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MRNA logo MRNA
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
MRNA logo

Moderna Inc (MRNA)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$23.51
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

09/12/2025: MRNA (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

27 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $44.25

1 Year Target Price $44.25

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$44.25 Target price
52w Low $23.15
Current$23.51
52w High $75.37

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 25.8%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 09/12/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.15B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 44.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 44.25
Volume (30-day avg) 27
Beta 1.93
52 Weeks Range 23.15 - 75.37
Updated Date 09/14/2025
52 Weeks Range 23.15 - 75.37
Updated Date 09/14/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -7.51

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -94.31%
Operating Margin (TTM) -638.73%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -14.77%
Return on Equity (TTM) -27.5%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.47
Enterprise Value 4757265087
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.97
Enterprise Value 4757265087
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.97
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.56
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64
Shares Outstanding 389080000
Shares Floating 363287660
Shares Outstanding 389080000
Shares Floating 363287660
Percent Insiders 7.24
Percent Institutions 74.89

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Moderna Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Moderna Inc. was founded in 2010 and pioneered messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics and vaccines. Initially focused on research, the company gained prominence with its COVID-19 vaccine, a significant milestone that validated its mRNA technology platform. Moderna has evolved from a research-focused startup to a commercial-stage biotechnology company.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • mRNA Therapeutics and Vaccines: Moderna's core business revolves around developing and commercializing mRNA-based therapies and vaccines. Their COVID-19 vaccine, Spikevax, is their primary revenue driver. They are expanding their pipeline to include vaccines for other infectious diseases and therapies for cancer and rare genetic diseases.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO of Moderna Inc. is Stu00e9phane Bancel. The company operates with a functional organizational structure, organized around research and development, manufacturing, and commercial operations. Its board of directors oversees the company's strategy and performance.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Spikevax (COVID-19 Vaccine): Spikevax is Moderna's flagship product, a mRNA-based COVID-19 vaccine. It initially held a significant market share, but it has been impacted by market saturation and changing demand. Competitors include Pfizer (PFE) with Comirnaty, and Novavax (NVAX) with Nuvaxovid. Initial peak revenue was approximately $18.4 billion in 2022, decreasing in following years.
  • mRNA Pipeline: Moderna is developing several mRNA-based vaccines and therapeutics targeting various infectious diseases (e.g., influenza, RSV, CMV) and cancer. Specific revenue figures for these products are not yet available, as they are in clinical development. Competitors vary by target disease, and include Pfizer (PFE), GSK (GSK) and Sanofi (SNY).

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The biopharmaceutical industry is characterized by high research and development costs, stringent regulatory requirements, and intense competition. Advancements in mRNA technology have opened new avenues for vaccine and therapeutic development.

Positioning

Moderna is positioned as a leader in mRNA technology, holding a competitive advantage in vaccine development speed and adaptability. However, the company faces increasing competition and scrutiny over pricing and market sustainability.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global vaccine market is projected to reach hundreds of billions of USD. Moderna aims to capture a significant portion of this market by expanding its mRNA platform to address a wide range of diseases. The success of their long-term vision depends on the advancement of their current trials.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Pioneering mRNA technology platform
  • Rapid vaccine development capabilities
  • Strong COVID-19 vaccine revenue
  • Robust pipeline of mRNA-based therapies
  • Significant cash reserves

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on a single product (Spikevax)
  • Limited track record beyond COVID-19 vaccine
  • High operating expenses due to R&D
  • Intense competition from established pharmaceutical companies
  • Dependence on government contracts

Opportunities

  • Expanding mRNA platform to new therapeutic areas
  • Developing combination vaccines (e.g., flu and COVID-19)
  • Partnering with other companies for clinical trials and commercialization
  • Targeting emerging infectious diseases
  • Personalized cancer vaccines

Threats

  • Decreasing COVID-19 vaccine demand
  • Competition from other vaccine manufacturers
  • Patent disputes and intellectual property challenges
  • Adverse events or safety concerns related to mRNA vaccines
  • Regulatory changes and pricing pressures

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • PFE
  • BNTX
  • NVAX

Competitive Landscape

Moderna's advantage lies in its dedicated mRNA platform and rapid development. However, Pfizer (PFE) has a more established infrastructure and diverse product portfolio. Novavax (NVAX) and BioNTech (BNTX) are also competitors in vaccine development.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Moderna experienced exponential growth during the COVID-19 pandemic due to its successful vaccine. However, revenue has since declined as the pandemic has waned.

Future Projections: Analysts project moderate growth for Moderna as it diversifies its pipeline and launches new products. The company's long-term growth depends on the success of its mRNA platform in other therapeutic areas.

Recent Initiatives: Moderna is focusing on developing vaccines for influenza, RSV, and CMV, as well as mRNA-based therapies for cancer and rare genetic diseases. They are also exploring personalized cancer vaccines.

Summary

Moderna is a pioneering biotechnology company with a revolutionary mRNA platform. While the COVID-19 pandemic provided significant revenue, the decrease in sales and a negative net income recently indicates a need to diversify its product offerings. The company holds strong cash reserves and a robust pipeline, but must successfully execute its research initiatives to remain competitive. Facing intense competition and regulatory pressures, Moderna's future depends on capitalizing on its mRNA technology and expanding into new therapeutic areas.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (SEC)
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Moderna Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States
IPO Launch date 2018-12-07
CEO & Director Mr. Stéphane Bancel
Sector Healthcare
Industry Biotechnology
Full time employees 5800
Full time employees 5800

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as individualized neoantigen and checkpoint adaptive immune modulation therapy; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, glycogen storage disease type 1a, ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, phenylketonuria, crigler-najjar syndrome type 1, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Generation Bio Co.; immatics N.V.; Life Edit Therapeutics; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.