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XPO Logistics Inc (XPO)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: XPO (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $138.8
1 Year Target Price $138.8
17 | Strong Buy |
5 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
1 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 40.21% | Avg. Invested days 42 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.00B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 44.08 | 1Y Target Price 138.8 |
Price to earnings Ratio 44.08 | 1Y Target Price 138.8 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 26 | Beta 1.79 | 52 Weeks Range 85.06 - 161.00 | Updated Date 08/16/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 85.06 - 161.00 | Updated Date 08/16/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.89 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-07-30 | When Before Market | Estimate 1.01 | Actual 1.05 |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.31% | Operating Margin (TTM) 9.95% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.63% | Return on Equity (TTM) 21.04% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 44.08 | Forward PE 35.84 | Enterprise Value 18944889374 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 |
Enterprise Value 18944889374 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.87 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.37 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.84 | Shares Outstanding 117762000 | Shares Floating 104094616 |
Shares Outstanding 117762000 | Shares Floating 104094616 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.78 | Percent Institutions 108.24 |
Upturn AI SWOT
XPO Logistics Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
XPO Logistics was founded in 1989 as Express-1 Expedited Solutions. It rebranded to XPO Logistics in 2011 after a series of acquisitions, transforming from a small player to a major global transportation and logistics company. A significant milestone was the acquisition of Con-way Freight in 2015. In 2022, XPO spun off its contract logistics business as GXO Logistics to focus on less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation.
Core Business Areas
- Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): XPO's primary business segment focuses on LTL freight services, which involves consolidating smaller shipments from multiple customers onto a single truck for efficient transportation. This includes pickup, linehaul, and delivery services within North America.
Leadership and Structure
Mario Harik serves as the Chief Executive Officer of XPO Logistics. The company has a board of directors overseeing strategic direction. The organizational structure is designed around regional operations and centralized support functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Services: XPO provides LTL services across North America. Market share is estimated to be around 7-8% of the total LTL market. Competitors include FedEx Freight, Old Dominion Freight Line, and Saia.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The LTL market is driven by e-commerce growth, industrial production, and overall economic activity. It is a mature and competitive industry with established players and fluctuating freight rates.
Positioning
XPO is a major player in the North American LTL market, offering comprehensive services and a large network. Its competitive advantages include its scale, technology, and service quality.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for LTL in North America is estimated to be around $50-$60 billion. XPO's position within this TAM is significant, holding a notable market share and continuing to expand its operations to capture further opportunities.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive North American LTL network
- Advanced technology platform
- Strong brand recognition
- Experienced management team
- Focus on operational efficiency
Weaknesses
- Exposure to economic cycles
- High capital intensity
- Dependence on driver availability
- Unionized workforce in some locations
- Fuel price volatility
Opportunities
- E-commerce growth driving LTL demand
- Expansion of service offerings
- Acquisition opportunities in a fragmented market
- Technological advancements to improve efficiency
- Geographic expansion into new markets
Threats
- Intense competition
- Economic slowdown
- Rising fuel costs
- Labor shortages
- Regulatory changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- FDX
- ODFL
- SAIA
Competitive Landscape
XPO faces intense competition from other major LTL carriers. Its advantages include its scale and technology, but it must continue to innovate to maintain its competitive edge.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: XPO experienced rapid growth through acquisitions and organic expansion until the GXO spin-off. Since then, growth has focused on its core LTL business.
Future Projections: Analysts project moderate revenue growth for XPO, driven by continued demand for LTL services. Focus on technology and operational efficiency are expected to improve profitability.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include investments in technology, network optimization, and driver recruitment to enhance service quality and efficiency.
Summary
XPO Logistics is a significant player in the North American LTL market, benefiting from its extensive network and technological capabilities. While it faces competition and economic headwinds, the company is focused on improving operational efficiency and expanding its service offerings. The spin-off of GXO has allowed XPO to concentrate on its core LTL business. Potential threats to the company include labor shortages and fluctuating fuel costs. Overall XPO looks to be a strong player in the space.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Investor presentations
- Analyst reports
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market conditions and company performance are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About XPO Logistics Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Greenwich, CT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-10-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Mario A. Harik | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 38000 | Website https://www.xpo.com |
Full time employees 38000 | Website https://www.xpo.com |
XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and warehousing and multimodal solutions, such as road-rail and road-short sea combinations to an extensive base of customers within the consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. The company is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.

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