Dorman Products Inc logo

Dorman Products Inc(DORM)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$123.94
10/20/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
  • ALL
  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for DORM

10/20/2026: DORM (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Dorman Products is a specialized provider of aftermarket automotive parts, known for its ability to re-engineer components that address common factory defects. The company has a leading position in the specialty hardware and powertrain segments, benefiting from an aging vehicle fleet that favors repair over replacement. Its primary growth strategy involves expanding into adjacent markets like powersports and heavy-duty vehicles to offset potential risks from electric vehicle adoption. While the company holds a strong reputation for innovation, it faces execution risks related to supply chain management and retail consolidation. Dorman typically suits value-oriented investors who prioritize long-term growth over consistent dividends.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth is steady rather than explosive, tied heavily to the automotive lifecycle.
Momentum investorMixed fitThe stock often trends with broader industrial and automotive sector cycles.
Value investorStrong fitDorman is often priced based on fundamental earnings potential and steady market demand.
Dividend investorWeak fitThe company historically prioritizes reinvestment over paying dividends to shareholders.
Low-risk investorMixed fitThe business model is defensive but subject to cyclical automotive retail risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMediumMarket sentiment toward the automotive sector can drive significant short-term price swings.
Valuation riskMediumThe stock can become expensive relative to growth during peak market cycles.
Competition risk (Aftermarket Consolidation)HighConsolidation among retailers can pressure margins and distribution reach.
Business qualityStrongDorman has established a defensible niche in specialty parts over many decades.
Dividend incomeLow / noneThe company does not provide a regular dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors.
Execution riskMediumIntegrating acquisitions and managing a massive SKU database requires ongoing operational excellence.

Price Behavior

Rolling Over
PRICE PATH

Rolling Over

The price momentum is slowing down and beginning to turn downward.

Moderately Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Moderately Choppy

The stock has experienced noticeable price swings while retaining some directional structure.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 25.27%
Avg. Invested days 45
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 4.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/20/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
DORM receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by soft unit economics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
DORM has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, moderate earnings growth (+7.5%) is partially offset by soft cash generation (FCF margin 3.6%), moderate revenue growth (+6.0%), soft profitability (net margin 9.6%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
DORM's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 41.3%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is DORM's strongest growth driver at +7.5% FY2025 versus FY2024 (moderate, 3 stars). By comparison, while free-cash-flow growth (-60.5%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 99.3% and approximately 88.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 12.87% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 13.75%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 5.17%
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts 4.87%
Vanguard Capital Management, LLC 4.09%
State Street Corp 3.86%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
DORM generates approximately $411 of gross profit, $168 of operating income, and $36 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Moderate margins explain the 2-star rating, with weak cash conversion and moderate capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 25.87%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
DORM has a high-quality, liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltSmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.60B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 17.2
1Y Target Price 161.62
Price to earnings Ratio 17.2
1Y Target Price 161.62
Volume (30-day avg) 235.3K shares
Beta 1.02
52 Weeks Range 98.44 - 164.00
Updated Date 10/19/2026
52 Weeks Range 98.44 - 164.00
Updated Date 10/19/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 7.05

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Automotive Aftermarket PartsSale of proprietary re-engineered parts to wholesalers and retail chains.Dorman makes money by identifying and solving common car repair problems that dealers and other makers ignore.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

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Earnings Date

Report Date 2026-10-26
When After Market
Estimate 1.97
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 10.18%
Operating Margin (TTM) 23.63%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 9.17%
Return on Equity (TTM) 15.05%

Valuation

Trailing PE 17.2
Forward PE 13.53
Enterprise Value 3.98B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.67
Enterprise Value 3.98B
Price to Sales(TTM) 1.67
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.85
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 10.53
Shares Outstanding 29.68M
Shares Floating 26.11M
Shares Outstanding 29.68M
Shares Floating 26.11M
Percent Insiders 12.87
Percent Institutions 99.3

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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