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Dollar General Corporation(DG)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 6 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
-1.24% ▼
LAST CLOSE
$132.69
10/23/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DG

10/23/2026: DG (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Dollar General Corporation is a prominent discount retailer specializing in household essentials, consumables, and seasonal goods. The company has a leading position in the small-box retail sector, known for providing convenient access to value-conscious consumers in rural and suburban areas. Its core investment story revolves around its massive store footprint and consistent demand for basic goods, though recent performance has been pressured by operational execution risks and competitive pricing. Investors should monitor progress in inventory management and store labor stability. The stock may suit value-oriented and dividend-focused investors, though it carries exposure to macroeconomic inflation and intense retail competition.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitWhile historically a growth stock, current moderate growth projections make it a less conventional fit for aggressive growth strategies.
Momentum investorWeak fitMomentum investors typically seek positive uptrend signals, which are currently challenged by recent operational and market headwinds.
Value investorStrong fitValue investors may find the current valuation attractive relative to historical averages and the company's long-term utility.
Dividend investorStrong fitThe company provides a consistent dividend, making it suitable for income-focused portfolios.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile retail is a defensive sector, recent operational volatility increases the risk profile for conservative investors.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock price has shown sensitivity to earnings results and broader consumer sentiment shifts.
Valuation riskMediumInvestor confidence relies on the company returning to historical margin levels to justify current valuations.
Competition risk (retail grocery and discount)HighAggressive pricing strategies from major players like Walmart and Dollar Tree significantly impact market share.
Business qualityStrongThe company has a durable, high-utility business model that remains relevant across various economic cycles.
Dividend incomeLowDividend payments are currently stable and manageable within the company's capital structure.
Execution riskMedium / highMaintaining store labor standards and effective inventory management is critical to protecting margins.

Price Behavior

Downtrend
PRICE PATH

Downtrend

The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 54.8%
Avg. Invested days 51
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/23/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
DG receives a 4-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, solid quantitative characteristics, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
DG has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, solid growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid earnings growth (+34.4%) and solid cash generation (FCF margin 5.6%) are partially offset by moderate revenue growth (+5.2%), soft profitability (net margin 3.5%), very low insider ownership of 0.28%.

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
DG's financial health is supported by strong cash strength, including free-cash-flow generation of $2.4B (5.6% of revenue). Profitability is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is DG's strongest growth driver at +41.9% FY2026 versus FY2025 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+34.4%, solid) is also solid, while revenue growth (+5.2%, moderate) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 100.6% and approximately 99.1% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership is only 0.28%, which materially reduces the ownership score.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 10.41%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 6.52%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.23%
State Street Corp 4.86%
Pzena Investment Management, LLC 4.63%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
DG generates approximately $307 of gross profit, $52 of operating income, and $56 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Soft margins explain the 2-star rating, with solid cash conversion and soft capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 23.02%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
DG has a large-cap, liquid, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedLow VolatilityLarge / Mega Cap StabilityHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 30.69B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 17.15
1Y Target Price 142.83
Price to earnings Ratio 17.15
1Y Target Price 142.83
Volume (30-day avg) 2.2M shares
Beta 0.23
52 Weeks Range 93.32 - 155.91
Updated Date 10/23/2026
52 Weeks Range 93.32 - 155.91
Updated Date 10/23/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 1.79%
Basic EPS (TTM) 8.11

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Retail SalesSale of food, consumables, home products, and seasonal items across the store network.The company generates revenue primarily from everyday in-store sales of essential household goods.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

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Valuation

Trailing PE 17.15
Forward PE 15.31
Enterprise Value 40.79B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7
Enterprise Value 40.79B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.7
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.93
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.6
Shares Outstanding 220.62M
Shares Floating 218.64M
Shares Outstanding 220.62M
Shares Floating 218.64M
Percent Insiders 0.28
Percent Institutions 100.61

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.