DLTR logo DLTR
Upturn stock rating
DLTR logo

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

Upturn stock rating
$99.12
Last Close (24-hour delay)
upturn advisory
PASS
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Upturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

10/31/2025: DLTR (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

27 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $108.26

1 Year Target Price $108.26

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$108.26 Target price
52w Low $60.49
Current$99.12
52w High $118.06

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.48%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 10/31/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 20.22B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19.21
1Y Target Price 108.26
Price to earnings Ratio 19.21
1Y Target Price 108.26
Volume (30-day avg) 27
Beta 0.86
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 118.06
Updated Date 11/2/2025
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 118.06
Updated Date 11/2/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.16

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -15.8%
Operating Margin (TTM) 4.88%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 5.29%
Return on Equity (TTM) 20.06%

Valuation

Trailing PE 19.21
Forward PE 14.18
Enterprise Value 25082458062
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09
Enterprise Value 25082458062
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.09
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.35
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 11.56
Shares Outstanding 203967842
Shares Floating 178753337
Shares Outstanding 203967842
Shares Floating 178753337
Percent Insiders 0.14
Percent Institutions 108.51

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Dollar Tree Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1953 (as Only $1.00) and formally incorporated as Dollar Tree Stores, Inc. in 1986. The company grew through acquisitions and organic expansion, focusing on offering items at a fixed price point. It acquired Family Dollar in 2015, significantly expanding its reach and customer base.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Dollar Tree: Dollar Tree stores offer a wide assortment of general merchandise, consumables, and seasonal items, all priced at a fixed price point (historically $1.00, now generally higher). The target market is price-sensitive consumers.
  • Family Dollar: Family Dollar stores offer a mix of name-brand and private-label merchandise, including food, health and beauty aids, household products, apparel, and home decor. The target market is value-conscious consumers in urban and rural areas.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The CEO is Rick Dreiling. The organizational structure consists of functional departments such as merchandising, operations, finance, and marketing, supporting the Dollar Tree and Family Dollar store chains.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Consumables: Includes food, health and beauty aids, household chemicals, paper products, and candy. These products are essential for day-to-day use and drive frequent customer visits. Competitors include Walmart, Dollar General, and grocery chains. Market share data is not publicly broken out by product category.
  • Variety Merchandise: Includes toys, housewares, gifts, party supplies, and seasonal decor. These items offer value and cater to impulse purchases. Competitors include Amazon, Target, and specialty retailers. Market share data is not publicly broken out by product category.
  • Apparel and Accessories: Family Dollar stores offer clothing and accessories. Competitors include Walmart, Target and smaller fashion retailers. Market share data is not publicly broken out by product category.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The discount retail industry is highly competitive, driven by price sensitivity and convenience. Trends include the growth of e-commerce, increasing demand for private-label brands, and the expansion of dollar stores into underserved markets.

Positioning

Dollar Tree is positioned as a value leader, offering extremely low prices on a wide range of products. Its competitive advantages include its fixed-price model (primarily for Dollar Tree), its broad geographic reach, and its strong brand recognition. Family Dollar competes on value, offering a wider variety of price points compared to Dollar Tree

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Dollar Tree Inc. is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its value proposition and store footprint. Exact TAM figures are hard to pin down and vary by source/segment.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Large store footprint
  • Value-oriented pricing
  • Wide product assortment
  • Supply chain efficiency

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on low-margin products
  • Competition from larger retailers
  • Integration challenges with Family Dollar
  • Impact of inflation on profitability
  • Negative perception linked with cheap priced products

Opportunities

  • Expansion into new markets
  • Increased focus on private-label brands
  • Enhancement of e-commerce capabilities
  • Strategic partnerships with other retailers
  • Further integration of Dollar Tree and Family Dollar operations

Threats

  • Intense competition from Walmart, Dollar General, and Amazon
  • Economic downturns impacting consumer spending
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Increased labor costs

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DG
  • WMT
  • ROST

Competitive Landscape

Dollar Tree's advantage lies in its extreme value proposition. However, Walmart and Dollar General offer a wider variety of products and services, appealing to a broader range of consumers. Ross provides more name-brand apparel at discounted prices.

Major Acquisitions

Family Dollar

  • Year: 2015
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 8500
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded Dollar Tree's footprint, added a multi-price point format, and increased its presence in urban and rural markets.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Dollar Tree has experienced consistent growth over the past decade, driven by store expansion and acquisitions.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth, driven by new store openings and increased same-store sales. Profitability is expected to improve as the company integrates Family Dollar and implements cost-saving initiatives.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding multi-price point offerings, renovating stores, and enhancing e-commerce capabilities.

Summary

Dollar Tree Inc. is a value-oriented retailer with a strong brand and extensive store network. Its low-price strategy attracts price-sensitive customers, but its profitability is vulnerable to inflation and competition. Strategic initiatives to integrate Family Dollar and expand multi-price point offerings are crucial for future growth. The company has to be wary of negative impact that inflation can have on the business

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings (10-K, 10-Q), Investor presentations, Market research reports, Analyst reports
  • YFinance

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data is dynamic and may change rapidly. Any investment decisions should be made after consulting with a qualified financial advisor.

Upturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Dollar Tree Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chesapeake, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-03-06
CEO & Director Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr.
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Full time employees 64434
Full time employees 64434

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.