Coty Inc logo

Coty Inc(COTY)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.68
09/28/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for COTY

09/28/2026: COTY (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Coty Inc is a major global player in the fragrance and cosmetics industry, managing a portfolio of prestige brands and mass-market products. The company’s primary strengths lie in its high-end fragrance licenses and broad international distribution network. Its investment story focuses on a turnaround strategy aimed at margin expansion, growth in prestige skincare, and debt reduction. Primary risks include heavy leverage, intense competition from established giants and indie startups, and sensitivity to consumer spending. This stock may suit investors willing to tolerate higher volatility in exchange for potential growth as the company executes its turnaround, though the lack of a dividend limits its appeal for income-focused portfolios.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth prospects are tied to premiumization, but overall revenue expansion remains moderate.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock can exhibit high momentum during periods of successful product cycles.
Value investorMixed fitValuation fluctuates based on the company's success in managing its debt load.
Dividend investorWeak fitCoty does not currently pay a dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh debt levels and industry volatility contribute to a higher risk profile.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock price is sensitive to consumer sentiment and debt refinancing news.
Valuation riskMediumEarnings multiples are often compressed by high debt, affecting stock valuation.
Competition riskHighDirect competition from L'Oréal and Estée Lauder exerts pressure on market share.
Business qualityMediumCoty has strong iconic brands but has historically struggled with operational execution.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThere is no dividend income for investors to rely on.
Execution riskMedium / highDelivering on long-term margin improvement and debt reduction is critical.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -10.92%
Avg. Invested days 33
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 09/28/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
COTY receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
COTY has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid cash generation (FCF margin 6.0%) is partially offset by negative earnings growth (-64.4%), slightly negative revenue growth (-1.5%), weak profitability (net margin -10.4%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
COTY's financial health is supported by moderate cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation (6.0% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is COTY's strongest growth driver at +25.4% FY2026 versus FY2025 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-1.5%, slightly negative) and earnings growth (-64.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 42.6% and approximately 42.7% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 54.77% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 5.96%
BNP Paribas Arbitrage, SA 3.36%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 2.26%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 1.82%
Crédit Agricole S.A. 1.77%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
COTY generates approximately $629 of gross profit, $-14 of operating income, and $60 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Operating losses explain the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 3.28%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
COTY has a Short Squeeze Candidate profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Small / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.36B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2.69
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 2.69
Volume (30-day avg) 6.4M shares
Beta 0.95
52 Weeks Range 1.82 - 4.47
Updated Date 09/28/2026
52 Weeks Range 1.82 - 4.47
Updated Date 09/28/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.7

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Prestige SegmentLuxury fragrances and cosmetics including Gucci, Burberry, and Hugo Boss.This is the premium side of the business that generally commands higher profit margins.
Consumer Beauty SegmentMass-market makeup and nail care brands like CoverGirl and Sally Hansen.This segment relies on high-volume sales through mass retail channels.
GeographyGlobal sales across Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific.International diversification helps balance regional economic fluctuations.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 7.88
Enterprise Value 5.59B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.41
Enterprise Value 5.59B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.41
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.96
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 99.42
Shares Outstanding 880.69M
Shares Floating 376.42M
Shares Outstanding 880.69M
Shares Floating 376.42M
Percent Insiders 54.77
Percent Institutions 42.64

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About Coty Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquarters New York, NY, United States
IPO Launch date 2013-06-13
CEO -
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Household & Personal Products
Full time employees 11335
Full time employees 11335

Coty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells branded beauty products in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Prestige and Consumer Beauty. The company provides fragrances, color cosmetics, and skin and body care products. It offers prestige products through prestige retailers, including perfumeries, department stores, e-retailers, direct-to-consumer websites, and duty-free shops under Burberry, Calvin Klein, Chloe, Davidoff, Escada, Etro, Gucci, Hugo Boss, Infiniment Coty Paris, Jil Sander, Joop!, Kylie Cosmetics by Kylie Jenner, Lancaster, Marc Jacobs, Orveda, philosophy, and Tiffany & Co. brands. The company provides beauty products through hypermarkets, supermarkets, drug stores, pharmacies, mid-tier department stores, traditional food and drug retailers, and e-commerce retailers under the Adidas, David Beckham, Bozzano, Bourjois, Bruno Banani, CoverGirl, Jovan, LeGer by Lena Gercke, Max Factor, Mexx, Monange, Nautica, Paixao, Rimmel, Risque, Vera Wang, and Sally Hansen brands. It also sells its products through third-party distributors. Coty Inc. was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Coty Inc. operates as a subsidiary of JAB Beauty B.V.