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Moderna Inc (MRNA)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
09/12/2025: MRNA (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $44.25
1 Year Target Price $44.25
5 | Strong Buy |
1 | Buy |
17 | Hold |
3 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 25.8% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 9.15B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 44.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 44.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 27 | Beta 1.93 | 52 Weeks Range 23.15 - 75.37 | Updated Date 09/14/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 23.15 - 75.37 | Updated Date 09/14/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -7.51 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -94.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) -638.73% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -14.77% | Return on Equity (TTM) -27.5% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.47 | Enterprise Value 4757265087 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.97 |
Enterprise Value 4757265087 | Price to Sales(TTM) 2.97 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64 | Shares Outstanding 389080000 | Shares Floating 363287660 |
Shares Outstanding 389080000 | Shares Floating 363287660 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.24 | Percent Institutions 74.89 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Moderna Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Moderna Inc. was founded in 2010 and pioneered messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics and vaccines. Initially focused on research, the company gained prominence with its COVID-19 vaccine, a significant milestone that validated its mRNA technology platform. Moderna has evolved from a research-focused startup to a commercial-stage biotechnology company.
Core Business Areas
- mRNA Therapeutics and Vaccines: Moderna's core business revolves around developing and commercializing mRNA-based therapies and vaccines. Their COVID-19 vaccine, Spikevax, is their primary revenue driver. They are expanding their pipeline to include vaccines for other infectious diseases and therapies for cancer and rare genetic diseases.
Leadership and Structure
The CEO of Moderna Inc. is Stu00e9phane Bancel. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, organized around research and development, manufacturing, and commercial operations. Its board of directors oversees the company's strategy and performance.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Spikevax (COVID-19 Vaccine): Spikevax is Moderna's flagship product, a mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine. It initially held a significant market share, but it has been impacted by market saturation and changing demand. Competitors include Pfizer (PFE) with Comirnaty, and Novavax (NVAX) with Nuvaxovid. Initial peak revenue was approximately $18.4 billion in 2022, decreasing in following years.
- mRNA Pipeline: Moderna is developing several mRNA-based vaccines and therapeutics targeting various infectious diseases (e.g., influenza, RSV, CMV) and cancer. Specific revenue figures for these products are not yet available, as they are in clinical development. Competitors vary by target disease, and include Pfizer (PFE), GSK (GSK) and Sanofi (SNY).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by high research and development costs, stringent regulatory requirements, and intense competition. Advancements in mRNA technology have opened new avenues for vaccine and therapeutic development.
Positioning
Moderna is positioned as a leader in mRNA technology, holding a competitive advantage in vaccine development speed and adaptability. However, the company faces increasing competition and scrutiny over pricing and market sustainability.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global vaccine market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of USD. Moderna aims to capture a significant portion of this market by expanding its mRNA platform to address a wide range of diseases. The success of their long-term vision depends on the advancement of their current trials.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Pioneering mRNA technology platform
- Rapid vaccine development capabilities
- Strong COVID-19 vaccine revenue
- Robust pipeline of mRNA-based therapies
- Significant cash reserves
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a single product (Spikevax)
- Limited track record beyond COVID-19 vaccine
- High operating expenses due to R&D
- Intense competition from established pharmaceutical companies
- Dependence on government contracts
Opportunities
- Expanding mRNA platform to new therapeutic areas
- Developing combination vaccines (e.g., flu and COVID-19)
- Partnering with other companies for clinical trials and commercialization
- Targeting emerging infectious diseases
- Personalized cancer vaccines
Threats
- Decreasing COVID-19 vaccine demand
- Competition from other vaccine manufacturers
- Patent disputes and intellectual property challenges
- Adverse events or safety concerns related to mRNA vaccines
- Regulatory changes and pricing pressures
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- PFE
- BNTX
- NVAX
Competitive Landscape
Moderna's advantage lies in its dedicated mRNA platform and rapid development. However, Pfizer (PFE) has a more established infrastructure and diverse product portfolio. Novavax (NVAX) and BioNTech (BNTX) are also competitors in vaccine development.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Moderna experienced exponential growth during the COVID-19 pandemic due to its successful vaccine. However, revenue has since declined as the pandemic has waned.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate growth for Moderna as it diversifies its pipeline and launches new products. The company's long-term growth depends on the success of its mRNA platform in other therapeutic areas.
Recent Initiatives: Moderna is focusing on developing vaccines for influenza, RSV, and CMV, as well as mRNA-based therapies for cancer and rare genetic diseases. They are also exploring personalized cancer vaccines.
Summary
Moderna is a pioneering biotechnology company with a revolutionary mRNA platform. While the COVID-19 pandemic provided significant revenue, the decrease in sales and a negative net income recently indicates a need to diversify its product offerings. The company holds strong cash reserves and a robust pipeline, but must successfully execute its research initiatives to remain competitive. Facing intense competition and regulatory pressures, Moderna's future depends on capitalizing on its mRNA technology and expanding into new therapeutic areas.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (SEC)
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Moderna Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-12-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Stéphane Bancel | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.modernatx.com |
Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.modernatx.com |
Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as individualized neoantigen and checkpoint adaptive immune modulation therapy; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, glycogen storage disease type 1a, ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, phenylketonuria, crigler-najjar syndrome type 1, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Generation Bio Co.; immatics N.V.; Life Edit Therapeutics; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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