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Upturn AI SWOT - About
XPO 
XPO Logistics Inc (XPO)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/17/2025: XPO (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
26 Analysts rated it
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.
Year Target Price $124.54
Year Target Price $124.54
| 17 | Strong Buy |
| 5 | Buy |
| 2 | Hold |
| 0 | Under performing |
| 2 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 40.56% | Avg. Invested days 38 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/17/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 15.02B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 39.22 | 1Y Target Price 127.62 |
Price to earnings Ratio 39.22 | 1Y Target Price 127.62 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.74 | 52 Weeks Range 85.06 - 161.00 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 85.06 - 161.00 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 3.25 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 4.86% | Operating Margin (TTM) 7.83% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 5.81% | Return on Equity (TTM) 26.18% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 39.22 | Forward PE 36.5 | Enterprise Value 18916977591 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.88 |
Enterprise Value 18916977591 | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.88 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.36 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 15.88 | Shares Outstanding 117807000 | Shares Floating 104138624 |
Shares Outstanding 117807000 | Shares Floating 104138624 | ||
Percent Insiders 1.78 | Percent Institutions 107.16 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 4.38 | Target Price 124.54 | Buy 5 | Strong Buy 17 |
Buy 5 | Strong Buy 17 | ||
Hold 2 | Sell 1 | Strong Sell 1 | |
Strong Sell 1 |
Upturn AI SWOT
XPO Logistics Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
XPO Logistics was founded in 1989 as Express-1 Expedited Solutions. It transformed significantly through acquisitions, notably by Brad Jacobs in 2011. Jacobs refocused the company on logistics and transportation, growing it through strategic mergers and organic expansion.
Core Business Areas
- Less-Than-Truckload (LTL): Provides freight transportation of smaller shipments, combining multiple shipments to reduce costs and improve efficiency. XPO is a leading LTL provider in North America.
- Truckload: Provides full truckload transportation services, catering to large-scale shipments that require dedicated trucks.
- Managed Transportation: Offers technology-enabled managed transportation solutions, including network optimization, procurement, and freight bill audit and payment.
Leadership and Structure
Mario Harik is the CEO. The company has a typical corporate structure with executive leadership overseeing various business units and support functions. It operates with a decentralized approach to empower local decision-making while maintaining overall strategic alignment.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- LTL Freight: XPO's LTL service is a core offering. Competitors include Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), FedEx Freight (FDX), and TFI International (TFII). XPO holds a significant, but not dominant, share of the North American LTL market, estimated to be around 7-9% depending on the reporting period. Estimated revenue from LTL is a significant portion of XPO's overall revenue.
- Managed Transportation Solutions: XPO's managed transportation solutions provide technology-driven supply chain optimization. Key competitors are Echo Global Logistics (acquired by TFI International), C.H. Robinson (CHRW), and Coyote Logistics (UPS). Market share is fragmented, but XPO is a major player in this space, with estimated revenues in the hundreds of millions annually.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The logistics industry is currently experiencing fluctuating demand. E-commerce growth, supply chain disruptions, and increasing transportation costs are key drivers. Digitalization and automation are transforming the industry.
Positioning
XPO is a leading provider of freight transportation and logistics services. Their competitive advantages include their scale, technology-enabled solutions, and comprehensive service offerings. XPO focuses on LTL and managed transportation.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global logistics market is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars annually. XPO is well-positioned to capture a larger share of this market through its diversified service offerings and focus on technological innovation.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large Scale and Network
- Technology-Enabled Solutions
- Comprehensive Service Portfolio
- Experienced Management Team
- Strong LTL Presence
Weaknesses
- Exposure to Economic Cycles
- High Debt Levels (though improving)
- Integration Risks from Acquisitions
- Labor Market Volatility
- Dependence on Key Customers
Opportunities
- E-commerce Growth
- Supply Chain Optimization Demand
- Expansion into New Geographies
- Adoption of Automation and Digitalization
- Increased Outsourcing of Logistics Functions
Threats
- Economic Recession
- Increased Fuel Costs
- Driver Shortages
- Intense Competition
- Regulatory Changes
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ODFL
- FDX
- CHRW
- UPS
Competitive Landscape
XPO faces intense competition. ODFL is known for its service quality, while FedEx and UPS have extensive networks. XPO's strength lies in its technology and comprehensive service offerings.
Major Acquisitions
Norbert Dentressangle
- Year: 2015
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 3240
- Strategic Rationale: Significantly expanded XPO's presence in Europe and added expertise in contract logistics.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: XPO has grown rapidly through acquisitions and organic expansion. Growth has been strong since the spinoff of RXO.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary. Consult financial news sources for up-to-date projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include focusing on LTL, investing in technology, and optimizing their network.
Summary
XPO Logistics is a major player in the freight transportation and logistics industry, with a strong position in LTL and managed transportation. Its growth strategy is now focused on organic growth and efficiency, contrasting the acquisition heavy growth of the past. High debt is a concern, but they are actively addressing it. The company's investments in technology and focus on LTL positions it well for future growth, but it must navigate economic uncertainties and competitive pressures.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Financial News Outlets
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions are dynamic and subject to change. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About XPO Logistics Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Greenwich, CT, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2003-10-07 | CEO & Director Mr. Mario A. Harik | ||
Sector Industrials | Industry Trucking | Full time employees 38000 | Website https://www.xpo.com |
Full time employees 38000 | Website https://www.xpo.com | ||
XPO, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean. The European Transportation segment offers dedicated truckload, LTL, truck brokerage, managed transportation, last mile, freight forwarding, and warehousing and multimodal solutions, such as road-rail and road-short sea combinations to an extensive base of customers within the consumer, trade, and industrial markets. The company was formerly known as XPO Logistics, Inc. and changed its name to XPO, Inc. in December 2022. The company is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
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