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CNI 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) company logo

Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)

Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) 1-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$98.85
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY1.17%
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/31/2025: CNI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 1 star rating for performance

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

5 star rating from financial analysts

32 Analysts rated it

Highly popular stock, broad analyst coverage, trusted insights, strong investor interest.

1 Year Target Price $111.73

1 Year Target Price $111.73

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$111.73 Target price
52w Low $89.88
Current$98.85
52w High $106.64

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -11.66%
Avg. Invested days 41
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/31/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 61.92B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 18.37
1Y Target Price 111.73
Price to earnings Ratio 18.37
1Y Target Price 111.73
Volume (30-day avg) 32
Beta 0.9
52 Weeks Range 89.88 - 106.64
Updated Date 12/31/2025
52 Weeks Range 89.88 - 106.64
Updated Date 12/31/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 3.53%
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.38

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 26.85%
Operating Margin (TTM) 41.56%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 7.77%
Return on Equity (TTM) 22.68%

Valuation

Trailing PE 18.37
Forward PE 16.64
Enterprise Value 76711792727
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.6
Enterprise Value 76711792727
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.6
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.11
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.69
Shares Outstanding 615500000
Shares Floating 598136745
Shares Outstanding 615500000
Shares Floating 598136745
Percent Insiders 2.76
Percent Institutions 73.76

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Canadian National Railway Company

Canadian National Railway Company(CNI) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Canadian National Railway Company (CN) was established in 1919 by the Canadian federal government through the amalgamation of several struggling railways. It has since evolved into one of North America's largest and most resilient transportation networks. Key milestones include its privatization in 1995, which marked a significant shift towards a more market-driven approach, and its continuous expansion through strategic acquisitions and network optimization.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Intermodal: Transporting shipping containers and trailers via a combination of rail and truck, facilitating efficient global supply chains.
  • Carload: Hauling a diverse range of bulk and manufactured goods in individual railcars, including grains, coal, petroleum products, chemicals, and forest products.
  • Bulk Commodity Transport: Specializing in the movement of large volumes of commodities such as grain, fertilizers, sulfur, and minerals.
  • Industrial Products: Transporting goods like chemicals, plastics, automotive parts, and manufactured goods.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Canadian National Railway Company is led by a Board of Directors overseeing executive management. The executive team, headed by the Chief Executive Officer (CEO), is responsible for the strategic direction and operational execution across various departments, including operations, marketing, finance, and human resources. The company operates an extensive network across Canada and the United States, with regional management structures overseeing specific geographic areas.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Automotive and Equipment: Transporting new vehicles and parts. CN is a major player in this segment, competing with other Class I railroads and trucking companies. Market share is difficult to quantify precisely but is significant given its extensive network reaching automotive manufacturing hubs.
  • Coal: Moving thermal and metallurgical coal. CN serves major coal producers and export terminals, facing competition from other railroads and international shipping costs. Market share is influenced by global demand and mining output.
  • Grains and Fertilizers: A primary carrier for Western Canadian grain to export terminals and domestic processors, as well as fertilizers. This segment is crucial for Canada's agricultural sector, with CN holding a dominant position due to its extensive network and dedicated capacity. Competitors include other Class I railroads and trucking for shorter hauls.
  • Petroleum and Chemicals: Transporting crude oil, refined products, and various chemicals. This segment is highly sensitive to commodity prices and production levels. CN competes with pipelines and other transportation modes, and its market share fluctuates with industry dynamics.
  • Forest Products: Moving lumber, pulp, and paper products from production facilities to markets. CN is a key logistics provider for the Canadian forest industry, competing with trucking services for shorter distances and other rail networks.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The North American freight railroad industry is mature and characterized by high barriers to entry, significant capital investment, and a cyclical demand tied to the broader economy. It is a critical component of the supply chain, providing efficient and cost-effective transportation for bulk commodities and manufactured goods over long distances. Key trends include intermodal growth, increasing focus on sustainability, and the impact of e-commerce on freight volumes.

Positioning

CN is one of the largest and most geographically diverse rail carriers in North America. Its competitive advantages include its extensive network spanning key economic corridors in Canada and the United States, its efficient operations, its strong relationships with shippers, and its focus on safety and sustainability. CN's integrated network allows for streamlined single-line haulage, reducing transit times and costs for customers.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The TAM for North American freight transportation is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. CN, as a Class I railroad, competes within a significant portion of this market, particularly for long-haul bulk and containerized freight. While specific TAM figures for rail are hard to isolate, CN is well-positioned to capture a substantial share of the freight that moves by rail across its network.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Extensive and well-maintained rail network across North America.
  • Strong operational efficiency and a focus on safety.
  • Diversified revenue streams from various commodity types.
  • Strategic positioning in key commodity-producing and consuming regions.
  • Significant infrastructure investments and technological advancements.

