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Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$99.04
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY24.34%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 49 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
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Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
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Time period over
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Upturn Advisory Summary

06/30/2025: DLTR (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

27 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, have historically outperformed the market, making them a top-tier choice for investors.

Year Target Price $95.74

Year Target Price $95.74

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$95.74Target price
Low$60.49
Current$99.04
high$108.93

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -0.52%
Avg. Invested days 39
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/30/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Large-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 20.60B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 19.47
1Y Target Price 95.74
Price to earnings Ratio 19.47
1Y Target Price 95.74
Volume (30-day avg) 27
Beta 0.84
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 108.93
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 60.49 - 108.93
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 5.07

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date 2025-06-04
When -
Estimate 1.2056
Actual 1.26

Profitability

Profit Margin -16.55%
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.28%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.69%
Return on Equity (TTM) 19.4%

Valuation

Trailing PE 19.47
Forward PE 18.28
Enterprise Value 27498277236
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.14
Enterprise Value 27498277236
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.14
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.52
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.01
Shares Outstanding 208696000
Shares Floating 196245025
Shares Outstanding 208696000
Shares Floating 196245025
Percent Insiders 0.08
Percent Institutions 108.53

Analyst Ratings

Rating 5
Target Price 95.74
Buy 2
Strong Buy 8
Buy 2
Strong Buy 8
Hold 16
Sell 1
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Dollar Tree Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Dollar Tree was founded in 1953 as Only $1.00 in Norfolk, Virginia. It evolved through several name changes and expansions, becoming Dollar Tree in 1986. The company grew significantly through acquisitions, including Family Dollar in 2015, solidifying its position in the discount retail market.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Dollar Tree: This segment operates stores that offer products at a fixed price point, primarily $1.25, targeting value-conscious consumers with a broad assortment of everyday essentials, consumables, seasonal goods, and discretionary merchandise.
  • Family Dollar: This segment operates a chain of discount stores offering a mix of name-brand and private-label merchandise across various categories, including food, household products, apparel, and seasonal items, catering to a different demographic with slightly higher price points.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team includes Rick Dreiling (Chairman & CEO). The organizational structure comprises corporate management overseeing both the Dollar Tree and Family Dollar store operations, with regional and district managers responsible for store performance and execution.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Consumables: Includes food, health & beauty, and household products. Competitors include Dollar General (DG), Walmart (WMT), and other grocery retailers. Market share data specific to Dollar Tree's consumable category is fragmented but they are a significant player in the discount retail consumable market.
  • Variety Merchandise: Encompasses toys, gifts, seasonal decor, and other discretionary items. Competitors are similar to consumables plus Amazon (AMZN) and other online retailers. Specific market share is hard to determine due to diverse product offerings, but it is a key differentiator for Dollar Tree.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The discount retail industry is characterized by intense competition, price sensitivity, and a focus on value. It is influenced by macroeconomic factors, consumer spending habits, and demographic trends.

Positioning

Dollar Tree Inc. holds a prominent position in the discount retail sector, primarily targeting budget-conscious shoppers. Its competitive advantage lies in its extensive store network, value pricing, and diverse product selection.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The US discount retail market is estimated to be worth hundreds of billions of dollars. Dollar Tree Inc is positioned to capture a significant portion of this market through its extensive store base and diverse product offerings.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Extensive store network
  • Strong brand recognition
  • Value pricing strategy
  • Diverse product assortment
  • Established supply chain

Weaknesses

  • Integration challenges with Family Dollar
  • Pressure on margins due to fixed price points (historically $1)
  • High employee turnover
  • Store appearance and location challenges (some Family Dollar locations)

Opportunities

  • Expansion into underserved markets
  • Enhanced e-commerce presence
  • Private label product development
  • Strategic partnerships
  • Expansion of the $3 and $5 plus sections.

Threats

  • Intense competition from other discount retailers (DG, WMT)
  • Economic downturn impacting consumer spending
  • Supply chain disruptions
  • Inflationary pressures on product costs
  • Changing consumer preferences

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • DG
  • WMT
  • FIVE

Competitive Landscape

Dollar Tree competes fiercely with other discount retailers. It offers a different value proposition by offering extremely low prices. However, it has faced challenges in integrating Family Dollar and competing with Walmart's scale. DG has targeted rural demographics more effectively

Major Acquisitions

Family Dollar

  • Year: 2015
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 8500
  • Strategic Rationale: The acquisition of Family Dollar expanded Dollar Tree's market reach and allowed it to cater to a broader range of customers with different price points.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Dollar Tree's historical growth has been driven by store expansion, acquisitions (most notably Family Dollar), and same-store sales increases.

Future Projections: Analyst estimates suggest continued growth, driven by store expansion, improved merchandise mix, and cost optimization initiatives. Check with Yahoo Finance or Bloomberg.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include store remodeling programs (especially Family Dollar stores), the introduction of multi-price-point merchandise (Dollar Tree Plus), and expansion of e-commerce capabilities.

Summary

Dollar Tree Inc. is a major player in the discount retail market. Its strengths lie in its extensive store network and value pricing, but weaknesses include Family Dollar integration challenges. Recent strategic initiatives like Dollar Tree Plus offer growth opportunities, but economic downturns and intense competition pose threats. The company is solid but needs to enhance Family Dollar stores.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company Filings (SEC)
  • Market Research Reports
  • Analyst Estimates (Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg)
  • Industry News

Disclaimers:

The information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Dollar Tree Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Chesapeake, VA, United States
IPO Launch date 1995-03-06
CEO & Director Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr.
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Full time employees 64434
Full time employees 64434

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada. The company offers consumable merchandise comprising everyday consumables, such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health, personal care products, and frozen and refrigerated food; variety merchandise consisting of toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies, and other items; and seasonal goods, including Christmas, Easter, Halloween, and Valentine's Day merchandise. Dollar Tree, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is based in Chesapeake, Virginia.