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Upturn AI Summary - About
APA Corporation(APA)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for APA
10/30/2026: APA (5-star) is a STRONG-BUY. BUY for 15 days. Simulated Profits (13.35%). Updated daily EoD!
APA Corporation is an independent oil and gas producer with a diversified portfolio spanning the United States, Egypt, and the North Sea. The company’s primary strengths include its significant scale in the Permian Basin and successful exploration capabilities, particularly in its emerging offshore Suriname assets. While the company is well-positioned for cash generation in stable price environments, it faces material risks from commodity price volatility, geopolitical uncertainty in international regions, and the long-term energy transition. It may suit value-oriented investors comfortable with cyclical volatility who monitor exploration results closely. APA’s future performance will depend largely on its ability to integrate recent acquisitions and successfully develop new offshore frontiers.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Growth depends heavily on exploration outcomes and commodity price cycles rather than steady secular growth. |
| Momentum investor | Strong fit while signal remains positive | The stock often trends strongly with oil prices, making it a candidate for momentum strategies during bullish energy cycles. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The company often trades at low valuation multiples relative to earnings, which appeals to value-oriented investors. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | Dividends can be variable, reflecting the cyclical cash flows of the energy industry. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The high volatility inherent in the oil and gas sector makes this stock unsuitable for conservative, low-risk portfolios. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | Company profitability is directly tied to the highly unpredictable swings in global oil and gas prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | The stock's valuation is sensitive to changing market sentiment regarding the long-term future of fossil fuels. |
| Competition risk (Energy majors) | Medium | Larger, more integrated competitors have greater resources to outbid for acreage or lower production costs. |
| Business quality | Medium | Operations require continuous high capital investment to maintain production in mature, declining fields. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Income reliability is not guaranteed and can be impacted by corporate capital allocation priorities. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Success depends heavily on complex, high-stakes exploration projects like those in Suriname. |
Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 29.41% | Avg. Invested days 27 | Today’s Advisory Regular Buy |
Upturn Advisory Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals 
Financial Health Rating 
Growth Momentum Score 
Ownership 
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue) 
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile 
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 18.51B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 11.17 | 1Y Target Price 49 |
Price to earnings Ratio 11.17 | 1Y Target Price 49 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 5.4M shares | Beta 0.42 | 52 Weeks Range 21.03 - 52.96 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 21.03 - 52.96 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.94% | Basic EPS (TTM) 4.73 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| US Operations | Permian Basin production of oil, gas, and NGLs. | The core of the business, focusing on established, high-volume production in the US. |
| International Operations | Production assets in Egypt and the North Sea. | Provides geographic diversification but introduces higher geopolitical and operational risks. |
| Exploration | Offshore exploration, notably in Suriname. | High-risk, high-reward speculative activity that could redefine the company's future value. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2026-11-04 | When After Market | Estimate 1.44 | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 19.56% | Operating Margin (TTM) 56.33% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 11.6% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.66% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 11.17 | Forward PE 9.09 | Enterprise Value 21.94B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.16 |
Enterprise Value 21.94B | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.16 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.49 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.97 | Shares Outstanding 350.35M | Shares Floating 348.06M |
Shares Outstanding 350.35M | Shares Floating 348.06M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.44 | Percent Institutions 110.19 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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