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Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/07/2026: COF (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 22 days. Simulated Profits (9.78%). Updated daily EoD!
1 Year Target Price $273.57
1 Year Target Price $273.57
| 11 | Strong Buy |
| 4 | Buy |
| 7 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 68.3% | Avg. Invested days 61 | Today’s Advisory Strong Buy |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 164.96B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 88.64 | 1Y Target Price 273.57 |
Price to earnings Ratio 88.64 | 1Y Target Price 273.57 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 22 | Beta 1.13 | 52 Weeks Range 141.84 - 259.64 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 141.84 - 259.64 | Updated Date 01/6/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.91 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.9% | Operating Margin (TTM) 38.72% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.25% | Return on Equity (TTM) 1.62% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 88.64 | Forward PE 12.2 | Enterprise Value 166969131008 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.71 |
Enterprise Value 166969131008 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.71 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA - | Shares Outstanding 635733605 | Shares Floating 623050720 |
Shares Outstanding 635733605 | Shares Floating 623050720 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.81 | Percent Institutions 87.63 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Capital One Financial Corporation

Company Overview
History and Background
Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1994 by Richard Fairbank and Nigel Morris. It was spun off from Signet Banking Corporation, initially focusing on credit card services. Key milestones include its significant expansion into auto loans and mortgages, and its pioneering use of data analytics and technology to personalize customer offerings. In 2011, Capital One acquired ING's U.S. direct banking business, significantly expanding its deposit base and retail banking presence.
Core Business Areas
- Credit Card Services: This is Capital One's largest and most profitable segment, offering a wide range of credit cards for consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients. They are known for their rewards programs, co-branded cards, and data-driven marketing.
- Consumer Banking: Provides checking accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other deposit products. Capital One has been expanding its branch network and digital banking capabilities.
- Commercial Banking: Offers commercial lending, treasury management, and other financial services to businesses of various sizes.
- Auto Finance: A significant player in the auto loan market, providing financing for new and used vehicles through dealerships and direct lending.
Leadership and Structure
Capital One is led by a management team with Richard Fairbank as Chairman and CEO. The company operates through various divisions, including Credit Card, Consumer Banking, Commercial Banking, and Auto Finance, with a strong emphasis on technology and data science integrated across all segments.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Venture X Rewards Credit Card: A premium travel rewards credit card offering elevated rewards on travel and dining, annual travel credits, airport lounge access, and a Global Entry/TSA PreCheck credit. Competitors include American Express (e.g., Platinum Card), Chase (e.g., Sapphire Reserve), and Citi (e.g., Premier).
- Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards Credit Card: A popular flat-rate cash-back card offering unlimited 1.5% cash back on every purchase. It's a direct competitor to cards like the Citi Double Cash, Chase Freedom Unlimited, and Wells Fargo Active Cash. It has a significant market share in the general-purpose rewards card segment.
- Capital One 360 Checking Account: A digital-first checking account offering no monthly fees, free ATMs, and competitive interest rates. Competes with other online banks like Ally Bank, Chime, and traditional banks with strong digital offerings like Chase and Bank of America.
- Auto Loans: Capital One offers competitive auto financing options for new and used vehicles, catering to a broad range of credit profiles. Key competitors include Ally Financial, Wells Fargo, and other large financial institutions.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The U.S. financial services industry, particularly the banking and credit card sectors, is highly competitive and increasingly driven by technology. Factors like interest rate fluctuations, regulatory changes, economic conditions, and evolving consumer preferences significantly impact performance. The industry is seeing a strong push towards digital transformation, personalization, and data analytics.
Positioning
Capital One is positioned as a technology-driven financial services company, leveraging data analytics to offer personalized products and customer experiences. Its competitive advantages lie in its strong brand recognition in credit cards, its growing digital banking platform, and its expertise in risk management and data science. It aims to compete with both traditional large banks and agile fintech companies.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for financial services in the US is in the trillions of dollars, encompassing lending, deposits, payments, and investment services. Capital One is a significant player in several key segments, particularly credit cards and auto loans, with a substantial portion of its revenue derived from these areas. Its continued expansion into consumer banking and commercial services aims to capture a larger share of this vast market.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition, especially in credit cards.
- Advanced data analytics and technology capabilities for personalization and risk management.
- Diversified product portfolio (credit cards, banking, auto finance).
- Significant investment in technology and digital transformation.
- Large and loyal customer base.
Weaknesses
- Reliance on credit card segment for profitability, making it susceptible to economic downturns.
- Past regulatory scrutiny and compliance issues.
- Competition from nimble fintech companies and established banks with deep pockets.
- Customer service perception can vary.
Opportunities
- Expansion of digital banking services and customer acquisition.
- Growth in commercial banking and small business lending.
- Leveraging AI and machine learning for enhanced customer experience and operational efficiency.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions to enter new markets or enhance capabilities.
- Increased demand for personalized financial products.
Threats
- Rising interest rates impacting borrowing costs and credit card defaults.
- Increased regulatory oversight and potential for new compliance burdens.
- Economic recession or significant slowdown impacting consumer spending and loan repayment.
- Intensifying competition from traditional banks and fintech disruptors.
- Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
- Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
- Citigroup Inc. (C)
- Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
- Discover Financial Services (DFS)
Competitive Landscape
Capital One faces intense competition from large diversified banks and specialized financial services companies. Its strength lies in its data-driven approach and focus on customer segmentation. However, it competes against companies with larger balance sheets, more extensive branch networks, and longer-standing customer relationships.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Capital One has experienced substantial growth since its inception, driven by innovation in credit card products, expansion into new financial services, and strategic acquisitions. Its growth has been characterized by a strong focus on data analytics to drive customer acquisition and retention.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Capital One typically anticipate continued growth in its core credit card business, along with expansion in consumer and commercial banking. Focus on digital channels and personalized offerings is expected to be a key driver of future revenue and profitability.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include significant investments in technology and AI to enhance customer experience, cybersecurity, and operational efficiency. The company has also been focused on expanding its digital banking platform and optimizing its physical branch presence.
Summary
Capital One Financial Corporation is a strong player in the U.S. financial services market, particularly dominant in credit cards due to its innovative use of data analytics. Its diversified offerings in banking and auto finance provide resilience. The company's commitment to technology and digital transformation is a key strength. However, it must remain vigilant against economic downturns that impact credit quality and navigate intense competition from both traditional banks and nimble fintech firms.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Capital One Financial Corporation Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
- Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is estimated and may vary depending on the specific segment and reporting methodology. Future projections are subject to change based on market conditions and company performance.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Capital One Financial Corporation
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters McLean, VA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-11-15 | Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Mr. Richard D. Fairbank | ||
Sector Financial Services | Industry Credit Services | Full time employees 77000 | Website https://www.capitalone.com |
Full time employees 77000 | Website https://www.capitalone.com | ||
Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, and time deposits. Its loan products include credit card loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; online direct banking services; and provides advisory, capital markets, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and California. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

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