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XPO Logistics Inc (XPO)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$128.68
Last Close (24-hour delay)
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PASS
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Upturn Advisory Summary

08/14/2025: XPO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

26 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $138.8

1 Year Target Price $138.8

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$138.8 Target price
52w Low $85.06
Current$128.68
52w High $161

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 40.21%
Avg. Invested days 42
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/14/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 15.00B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 44.08
1Y Target Price 138.8
Price to earnings Ratio 44.08
1Y Target Price 138.8
Volume (30-day avg) 26
Beta 1.79
52 Weeks Range 85.06 - 161.00
Updated Date 08/16/2025
52 Weeks Range 85.06 - 161.00
Updated Date 08/16/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 2.89

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-07-30
When Before Market
Estimate 1.01
Actual 1.05

Profitability

Profit Margin 4.31%
Operating Margin (TTM) 9.95%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.63%
Return on Equity (TTM) 21.04%

Valuation

Trailing PE 44.08
Forward PE 35.84
Enterprise Value 18944889374
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87
Enterprise Value 18944889374
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.37
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.84
Shares Outstanding 117762000
Shares Floating 104094616
Shares Outstanding 117762000
Shares Floating 104094616
Percent Insiders 1.78
Percent Institutions 108.24

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

XPO Logistics Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

XPO Logistics was founded in 1989 as Express-1 Expedited Solutions. It rebranded to XPO Logistics in 2011 after a series of acquisitions, transforming from a small player to a major global transportation and logistics company. A significant milestone was the acquisition of Con-way Freight in 2015. In 2022, XPO spun off its contract logistics business as GXO Logistics to focus on less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): XPO's primary business segment focuses on LTL freight services, which involves consolidating smaller shipments from multiple customers onto a single truck for efficient transportation. This includes pickup, linehaul, and delivery services within North America.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Mario Harik serves as the Chief Executive Officer of XPO Logistics. The company has a board of directors overseeing strategic direction. The organizational structure is designed around regional operations and centralized support functions.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Services: XPO provides LTL services across North America. Market share is estimated to be around 7-8% of the total LTL market. Competitors include FedEx Freight, Old Dominion Freight Line, and Saia.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The LTL market is driven by e-commerce growth, industrial production, and overall economic activity. It is a mature and competitive industry with established players and fluctuating freight rates.

Positioning

XPO is a major player in the North American LTL market, offering comprehensive services and a large network. Its competitive advantages include its scale, technology, and service quality.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for LTL in North America is estimated to be around $50-$60 billion. XPO's position within this TAM is significant, holding a notable market share and continuing to expand its operations to capture further opportunities.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Extensive North American LTL network
  • Advanced technology platform
  • Strong brand recognition
  • Experienced management team
  • Focus on operational efficiency

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to economic cycles
  • High capital intensity
  • Dependence on driver availability
  • Unionized workforce in some locations
  • Fuel price volatility

Opportunities

  • E-commerce growth driving LTL demand
  • Expansion of service offerings
  • Acquisition opportunities in a fragmented market
  • Technological advancements to improve efficiency
  • Geographic expansion into new markets

Threats

  • Intense competition
  • Economic slowdown
  • Rising fuel costs
  • Labor shortages
  • Regulatory changes

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • FDX
  • ODFL
  • SAIA

Competitive Landscape

XPO faces intense competition from other major LTL carriers. Its advantages include its scale and technology, but it must continue to innovate to maintain its competitive edge.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: XPO experienced rapid growth through acquisitions and organic expansion until the GXO spin-off. Since then, growth has focused on its core LTL business.

Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for XPO, driven by continued demand for LTL services. Focus on technology and operational efficiency are expected to improve profitability.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology, network optimization, and driver recruitment to enhance service quality and efficiency.

Summary

XPO Logistics is a significant player in the North American LTL market, benefiting from its extensive network and technological capabilities. While it faces competition and economic headwinds, the company is focused on improving operational efficiency and expanding its service offerings. The spin-off of GXO has allowed XPO to concentrate on its core LTL business. Potential threats to the company include labor shortages and fluctuating fuel costs. Overall XPO looks to be a strong player in the space.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
  • Investor presentations
  • Analyst reports
  • Industry publications

Disclaimers:

The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About XPO Logistics Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Greenwich, CT, United States
IPO Launch date 2003-10-07
CEO & Director Mr. Mario A. Harik
Sector Industrials
Industry Trucking
Full time employees 38000
Full time employees 38000

XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and warehousing and multimodal solutions, such as road-rail and road-short sea combinations to an extensive base of customers within the consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. The company is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.