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DUOL 2-star rating from Upturn Advisory
Duolingo Inc (DUOL) company logo

Duolingo Inc (DUOL)

Duolingo Inc (DUOL) 2-star rating from Upturn Advisory
$209.08
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Upturn Advisory Summary

12/09/2025: DUOL (2-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

Upturn Star Rating

Upturn 2 star rating for performance

Below Average Performance

These Stocks/ETFs, based on Upturn Advisory, often underperform the market, warranting careful consideration before investing.

Number of Analysts

4 star rating from financial analysts

23 Analysts rated it

Well-followed company, solid analyst reports, reliable data for confident investing.

1 Year Target Price $270.11

1 Year Target Price $270.11

Analysts Price Target For last 52 week
$270.11 Target price
52w Low $166.27
Current$209.08
52w High $544.93

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -7.15%
Avg. Invested days 34
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Star Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 12/09/2025

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 9.61B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 26.22
1Y Target Price 270.11
Price to earnings Ratio 26.22
1Y Target Price 270.11
Volume (30-day avg) 23
Beta 0.85
52 Weeks Range 166.27 - 544.93
Updated Date 12/9/2025
52 Weeks Range 166.27 - 544.93
Updated Date 12/9/2025
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 7.93

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Revenue by Geography

Geography revenue - Year on Year

Earnings Date

Report Date -
When -
Estimate -
Actual -

Profitability

Profit Margin 40.03%
Operating Margin (TTM) 14.59%

Management Effectiveness

Return on Assets (TTM) 4.49%
Return on Equity (TTM) 36.25%

Valuation

Trailing PE 26.22
Forward PE 69.44
Enterprise Value 8205717560
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.97
Enterprise Value 8205717560
Price to Sales(TTM) 9.97
Enterprise Value to Revenue 8.51
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 68.24
Shares Outstanding 40013533
Shares Floating 39569231
Shares Outstanding 40013533
Shares Floating 39569231
Percent Insiders 0.8
Percent Institutions 105.43

Icon representing Upturn AI-generated SWOT analysis summary Upturn AI SWOT

Duolingo Inc

Duolingo Inc(DUOL) company logo displayed in Upturn AI summary

Company Overview

Company history and background logo History and Background

Duolingo Inc. was founded in 2011 by Luis von Ahn and Severin Hacker. The company launched its flagship language-learning app in beta in June 2012. Its mission is to make education free, fun, and accessible to everyone. Duolingo has grown significantly, expanding its course offerings, introducing new features like Duolingo Max, and achieving a substantial user base. It went public on the Nasdaq stock exchange under the ticker symbol DUOL on July 21, 2021.

Company business area logo Core Business Areas

  • Segment Name 1: Freemium Language Learning App: The core of Duolingo's business is its free, ad-supported mobile app and website that offers courses in dozens of languages. This segment focuses on user acquisition and engagement through gamified learning experiences.
  • Segment Name 2: Duolingo Super (formerly Plus): A subscription service offering an ad-free experience, unlimited hearts, and progress quizzes. This is Duolingo's primary revenue driver from individual users.
  • Segment Name 3: Duolingo for Schools: A free platform designed for educators to track student progress and assign lessons. It aims to integrate language learning into educational curricula.
  • Segment Name 4: Duolingo Max: A premium subscription tier leveraging AI (specifically OpenAI's GPT-4) to offer personalized feedback, role-playing scenarios, and explanations of mistakes, providing a more advanced learning experience.
  • Segment Name 5: Advertising: Revenue generated from displaying ads to free users on the platform.

leadership logo Leadership and Structure

Duolingo Inc. is led by its co-founder and CEO, Luis von Ahn. Other key executives include Matt McFadden (Chief Financial Officer) and Anjali Sud (Chief Product Officer). The company operates on a functional organizational structure, with departments dedicated to product development, engineering, marketing, and international expansion.

Top Products and Market Share

Product Key Offerings logo Key Offerings

  • Product Name 1: Duolingo Language Learning App (Free Tier): Offers a gamified approach to learning languages with a wide variety of courses. It boasts hundreds of millions of registered users, making it the most downloaded educational app globally. Its main competitors include Babbel, Memrise, Rosetta Stone, and Busuu. Market share in terms of active users is significant, but precise percentages are difficult to ascertain due to the 'free' nature and broad user base.
  • Product Name 2: Duolingo Super: The premium subscription service that removes ads and offers enhanced features. While specific revenue figures are tied to the overall subscription revenue, it's a critical component for monetizing the user base. Competitors are those offering similar premium language learning experiences.
  • Product Name 3: Duolingo Max: The AI-powered subscription tier that provides advanced features like 'Explain My Answer' and 'Roleplay'. This represents Duolingo's push into cutting-edge AI-driven education. Competitors here include other AI-enhanced learning platforms.

