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AAP 
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/13/2025: AAP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Number of Analysts
28 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $54.25
1 Year Target Price $54.25
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 25 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 18.82% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/13/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.06B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 28 | Beta 1.17 | 52 Weeks Range 28.40 - 69.65 | Updated Date 11/12/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 28.40 - 69.65 | Updated Date 11/12/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.96% | Basic EPS (TTM) -10.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-13 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.76 | Actual 0.92 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) -23.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 20.04 | Enterprise Value 5149334939 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 |
Enterprise Value 5149334939 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.2 | Shares Outstanding 60022245 | Shares Floating 59536065 |
Shares Outstanding 60022245 | Shares Floating 59536065 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.95 | Percent Institutions 127.47 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Advance Auto Parts Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1932 by Arthur Taubman in Roanoke, Virginia. It started with a single store and has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion to become a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America.
Core Business Areas
- Retail: Sale of automotive parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items to do-it-yourself (DIY) customers through its stores and online.
- Commercial: Sale of automotive parts and related products to professional installers, garages, and service stations.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes the Chief Executive Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and other key executives. The organizational structure includes retail operations, commercial operations, supply chain, and support functions.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Batteries: Automotive batteries for various vehicles. Competitors include AutoZone, O'Reilly Automotive. Market share and exact revenue breakdown are not publicly available at this granular level. Dominate in commercial segment and have expanded to retail market. Competitors for this would be O'Reilly, and AutoZone
- Brakes: Brake pads, rotors, calipers, and related hardware. Competitors include AutoZone, O'Reilly Automotive. Market share and exact revenue breakdown are not publicly available at this granular level.
- Motor Oil and Fluids: Various types and grades of motor oil, antifreeze, and other automotive fluids. Competitors include AutoZone, O'Reilly Automotive, Walmart, and Amazon. Market share and exact revenue breakdown are not publicly available at this granular level.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive aftermarket industry is characterized by demand driven by vehicle age, miles driven, and complexity of vehicle technology. It is moderately fragmented with large national players and smaller independent retailers.
Positioning
Advance Auto Parts is one of the leading players in the automotive aftermarket, competing on breadth of product assortment, store network, and customer service. Its competitive advantages include its strong commercial business and established brand reputation.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The U.S. automotive aftermarket TAM is estimated to be over $300 billion. Advance Auto Parts captures a portion of this market, facing competition from other large retailers and smaller independent shops.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive store network
- Strong commercial business
- Established brand recognition
- Supply chain capabilities
- DIY and Professional Customer Focus
Weaknesses
- Inconsistent Execution of Store Operations
- Inventory management issues
- Profitability compared to peers
Opportunities
- Growth in e-commerce
- Expansion into new geographic markets
- Increased demand for electric vehicle parts
- Growing average vehicle age
- Partnerships with automotive service providers
Threats
- Competition from online retailers
- Economic downturn
- Fluctuations in raw material prices
- Shifting consumer preferences
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AZO
- ORLY
- GPC
Competitive Landscape
Advance Auto Parts faces intense competition from other large retailers and online marketplaces. It competes on price, product assortment, and customer service.
Major Acquisitions
General Parts International (Carquest)
- Year: 2014
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2040
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded Advance Auto Parts' presence in the commercial segment and added a significant number of stores.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Advance Auto Parts has grown through organic store expansion and acquisitions. Growth has been affected recently by inflationary pressures and supply chain issues.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates vary but generally project moderate growth in revenue and earnings, driven by market growth and operational improvements.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include focusing on improving customer experience, optimizing store operations, and expanding digital capabilities.
Summary
Advance Auto Parts is a significant player in the automotive aftermarket with a strong presence in both retail and commercial sectors. While it benefits from an extensive store network and brand recognition, it faces challenges in profitability and operational efficiency. Capitalizing on e-commerce growth and strategic partnerships will be crucial for future success amidst increasing competition and economic uncertainties. AAP has good potential but needs to improve operational effectiveness.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
- Market Research Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered investment advice. Market share data are estimates and may vary. Financial data might not be fully complete
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Advance Auto Parts Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Raleigh, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-11-29 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 33200 | |
Full time employees 33200 | |||
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. engages in the provision of automotive aftermarket parts in the United States and internationally. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wire; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oil; oil filters; part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluid. Further, it provides battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. The company serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. It operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and the Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
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