banking services for individuals, such as checking and savings accounts, mortgages, and personal loans.
- Commercial Banking: Capital One provides a suite of banking and lending services to businesses of all sizes, including commercial real estate, corporate banking, and treasury management.
- Auto Finance: The company offers auto loans and leases to consumers through dealerships and directly.
Leadership and Structure
Capital One Financial Corporation is led by its co-founder and CEO, Richard Fairbank. The company operates with a divisional structure, aligning with its core business areas (e.g., U.S. Card, Consumer Bank, Commercial Bank). The organizational structure emphasizes a data-driven and technology-focused approach to financial services.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Venture X Rewards Credit Card: A premium travel rewards credit card offering benefits like travel credits, airport lounge access, and accelerated rewards on travel and dining. Competitors include American Express (e.g., Platinum Card), Chase (e.g., Sapphire Reserve), and Citi (e.g., Premier Card). Specific market share for individual cards is proprietary but Capital One's overall U.S. credit card market share is significant.
- Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards Credit Card: A popular cash-back rewards credit card with a straightforward 1.5% cash back on every purchase. Competitors include Discover (e.g., it Card), Chase (e.g., Freedom Unlimited), and American Express (e.g., Blue Cash Everyday). This card is a significant contributor to Capital One's large credit card customer base.
- Capital One 360 Checking and Savings Accounts: Digital-first banking products offering competitive interest rates and no monthly fees. Competitors include Ally Bank, Discover Bank, and other online-only banks, as well as traditional banks with strong digital offerings.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The U.S. financial services industry, particularly in banking and credit cards, is highly competitive and mature. It is characterized by innovation in digital banking, increasing regulatory scrutiny, and a focus on customer experience. Interest rate fluctuations and economic conditions significantly impact profitability. The industry is also witnessing consolidation and the rise of FinTech competitors.
Positioning
Capital One is positioned as a leading technology-driven financial services company, known for its data analytics capabilities and innovative product offerings, particularly in the credit card and digital banking spaces. Its competitive advantages lie in its strong brand recognition, extensive customer base, and advanced technological infrastructure that enables personalized customer experiences and efficient operations.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The Total Addressable Market for financial services, including credit, banking, and lending, is in the trillions of dollars globally and hundreds of billions in the U.S. alone. Capital One, as a major player in the U.S. market, has a significant share of this TAM, particularly within its core segments of credit cards and consumer banking. Its strategic focus on digital transformation and customer acquisition aims to capture a larger portion of this expansive market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition and loyalty.
- Extensive data analytics capabilities for targeted marketing and risk management.
- Leading position in the U.S. credit card market.
- Robust digital banking platform (Capital One 360).
- Diversified revenue streams across credit cards, banking, and auto finance.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on credit card segment for a significant portion of revenue.
- Exposure to economic downturns and credit risk.
- Intense competition from traditional banks and FinTech companies.
- Past regulatory scrutiny and fines.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new product lines and customer segments.
- Leveraging technology for further digital innovation and customer engagement.
- Growth in commercial banking and small business lending.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions to enhance capabilities or market reach.
- Increasing adoption of contactless and digital payment solutions.
Threats
- Rising interest rates can increase funding costs and impact borrowing demand.
- Increased regulatory compliance costs and potential for new regulations.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
- Intensifying competition from challenger banks and FinTech firms.
- Economic recession impacting consumer spending and loan repayment.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
- Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
- Citigroup Inc. (C)
- Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
- Discover Financial Services (DFS)
Competitive Landscape
Capital One's competitive advantages include its strong digital presence and data analytics capabilities, which allow for targeted product offerings and efficient customer service. Its weaknesses relative to some competitors include a less extensive branch network compared to traditional behemoths like Chase or BofA, and historically, a greater susceptibility to credit cycles due to its heavy reliance on credit cards. However, its agility and focus on innovation allow it to compete effectively in a rapidly evolving financial landscape.
Major Acquisitions
Discover Financial Services
- Year: 2024
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 35300
- Strategic Rationale: To create a leading payments and lending company, significantly expanding Capital One's scale, customer base, and payment network capabilities. The acquisition is expected to enhance competitiveness against larger financial institutions and payment networks.
ING's U.S. Direct and Online Savings Business
- Year: 2012
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 1700
- Strategic Rationale: To significantly grow Capital One's direct and online deposit base, enhancing its funding sources and expanding its digital banking footprint.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Capital One has demonstrated consistent historical growth, particularly in its credit card segment, leveraging its data-driven marketing and product innovation. Expansion into consumer and commercial banking through organic growth and acquisitions has further diversified its revenue base. The company has focused on scaling its digital offerings to attract and retain customers.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Capital One's future growth are generally positive, anticipating continued revenue expansion driven by loan growth and potential for improved net interest margins, contingent on interest rate trends. Growth in digital banking and potential new product launches are also key drivers. However, projections are also mindful of potential economic slowdowns and increased competition.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include ongoing investments in technology and data analytics to enhance customer experience and operational efficiency, a focus on growing its deposit base, and strategic efforts to manage credit risk effectively. The company has also been active in share repurchase programs, returning capital to shareholders. A significant recent initiative was the announced acquisition of Discover Financial Services (pending regulatory approval).
Summary
Capital One Financial Corporation is a robustly positioned financial services company, particularly strong in the U.S. credit card market and digital banking. Its data-driven approach and innovative products are key strengths, contributing to consistent growth. However, it faces intense competition and economic sensitivities. Recent strategic moves, like the proposed acquisition of Discover, aim to further solidify its market position and expand its service offerings.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Capital One Financial Corporation's official investor relations website (Annual Reports, Quarterly Reports).
- U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings (10-K, 10-Q).
- Reputable financial news outlets and data providers (e.g., Bloomberg, Refinitiv, Yahoo Finance, Morningstar).
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Data is based on publicly available information and may be subject to change. Market share data is an estimation for illustrative purposes. Specific financial metrics should be verified with the latest official company filings. The proposed acquisition of Discover Financial Services is subject to regulatory approval and may not be completed.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Capital One Financial Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters McLean, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-11-15 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Mr. Richard D. Fairbank | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Credit Services | Full time employees 77000 | Website https://www.capitalone.com |
Full time employees 77000 | Website https://www.capitalone.com | ||
Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, and time deposits. Its loan products include credit card loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; online direct banking services; and provides advisory, capital markets, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and California. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

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