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Upturn AI Summary - About
Target Corporation(TGT)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for TGT
10/30/2026: TGT (5-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Target Corporation is a major U.S. general merchandise retailer known for its curated 'cheap chic' shopping experience. The company has a leading position in the retail sector and has historically maintained strong margins through its proprietary brands and efficient store-based fulfillment. Its primary growth story revolves around strengthening its omnichannel capabilities and expanding its retail media network. However, Target faces significant competitive risks from large-scale rivals like Walmart and Amazon, as well as risks related to managing inventory levels in a volatile economy. The stock may suit dividend-focused investors given its long history of reliable payouts, though investors should monitor consumer spending trends closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | Target is a mature retailer with moderate growth expectations rather than high-growth potential. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Momentum is often secondary to broader retail sector trends and company-specific inventory execution. |
| Value investor | Strong fit | The stock often trades at reasonable multiples relative to its brand strength and cash flow generation. |
| Dividend investor | Strong fit | Target is a Dividend King with a long track record of reliable payments and annual increases. |
| Low-risk investor | Strong fit | It is a well-established company with a stable business model and a long history of weathering economic cycles. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | Medium | Retail stocks can fluctuate significantly based on seasonal consumer demand and macroeconomic reports. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Market sentiment toward retail can shift rapidly, impacting price-to-earnings multiples. |
| Competition risk (Big-box retail) | High | The sector is dominated by intense price wars with massive competitors like Walmart and Amazon. |
| Business quality | Strong | Target maintains a highly recognizable brand and a deeply entrenched physical presence. |
| Dividend income | Strong | The company's long history of dividend growth provides a reliable income stream for investors. |
| Execution risk | Medium / high | Successfully balancing physical store inventory with digital demand requires complex logistical precision. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 59.71% | Avg. Invested days 62 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  3.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/30/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 70.13B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 16.03 | 1Y Target Price 163.35 |
Price to earnings Ratio 16.03 | 1Y Target Price 163.35 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 3.8M shares | Beta 0.98 | 52 Weeks Range 81.20 - 170.75 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 81.20 - 170.75 | Updated Date 11/01/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.00% | Basic EPS (TTM) 9.63 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| General Merchandise Retail | Physical stores selling apparel, electronics, home goods, and food. | Most revenue comes from everyday sales at physical store locations. |
| Digital & E-commerce | Online sales via the Target app and website. | Growing digital sales help reach customers who prefer home delivery or quick store pickup. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 16.03 | Forward PE 16.69 | Enterprise Value 83.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 |
Enterprise Value 83.41B | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.65 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.77 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 9.01 | Shares Outstanding 454.30M | Shares Floating 452.78M |
Shares Outstanding 454.30M | Shares Floating 452.78M | ||
Percent Insiders 0.27 | Percent Institutions 89.81 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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