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Moderna Inc (MRNA)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/05/2025: MRNA (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $35.78
1 Year Target Price $35.78
| 5 | Strong Buy |
| 1 | Buy |
| 17 | Hold |
| 3 | Sell |
| 1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 11.29% | Avg. Invested days 33 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 10.82B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.78 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 35.78 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 27 | Beta 1.11 | 52 Weeks Range 22.28 - 48.92 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 22.28 - 48.92 | Updated Date 12/7/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -8.06 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -139.61% | Operating Margin (TTM) -25.59% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -15.49% | Return on Equity (TTM) -29.32% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.47 | Enterprise Value 7053321717 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.85 |
Enterprise Value 7053321717 | Price to Sales(TTM) 4.85 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.2 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 4.64 | Shares Outstanding 390733636 | Shares Floating 364664163 |
Shares Outstanding 390733636 | Shares Floating 364664163 | ||
Percent Insiders 7.22 | Percent Institutions 71.69 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Moderna Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 by Flagship Pioneering. Its initial focus was on messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics. A significant milestone was the rapid development and deployment of its mRNA COVID-19 vaccine (Spikevax) in response to the global pandemic, which propelled the company into widespread recognition and financial success. Moderna continues to advance its mRNA platform for a broad range of infectious diseases, auto-immune diseases, and cancer therapeutics.
Core Business Areas
- mRNA Therapeutics: Moderna's primary focus is on developing and commercializing messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics. This platform allows for the creation of novel medicines and vaccines by delivering genetic instructions to cells, enabling them to produce therapeutic proteins or elicit immune responses. The company is exploring applications for infectious diseases, oncology, autoimmune diseases, and rare genetic diseases.
- Vaccines: Moderna's most prominent vaccine is Spikevax (mRNA-1273), the COVID-19 vaccine. The company is also actively developing mRNA vaccines for other infectious diseases, including influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and cytomegalovirus (CMV).
- Oncology: Moderna is developing personalized cancer vaccines and therapeutic cancer vaccines. These aim to train the patient's immune system to recognize and attack cancer cells.
- Autoimmune and Rare Diseases: The company is exploring mRNA-based therapies for conditions such as autoimmune diseases and rare genetic disorders, aiming to correct underlying biological defects or modulate immune responses.
Leadership and Structure
Moderna is led by a management team with extensive experience in biotechnology and pharmaceuticals. Key leadership positions include the Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Chief Financial Officer (CFO), and Chief Medical Officer (CMO). The company operates with a matrix organizational structure, facilitating collaboration across research, development, manufacturing, and commercial functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Description: Moderna's mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. It has received emergency use authorization and full approval in numerous countries. Its efficacy has been demonstrated in clinical trials and real-world data. Competitors include Pfizer-BioNTech's Comirnaty, Johnson & Johnson's J&J/Janssen vaccine, and AstraZeneca's Vaxzevria.
- Product Name: Spikevax (mRNA-1273)
- Description: An investigational mRNA vaccine for influenza, aiming for broader protection against circulating strains. Market share is currently nascent as it is in development. Major competitors in the influenza vaccine market include Sanofi, GSK, and CSL Limited.
- Product Name: mRNA-1073 (Influenza Vaccine)
- Description: An investigational mRNA vaccine for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in older adults. Competition in the RSV vaccine space is emerging with candidates from Pfizer and GSK.
- Product Name: mRNA-1345 (RSV Vaccine)
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The biotechnology and pharmaceutical industry, particularly the vaccine and therapeutics sector, is highly dynamic and innovation-driven. The mRNA technology space has seen significant growth and investment, accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic. The industry is characterized by extensive research and development, rigorous regulatory processes, and significant market opportunities driven by unmet medical needs.
