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APA Corporation(APA)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
5-STAR RATING
REGULAR BUY
BUY for 15 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+13.35% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$52.82
10/30/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for APA

10/30/2026: APA (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 15 days. Simulated Profits (13.35%). Updated daily EoD!

APA Corporation is an independent oil and gas producer with a diversified portfolio spanning the United States, Egypt, and the North Sea. The company’s primary strengths include its significant scale in the Permian Basin and successful exploration capabilities, particularly in its emerging offshore Suriname assets. While the company is well-positioned for cash generation in stable price environments, it faces material risks from commodity price volatility, geopolitical uncertainty in international regions, and the long-term energy transition. It may suit value-oriented investors comfortable with cyclical volatility who monitor exploration results closely. APA’s future performance will depend largely on its ability to integrate recent acquisitions and successfully develop new offshore frontiers.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth depends heavily on exploration outcomes and commodity price cycles rather than steady secular growth.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often trends strongly with oil prices, making it a candidate for momentum strategies during bullish energy cycles.
Value investorStrong fitThe company often trades at low valuation multiples relative to earnings, which appeals to value-oriented investors.
Dividend investorMixed fitDividends can be variable, reflecting the cyclical cash flows of the energy industry.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe high volatility inherent in the oil and gas sector makes this stock unsuitable for conservative, low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighCompany profitability is directly tied to the highly unpredictable swings in global oil and gas prices.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock's valuation is sensitive to changing market sentiment regarding the long-term future of fossil fuels.
Competition risk (Energy majors)MediumLarger, more integrated competitors have greater resources to outbid for acreage or lower production costs.
Business qualityMediumOperations require continuous high capital investment to maintain production in mature, declining fields.
Dividend incomeMediumIncome reliability is not guaranteed and can be impacted by corporate capital allocation priorities.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccess depends heavily on complex, high-stakes exploration projects like those in Suriname.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 29.41%
Avg. Invested days 27
Today’s Advisory Regular Buy
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/30/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
APA receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
APA has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+78.4%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 19.9%) are partially offset by negative revenue growth (-8.4%), very low insider ownership of 0.44%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
APA's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.8B (19.9% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is APA's strongest growth driver at +131.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+78.4%, strong) is also strong, while revenue growth (-8.4%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 110.2% and approximately 99.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.44%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 10.28%
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC 9.05%
State Street Corp 7.19%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.59%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.95%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
APA generates approximately $373 of gross profit, $308 of operating income, and $199 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and strong cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 39.38%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
APA has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. No single quantitative factor dominates as a drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 18.51B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 11.17
1Y Target Price 49
Price to earnings Ratio 11.17
1Y Target Price 49
Volume (30-day avg) 5.4M shares
Beta 0.42
52 Weeks Range 21.03 - 52.96
Updated Date 11/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 21.03 - 52.96
Updated Date 11/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.94%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.73

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
US OperationsPermian Basin production of oil, gas, and NGLs.The core of the business, focusing on established, high-volume production in the US.
International OperationsProduction assets in Egypt and the North Sea.Provides geographic diversification but introduces higher geopolitical and operational risks.
ExplorationOffshore exploration, notably in Suriname.High-risk, high-reward speculative activity that could redefine the company's future value.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-11-04
When After Market
Estimate 1.44
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 19.56%
Operating Margin (TTM) 56.33%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 11.6%
Return on Equity (TTM) 26.66%

Valuation

Trailing PE 11.17
Forward PE 9.09
Enterprise Value 21.94B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.16
Enterprise Value 21.94B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.16
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.49
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.97
Shares Outstanding 350.35M
Shares Floating 348.06M
Shares Outstanding 350.35M
Shares Floating 348.06M
Percent Insiders 0.44
Percent Institutions 110.19

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.