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COF 5-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) company logo

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF)

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) 5-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$253.25
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY9.78%
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Strong Buy
BUY since 22 days
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Upturn Advisory Summary

01/07/2026: COF (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY since 22 days. Simulated Profits (9.78%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 5 star rating for performance

Outstanding Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.

Number of Analysts

4 star rating from financial analysts

22 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $273.57

1 Year Target Price $273.57

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$273.57 Target price
52w Low $141.84
Current$253.25
52w High $259.64

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 68.3%
Avg. Invested days 61
Today’s Advisory Strong Buy
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 01/07/2026

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 164.96B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 88.64
1Y Target Price 273.57
Price to earnings Ratio 88.64
1Y Target Price 273.57
Volume (30-day avg) 22
Beta 1.13
52 Weeks Range 141.84 - 259.64
Updated Date 01/6/2026
52 Weeks Range 141.84 - 259.64
Updated Date 01/6/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 0.96%
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.91

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.9%
Operating Margin (TTM) 38.72%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 0.25%
Return on Equity (TTM) 1.62%

Valuation

Trailing PE 88.64
Forward PE 12.2
Enterprise Value 166969131008
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.71
Enterprise Value 166969131008
Price to Sales(TTM) 5.71
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.45
Enterprise Value to EBITDA -
Shares Outstanding 635733605
Shares Floating 623050720
Shares Outstanding 635733605
Shares Floating 623050720
Percent Insiders 1.81
Percent Institutions 87.63

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Capital One Financial Corporation

Capital One Financial Corporation(COF) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1994 by Richard Fairbank and Nigel Morris. It was spun off from Signet Banking Corporation, initially focusing on credit card services. Key milestones include its significant expansion into auto loans and mortgages, and its pioneering use of data analytics and technology to personalize customer offerings. In 2011, Capital One acquired ING's U.S. direct banking business, significantly expanding its deposit base and retail banking presence.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Credit Card Services: This is Capital One's largest and most profitable segment, offering a wide range of credit cards for consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients. They are known for their rewards programs, co-branded cards, and data-driven marketing.
  • Consumer Banking: Provides checking accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit, and other deposit products. Capital One has been expanding its branch network and digital banking capabilities.
  • Commercial Banking: Offers commercial lending, treasury management, and other financial services to businesses of various sizes.
  • Auto Finance: A significant player in the auto loan market, providing financing for new and used vehicles through dealerships and direct lending.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Capital One is led by a management team with Richard Fairbank as Chairman and CEO. The company operates through various divisions, including Credit Card, Consumer Banking, Commercial Banking, and Auto Finance, with a strong emphasis on technology and data science integrated across all segments.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Venture X Rewards Credit Card: A premium travel rewards credit card offering elevated rewards on travel and dining, annual travel credits, airport lounge access, and a Global Entry/TSA PreCheck credit. Competitors include American Express (e.g., Platinum Card), Chase (e.g., Sapphire Reserve), and Citi (e.g., Premier).
  • Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards Credit Card: A popular flat-rate cash-back card offering unlimited 1.5% cash back on every purchase. It's a direct competitor to cards like the Citi Double Cash, Chase Freedom Unlimited, and Wells Fargo Active Cash. It has a significant market share in the general-purpose rewards card segment.
  • Capital One 360 Checking Account: A digital-first checking account offering no monthly fees, free ATMs, and competitive interest rates. Competes with other online banks like Ally Bank, Chime, and traditional banks with strong digital offerings like Chase and Bank of America.
  • Auto Loans: Capital One offers competitive auto financing options for new and used vehicles, catering to a broad range of credit profiles. Key competitors include Ally Financial, Wells Fargo, and other large financial institutions.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The U.S. financial services industry, particularly the banking and credit card sectors, is highly competitive and increasingly driven by technology. Factors like interest rate fluctuations, regulatory changes, economic conditions, and evolving consumer preferences significantly impact performance. The industry is seeing a strong push towards digital transformation, personalization, and data analytics.

Positioning

Capital One is positioned as a technology-driven financial services company, leveraging data analytics to offer personalized products and customer experiences. Its competitive advantages lie in its strong brand recognition in credit cards, its growing digital banking platform, and its expertise in risk management and data science. It aims to compete with both traditional large banks and agile fintech companies.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for financial services in the US is in the trillions of dollars, encompassing lending, deposits, payments, and investment services. Capital One is a significant player in several key segments, particularly credit cards and auto loans, with a substantial portion of its revenue derived from these areas. Its continued expansion into consumer banking and commercial services aims to capture a larger share of this vast market.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition, especially in credit cards.
  • Advanced data analytics and technology capabilities for personalization and risk management.
  • Diversified product portfolio (credit cards, banking, auto finance).
  • Significant investment in technology and digital transformation.
  • Large and loyal customer base.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on credit card segment for profitability, making it susceptible to economic downturns.
  • Past regulatory scrutiny and compliance issues.
  • Competition from nimble fintech companies and established banks with deep pockets.
  • Customer service perception can vary.

Opportunities

  • Expansion of digital banking services and customer acquisition.
  • Growth in commercial banking and small business lending.
  • Leveraging AI and machine learning for enhanced customer experience and operational efficiency.
  • Potential for strategic acquisitions to enter new markets or enhance capabilities.
  • Increased demand for personalized financial products.

Threats

  • Rising interest rates impacting borrowing costs and credit card defaults.
  • Increased regulatory oversight and potential for new compliance burdens.
  • Economic recession or significant slowdown impacting consumer spending and loan repayment.
  • Intensifying competition from traditional banks and fintech disruptors.
  • Cybersecurity threats and data breaches.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
  • Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
  • Citigroup Inc. (C)
  • Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
  • Discover Financial Services (DFS)

Competitive Landscape

Capital One faces intense competition from large diversified banks and specialized financial services companies. Its strength lies in its data-driven approach and focus on customer segmentation. However, it competes against companies with larger balance sheets, more extensive branch networks, and longer-standing customer relationships.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Capital One has experienced substantial growth since its inception, driven by innovation in credit card products, expansion into new financial services, and strategic acquisitions. Its growth has been characterized by a strong focus on data analytics to drive customer acquisition and retention.

Future Projections: Analyst projections for Capital One typically anticipate continued growth in its core credit card business, along with expansion in consumer and commercial banking. Focus on digital channels and personalized offerings is expected to be a key driver of future revenue and profitability.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include significant investments in technology and AI to enhance customer experience, cybersecurity, and operational efficiency. The company has also been focused on expanding its digital banking platform and optimizing its physical branch presence.

Summary

Capital One Financial Corporation is a strong player in the U.S. financial services market, particularly dominant in credit cards due to its innovative use of data analytics. Its diversified offerings in banking and auto finance provide resilience. The company's commitment to technology and digital transformation is a key strength. However, it must remain vigilant against economic downturns that impact credit quality and navigate intense competition from both traditional banks and nimble fintech firms.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Capital One Financial Corporation Investor Relations
  • SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Financial News Outlets (e.g., Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg)
  • Market Research Reports

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market share data is estimated and may vary depending on the specific segment and reporting methodology. Future projections are subject to change based on market conditions and company performance.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Capital One Financial Corporation

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters McLean, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1994-11-15
Founder, Chairman, CEO & President Mr. Richard D. Fairbank
Sector Financial Services
Industry Credit Services
Full time employees 77000
Full time employees 77000

Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, and time deposits. Its loan products include credit card loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; online direct banking services; and provides advisory, capital markets, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and California. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.