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Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/31/2025: CNI (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $111.73
1 Year Target Price $111.73
| 9 | Strong Buy |
| 7 | Buy |
| 14 | Hold |
| 1 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -11.66% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 61.92B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.37 | 1Y Target Price 111.73 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.37 | 1Y Target Price 111.73 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 32 | Beta 0.9 | 52 Weeks Range 89.88 - 106.64 | Updated Date 12/31/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 89.88 - 106.64 | Updated Date 12/31/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.53% | Basic EPS (TTM) 5.38 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 26.85% | Operating Margin (TTM) 41.56% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 7.77% | Return on Equity (TTM) 22.68% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.37 | Forward PE 16.64 | Enterprise Value 76711792727 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.6 |
Enterprise Value 76711792727 | Price to Sales(TTM) 3.6 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.11 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.69 | Shares Outstanding 615500000 | Shares Floating 598136745 |
Shares Outstanding 615500000 | Shares Floating 598136745 | ||
Percent Insiders 2.76 | Percent Institutions 73.76 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Canadian National Railway Company

Company Overview
History and Background
Canadian National Railway Company (CN) was established in 1919 by the Canadian federal government through the amalgamation of several struggling railways. It has since evolved into one of North America's largest and most resilient transportation networks. Key milestones include its privatization in 1995, which marked a significant shift towards a more market-driven approach, and its continuous expansion through strategic acquisitions and network optimization.
Core Business Areas
- Intermodal: Transporting shipping containers and trailers via a combination of rail and truck, facilitating efficient global supply chains.
- Carload: Hauling a diverse range of bulk and manufactured goods in individual railcars, including grains, coal, petroleum products, chemicals, and forest products.
- Bulk Commodity Transport: Specializing in the movement of large volumes of commodities such as grain, fertilizers, sulfur, and minerals.
- Industrial Products: Transporting goods like chemicals, plastics, automotive parts, and manufactured goods.
Leadership and Structure
Canadian National Railway Company is led by a Board of Directors overseeing executive management. The executive team, headed by the Chief Executive Officer (CEO), is responsible for the strategic direction and operational execution across various departments, including operations, marketing, finance, and human resources. The company operates an extensive network across Canada and the United States, with regional management structures overseeing specific geographic areas.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Automotive and Equipment: Transporting new vehicles and parts. CN is a major player in this segment, competing with other Class I railroads and trucking companies. Market share is difficult to quantify precisely but is significant given its extensive network reaching automotive manufacturing hubs.
- Coal: Moving thermal and metallurgical coal. CN serves major coal producers and export terminals, facing competition from other railroads and international shipping costs. Market share is influenced by global demand and mining output.
- Grains and Fertilizers: A primary carrier for Western Canadian grain to export terminals and domestic processors, as well as fertilizers. This segment is crucial for Canada's agricultural sector, with CN holding a dominant position due to its extensive network and dedicated capacity. Competitors include other Class I railroads and trucking for shorter hauls.
- Petroleum and Chemicals: Transporting crude oil, refined products, and various chemicals. This segment is highly sensitive to commodity prices and production levels. CN competes with pipelines and other transportation modes, and its market share fluctuates with industry dynamics.
- Forest Products: Moving lumber, pulp, and paper products from production facilities to markets. CN is a key logistics provider for the Canadian forest industry, competing with trucking services for shorter distances and other rail networks.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The North American freight railroad industry is mature and characterized by high barriers to entry, significant capital investment, and a cyclical demand tied to the broader economy. It is a critical component of the supply chain, providing efficient and cost-effective transportation for bulk commodities and manufactured goods over long distances. Key trends include intermodal growth, increasing focus on sustainability, and the impact of e-commerce on freight volumes.
Positioning
CN is one of the largest and most geographically diverse rail carriers in North America. Its competitive advantages include its extensive network spanning key economic corridors in Canada and the United States, its efficient operations, its strong relationships with shippers, and its focus on safety and sustainability. CN's integrated network allows for streamlined single-line haulage, reducing transit times and costs for customers.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for North American freight transportation is in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually. CN, as a Class I railroad, competes within a significant portion of this market, particularly for long-haul bulk and containerized freight. While specific TAM figures for rail are hard to isolate, CN is well-positioned to capture a substantial share of the freight that moves by rail across its network.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive and well-maintained rail network across North America.
