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Digimarc Corporation(DMRC)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
2-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 12 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+31.79% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$8.83
10/30/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • BUY Advisory
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Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DMRC

10/30/2026: DMRC (2-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Digimarc Corporation is a software company specializing in digital watermarking and product identification technology. Its platform allows physical goods to carry invisible, unique digital IDs, which helps improve supply chain efficiency and retail checkout processes. The company's primary investment story centers on its potential to become a standard for digital product passports and retail automation, though it faces risks from strong competition and the challenge of sustaining consistent growth. Investors should be aware that the company has historically struggled with profitability and operational execution. It is most suitable for growth-oriented investors who are willing to accept high volatility in exchange for potential exposure to digital transformation trends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitWhile the technology is innovative, the company has yet to demonstrate consistent, scalable, and profitable growth.
Momentum investorStrong fit while signal remains positiveMomentum investors may find interest during periods of high news flow regarding enterprise customer wins.
Value investorWeak fitDigimarc's valuation is driven by future potential rather than current cash flow or earnings multiples.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company does not pay dividends and focuses entirely on growth and R&D.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh volatility and operational uncertainty make this stock unsuitable for low-risk portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock is susceptible to significant price swings based on contract wins or industry adoption news.
Valuation riskMedium / highValuations are highly sensitive to long-term growth assumptions that may not materialize.
Competition risk (incumbent tech)HighThe company faces stiff competition from entrenched players with larger R&D budgets.
Business qualityMediumThe business model is transitioning but has historically struggled to achieve economies of scale.
Dividend incomeLow / noneInvestors should not expect any income from this security.
Execution riskHighThe company must successfully navigate the complex task of standardizing its technology across global supply chains.

Price Behavior

Strong Uptrend
PRICE PATH

Strong Uptrend

The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.

Extreme Price Shocks
PRICE STABILITY

Extreme Price Shocks

The stock has experienced exceptionally large and disruptive price movements during the period.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 165.53%
Avg. Invested days 37
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 5.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 5.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/30/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
DMRC receives a 2-star rating, reflecting soft or weak scores across the available pillars. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
DMRC has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with soft financial health, moderate growth momentum, and solid ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, solid earnings growth (+17.2%) is partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -36.4%), negative revenue growth (-11.7%), weak profitability (net margin -95.3%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
DMRC's financial health is soft, with the relatively strongest area being moderate liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 24.5%). Operating efficiency is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 2-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Free-cash-flow growth is DMRC's strongest growth driver at +53.9% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, earnings growth (+17.2%, solid) is also solid, while revenue growth (-11.7%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 54.5% and approximately 72.8% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 30.01% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Altai Capital Management, L.P. 12.28%
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 9.13%
Lagoda Investment Management LP 5.06%
Kimelman & Baird, LLC 4.85%
BlackRock Inc 4.72%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
DMRC generates approximately $537 of gross profit, $-983 of operating income, and $-364 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Operating losses and cash burn explain the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 0.47%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
DMRC has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while soft valuation.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 199.10M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11.5
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 11.5
Volume (30-day avg) 171.0K shares
Beta 2.43
52 Weeks Range 4.07 - 17.47
Updated Date 11/01/2026
52 Weeks Range 4.07 - 17.47
Updated Date 11/01/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) -1.43

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Subscription ServicesRecurring fees for the use of the Digimarc Platform and related cloud services.This is the primary engine of future growth as the company moves to a predictable recurring revenue model.
Services and LicensingHistorical revenue from software licenses and professional implementation services.These revenues are becoming a smaller portion of the total as the company pivots to recurring subscriptions.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 43.48
Enterprise Value 195.85M
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.32
Enterprise Value 195.85M
Price to Sales(TTM) 6.32
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.22
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 50.91
Shares Outstanding 22.55M
Shares Floating 16.41M
Shares Outstanding 22.55M
Shares Floating 16.41M
Percent Insiders 30.01
Percent Institutions 54.47

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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