Upturn unsubscribed user
$1.14/ day, billed weekly
Cancel anytime
(Ad-Free, Unlimited access)​
NO CREDIT CARD REQUIRED
DLTR logo DLTR
Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
DLTR logo

Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$112.5
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY40.59%
upturn advisory
SELL
SELL since 3 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

08/28/2025: DLTR (1-star) is a SELL. SELL since 3 days. Profits (40.59%). Updated daily EoD!

Upturn Star Rating

rating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

27 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $111.74

1 Year Target Price $111.74

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$111.74 Target price
52w Low $60.49
Current$112.5
52w High $118.06

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 12.48%
Avg. Invested days 46
Today’s Advisory SELL
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 2.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 08/28/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 23.48B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 21.53
1Y Target Price 111.74
Price to earnings Ratio 21.53
1Y Target Price 111.74
Volume (30-day avg) 27
Beta 0.88
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 118.06
Updated Date 08/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 118.06
Updated Date 08/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.07

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-09-02
When Before Market
Estimate 0.3818
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -16.55%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.28%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.69%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.4%

Valuation

Trailing PE 21.53
Forward PE 20.49
Enterprise Value 30378279525
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.3
Enterprise Value 30378279525
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.3
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.68
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 14.37
Shares Outstanding 208696000
Shares Floating 183758755
Shares Outstanding 208696000
Shares Floating 183758755
Percent Insiders 0.11
Percent Institutions 104.92

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Dollar Tree Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Dollar Tree was founded in 1953 as K&K 5&10 in Norfolk, Virginia. It evolved into Only $1.00 in 1986 and became Dollar Tree Stores, Inc. in 1991. They acquired Family Dollar in 2015.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Dollar Tree: Offers a wide variety of merchandise at a $1.25 price point and select higher prices. Includes consumables, variety and seasonal items, and home products.
  • Family Dollar: Provides a selection of consumables, home products, apparel, and seasonal goods at multiple price points, typically lower than traditional grocery and drug stores.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Rick Dreiling is the Chairman and CEO. The company has a hierarchical structure with regional and district managers overseeing individual stores. There is an executive team overseeing various business functions.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Consumables: Includes food, health and beauty products, cleaning supplies, and pet supplies. Competitors include Walmart, Target, and other dollar stores. Market share data not readily available by product category.
  • Variety and Seasonal: Encompasses toys, gifts, party supplies, decorations, and stationery. Competitors include Walmart, Target and party supply stores. Market share data not readily available by product category.
  • Home Products: Features housewares, kitchenware, hardware, and automotive supplies. Competitors include Walmart, Target, and home goods stores. Market share data not readily available by product category.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The discount retail industry is characterized by intense competition, price sensitivity, and evolving consumer preferences. Economic conditions significantly influence consumer spending in this sector.

Positioning

Dollar Tree Inc. operates in the extreme-value segment of the retail industry. Their competitive advantage stems from their broad merchandise assortment, low prices, and convenient store locations.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The total addressable market for discount retailers in the U.S. is estimated to be over $80 billion. Dollar Tree Inc. aims to capture a significant share of this market by offering value and convenience.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Strong brand recognition
  • Extensive store network
  • Value-oriented pricing strategy
  • Diverse product assortment
  • Established supply chain

Weaknesses

  • Dependence on low-price strategy
  • Inconsistent product quality
  • High employee turnover
  • Supply chain vulnerabilities
  • Integration challenges with Family Dollar

Opportunities

  • Expansion into underserved markets
  • Enhancement of e-commerce capabilities
  • Development of private-label brands
  • Partnerships with complementary businesses
  • Catering to budget-conscious consumers

Threats

  • Intense competition from larger retailers
  • Economic downturns affecting consumer spending
  • Rising operating costs
  • Changes in consumer preferences
  • Supply chain disruptions

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DG
  • WMT
  • TGT

Competitive Landscape

Dollar Tree competes primarily on price and convenience. They face significant competition from larger retailers like Walmart and Target, as well as other discount stores like Dollar General. Dollar Tree's strengths lie in its value-oriented pricing, while its weaknesses include product quality and store appearance compared to larger retailers.

Major Acquisitions

Family Dollar

  • Year: 2015
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 8500
  • Strategic Rationale: Expanded market reach and customer base, provided access to different demographics, and increased overall scale to improve negotiation power with suppliers.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Dollar Tree has experienced growth through store expansion and acquisitions, particularly the Family Dollar acquisition. Same-store sales growth has varied over time.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates would be inserted here, projecting revenue growth and profitability improvements.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include store renovations, the introduction of higher price points at Dollar Tree stores, and efforts to improve supply chain efficiency.

Summary

Dollar Tree is a major player in the discount retail market, known for its extreme value. The company's strengths lie in its extensive store network and value pricing; however, it faces challenges from larger retailers and the need to improve product quality. Recent initiatives, such as introducing higher price points, are aimed at boosting profitability, but supply chain vulnerabilities and intense competition remain key concerns. The company must be quick on its feet to ensure its sustainability in the volatile market.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company filings
  • Analyst reports
  • Market research reports
  • Press releases

Disclaimers:

The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Market share data is based on estimates and may not be precise.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Dollar Tree Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chesapeake, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-03-06
CEO & Director Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr.
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Full time employees 64434
Full time employees 64434

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.