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Upturn AI SWOT - About
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/05/2025: CVLG (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $29.67
1 Year Target Price $29.67
| 3 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 1 | Hold |
| 0 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 44% | Avg. Invested days 53 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 503.39M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 18.8 | 1Y Target Price 29.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio 18.8 | 1Y Target Price 29.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 4 | Beta 1.16 | 52 Weeks Range 17.36 - 30.44 | Updated Date 11/6/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 17.36 - 30.44 | Updated Date 11/6/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 0.27% | Basic EPS (TTM) 1.07 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-10-22 | When After Market | Estimate 0.48 | Actual 0.44 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 2.81% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.51% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.36% | Return on Equity (TTM) 8.58% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 18.8 | Forward PE 8.75 | Enterprise Value 835557802 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44 |
Enterprise Value 835557802 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.44 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.73 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 5.68 | Shares Outstanding 20319619 | Shares Floating 14530894 |
Shares Outstanding 20319619 | Shares Floating 14530894 | ||
Percent Insiders 28.25 | Percent Institutions 70.49 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Company Overview
History and Background
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. was founded in 1985. It has grown through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions to become a significant player in the transportation and logistics industry. Initial focus was on expedited freight, expanding into other logistics services over time.
Core Business Areas
- Truckload: Provides expedited and standard truckload services across North America. Focuses on time-sensitive shipments and high-value goods.
- Managed Freight: Offers freight brokerage, transportation management, and supply chain consulting services. This segment helps clients optimize their logistics networks.
- Warehousing: Provides warehousing and distribution services, including inventory management and order fulfillment.
Leadership and Structure
David R. Parker is the Chairman, and Joey B. Hogan is the Chief Executive Officer. The company is structured with distinct divisions for truckload, managed freight, and warehousing, each managed by its respective leadership team.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Expedited Truckload: Time-critical, high-value freight transport. This is a core offering. Market share data for expedited truckload is difficult to pinpoint precisely but Covenant is a key player within this niche. Competitors include XPO Logistics (XPO) and Landstar System (LSTR).
- Managed Transportation Services: Freight brokerage, TMS solutions, and supply chain consulting. This segment contributes significantly to revenue and profits. Market share information is fragmented. Competitors include C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) and Echo Global Logistics (acquired by TFI International (TFII)).
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The transportation and logistics industry is highly competitive and cyclical, influenced by economic conditions, fuel prices, and regulatory changes. Demand for transportation services is generally correlated with economic growth.
Positioning
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. is positioned as a provider of premium transportation and logistics services, particularly in the expedited and high-value freight segments. Competitive advantages include its experienced drivers, modern fleet, and technology-driven solutions.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US logistics market is estimated to be worth over $1 trillion annually. Covenant's position within the expedited and managed freight segments gives it exposure to a significant portion of this TAM, but it remains a relatively small player overall.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand reputation in expedited freight
- Experienced management team
- Diversified service offerings (truckload, managed freight, warehousing)
- Modern fleet of trucks
- Technology-driven solutions
Weaknesses
- Exposure to cyclicality of the trucking industry
- High operating leverage
- Driver shortage challenges
- Fuel price volatility
- Dependence on key customers
Opportunities
- Expansion of managed freight services
- Growth in e-commerce and related logistics demand
- Acquisition of smaller logistics providers
- Adoption of new technologies (e.g., autonomous vehicles)
- Increased demand for expedited shipping
Threats
- Economic downturn
- Increased competition
- Rising fuel costs
- Driver shortages
- Regulatory changes (e.g., hours of service rules)
- Cybersecurity threats
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- XPO (XPO)
- Landstar System (LSTR)
- C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)
- Schneider National (SNDR)
- Werner Enterprises (WERN)
Competitive Landscape
Covenant competes based on service quality, reliability, and price. Advantages include their focus on expedited freight and technology investments. Disadvantages include exposure to industry cyclicality and competition from larger players.
Major Acquisitions
Transport Enterprise Leasing (TEL)
- Year: 2022
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 187
- Strategic Rationale: This acquisition gave CVLG a larger, more modern fleet of trucks and trailers. Also, it expanded Covenantu2019s service offerings and provides access to more customers.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Covenant has historically grown through both organic expansion and acquisitions.
Future Projections: Future growth projections are based on analyst estimates and company guidance. These projections are subject to change.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include fleet upgrades, technology investments, and expansion into new markets or service lines. Refer to the company's latest earnings calls and investor presentations.
Summary
Covenant Logistics Group is a moderately positioned player in the competitive logistics industry with a strong reputation in expedited freight. The company benefits from a diversified service portfolio but faces challenges related to industry cyclicality and driver shortages. Recent acquisitions have strengthened its fleet, but it must continue to invest in technology and expand its managed freight services to maintain a competitive edge and navigate potential economic downturns.
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Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market share figures are estimates and may not be precise. The AI-based rating is based on a general assessment and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Chattanooga, TN, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 1994-10-28 | Chairman of the Board & CEO Mr. David Ray Parker | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 3100 | |
Full time employees 3100 | |||
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. It operates through four segments: Expedited, Dedicated, Managed Freight, and Warehousing. The Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services with high service freight and delivery standards, such as 1,000 miles in 22 hours or 15-minute delivery windows. The Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods with the goal of three to five years in length using equipment either owned or leased by the company. The Managed Freight segment offers brokerage services, including logistics capacity by outsourcing the carriage of customers' freight to third parties; and transport management services, such as logistics services on a contractual basis to customers who prefer to outsource their logistics needs. The Warehousing segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers, as well as shuttle and switching services related to shuttling containers and trailers. The company also engages in used equipment sales and leasing business. It serves transportation companies, such as parcel freight forwarders, less-than-truckload carriers, and third-party logistics providers; and traditional truckload customers, including manufacturers, retailers, and food and beverage shippers. The company was formerly known as Covenant Transportation Group, Inc. and changed its name to Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. in July 2020. Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

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