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AAP 
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
11/28/2025: AAP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Upturn Star Rating
Moderate Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Number of Analysts
28 Analysts rated it
Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.
1 Year Target Price $54.3
1 Year Target Price $54.3
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 25 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 18.82% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  4.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 11/28/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 3.11B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.3 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 54.3 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 28 | Beta 1.17 | 52 Weeks Range 28.40 - 69.65 | Updated Date 11/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 28.40 - 69.65 | Updated Date 11/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 1.94% | Basic EPS (TTM) -10.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-11-13 | When Before Market | Estimate 0.76 | Actual 0.92 |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) -23.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 20.37 | Enterprise Value 5200954070 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 |
Enterprise Value 5200954070 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.36 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.6 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.2 | Shares Outstanding 60022245 | Shares Floating 59545068 |
Shares Outstanding 60022245 | Shares Floating 59545068 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.9 | Percent Institutions 121.56 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Advance Auto Parts Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1932 by Arthur Taubman in Roanoke, Virginia. It grew through acquisitions and store openings to become one of the largest automotive aftermarket parts providers in North America.
Core Business Areas
- Retail: Sale of automotive parts, batteries, accessories, and maintenance items to do-it-yourself (DIY) customers through retail stores.
- Commercial: Sale of automotive parts and related products to professional installers, independent garages, and service stations.
- Carquest: Serves independently owned professional shops across North America
Leadership and Structure
The company is led by a Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and a management team responsible for various functional areas such as operations, finance, marketing, and supply chain. It has a hierarchical organizational structure with regional and store-level management.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Batteries: Automotive batteries for various vehicle types. Market share varies regionally, but competes with brands like DieHard (owned by Advance), Optima, and others sold at competitors like AutoZone and O'Reilly Automotive. Competitors include Johnson Controls and Exide Technologies.
- Brakes: Brake pads, rotors, calipers, and related components. Competes with brands like Bosch, Wagner, and ACDelco, sold through various channels including competitors and online retailers. Market share is fragmented.
- Engine Oil & Fluids: Motor oils, transmission fluids, antifreeze, and other automotive fluids. Competes with brands like Castrol, Mobil 1, Valvoline, Pennzoil. Market Share is highly competitive.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive aftermarket industry is driven by factors such as vehicle age, miles driven, economic conditions, and technological advancements in vehicles. It's a large and relatively stable industry, but faces challenges from online retailers and changing vehicle technologies (e.g., electric vehicles).
Positioning
Advance Auto Parts is a major player in the automotive aftermarket, positioned as a provider of parts and accessories for both DIY and professional customers. It competes on price, product availability, and customer service.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US automotive aftermarket is estimated at $400 billion + growing. Advance Auto Parts holds a significant portion of this TAM but faces strong competition from larger players. The shift to electric vehicles creates risks and opportunities.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Established brand name
- Extensive store network
- Strong relationships with suppliers
- Focus on both DIY and professional customers
Weaknesses
- Lower profit margins compared to some competitors
- Supply chain issues and inventory management
- High debt load.
- Inconsistent customer service across stores.
Opportunities
- Expansion into new markets
- Growth in the commercial segment
- Increased online sales
- Partnerships with automotive service providers
Threats
- Increased competition from online retailers like Amazon
- Fluctuations in raw material prices
- Economic downturns reducing consumer spending
- Technological advancements in vehicles requiring specialized parts
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AZO
- ORLY
- GPI
Competitive Landscape
Advance Auto Parts faces intense competition from AutoZone and O'Reilly Automotive. It needs to differentiate itself through superior customer service, product selection, or pricing. Growing online retail channels also play an impactful role.
Major Acquisitions
General Parts International (Carquest)
- Year: 2014
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2040
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded commercial business and geographic reach.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is based on past revenue, earnings, and store expansion. Review annual reports for detailed information.
Future Projections: Future projections are based on analyst estimates, which consider industry trends, company strategy, and economic forecasts. This can be found in brokerage reports such as those from Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, etc.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include store optimization, supply chain improvements, and investments in e-commerce.
Summary
Advance Auto Parts is a significant player in the automotive aftermarket, benefiting from a strong brand and extensive store network. However, the company faces challenges from online competition, lower profit margins, and the evolving automotive landscape. Successfully adapting to technological changes and enhancing customer experience are crucial for future growth. Increased debt load and supply chain issues are current challenges, but the brand is relatively strong.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Industry Reports (IBISWorld, MarketWatch)
- Analyst Reports (Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley)
- Company Investor Relations Website
Disclaimers:
The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change. Investment decisions should be based on thorough research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Advance Auto Parts Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Raleigh, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-11-29 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 33200 | |
Full time employees 33200 | |||
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. engages in the provision of automotive aftermarket parts in the United States and internationally. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wire; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oil; oil filters; part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluid. Further, it provides battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. The company serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. It operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and the Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
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