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Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)

Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
$46.5
Last Close (24-hour delay)
Profit since last BUY-3.65%
upturn advisory
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY since 4 days
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)​
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)​
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • Pass (Skip investing)
Upturn Stock infoUpturn Stock info Stock price based on last close
*as per simulation
(see disclosures)
Time period over
  • ALL
  • YEAR
  • MONTH
  • WEEK

Upturn Advisory Summary

06/27/2025: AAP (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

Upturn Star Rating

ratingratingratingratingrating

Not Recommended Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.

Number of Analysts

rating

28 Analysts rated it

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.

Year Target Price $46.8

Year Target Price $46.8

Analyst’s Price TargetsFor last 52 week
$46.8Target price
Low$28.67
Current$46.5
high$63.64

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -3.65%
Avg. Invested days 32
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Star Rating Upturn stock ratingUpturn stock rating
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Profits based on simulation
Upturn Profits based on simulationUpturn Profits based on simulation Last Close 06/27/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 2.79B USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 47.25
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 47.25
Volume (30-day avg) -
Beta 1.09
52 Weeks Range 28.67 - 63.64
Updated Date 06/29/2025
52 Weeks Range 28.67 - 63.64
Updated Date 06/29/2025
Dividends yield (FY) 2.15%
Basic EPS (TTM) -9.73

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin -3.95%
Operating Margin (TTM) -0.5%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) -0.21%
Return on Equity (TTM) -24.36%

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 32.68
Enterprise Value 4785542120
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31
Enterprise Value 4785542120
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.54
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.2
Shares Outstanding 59925600
Shares Floating 59443835
Shares Outstanding 59925600
Shares Floating 59443835
Percent Insiders 0.99
Percent Institutions 126

Analyst Ratings

Rating 3
Target Price 46.8
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Buy -
Strong Buy 1
Hold 25
Sell 2
Strong Sell -
Strong Sell -

ai summary icon Upturn AI SWOT

Advance Auto Parts Inc

stock logo

Company Overview

overview logo History and Background

Advance Auto Parts was founded in 1932 by Arthur Taubman in Roanoke, Virginia. It has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion to become a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America.

business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Retail: Sale of automotive parts, batteries, accessories, and maintenance items to DIY customers.
  • Commercial: Sale of automotive parts, maintenance items and accessories to professional installers.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

The leadership team includes Shane O'Kelly (President and CEO) and Ryan Grimsley (CFO). The organizational structure is typical of a large retail chain, with regional and store-level management under corporate oversight.

Top Products and Market Share

overview logo Key Offerings

  • Batteries: Automotive batteries, including brands like DieHard. Competitors include Interstate Batteries, Exide. Market share is not directly available, but is among the top battery retailers.
  • Brake Parts: Brake pads, rotors, calipers. Competitors include Bosch, Wagner. Market share is not directly available but they are one of the largest suppliers.
  • Engine Parts: Filters, spark plugs, belts, hoses. Competitors include Fram, NGK, Gates. Market share is not directly available but they are one of the largest suppliers.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

The automotive aftermarket is a large and relatively stable industry, driven by the increasing age of vehicles and the growing number of cars on the road. It is characterized by moderate growth, fragmentation, and cyclical trends.

Positioning

Advance Auto Parts is positioned as a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider, serving both DIY and professional installer customers. Its competitive advantages include a large store network, established brand recognition, and supply chain infrastructure.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The US automotive aftermarket is estimated to be around $300 billion annually. Advance Auto Parts captures a portion of this TAM through its retail and commercial sales channels.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Large store network
  • Established brand recognition
  • Strong supply chain infrastructure
  • Dual focus on DIY and professional customers

Weaknesses

  • Inconsistent store performance
  • Supply chain inefficiencies
  • Competitive pricing pressure
  • High debt levels

Opportunities

  • E-commerce growth
  • Expansion into new markets
  • Strategic acquisitions
  • Increased demand for electric vehicle parts

Threats

  • Economic downturns
  • Rising commodity prices
  • Increased competition from online retailers
  • Changes in vehicle technology

Competitors and Market Share

competitor logo Key Competitors

  • ORLY
  • AZO
  • GPC

Competitive Landscape

Advance Auto Parts faces stiff competition from other national chains, regional players, and online retailers. Its advantages include a large store network and established brand recognition. Disadvantages include inconsistent store performance and supply chain inefficiencies.

Major Acquisitions

Worldpac

  • Year: 2014
  • Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2000
  • Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Worldpac enhanced Advance Auto Parts' ability to serve professional installers with premium import and domestic parts.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Growth has been a mix of organic expansion and acquisitions. Factors such as store openings, same-store sales growth, and market conditions have influenced this growth.

Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by e-commerce initiatives, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions. Analyst estimates vary and would need to be updated regularly.

Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include investments in e-commerce platforms, expansion of store networks, supply chain optimization efforts, and partnerships with automotive service providers.

Summary

Advance Auto Parts is a major player in the automotive aftermarket, leveraging its established brand and extensive store network. Inconsistent store performance and competitive pricing present ongoing challenges. Focusing on e-commerce growth and supply chain efficiencies could bolster future performance, but they need to also watch out for EV advancement as this may result in loss of revenue.

Peer Comparison

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Company SEC Filings
  • Industry Reports
  • Analyst Estimates

Disclaimers:

This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Upturn AI SummarizationUpturn AI Summarization AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Advance Auto Parts Inc

Exchange NYSE
Headquaters Raleigh, NC, United States
IPO Launch date 2001-11-29
President, CEO & Director Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto Parts
Full time employees 33200
Full time employees 33200

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. engages in the provision of automotive aftermarket parts in the United States and internationally. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wire; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oil; oil filters; part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluid. Further, it provides battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. The company serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. It operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and the Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.