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Upturn AI Summary - About
Crescent Energy Co(CRGY)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CRGY
10/22/2026: CRGY (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Crescent Energy Co is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company that utilizes an acquisition-heavy strategy to maintain a diverse, cash-flow-generating asset base. The company benefits from disciplined operational management and the backing of institutional capital, which support its focus on shareholder dividends. Its primary growth opportunity lies in consolidating non-core assets to build scale in key basins, while the main risks involve high exposure to commodity price volatility and the operational challenges of integrating acquisitions. Crescent is best suited for income-oriented energy investors who can tolerate cyclical volatility; stakeholders should monitor its debt management and production efficiency metrics closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The growth is primarily inorganic through acquisitions rather than organic, which carries execution risks. |
| Momentum investor | Mixed fit | Momentum is highly conditional on commodity price cycles and short-term energy sector sentiment. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company focuses on cash flow generation and disciplined capital deployment, appealing to valuation-conscious investors. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Crescent maintains a policy of returning capital to shareholders through dividends, making it relevant for income seekers. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The inherent volatility of oil and gas commodity prices makes this a high-risk security for conservative portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Revenue and profitability are directly tied to unpredictable global oil and gas prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Valuations in the E&P sector can fluctuate significantly based on changes in long-term oil price outlooks. |
| Competition risk (commodity production) | Medium / high | The company competes with much larger, lower-cost supermajors for assets and market share. |
| Business quality | Medium | The company relies on a strategy of asset consolidation, which requires successful integration to maintain margins. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are dependent on volatile free cash flows and may be reduced during industry downturns. |
| Execution risk | Medium | The business model relies heavily on the success of integrating and optimizing acquired oil and gas assets. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -43.41% | Avg. Invested days 26 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/22/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 5.31B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 122.73 | 1Y Target Price 18.47 |
Price to earnings Ratio 122.73 | 1Y Target Price 18.47 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 10.0M shares | Beta 0.92 | 52 Weeks Range 7.46 - 15.47 | Updated Date 10/22/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 7.46 - 15.47 | Updated Date 10/22/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.55% | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.11 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Upstream Hydrocarbon Production | Sale of crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs from assets in the Eagle Ford and Uinta Basins. | The company makes money by drilling and selling oil and gas; revenue depends on how much they produce and the prevailing market price. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 122.73 | Forward PE 6.35 | Enterprise Value 9.37B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.23 |
Enterprise Value 9.37B | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.23 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.16 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.16 | Shares Outstanding 330.40M | Shares Floating 270.97M |
Shares Outstanding 330.40M | Shares Floating 270.97M | ||
Percent Insiders 4 | Percent Institutions 83.53 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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