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Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/30/2025: AAP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $53.45
1 Year Target Price $53.45
| 1 | Strong Buy | 
| 0 | Buy | 
| 25 | Hold | 
| 2 | Sell | 
| 0 | Strong Sell | 
Analysis of Past Performance
|  Type  Stock |  Historic Profit  18.82% |  Avg. Invested days  39 |  Today’s Advisory  PASS  | 
|  Upturn Star Rating   |  Upturn Advisory Performance   4.0 |  Stock Returns Performance   2.0 | 
|  Profits based on simulation |  Last Close 10/30/2025 | 
Key Highlights
|  Company Size  Mid-Cap Stock  |  Market Capitalization  3.31B  USD  |  Price to earnings Ratio  -  |  1Y Target Price  53.45  | 
|  Price to earnings Ratio  -  |  1Y Target Price  53.45  | ||
|  Volume (30-day avg)  28  |  Beta  1.11  |  52 Weeks Range  28.40 - 69.65  |  Updated Date  10/29/2025  | 
|  52 Weeks Range  28.40 - 69.65  |  Updated Date  10/29/2025  | ||
|  Dividends yield (FY)  1.75%  |  Basic EPS (TTM)  -10  | 
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
|  Report Date  -  |  When  -  |  Estimate  -  |  Actual  -  | 
Profitability
|  Profit Margin  -4.37%  |  Operating Margin (TTM)  2.84%  | 
Management Effectiveness
|  Return on Assets (TTM)  -0.23%  |  Return on Equity (TTM)  -24.78%  | 
Valuation
|  Trailing PE  -  |  Forward PE  23.31  |  Enterprise Value  5716464606  |  Price to Sales(TTM)  0.38  | 
|  Enterprise Value  5716464606  |  Price to Sales(TTM)  0.38  | ||
|  Enterprise Value to Revenue  0.65  |  Enterprise Value to EBITDA  16.2  |  Shares Outstanding  59984947  |  Shares Floating  59502068  | 
|  Shares Outstanding  59984947  |  Shares Floating  59502068  | ||
|  Percent Insiders  0.95  |  Percent Institutions  129.26  | 
 Upturn AI SWOT
 Upturn AI SWOT 
Advance Auto Parts Inc

Company Overview
 History and Background
 History and Background 
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1932 by Arthur Taubman in Roanoke, Virginia. Initially, it was a small chain of retail auto parts stores. Over the decades, it expanded through acquisitions and organic growth to become one of the largest automotive aftermarket parts providers in North America.
 Core Business Areas
 Core Business Areas 
- Retail: Sales of automotive parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items to consumers through its network of stores and online platforms.
- Professional: Supply of automotive parts, tools, and diagnostic equipment to professional installers, such as garages and repair shops.
- Carquest Independent Stores: A network of independently owned stores that operate under the Carquest brand. Advance Auto Parts provides these stores with access to its products, services, and distribution network.
 Leadership and Structure
 Leadership and Structure 
As of late 2023, Shane O'Kelly is President and Chief Executive Officer. The company is structured with a board of directors and various executive leadership positions overseeing different functions such as finance, operations, marketing, and technology.
Top Products and Market Share
 Key Offerings
 Key Offerings 
- Batteries: Automotive batteries for various vehicle types. Market share data varies, but Advance competes with major battery brands and retailers. Competitors include AutoZone, O'Reilly Automotive and Walmart.
- Brakes: Brake pads, rotors, calipers, and related hardware. The automotive brake market is highly competitive. Competitors include AutoZone, O'Reilly Automotive, and NAPA.
- Oil and Fluids: Motor oil, transmission fluid, antifreeze, and other automotive fluids. Market share is fragmented among major oil companies and auto parts retailers. Competitors include AutoZone, O'Reilly Automotive and Walmart.
Market Dynamics
 Industry Overview
 Industry Overview 
The automotive aftermarket industry is driven by the aging vehicle fleet, increasing vehicle complexity, and consumer demand for maintenance and repair services. It is a mature and competitive industry with a mix of national chains, regional players, and independent shops.
Positioning
Advance Auto Parts positions itself as a provider of both DIY and professional automotive parts, offering a wide selection of products, competitive pricing, and customer service. Its competitive advantages include its extensive store network, distribution infrastructure, and brand recognition.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US automotive aftermarket is valued at over $300 billion annually. Advance Auto Parts is positioned to capture a significant portion of this TAM through its retail and professional channels.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large store network
- Strong brand recognition
- Established distribution infrastructure
- Dual focus on DIY and professional customers
Weaknesses
- Inconsistent financial performance
- Supply chain challenges
- Competitive pricing pressure
- Integration issues from past acquisitions
Opportunities
- Growing demand for electric vehicle parts
- Expansion of online sales
- Increased focus on professional customer segment
- Strategic partnerships with other automotive businesses
Threats
- Economic downturn
- Rising raw material costs
- Increased competition from online retailers
- Changing consumer preferences for vehicle ownership
Competitors and Market Share
 Key Competitors
 Key Competitors 
- AZO
- ORLY
- GPC
Competitive Landscape
Advance Auto Parts faces intense competition from AutoZone and O'Reilly Automotive, as well as smaller regional players and online retailers. Its advantages include a strong brand and established distribution network, while its disadvantages include recent financial underperformance and integration challenges.
Major Acquisitions
General Parts International (Carquest)
- Year: 2014
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2040
- Strategic Rationale: Expanded market presence in North America and strengthened its position in the professional automotive parts market.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historically, Advance Auto Parts has grown through acquisitions and new store openings. However, recent growth has been slower due to industry headwinds and internal challenges.
Future Projections: Analyst estimates project moderate revenue growth driven by e-commerce expansion and increased focus on the professional segment.
Recent Initiatives: Recent strategic initiatives include investments in e-commerce, supply chain optimization, and expansion of its professional customer base.
Summary
Advance Auto Parts is a major player in the US automotive aftermarket, but it has faced challenges with financial performance and integration in recent years. Its strong brand, distribution network, and focus on both DIY and professional customers provide a solid foundation. However, it needs to address supply chain issues and improve profitability to compete effectively. The competitive landscape remains intense, requiring continuous innovation and strategic adaptation.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- SEC Filings (10-K, 10-Q)
- Company Investor Relations
- Market Research Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and should not be considered financial advice. Market conditions and company performance can change rapidly, so consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
 AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
 AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate. 
 Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
 Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current. 
 Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
 Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data. 
 AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
 AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action. 
About Advance Auto Parts Inc
|  Exchange  NYSE  |  Headquaters  Raleigh, NC, United States  | ||
|  IPO Launch date  2001-11-29  |  President, CEO & Director  Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly  | ||
|  Sector  Consumer Cyclical  |  Industry  Auto Parts  |  Full time employees  33200  | |
|  Full time employees  33200  | |||
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. engages in the provision of automotive aftermarket parts in the United States and internationally. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wire; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oil; oil filters; part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluid. Further, it provides battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. The company serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. It operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and the Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.

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