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APA Corporation(APA)

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ADVISORIES YOU CAN VERIFY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
4-STAR RATING
SELL
SELL for 5 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+14.81% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$43.68
10/02/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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Upturn Advisory & Investor View for APA

10/02/2026: APA (4-star) is a SELL. SELL for 5 days. Simulated Profits (14.81%). Updated daily EoD!

APA Corporation is a large independent energy producer focused on oil and gas exploration across the US and select international markets. The company's main strength lies in its diverse asset portfolio and historical expertise in unconventional basin development. Its primary investment story centers on optimizing US assets while pursuing high-growth potential in offshore projects like Suriname. Risks include significant exposure to volatile global commodity prices, geopolitical uncertainty in international regions, and the long-term impact of evolving climate regulations. This stock may suit value or dividend-focused investors, provided they can tolerate the cyclical nature of the energy sector and are willing to monitor exploration success and commodity pricing closely.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitWhile the Suriname prospects offer high-growth potential, the core business is mature and subject to cyclical energy markets.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveThe stock often trends strongly with oil price fluctuations and positive news regarding exploration success.
Value investorStrong fitAPA frequently trades at attractive valuation multiples relative to historical earnings and asset values.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company prioritizes returning cash to shareholders, making it a viable consideration for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorWeak fitThe inherent volatility of commodity prices makes the stock unsuitable for those seeking low-risk, steady returns.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighRevenues are directly tied to global oil and gas prices, which can change rapidly due to macro factors.
Valuation riskMediumMarket sentiment toward the energy sector can lead to significant swings in valuation multiples.
Competition risk (Commodity market)MediumAPA faces constant pressure to maintain cost-efficiency compared to larger, better-capitalized integrated energy companies.
Business qualityMediumThe business is dependent on the successful, capital-intensive exploration and extraction of finite natural resources.
Dividend incomeMediumDividends are sensitive to the company's free cash flow, which fluctuates with oil and gas market conditions.
Execution riskMedium / highSuccessful development of complex offshore projects, such as those in Suriname, carries significant technical and cost risks.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 14.15%
Avg. Invested days 28
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/02/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
APA receives a 4-star rating, supported by strong unit economics, solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
APA has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+78.4%) and strong cash generation (FCF margin 19.9%) are partially offset by negative revenue growth (-8.4%), very low insider ownership of 0.44%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
APA's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $1.8B (19.9% of revenue). Liquidity is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is APA's strongest growth driver at +131.3% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+78.4%, strong) is also strong, while revenue growth (-8.4%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 110.1% and approximately 99.4% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.44%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 10.28%
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC 9.05%
State Street Corp 7.19%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.59%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 4.95%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
APA generates approximately $373 of gross profit, $308 of operating income, and $199 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Solid margins and strong cash conversion support the rating, although capital efficiency remains solid.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 39.38%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
APA has a high-quality, large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 15.18B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 9.14
1Y Target Price 46
Price to earnings Ratio 9.14
1Y Target Price 46
Volume (30-day avg) 5.7M shares
Beta 0.37
52 Weeks Range 21.13 - 47.44
Updated Date 10/02/2026
52 Weeks Range 21.13 - 47.44
Updated Date 10/02/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 2.41%
Basic EPS (TTM) 4.74

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
United States Exploration & ProductionOil and natural gas sales from the Permian and other domestic basins.This is the primary engine for consistent cash flow and growth.
International Exploration & ProductionOperations in Egypt, the North Sea, and Suriname exploration.These regions provide diversification but carry higher geopolitical and technical execution risks.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 9.14
Forward PE 9.43
Enterprise Value 18.75B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.77
Enterprise Value 18.75B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.77
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.13
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 3.39
Shares Outstanding 350.35M
Shares Floating 348.12M
Shares Outstanding 350.35M
Shares Floating 348.12M
Percent Insiders 0.44
Percent Institutions 110.12

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI Summary

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Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

About APA Corporation

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquarters Houston, TX, United States
IPO Launch date 1979-05-15
CEO & Director Mr. John J. Christmann IV
Sector Energy
Industry Oil & Gas E&P
Full time employees 1791
Full time employees 1791

APA Corporation, an independent energy company, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids. The company has oil and gas operations in the United States, Egypt, and North Sea. It also has exploration and appraisal activities in Suriname, as well as holds interests in projects located in Uruguay and internationally. APA Corporation was incorporated in 1954 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.