Positioning
Moderna is a leading innovator in mRNA technology, positioning itself at the forefront of developing novel vaccines and therapeutics. Its key competitive advantage lies in its proprietary mRNA platform, manufacturing capabilities, and a robust pipeline of investigational products. The company's rapid response to the COVID-19 pandemic established its credibility and market presence.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for mRNA therapeutics and vaccines is substantial and growing, spanning infectious diseases, oncology, autoimmune diseases, and rare genetic disorders. While specific TAM figures vary by therapeutic area, the global vaccine market alone is projected to be hundreds of billions of dollars. Moderna is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its diverse pipeline and platform technology, though it faces competition from established pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotech firms.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary mRNA technology platform
- Strong manufacturing capabilities
- Proven track record with COVID-19 vaccine
- Diverse and robust pipeline of investigational products
- Experienced leadership team
- Significant intellectual property portfolio
Weaknesses
- Reliance on a few key products for current revenue
- Manufacturing scalability challenges for new products
- High R&D costs
- Perception challenges related to vaccine hesitancy or public perception
- Navigating complex global regulatory landscapes for multiple products
Opportunities
- Expansion into new therapeutic areas (oncology, autoimmune, rare diseases)
- Development of combination vaccines (e.g., flu and COVID-19)
- Partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies
- Leveraging mRNA platform for personalized medicine
- Geographic market expansion
- Addressing emerging infectious disease threats
Threats
- Intensifying competition in mRNA space
- Regulatory hurdles and delays for new product approvals
- Pricing pressures and payer negotiations
- Geopolitical instability impacting supply chains
- Emergence of new and more effective competing technologies
- Patent expirations and generic competition in the long term
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- Pfizer Inc. (PFE)
- BioNTech SE (BNTX)
- Sanofi (SNY)
- GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK)
- Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK)
Competitive Landscape
Moderna faces significant competition from established pharmaceutical giants like Pfizer and BioNTech, particularly in the COVID-19 vaccine market. Its advantage lies in its specialized mRNA platform, which could offer unique therapeutic benefits. However, competitors have deep pockets, extensive distribution networks, and established relationships with healthcare providers. Moderna's success hinges on its ability to innovate and bring its diverse pipeline to market effectively.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Moderna experienced exponential growth from 2020 to 2022, driven by the commercialization of its COVID-19 vaccine. Prior to this period, growth was characterized by substantial investment in R&D and platform development. The recent decline in revenue indicates a transition phase for the company.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Moderna's future growth are dependent on the success of its diverse pipeline. Key growth drivers are expected to be its influenza, RSV, and potentially oncology vaccines and therapeutics. Projections vary, but many anticipate a rebound in revenue as new products enter the market.
Recent Initiatives: Expansion of manufacturing facilities to support pipeline products.,Strategic partnerships for clinical development and commercialization.,Focus on advancing multiple clinical candidates across various therapeutic areas.,Investment in next-generation mRNA technologies.
Summary
Moderna is a pioneering mRNA biotechnology company whose COVID-19 vaccine propelled it to global prominence. Its strengths lie in its innovative platform and diverse pipeline, offering significant growth potential. However, the company faces challenges in diversifying revenue beyond its COVID-19 vaccine and navigating intense competition. Future success depends on successful clinical development and commercialization of its next-generation therapies.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Moderna Inc. Investor Relations
- Financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Reuters, Wall Street Journal)
- Industry analysis reports
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
Disclaimers:
This JSON output is generated for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market share data and TAM figures are estimates and subject to change. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Moderna Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Cambridge, MA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2018-12-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Stéphane Bancel | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.modernatx.com |
Full time employees 5800 | Website https://www.modernatx.com | ||
Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, herpes simplex virus, varicella zoster virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as individualized neoantigen and checkpoint adaptive immune modulation therapy; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, glycogen storage disease type 1a, ornithine transcarbamylase deficiency, phenylketonuria, crigler-najjar syndrome type 1, and cystic fibrosis. It has strategic alliances and collaborations with AstraZeneca; Merck & Co., Inc; Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated; Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Europe) Limited; Generation Bio Co.; immatics N.V.; Life Edit Therapeutics; Carisma Therapeutics, Inc.; CytomX Therapeutics; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; Institute for Life Changing Medicines; The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; and OpenAI. The company was formerly known as Moderna Therapeutics, Inc. and changed its name to Moderna, Inc. in August 2018. Moderna, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

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