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Moderna Inc (MRNA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
01/07/2026: MRNA (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $36.6
1 Year Target Price $36.6
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 17 | Hold |
| 3 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 37.59% | Avg. Invested days 30 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 14.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 36.6 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 36.6 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 27 | Beta 1.17 | 52 Weeks Range 22.28 - 45.40 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 22.28 - 45.40 | Updated Date 01/7/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -8.11 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -139.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) -25.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -15.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -29.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.47 | Enterprise Value 10253430196 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.28 |
Enterprise Value 10253430196 | Price to Sales(TTM) 6.28 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4.66 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64 | Shares Outstanding 390733636 | Shares Floating 364152373 |
Shares Outstanding 390733636 | Shares Floating 364152373 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.41 | Percent Institutions 71.64 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Moderna Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 by Stu00e9phane Bancel, Timothy A. Springer, Robert Langer, and Noubar Afeyan. It is a biotechnology company pioneering messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics and vaccines. A significant milestone was the rapid development and deployment of its mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine (Spikevax) during the global pandemic, which propelled the company to global recognition and substantial revenue.
Core Business Areas
- mRNA Therapeutics and Vaccines: Moderna focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing mRNA-based medicines. This includes vaccines for infectious diseases, as well as therapies for various diseases such as oncology, rare diseases, autoimmune diseases, and cardiovascular diseases.
- Research and Development Platform: Moderna's proprietary mRNA technology platform is a core asset, allowing for the rapid design and manufacturing of mRNA drug candidates. This platform enables the company to quickly pivot and address emerging health threats.
Leadership and Structure
Moderna is led by a management team with deep expertise in biotechnology and drug development. Stu00e9phane Bancel serves as Chief Executive Officer. The company operates with a decentralized research and development structure, fostering innovation across its therapeutic areas.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Spikevax (COVID-19 Vaccine): Moderna's flagship product, Spikevax, is an mRNA vaccine for the prevention of COVID-19. It has achieved widespread global distribution and significant revenue. Competitors include Pfizer-BioNTech (Comirnaty), Johnson & Johnson (Janssen), and Novavax (Nuvaxovid).
- mRNA-1373 (COVID-19 Booster): A variant-specific booster shot designed to target emerging COVID-19 variants, further solidifying its position in the ongoing fight against the pandemic.
- Pipeline Candidates (various stages of development): Moderna has a robust pipeline of mRNA candidates targeting influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), melanoma, and other diseases. Market share for these is not yet established as they are in development.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biotechnology and pharmaceutical industry is highly competitive and innovation-driven. The vaccine market, particularly for infectious diseases, has seen significant growth and investment, especially following the COVID-19 pandemic. mRNA technology is a rapidly evolving segment with immense potential.
Positioning
Moderna is a leader in mRNA technology, which offers advantages in speed of development and manufacturing scalability. Its strong performance during the COVID-19 pandemic has established it as a major player, with significant capital for further R&D and expansion into new therapeutic areas. Its primary competitive advantage lies in its established mRNA platform and its proven ability to rapidly develop and scale vaccines.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for vaccines and mRNA therapeutics is vast, encompassing infectious diseases, oncology, rare diseases, and autoimmune disorders, potentially worth hundreds of billions of dollars globally. Moderna is well-positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM, particularly in the infectious disease vaccine space and as its pipeline candidates advance through clinical trials and gain regulatory approval.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Pioneering mRNA technology platform with proven scalability and speed.
- Significant revenue and cash reserves generated from COVID-19 vaccine sales.
- Robust pipeline of mRNA candidates across multiple therapeutic areas.
- Strong brand recognition and established manufacturing capabilities.
- Experienced leadership team with a track record of innovation.
Weaknesses
- Heavy reliance on the success of its COVID-19 vaccine for current revenue.
- Need to diversify revenue streams beyond COVID-19.
- Potential for manufacturing challenges and supply chain disruptions.
- Intense competition in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new therapeutic areas (oncology, rare diseases, autoimmune).
- Development of combination vaccines and therapeutics.
- Global expansion and partnerships for broader market access.
- Leveraging mRNA technology for personalized medicine applications.
- Potential for next-generation COVID-19 vaccines targeting variants.
Threats
- Emergence of new competing vaccine technologies.
- Regulatory hurdles and delays in drug approval.
- Pricing pressures and reimbursement challenges.
- Potential for waning demand for COVID-19 vaccines.
- Geopolitical risks impacting global supply chains and market access.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
- BioNTech SE (BNTX)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
- Novavax, Inc. (NVAX)
Competitive Landscape
Moderna's advantage lies in its pure-play mRNA focus and its rapid development capabilities. However, it faces stiff competition from established pharmaceutical giants like Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson, which have broader portfolios and extensive market reach. BioNTech is a direct competitor in the mRNA vaccine space, often collaborating with Pfizer. Novavax offers an alternative protein-based vaccine technology.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Moderna experienced hyper-growth in recent years, primarily fueled by its COVID-19 vaccine. Prior to this, it was a clinical-stage company focused on building its mRNA platform and pipeline.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Moderna indicate a potential slowdown in revenue growth as COVID-19 vaccine sales normalize. However, significant growth is anticipated if its pipeline candidates in oncology, rare diseases, and other areas achieve clinical success and market approval. Key growth drivers will be diversification and the successful commercialization of its non-COVID-19 mRNA therapies.
Recent Initiatives: Moderna has been actively expanding its pipeline, focusing on areas like influenza, RSV, and cancer vaccines. The company is also investing in manufacturing capacity and exploring partnerships to accelerate the development and commercialization of its mRNA therapies.
Summary
Moderna is a strong player in the mRNA biotechnology space, largely due to the success of its COVID-19 vaccine. Its innovative platform and significant financial resources offer substantial opportunities for growth. However, the company needs to diversify its revenue streams beyond COVID-19 and navigate intense competition to maintain its growth trajectory.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Moderna Inc. Investor Relations
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Analyst Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and competitor analysis are estimates based on available information and may not be exhaustive or perfectly accurate. Financial performance, market dynamics, and future projections are subject to change and inherent uncertainties in the biotechnology sector. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Moderna Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-12-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Stéphane Bancel | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.modernatx.com |
Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.modernatx.com | ||
Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as individualized neoantigen and checkpoint adaptive immune modulation therapy; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, glycogen storage disease type 1a, ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, phenylketonuria, crigler-najjar syndrome type 1, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Generation Bio Co.; immatics N.V.; Life Edit Therapeutics; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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