- Strong operational efficiency and a focus on safety.
- Diversified revenue streams from various commodity types.
- Strategic positioning in key commodity-producing and consuming regions.
- Significant infrastructure investments and technological advancements.
Weaknesses
- Vulnerability to economic downturns and commodity price fluctuations.
- Potential for labor disputes and related operational disruptions.
- Competition from other transportation modes (trucking, pipelines, waterborne).
- Environmental concerns and regulatory pressures related to emissions and land use.
Opportunities
- Growth in intermodal freight driven by e-commerce and global trade.
- Increased demand for bulk commodities from emerging markets.
- Expansion into new markets or service offerings through strategic acquisitions.
- Leveraging technology to improve efficiency, safety, and customer service.
- Continued focus on sustainability and ESG initiatives to attract environmentally conscious shippers.
Threats
- Intensifying competition from other Class I railroads and trucking companies.
- Potential for adverse regulatory changes affecting operations or pricing.
- Disruptions from extreme weather events impacting network operations.
- Cybersecurity risks to operational technology and data systems.
- Geopolitical instability affecting international trade volumes.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)
- BNSF Railway Company (a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, not publicly traded)
- CSX Corporation (CSX)
- Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC)
Competitive Landscape
CN competes in a concentrated North American rail market dominated by a few large Class I railroads. Its advantages lie in its vast Canadian network and its strong presence in key US corridors, offering single-line service advantages. Disadvantages can arise from its smaller scale compared to some US counterparts and its exposure to Canadian economic factors. Its operational efficiency and customer service are key differentiators.
Major Acquisitions
Dominion Diamond Mines ULC (partial stake/interest in rail infrastructure)
- Year: 2020
- Acquisition Price (USD millions):
- Strategic Rationale: Securing and enhancing transportation services for the resource-rich Ekati diamond mine in Canada's Northwest Territories, demonstrating commitment to serving remote resource projects.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: CN has experienced steady historical growth, driven by its expanding network, operational efficiencies, and a growing demand for its services in both commodity and intermodal transport. Acquisitions have played a role in expanding its reach and capabilities. The privatization in 1995 was a catalyst for significant operational and financial improvement.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for CN generally indicate continued modest to healthy growth, driven by ongoing intermodal demand, a recovery in certain commodity sectors, and the company's ability to leverage its network for efficient logistics. Growth is expected to be supported by infrastructure investments and strategic capacity enhancements.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in new locomotives and railcars, technology upgrades for network optimization and safety, expanding terminal capacity, and a continued focus on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance to align with customer and investor expectations.
Summary
Canadian National Railway Company is a robust and well-positioned North American rail carrier with a strong operational record and a diversified revenue base. Its extensive network, focus on efficiency, and consistent dividend payments are significant strengths. However, the company remains susceptible to economic cycles and competitive pressures. Continued investment in infrastructure and technology, along with a focus on sustainability, will be crucial for its ongoing success.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Canadian National Railway Company Annual Reports
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Filings
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is based on publicly available information and aims to provide a structured overview. Financial data is for illustrative purposes and may not reflect the most up-to-date figures. Market share estimates are approximate. Investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor and conducting independent research.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Canadian National Railway Company
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Montreal, QC, Canada | ||
IPO Launch date 1996-11-26 | President, CEO & Director Ms. Tracy A. Robinson | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Railroads | Full time employees 24237 | Website https://www.cn.ca |
Full time employees 24237 | Website https://www.cn.ca | ||
Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and related transportation businesses in Canada and the United States. The company provides rail services, which include equipment, custom brokerage services, transloading and distribution, business development and real estate, and private car storage services; and intermodal services, such as temperature controlled cargo, port partnerships, transloading and distribution, logistics parks, customs brokerage, and trucking. It offers door-to-door services, import and export dray, and interline services, as well as specialized services, comprising flatbed trucks, on-deck mobile transport trays, expedited cargo, and permit/overweight services; and supply chain services. The company serves automotive, coal, fertilizers, temperature controlled cargo, forest products, dimensional, grain, metal and minerals, petroleum and chemicals, consumer goods, and third party logistics applications. It track, maintenance, and strategic infrastructure initiatives for the safe movement of goods and support long-term sustainable growth in Minnesota and across CN's network. The company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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