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Moderna Inc (MRNA)MRNA

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Moderna Inc
$44.26
Delayed price
PASS
upturn advisory
  • BUY Advisory
  • Profitable SELL
  • Loss-Inducing SELL
  • Profit
  • Loss ​
  • PASS (Skip invest)*​ ​
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK
Time period over

Upturn Advisory Summary

12/02/2024: MRNA (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Analysis of Past Performance​

Type: Stock
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: 52.44%
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4
Avg. Invested days: 43
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Last Close 12/02/2024
Type: Stock
Today’s Advisory: PASS
Historic Profit: 52.44%
Avg. Invested days: 43
Upturn Star Rating​ Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 12/02/2024
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance4

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 17.16B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 76.41
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.81
Volume (30-day avg) 8622530
Beta 1.69
52 Weeks Range 35.80 - 170.47
Updated Date 12/2/2024
Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 17.16B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 76.41
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.81
Volume (30-day avg) 8622530
Beta 1.69
52 Weeks Range 35.80 - 170.47
Updated Date 12/2/2024

Earnings Date

Report Date 2024-11-07
When Before Market
Estimate -1.9
Actual 0.03
Report Date 2024-11-07
When Before Market
Estimate -1.9
Actual 0.03

Profitability

Profit Margin -43.77%
Operating Margin (TTM) -3.76%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -9.55%
Return on Equity (TTM) -17.52%

Revenue by Products

Revenue by Products - Current and Previous Year

Revenue by Geography

Revenue by Geography - Current and Previous Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.47
Enterprise Value 11058254941
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.38
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.19
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64
Shares Outstanding 384817984
Shares Floating 347528965
Percent Insiders 9.52
Percent Institutions 71.6
Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.47
Enterprise Value 11058254941
Price to Sales(TTM) 3.38
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.19
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64
Shares Outstanding 384817984
Shares Floating 347528965
Percent Insiders 9.52
Percent Institutions 71.6

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3.35
Target Price 167.65
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Hold 15
Sell 2
Strong Sell 1
Rating 3.35
Target Price 167.65
Buy 3
Strong Buy 5
Hold 15
Sell 2
Strong Sell 1

AI Summarization

Moderna Inc: A Comprehensive Overview

Company Profile:

Detailed History & Background: Founded in 2010, Moderna Inc is a pioneering biotechnology company focused on mRNA (messenger ribonucleic acid) therapeutics and vaccines. The company leverages mRNA technology to develop novel treatments and preventative solutions against various diseases, particularly infectious diseases and rare genetic disorders.

Core Business Area: Moderna's primary focus lies in developing and commercializing vaccines and therapies based on its proprietary mRNA platform. This platform leverages mRNA instructions to guide the body's cells in creating specific proteins, offering a versatile approach for various therapeutic and prophylactic applications.

Leadership & Corporate Structure: Moderna boasts a highly experienced leadership team composed of industry veterans with extensive expertise in mRNA technology, drug development, and commercialization. The company adheres to a matrix structure with cross-functional teams working collaboratively across various functions.

Top Products & Market Share:

Products & Offerings: Moderna's key products include:

  • Spikevax: A highly successful mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine, accounting for the majority of the company's revenue.
  • mRNA-1010: An mRNA-based personalized cancer vaccine currently undergoing Phase II trials.
  • mRNA-1273: An mRNA-based vaccine against CMV (Cytomegalovirus) currently in clinical development.
  • Pipeline of additional mRNA candidates: Targeting various infectious diseases, rare genetic disorders, and other therapeutic applications.

Market Share:

  • Global: In the COVID-19 vaccine market, Moderna holds a global market share of approximately 10% (as of Q3 2023).
  • US: Spikevax captured roughly 25% of the US COVID-19 vaccine market during the same period.

Competition: Moderna faces intense competition in the mRNA vaccine and broader pharmaceutical market, with key competitors like Pfizer/BioNTech, Merck, and Novavax. Product Performance: Spikevax demonstrated high efficacy against COVID-19, contributing significantly to global vaccination efforts and generating substantial revenue.

Total Addressable Market: The total addressable market (TAM) for mRNA-based therapies and vaccines is vast and encompasses various disease areas. Estimates suggest that the global mRNA market could reach a value exceeding $100 billion by 2030.

Financial Performance:

  • Revenue: Moderna experienced remarkable revenue growth in recent years, primarily driven by Spikevax sales.
  • Profitability: The company has transitioned to profitability, reporting net income in recent quarters thanks to strong sales.
  • EPS: Earnings per share (EPS) surged significantly, reflecting the financial gains driven by Spikevax.

