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Duolingo Inc (DUOL)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
06/30/2025: DUOL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
1 Year Target Price $502.68
1 Year Target Price $502.68
6 | Strong Buy |
8 | Buy |
9 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
0 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 16.11% | Avg. Invested days 37 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Large-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 18.69B USD | Price to earnings Ratio 203.59 | 1Y Target Price 502.68 |
Price to earnings Ratio 203.59 | 1Y Target Price 502.68 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 23 | Beta 1 | 52 Weeks Range 145.05 - 544.93 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 145.05 - 544.93 | Updated Date 06/30/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 2.02 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin 11.93% | Operating Margin (TTM) 10.27% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) 3.59% | Return on Equity (TTM) 12.06% |
Valuation
Trailing PE 203.59 | Forward PE 144.93 | Enterprise Value 17748765798 | Price to Sales(TTM) 23.04 |
Enterprise Value 17748765798 | Price to Sales(TTM) 23.04 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 21.88 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 216.13 | Shares Outstanding 39260600 | Shares Floating 38917925 |
Shares Outstanding 39260600 | Shares Floating 38917925 | ||
Percent Insiders 0.86 | Percent Institutions 97.2 |
Analyst Ratings
Rating 5 | Target Price 502.68 | Buy 8 | Strong Buy 6 |
Buy 8 | Strong Buy 6 | ||
Hold 9 | Sell - | Strong Sell - | |
Strong Sell - |
Upturn AI SWOT
Duolingo Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
Duolingo was founded in 2011 by Luis von Ahn and Severin Hacker and launched to the public in 2012. Initially, the company focused on language learning and gradually expanded its offerings to include other subjects. It has become a leading platform in language education through mobile-first approach and gamified lessons.
Core Business Areas
- Language Learning: Offers language courses in numerous languages, using a gamified approach to make learning engaging and effective.
- Duolingo English Test: Provides an affordable and convenient English proficiency test widely accepted by educational institutions and employers.
- Duolingo ABC: Provides free literacy education for children
- Other Subjects: Offers courses in math and music, expanding beyond its core language learning focus.
Leadership and Structure
Luis von Ahn is the co-founder and CEO. The company has a functional organizational structure, with departments for engineering, product development, marketing, and education.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- Language Learning App: The core product, offering courses in over 40 languages. Duolingo boasts millions of active users. Major competitors include Babbel, Rosetta Stone, and Memrise. It has about 74 million active users as of May 2024.
- Duolingo English Test: A digital English proficiency test accepted by thousands of institutions worldwide. Competitors include TOEFL and IELTS. Grew 33% y-o-y in Q1 2024.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The online language learning industry is experiencing rapid growth, driven by globalization, increased internet access, and the demand for multilingual skills. The industry is competitive, with numerous players offering diverse learning solutions.
Positioning
Duolingo is positioned as a freemium language learning platform that is accessible, engaging, and effective. Its gamified approach and focus on accessibility differentiate it from competitors.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The global language learning market is expected to reach hundreds of billions of dollars. Duolingo is positioned well to capture a significant share of this TAM, particularly in the mobile learning segment.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Strong brand recognition
- Large user base
- Gamified learning experience
- Mobile-first approach
- Freemium business model
Weaknesses
- Reliance on freemium model
- Inconsistent course quality across languages
- Limited advanced learning content
- Monetization Challenges
Opportunities
- Expanding into new subjects
- Partnerships with educational institutions
- International expansion
- Integration with AI and personalized learning
- Further development of the English Test
Threats
- Competition from established players
- Changes in user preferences
- Economic downturns affecting user spending
- Technological disruptions in learning methods
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- BABEL
- ROST
- MEMR
Competitive Landscape
Duolingo's key advantage is its freemium model and gamified approach, making it accessible to a broad audience. However, competitors like Babbel and Rosetta Stone offer more comprehensive and structured learning experiences.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Duolingo has experienced rapid growth in user base and revenue since its launch, driven by the increasing demand for online language learning and the company's effective marketing strategies.
Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Duolingo, driven by increasing subscriptions, the expansion of the Duolingo English Test, and further development of its course offerings.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include the expansion of Duolingo ABC, the introduction of new language courses, and the integration of AI-powered learning tools.
Summary
Duolingo is a strong player in the language learning market with a large user base and solid growth. Its gamified approach and freemium model are working well, but it needs to focus on consistent course quality and monetization. Competition remains intense and technological disruption is a constant threat.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Duolingo Investor Relations
- Analyst Reports
- Third-party market research reports
Disclaimers:
This analysis is based on publicly available information and analyst estimates. The information provided is not financial advice. Investment decisions should be made after conducting thorough due diligence.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About Duolingo Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2021-07-28 | Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Dr. Luis Alfonso von Ahn Arellano Ph.D. | ||
Sector Technology | Industry Software - Application | Full time employees 830 | Website https://www.duolingo.com |
Full time employees 830 | Website https://www.duolingo.com |
Duolingo, Inc. operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers courses in 40 different languages, including Spanish, English, French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Japanese, and Chinese through its Duolingo app. It also provides a digital English language proficiency assessment exam. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
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