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Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd (CP)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
07/11/2025: CP (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $87.26
1 Year Target Price $87.26
16 | Strong Buy |
7 | Buy |
7 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -13.21% | Avg. Invested days 36 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 76.58B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 27.14 | 1Y Target Price 87.26 |
Price to earnings Ratio 27.14 | 1Y Target Price 87.26 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 32 | Beta 1.07 | 52 Weeks Range 66.35 - 87.07 | Updated Date 07/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 66.35 - 87.07 | Updated Date 07/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.84% | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.01 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 26% | Operating Margin (TTM) 37.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.29% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.27% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 27.14 | Forward PE 23.42 | Enterprise Value 92166577915 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.17 |
Enterprise Value 92166577915 | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.17 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.49 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.37 | Shares Outstanding 930456000 | Shares Floating 874321647 |
Shares Outstanding 930456000 | Shares Floating 874321647 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.03 | Percent Institutions 75.41 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd

Company Overview
History and Background
Canadian Pacific Railway (CP) was founded in 1881. It played a crucial role in connecting Canada and facilitating trade. Through mergers and acquisitions, including the Kansas City Southern merger, it has evolved into a major North American railway.
Core Business Areas
- Merchandise: Transportation of various goods, including grain, coal, fertilizers, and consumer products.
- Intermodal: Movement of freight in containers and trailers, coordinating rail and truck transportation.
- Bulk: Transporting commodities like grain, coal, and potash.
Leadership and Structure
Keith Creel is the President and CEO. The company has a board of directors overseeing management and strategic direction. The organizational structure is based on functional departments and geographical regions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Grain Transportation: Transporting grain from farms to export terminals. Competitors include CN, BNSF, and UP. CPKC is a significant player in this space, particularly in Western Canada. Market share data is variable depending on specific routes and products.
- Intermodal Services: Providing intermodal transportation solutions. Competitors include CN, BNSF, and trucking companies. CPKC competes by offering efficient and reliable intermodal services across its network.
- Coal Transportation: Transporting coal for power generation and export. Competitors include BNSF and UP. Market share is dependent on coal production and demand.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The railway industry is crucial for freight transportation, facing competition from trucking and other modes. Demand is influenced by economic growth, commodity prices, and international trade.
Positioning
CPKC is a major North American railway company. Its competitive advantages include a vast network, efficient operations, and strategic acquisitions like Kansas City Southern. The merger created the first and only single-line rail network linking the U.S., Mexico, and Canada.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The North American freight rail market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. CPKC is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market, particularly through its expanded network and improved service offerings.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive North American rail network
- Efficient operations
- Strong management team
- Strategic acquisitions (Kansas City Southern)
- Access to key markets and resources
Weaknesses
- High capital expenditures
- Dependence on commodity prices
- Vulnerability to weather-related disruptions
- Labor relations
Opportunities
- Growing demand for freight transportation
- Expansion into new markets
- Technological advancements (e.g., automation)
- Increased intermodal traffic
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Competition from trucking companies
- Government regulations
- Fuel price volatility
- Geopolitical risks
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- UNP
- NSC
- CSX
- BNSF
Competitive Landscape
CPKC's competitive advantages include its extensive network and efficient operations. Disadvantages include high capital costs and dependence on commodity prices. Compared to other rail companies, the KCS merger expands network.
Major Acquisitions
Kansas City Southern
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 31000
- Strategic Rationale: Created the first single-line rail network linking the U.S., Mexico, and Canada, expanding market access and improving service.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CP has demonstrated growth through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. The acquisition of Kansas City Southern significantly expanded its network.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary, but generally project continued growth in revenue and earnings, driven by increased freight volumes and improved efficiency.
Recent Initiatives: The Kansas City Southern merger is a major strategic initiative. Other initiatives include investments in infrastructure and technology to improve service and efficiency.
Summary
Canadian Pacific Railway (CP) is a well-established company with a strong North American network, notably enhanced by the KCS merger. While facing challenges such as high capital expenditures and economic sensitivities, CP is poised for growth through increased freight volumes and strategic expansion. The company must vigilantly manage operational efficiencies and adapt to evolving market dynamics to maintain its competitive edge. The rail industry as a whole faces competition from trucking and regulatory pressures.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings
- Financial news outlets
- Industry reports
- Analyst estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market share data is based on estimates and may vary.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Calgary, AB, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 1983-12-30 | CEO, President & Director Mr. Keith E. Creel | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Railroads | Full time employees 19992 | Website https://www.cpkcr.com |
Full time employees 19992 | Website https://www.cpkcr.com |
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur; merchandise freight, such as forest products, energy, chemicals and plastics, metals, minerals, consumer products, and automotive; and intermodal traffic comprising retail goods in overseas containers. It also provides rail and intermodal transportation services over a network of approximately 20,000 miles serving business centers. The company was formerly known as Canadian Pacific Railway Limited and changed its name to Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited in April 2023. Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited was incorporated in 1881 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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