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Upturn AI SWOT - About
AAP 
Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP)
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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/27/2025: AAP (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
Upturn Star Rating
Not Recommended Performance
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, consistently fall short of market performance, signaling caution before investing.
Number of Analysts
28 Analysts rated it
These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, typically align with the market average, offering steady but unremarkable returns.
Year Target Price $46.8
Year Target Price $46.8
| 1 | Strong Buy |
| 0 | Buy |
| 25 | Hold |
| 0 | Under performing |
| 2 | Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -3.65% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating | Upturn Advisory Performance  3.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 06/27/2025 |
Key Highlights
Company Size Mid-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 2.79B USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 47.25 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 47.25 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) - | Beta 1.09 | 52 Weeks Range 28.67 - 63.64 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 28.67 - 63.64 | Updated Date 06/29/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 2.15% | Basic EPS (TTM) -9.73 |
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin -3.95% | Operating Margin (TTM) -0.5% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -0.21% | Return on Equity (TTM) -24.36% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 32.68 | Enterprise Value 4785542120 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31 |
Enterprise Value 4785542120 | Price to Sales(TTM) 0.31 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 0.54 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 16.2 | Shares Outstanding 59925600 | Shares Floating 59443835 |
Shares Outstanding 59925600 | Shares Floating 59443835 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.99 | Percent Institutions 126 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 3 | Target Price 46.8 | Buy - | Strong Buy 1 |
Buy - | Strong Buy 1 | ||
Hold 25 | Sell 2 | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Advance Auto Parts Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Advance Auto Parts was founded in 1932 by Arthur Taubman in Roanoke, Virginia. It has grown through acquisitions and organic expansion to become a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider in North America.
Core Business Areas
- Retail: Sale of automotive parts, batteries, accessories, and maintenance items to DIY customers.
- Commercial: Sale of automotive parts, maintenance items and accessories to professional installers.
Leadership and Structure
The leadership team includes Shane O'Kelly (President and CEO) and Ryan Grimsley (CFO). The organizational structure is typical of a large retail chain, with regional and store-level management under corporate oversight.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Batteries: Automotive batteries, including brands like DieHard. Competitors include Interstate Batteries, Exide. Market share is not directly available, but is among the top battery retailers.
- Brake Parts: Brake pads, rotors, calipers. Competitors include Bosch, Wagner. Market share is not directly available but they are one of the largest suppliers.
- Engine Parts: Filters, spark plugs, belts, hoses. Competitors include Fram, NGK, Gates. Market share is not directly available but they are one of the largest suppliers.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The automotive aftermarket is a large and relatively stable industry, driven by the increasing age of vehicles and the growing number of cars on the road. It is characterized by moderate growth, fragmentation, and cyclical trends.
Positioning
Advance Auto Parts is positioned as a leading automotive aftermarket parts provider, serving both DIY and professional installer customers. Its competitive advantages include a large store network, established brand recognition, and supply chain infrastructure.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The US automotive aftermarket is estimated to be around $300 billion annually. Advance Auto Parts captures a portion of this TAM through its retail and commercial sales channels.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Large store network
- Established brand recognition
- Strong supply chain infrastructure
- Dual focus on DIY and professional customers
Weaknesses
- Inconsistent store performance
- Supply chain inefficiencies
- Competitive pricing pressure
- High debt levels
Opportunities
- E-commerce growth
- Expansion into new markets
- Strategic acquisitions
- Increased demand for electric vehicle parts
Threats
- Economic downturns
- Rising commodity prices
- Increased competition from online retailers
- Changes in vehicle technology
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- ORLY
- AZO
- GPC
Competitive Landscape
Advance Auto Parts faces stiff competition from other national chains, regional players, and online retailers. Its advantages include a large store network and established brand recognition. Disadvantages include inconsistent store performance and supply chain inefficiencies.
Major Acquisitions
Worldpac
- Year: 2014
- Acquisition Price (USD millions): 2000
- Strategic Rationale: Acquisition of Worldpac enhanced Advance Auto Parts' ability to serve professional installers with premium import and domestic parts.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Growth has been a mix of organic expansion and acquisitions. Factors such as store openings, same-store sales growth, and market conditions have influenced this growth.
Future Projections: Future growth is expected to be driven by e-commerce initiatives, expansion into new markets, and strategic acquisitions. Analyst estimates vary and would need to be updated regularly.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives may include investments in e-commerce platforms, expansion of store networks, supply chain optimization efforts, and partnerships with automotive service providers.
Summary
Advance Auto Parts is a major player in the automotive aftermarket, leveraging its established brand and extensive store network. Inconsistent store performance and competitive pricing present ongoing challenges. Focusing on e-commerce growth and supply chain efficiencies could bolster future performance, but they need to also watch out for EV advancement as this may result in loss of revenue.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company SEC Filings
- Industry Reports
- Analyst Estimates
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Market data and analyst estimates are subject to change.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Advance Auto Parts Inc
Exchange NYSE | Headquaters Raleigh, NC, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2001-11-29 | President, CEO & Director Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly | ||
Sector Consumer Cyclical | Industry Auto Parts | Full time employees 33200 | |
Full time employees 33200 | |||
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. engages in the provision of automotive aftermarket parts in the United States and internationally. The company offers batteries and battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis parts; climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wire; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts. It also provides air conditioning chemicals and accessories; air fresheners; antifreeze and washer fluid; electrical wire and fuses; electronics; floor mats, seat covers and interior accessories; hand and specialty tools; lighting; performance parts; sealants, adhesives and compounds; tire repair accessories; vent shades, mirrors and exterior accessories; washes, waxes and cleaning supplies; and wiper blades. In addition, the company offers air filters; fuel and oil additives; fuel filters; grease and lubricants; motor oil; oil filters; part cleaners and treatments; and transmission fluid. Further, it provides battery and wiper installation; engine light scanning and checking; electrical system testing, including batteries, starters, and alternators; oil and battery recycling; and loaner tool program services. The company serves professional installers and do-it-yourself customers. It operates stores under the Advance Auto Parts and Carquest names. The company has stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Canada; and independently owned Carquest branded stores in Mexico and the Caribbean Islands. Advance Auto Parts, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is based in Raleigh, North Carolina.
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