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ConocoPhillips (COP)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/09/2026: COP (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $111.48
1 Year Target Price $111.48
| 14 | Strong Buy |
| 13 | Buy |
| 3 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -17.68% | Avg. Invested days 28 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 123.30B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 13.94 | 1Y Target Price 111.48 |
Price to earnings Ratio 13.94 | 1Y Target Price 111.48 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 30 | Beta 0.33 | 52 Weeks Range 77.84 - 103.48 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 77.84 - 103.48 | Updated Date 01/8/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.32% | Basic EPS (TTM) 7.08 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 14.45% | Operating Margin (TTM) 19.54% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 8.1% | Return on Equity (TTM) 15.42% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 13.94 | Forward PE 15.13 | Enterprise Value 133309372405 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.01 |
Enterprise Value 133309372405 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.01 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.23 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.16 | Shares Outstanding 1235718250 | Shares Floating 1233123242 |
Shares Outstanding 1235718250 | Shares Floating 1233123242 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.07 | Percent Institutions 84.2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
ConocoPhillips

Company Overview
History and Background
ConocoPhillips was formed on September 1, 2002, through the merger of Conoco Inc. and Phillips Petroleum Company. Both predecessor companies had rich histories dating back to the late 19th and early 20th centuries, respectively. Key milestones include Conoco's early oil discoveries and Phillips' role in developing the first successful commercial alkylation process. The company has evolved through various mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures, focusing on exploration, production, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids.
Core Business Areas
- Lower 48: Exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids primarily in the United States, with significant operations in Texas, Alaska, and the Rocky Mountains. Focuses on efficient extraction and production from mature fields and new resource plays.
- Alaska: Development and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves in Alaska, including significant interests in the Kuparuk and Prudhoe Bay fields. This segment is characterized by complex operating environments and large-scale infrastructure.
- Europe, Middle East & North Africa (EMEN): Exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas in various countries across these regions. This segment often involves joint ventures and production sharing agreements with national oil companies.
- Asia Pacific & Lower 48 Conventional: Covers exploration, development, and production activities in the Asia Pacific region, as well as conventional oil and gas assets in the Lower 48 states that are distinct from the shale-focused Lower 48 segment. This includes operations in Australia, China, and other Asian countries.
- Canada: Exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas in Canada, primarily in the oil sands region of Alberta. This segment involves large-scale, capital-intensive projects.
Leadership and Structure
ConocoPhillips is led by a Board of Directors and an executive management team. The current CEO and Chairman is Ryan Lance. The company operates a geographically segmented structure, with operational leadership responsible for each of the core business areas. The organizational structure is designed to manage complex global operations, ensuring safety, environmental responsibility, and efficient resource development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Crude Oil: ConocoPhillips is a major producer of crude oil, a fundamental commodity used for gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, and the production of petrochemicals. Its market share in global crude oil production is significant, though specific figures fluctuate. Key competitors include ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell, and BP.
- Natural Gas: The company produces substantial quantities of natural gas, a vital energy source for electricity generation, industrial processes, and residential heating. Its market share in natural gas production is also substantial. Competitors include the same major integrated oil and gas companies as well as specialized natural gas producers.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): ConocoPhillips extracts and markets NGLs such as ethane, propane, and butane, which are essential feedstocks for the petrochemical industry and are also used as fuels. Its market share in NGLs is tied to its overall natural gas production. Competitors include other large E&P companies and midstream NGL processors.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The oil and gas industry is highly cyclical, influenced by global economic growth, geopolitical events, and the balance of supply and demand. The industry is also undergoing a significant transition driven by climate change concerns, leading to increased focus on energy efficiency, lower-carbon solutions, and the development of renewable energy sources. However, conventional oil and gas remain critical for meeting global energy needs in the medium term.
Positioning
ConocoPhillips is positioned as a pure-play exploration and production (E&P) company, focusing on efficient and low-cost production of oil and gas. Its competitive advantages include a diverse portfolio of high-quality assets, strong operational expertise, a disciplined approach to capital allocation, and a commitment to shareholder returns. The company's scale and integrated operations allow for cost efficiencies and resilience in volatile market conditions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global energy market is vast, with trillions of dollars spent annually on oil, natural gas, and related products. ConocoPhillips operates within the upstream segment of this market, focusing on the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons. While the TAM for fossil fuels is substantial, it is projected to evolve as the world transitions to lower-carbon energy sources. ConocoPhillips is well-positioned to extract value from its existing and future hydrocarbon assets while also exploring opportunities in lower-carbon technologies.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong portfolio of low-cost, high-return assets.