Weaknesses

  • Vulnerability to economic downturns and commodity price fluctuations.
  • Potential for labor disputes and related operational disruptions.
  • Competition from other transportation modes (trucking, pipelines, waterborne).
  • Environmental concerns and regulatory pressures related to emissions and land use.

Opportunities

  • Growth in intermodal freight driven by e-commerce and global trade.
  • Increased demand for bulk commodities from emerging markets.
  • Expansion into new markets or service offerings through strategic acquisitions.
  • Leveraging technology to improve efficiency, safety, and customer service.
  • Continued focus on sustainability and ESG initiatives to attract environmentally conscious shippers.

Threats

  • Intensifying competition from other Class I railroads and trucking companies.
  • Potential for adverse regulatory changes affecting operations or pricing.
  • Disruptions from extreme weather events impacting network operations.
  • Cybersecurity risks to operational technology and data systems.
  • Geopolitical instability affecting international trade volumes.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
  • BNSF Railway Company (a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, not publicly traded)
  • CSX Corporation (CSX)
  • Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)

Competitive Landscape

CN competes in a concentrated North American rail market dominated by a few large Class I railroads. Its advantages lie in its vast Canadian network and its strong presence in key US corridors, offering single-line service advantages. Disadvantages can arise from its smaller scale compared to some US counterparts and its exposure to Canadian economic factors. Its operational efficiency and customer service are key differentiators.

Major Acquisitions

Dominion Diamond Mines ULC (partial stake/interest in rail infrastructure)

  • Year: 2020
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions):
  • Strategic Rationale: Securing and enhancing transportation services for the resource-rich Ekati diamond mine in Canada's Northwest Territories, demonstrating commitment to serving remote resource projects.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: CN has experienced steady historical growth, driven by its expanding network, operational efficiencies, and a growing demand for its services in both commodity and intermodal transport. Acquisitions have played a role in expanding its reach and capabilities. The privatization in 1995 was a catalyst for significant operational and financial improvement.

Future Projections: Analyst projections for CN generally indicate continued modest to healthy growth, driven by ongoing intermodal demand, a recovery in certain commodity sectors, and the company's ability to leverage its network for efficient logistics. Growth is expected to be supported by infrastructure investments and strategic capacity enhancements.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new locomotives and railcars, technology upgrades for network optimization and safety, expanding terminal capacity, and a continued focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance to align with customer and investor expectations.

Summary

Canadian National Railway Company is a robust and well-positioned North American rail carrier with a strong operational record and a diversified revenue base. Its extensive network, focus on efficiency, and consistent dividend payments are significant strengths. However, the company remains susceptible to economic cycles and competitive pressures. Continued investment in infrastructure and technology, along with a focus on sustainability, will be crucial for its ongoing success.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Canadian National Railway Company Annual Reports
  • Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings
  • Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg)
  • Industry Analysis Reports

Disclaimers:

This JSON output is based on publicly available information and aims to provide a structured overview. Financial data is for illustrative purposes and may not reflect the most up-to-date figures. Market share estimates are approximate. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting independent research.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

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About Canadian National Railway Company

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Montreal, QC, Canada
IPO Launch date 1996-11-26
President, CEO & Director Ms. Tracy A. Robinson
Sector Industrials
Industry Railroads
Full time employees 24237
Full time employees 24237

Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and related transportation businesses in Canada and the United States. The company provides rail services, which include equipment, custom brokerage services, transloading and distribution, business development and real estate, and private car storage services; and intermodal services, such as temperature controlled cargo, port partnerships, transloading and distribution, logistics parks, customs brokerage, and trucking. It offers door-to-door services, import and export dray, and interline services, as well as specialized services, comprising flatbed trucks, on-deck mobile transport trays, expedited cargo, and permit/overweight services; and supply chain services. The company serves automotive, coal, fertilizers, temperature controlled cargo, forest products, dimensional, grain, metal and minerals, petroleum and chemicals, consumer goods, and third party logistics applications. It track, maintenance, and strategic infrastructure initiatives for the safe movement of goods and support long-term sustainable growth in Minnesota and across CN's network. The company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.