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Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)

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Upturn Advisory Summary
12/23/2025: AAP (3-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $53.55
1 Year Target Price $53.55
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 25 | Hold |
| 2 | Sell |
| 0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 18.82% | Avg. Invested days 39 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance | Stock Returns Performance |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.45B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 53.55 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 53.55 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 28 | Beta 1.16 | 52 Weeks Range 28.40 - 69.65 | Updated Date 12/23/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 28.40 - 69.65 | Updated Date 12/23/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.48% | Basic EPS (TTM) -10.22 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -4.37% | Operating Margin (TTM) 2.9% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 0.01% | Return on Equity (TTM) -23.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 15.97 | Enterprise Value 4532906483 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 |
Enterprise Value 4532906483 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.28 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.53 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.2 | Shares Outstanding 60022245 | Shares Floating 59539066 |
Shares Outstanding 60022245 | Shares Floating 59539066 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.9 | Percent Institutions 121.8 |
Upturn AI SWOT
Advance Auto Parts Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
Advance Auto Parts Inc. was founded in 1932 by Arthur Taubman. It has grown through both organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. A significant milestone was its IPO in 1998. The company has evolved from a regional automotive parts distributor to a national retailer, expanding its store footprint and e-commerce capabilities.
Core Business Areas
- Professional Automotive Repair: Supplying automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items to professional installers, including independent repair shops, car dealerships, and fleet operators. This segment focuses on speed, availability, and technical expertise.
- DIY Automotive Maintenance: Selling automotive replacement parts, accessories, and maintenance items directly to do-it-yourself (DIY) customers for their personal vehicles. This segment emphasizes convenience, product selection, and customer education.
- Commercial Business: Targeting commercial customers, including large fleets and businesses, with tailored inventory management, delivery services, and specialized product offerings to support their operations.
Leadership and Structure
Advance Auto Parts is led by a Chief Executive Officer and a Board of Directors. The company operates through various divisions and departments including merchandising, operations, marketing, finance, and human resources. Specific names of current leadership are subject to change and are best sourced from the company's investor relations website.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Brakes and Drivetrain Components: High-demand parts for vehicle braking systems (pads, rotors, calipers) and drivetrain components (axles, CV joints). Competitors include AutoZone (AZO), O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY), and various online retailers like RockAuto.
- Engine Performance Parts: Spark plugs, filters, ignition coils, and fuel system components. Competitors are the same as for brakes and drivetrain.
- Batteries: A critical replacement item for all vehicles. Major competitors include DieHard (under license), ACDelco, and Optima Batteries, alongside the same retail competitors.
- Maintenance Fluids and Chemicals: Motor oil, antifreeze, windshield washer fluid, and cleaning products. This is a highly competitive category with numerous national and private label brands.
- Accessories and Tools: Floor mats, car covers, cleaning supplies, and a range of diagnostic and repair tools for DIYers. This segment also faces competition from general retailers and specialized tool suppliers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive aftermarket industry is mature and cyclical, influenced by vehicle age, driving miles, and economic conditions. There's a growing trend towards online sales and a focus on vehicle maintenance to extend the life of older vehicles. The professional segment is driven by the need for qualified technicians and reliable parts, while the DIY segment caters to cost-conscious consumers and hobbyists.
Positioning
Advance Auto Parts Inc. positions itself as a comprehensive provider of automotive aftermarket parts and services, serving both professional installers and DIY customers. Its competitive advantages include a vast store network, a strong e-commerce platform, a loyalty program (Speed Perks), and a focus on product availability and customer service. The company is also investing in digital transformation to enhance the customer experience.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US automotive aftermarket industry is estimated to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, with projections for continued growth. Advance Auto Parts Inc. captures a significant portion of this TAM through its extensive retail footprint and commercial sales efforts, but faces strong competition from other large players and the growing online channel.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Extensive store network across the US.
- Strong brand recognition and customer loyalty programs.
- Diversified customer base (DIY and Professional).
- Growing e-commerce presence.
- Comprehensive product offering.
Weaknesses
- Dependence on economic conditions affecting consumer spending.
- Intense competition from both brick-and-mortar and online retailers.
- Challenges in supply chain management and inventory optimization.
- Recent performance has been under pressure, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.
Opportunities
- Expansion of e-commerce and omnichannel capabilities.
- Growth in the professional installer segment through enhanced services and partnerships.
- Leveraging data analytics for personalized customer offers and inventory management.
- Potential for strategic acquisitions to expand market reach or product lines.
- Increasing demand for electric vehicle (EV) parts and services.
Threats
- Economic downturns impacting consumer discretionary spending.
- Increasing competition from online retailers offering lower prices.
- Technological disruption, such as advancements in vehicle repair and maintenance.
- Rising labor costs and supply chain disruptions.
- Shift towards vehicle electrification reducing demand for traditional internal combustion engine parts over the long term.
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- AutoZone Inc. (AZO)
- O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY)
- Genuine Parts Company (GPC) - primarily its NAPA Auto Parts division
Competitive Landscape
Advance Auto Parts faces formidable competition from AutoZone and O'Reilly Automotive, which have strong operational execution and market presence. GPC, through NAPA, is a significant player, particularly in the professional segment. Key advantages for competitors often lie in their operational efficiency, store density, and ability to leverage technology. Advance Auto Parts' challenge is to differentiate itself through superior customer service, product availability, and a seamless omnichannel experience.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Advance Auto Parts has historically pursued growth through store expansion and acquisitions. Recent years have seen a focus on optimizing store performance and investing in digital capabilities, with mixed results on top-line growth and profitability.
Future Projections: Analyst projections for Advance Auto Parts typically focus on continued efforts to improve operational efficiency, expand the commercial business, and enhance digital channels. Growth is expected to be moderate, with a focus on profitability.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives have included investments in supply chain optimization, digital transformation, a focus on the professional segment, and potential store network adjustments to improve profitability and customer experience.
Summary
Advance Auto Parts Inc. operates in a competitive automotive aftermarket industry. While possessing a strong store network and brand, it faces challenges from intense competition and evolving consumer preferences. The company is focused on digital transformation and optimizing its operations. Its future success hinges on effectively executing its strategic initiatives to drive profitable growth and enhance shareholder value.
Similar Stocks
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company Investor Relations Websites
- Financial Data Providers (e.g., Refinitiv, Bloomberg - for illustrative data)
- Industry Analysis Reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and may not be exhaustive. Financial data is illustrative and subject to change. Investing in the stock market involves risks. This information is not financial advice.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Advance Auto Parts Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Raleigh, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-11-29 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 33200 | |
Full time employees 33200 | |||
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. engages in the provision of automotive aftermarket parts in the United States and internationally. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wire; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oil; oil filters; part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluid. Further, it provides battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. The company serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. It operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and the Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.

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