CytomX Therapeutics Inc logo

CytomX Therapeutics Inc(CTMX)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
3-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.31
10/27/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for CTMX

10/27/2026: CTMX (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

CytomX Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on its proprietary Probody platform, designed to deliver safer cancer treatments by activating therapies only within the tumor microenvironment. The company's strengths lie in its innovative drug-masking technology and its history of securing strategic partnerships with large pharmaceutical firms. The primary investment story rests on the potential for clinical success in its oncology pipeline, specifically for candidates like CX-904. Key risks include the inherent volatility of clinical-stage biotech, the lack of commercialized products, and intense competition. This stock is best suited for risk-tolerant investors looking to monitor clinical trial milestones and partnership-driven R&D outcomes.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorWeak fitThe company is in an early-to-mid clinical stage with high risk and no commercial revenue.
Momentum investorMixed fitFits only during positive clinical trial readouts or major partnership announcements.
Value investorWeak fitLack of earnings and product revenue makes traditional valuation difficult.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and reinvests all capital into R&D.
Low-risk investorWeak fitBiotechnology R&D carries significant binary risk.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighBiotech stocks often react violently to clinical trial results.
Valuation riskHighValuation is highly speculative and based on long-term pipeline success probabilities.
Competition risk (Oncology R&D)HighThe market is crowded with well-funded competitors.
Business qualityMediumWhile the platform is innovative, the lack of commercialized products limits business maturity.
Dividend incomeLow / noneNo income is generated for shareholders.
Execution riskHighSuccess depends entirely on the ability to conduct and pass clinical trials.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 112.22%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/27/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
CTMX receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
CTMX has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with moderate financial health, soft growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, growth and ownership metrics are mixed: negative earnings growth (-154.5%), weak cash generation (FCF margin -99.5%), negative revenue growth (-44.8%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
CTMX's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 64.2%). Cash strength is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is CTMX's strongest growth driver at +12.4% FY2025 versus FY2024 (solid, 4 stars). By comparison, while revenue growth (-44.8%, negative) and earnings growth (-154.5%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 104.6% and approximately 82.5% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.57%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

FMR Inc 15.01%
Kynam Capital Management, LP 9.96%
BlackRock Inc 8.06%
Bank of America Corp 6.92%
State Street Corp 5.39%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
CTMX generates approximately $1,000 of gross profit, $-293 of operating income, and $-995 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: -1.39% (Tax Credit)

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
CTMX has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 484.83M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 12.25
Volume (30-day avg) 3.8M shares
Beta 2.2
52 Weeks Range 2.16 - 8.21
Updated Date 10/27/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.16 - 8.21
Updated Date 10/27/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -0.51

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Collaboration and LicensingMilestone payments and royalties from partnerships with pharmaceutical companies.The company makes money by partnering with large drug companies to develop its technology, receiving payments when milestones are met.
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Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 14.2
Enterprise Value 178.77M
Price to Sales(TTM) 26.49
Enterprise Value 178.77M
Price to Sales(TTM) 26.49
Enterprise Value to Revenue 9.77
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 8.72
Shares Outstanding 217.90M
Shares Floating 179.66M
Shares Outstanding 217.90M
Shares Floating 179.66M
Percent Insiders 0.57
Percent Institutions 104.59

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.