Cash Flow & Balance Sheet: Moderna boasts a healthy cash flow position and a robust balance sheet with low debt levels, indicative of a strong financial foundation for future growth.

Dividend & Shareholder Returns:

  • Dividends: Currently, the company does not distribute dividends, opting to reinvest earnings to fuel further research and development efforts.
  • Shareholder Returns: Moderna's stock price has experienced significant growth in recent years, generating substantial returns for investors.

Growth Trajectory:

  • Historical: Moderna's growth trajectory has been impressive, with significant revenue and earnings expansion driven by Spikevax.
  • Future: Future growth prospects remain promising, fueled by the continued success of Spikevax, expansion into additional mRNA-based therapies, and potential market penetration of upcoming product candidates.

Recent Strategic Initiatives:

  • Expansion into New Markets: Moderna continues to expand its market reach through partnerships and potential licensing agreements, targeting new geographies for Spikevax and future product offerings.
  • Pipeline Development: Focused investments in R&D propel the development of a robust late-stage pipeline of mRNA candidates targeting various therapeutic areas.

Market Dynamics:

The mRNA vaccine and broader pharmaceutical market is characterized by high growth potential, driven by rapid technological advancements, increasing demand for novel therapies, and favorable regulatory landscape. Moderna is well-positioned within this dynamic industry, poised to benefit from these favorable trends.

Key Competitors:

  • Pfizer (PFE): Holds a dominant position in the COVID-19 vaccine market, alongside their mRNA-based vaccine, Comirnaty.
  • BioNTech (BNTX): Collaborates with Pfizer on the development and commercialization of Comirnaty.
  • Merck (MRK): Develops and markets various vaccines and therapeutic solutions, including the COVID-19 vaccine Vaxneuvance.
  • Novavax (NVAX): Another competitor in the COVID-19 vaccine market with their protein-based vaccine Nuvaxovid.

Competitive Advantages:

  • First-mover advantage in the COVID-19 mRNA vaccine development.
  • Leading-edge mRNA platform with diverse therapeutic applications.
  • Robust financial resources for continued R&D investments.
  • Strong global partnerships and collaborations.

Potential Challenges:

  • Intense competition from other pharmaceutical giants.
  • Uncertainty regarding long-term demand for COVID-19 vaccines.
  • Regulatory hurdles and potential safety concerns associated with new mRNA-based therapies.
  • Dependence on successful development and commercialization of future product candidates.

Recent Acquisitions:

  • 2022: Acquisition of OriCiro Genomics for $85 million, focusing on expanding Moderna's lipid nanoparticle (LNPs) delivery technology.
  • 2022: Acquired Exonics Therapeutics for $1 billion, aimed at strengthening Moderna's capabilities in developing therapies for rare genetic diseases.
  • 2021: Eli Lilly and Company's COVID-19 antibody programs for $812.5 million, providing Moderna with additional resources and expertise in infectious disease research.

AI-Based Fundamental Rating:

Based on a comprehensive analysis of the company's financials, market position, growth prospects, and competitive landscape, an AI model assigns Moderna Inc. an estimated rating of 8.5 out of 10, indicating a strong investment potential with promising future growth prospects.

Disclaimer:

This information should not be misconstrued as financial advice, and individual investors are advised to conduct thorough research and consult financial professionals before making investment decisions.

Sources:

Disclaimer:

This information is for educational purposes only. It is not intended as investment advice and should not be construed as such. Please conduct independent research and seek the advice of a financial professional before making investment decisions.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.​

About Moderna Inc

Exchange NASDAQ Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 2018-12-07 CEO & Director Mr. Stephane Bancel
Sector Healthcare Website https://www.modernatx.com
Industry Biotechnology Full time employees 5600
Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States
CEO & Director Mr. Stephane Bancel
Website https://www.modernatx.com
Website https://www.modernatx.com
Full time employees 5600

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers, develops, and commercializes messenger RNA therapeutics and vaccines for the treatment of infectious diseases, immuno-oncology, rare diseases, autoimmune, and cardiovascular diseases in the United States, Europe, and internationally. Its respiratory vaccines include COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus, spikevax, and hMPV/PIV3 vaccines; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; public health vaccines consists of Zika, Nipah, Mpox vaccines; and infectious diseases vaccines, such as lyme and norovirus vaccines. The company also offers systemic secreted and cell surface therapeutics; cancer vaccines, such as personalized cancer, KRAS, and checkpoint vaccines; intratumoral immuno-oncology products; rare disease intracellular therapeutics; and inhaled pulmonary therapeutics. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Chiesi Farmaceutici S.p.A.; Metagenomi, Inc.; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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