- Disciplined capital allocation and focus on shareholder returns.
- Extensive operational expertise and technological capabilities.
- Global presence with diverse geographic diversification.
- Commitment to safety and environmental stewardship.
Weaknesses
- Exposure to volatile commodity prices.
- Significant capital requirements for exploration and production.
- Reliance on fossil fuels in an evolving energy landscape.
- Potential for geopolitical instability impacting operations in certain regions.
- Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scrutiny.
Opportunities
- Growth in global energy demand, particularly in developing economies.
- Advancements in technology for more efficient and cost-effective extraction.
- Acquisitions to expand asset base and market reach.
- Development of lower-carbon energy solutions (e.g., CCUS, hydrogen).
- Strategic partnerships to access new markets and technologies.
Threats
- Stringent environmental regulations and policies promoting decarbonization.
- Increased competition from other energy producers and renewable energy sources.
- Geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions.
- Economic downturns affecting energy demand.
- Price volatility of crude oil and natural gas.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Exxon Mobil (XOM)
- Chevron Corporation (CVX)
- Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)
- EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)
- Pioneer Natural Resources Company (PXD)
Competitive Landscape
ConocoPhillips competes in a highly competitive global oil and gas market. Its advantages lie in its disciplined capital allocation, large-scale operations, and focus on low-cost production. However, it faces competition from larger integrated majors with broader downstream operations and from more agile independent producers. The ongoing energy transition presents a challenge as competitors may be more aggressively pursuing renewable energy diversification.
Major Acquisitions
Concho Resources Inc.
- Year: 2021
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 9700
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Concho Resources significantly expanded ConocoPhillips's footprint in the Permian Basin, a highly productive and economic oil play in the United States. This move aimed to enhance scale, drive operational efficiencies, and create substantial value through synergy realization and optimized development.
Shell's Permian Assets
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 9500
- Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Shell's Permian assets further strengthened ConocoPhillips's position in the Permian Basin, adding high-quality, low-cost production and extensive acreage. This acquisition was intended to increase production, reserves, and generate significant cash flow, reinforcing the company's strategy in this key resource area.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: ConocoPhillips has experienced growth through strategic acquisitions, organic development of its reserves, and operational efficiencies. The company has a track record of successfully integrating acquired assets and optimizing production from its existing portfolio. Its focus on lower-cost basins and efficient extraction has been a key driver of its historical growth.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for ConocoPhillips's future growth are generally positive, contingent on commodity price assumptions and the company's ability to execute its strategic plans. Projections often focus on continued production growth from key unconventional plays, disciplined capital investment, and sustained shareholder returns. The company's ability to adapt to the energy transition will also play a role in its long-term growth trajectory.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives by ConocoPhillips have included strategic acquisitions to bolster its portfolio, a focus on operational efficiency and cost reduction, and investments in technologies that enhance production and reduce environmental impact. The company also continues to emphasize its commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. There is also a growing focus on exploring lower-carbon business opportunities.
Summary
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong portfolio of high-quality, low-cost assets. Its disciplined approach to capital allocation, operational efficiency, and commitment to shareholder returns are significant strengths. However, the company faces risks associated with commodity price volatility and the global energy transition. Continued focus on strategic growth, cost management, and potential diversification into lower-carbon solutions will be crucial for its long-term success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- ConocoPhillips Investor Relations
- Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and market data. Financial figures and market share estimates are subject to change and may vary depending on the source and reporting period. This document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About ConocoPhillips
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Houston, TX, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1981-12-31 | Chairman & CEO Mr. Ryan M. Lance | ||
Sector Energy | Industry Oil & Gas E&P | Full time employees 11400 | Website https://www.conocophillips.com |
Full time employees 11400 | Website https://www.conocophillips.com | ||
ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. The company operates in six segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; Asia Pacific; and Other International. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Canada; and an inventory of global exploration prospects. It serves in the United States, Canada, China, Equatorial Guinea, Libya, Malaysia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally ConocoPhillips was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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