Market Dynamics

industry overview logo Industry Overview

Duolingo operates in the rapidly growing online education (ed-tech) and digital language learning market. This sector is characterized by increasing demand for flexible, accessible, and personalized learning solutions, driven by globalization, career development needs, and personal enrichment. The market is competitive, with a mix of established players and new entrants leveraging technology, particularly AI.

Positioning

Duolingo's primary competitive advantage lies in its massive freemium model, which allows for vast user acquisition and network effects. Its gamified approach makes learning engaging, and its brand recognition is exceptionally high. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the AI revolution in education with Duolingo Max. Its main challenge is converting its large free user base into paying subscribers and effectively monetizing its user growth.

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

The global language learning market is substantial and growing, with estimates for the digital segment alone reaching tens of billions of dollars annually. Duolingo is a dominant player in the consumer-facing digital language learning space. The company's strategy of offering a free tier democratizes access, allowing it to capture a significant portion of users who might not otherwise engage with paid services, thereby expanding the overall TAM it can reach.

Upturn SWOT Analysis

Strengths

  • Massive user base and brand recognition through its freemium model.
  • Highly engaging and gamified learning experience.
  • Strong technological foundation, particularly in AI integration (Duolingo Max).
  • Diverse language offerings.
  • Scalable business model.

Weaknesses

  • Lower conversion rates from free to paid users.
  • Reliance on advertising revenue from free users.
  • Perception of basic proficiency for advanced learners.
  • Competition from specialized and high-end language learning platforms.

Opportunities

  • Expansion of Duolingo Max features and AI capabilities.
  • Growth in emerging markets with increasing internet penetration.
  • Partnerships with educational institutions and corporations.
  • Development of new learning verticals beyond languages.
  • Further monetization strategies for the free user base.

Threats

  • Intensifying competition from established and new ed-tech companies.
  • Changes in user preferences and learning trends.
  • Potential for AI advancements by competitors to surpass Duolingo.
  • Economic downturns impacting discretionary spending on subscriptions.
  • Data privacy regulations and cybersecurity risks.

Competitors and Market Share

Key competitor logo Key Competitors

  • Babbel (NA)
  • Rosetta Stone (NA)
  • Busuu (NA)
  • Memrise (NA)

Competitive Landscape

Duolingo holds a strong position due to its massive free user base and brand recognition, making it a leader in user acquisition. However, competitors like Babbel and Rosetta Stone often cater to users seeking more structured, in-depth, or academic learning experiences, and may have higher conversion rates for paid services. Duolingo's advantage is its accessibility and engagement, while its disadvantage can be the perceived depth of learning compared to some premium-only competitors. The introduction of Duolingo Max aims to bridge this gap.

Growth Trajectory and Initiatives

Historical Growth: Duolingo has demonstrated impressive historical growth in both its user base and revenue since its inception and through its IPO. The company has consistently expanded its course offerings and geographical reach.

Future Projections: Analysts project continued revenue growth for Duolingo, driven by the expansion of its Super and Max subscription tiers, increased advertising revenue, and ongoing user acquisition. Growth is expected to be fueled by further AI integration and potential new product lines.

Recent Initiatives: Launch and expansion of Duolingo Max, leveraging AI for advanced learning features.,Continued international market penetration and localization of content.,Investments in product innovation and user engagement features.,Strategic partnerships to broaden educational reach.

Summary

Duolingo Inc. is a leading ed-tech company with a dominant freemium model, driving massive user acquisition and brand recognition. Its recent push into AI with Duolingo Max positions it well for future growth. However, the company needs to focus on improving its conversion rates from free to paid users and managing its ongoing net losses. Continued innovation and strategic expansion into new markets and offerings are crucial for sustained success.

Similar Stocks

Sources and Disclaimers

Data Sources:

  • Duolingo Inc. Investor Relations Filings (SEC)
  • Financial News Outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal)
  • Market Research Reports (General Ed-Tech Market)
  • Company Website and Press Releases

Disclaimers:

This analysis is based on publicly available information and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Market share percentages are estimates and may vary. Financial data is subject to change and revision by the company. Competitor market share data is illustrative and not precise.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization accuracy disclaimer AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.

Information icon for Upturn AI Summarization data freshness disclaimer Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.

Information icon warning about Upturn AI Fundamental Rating based on potentially old data Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.

Information icon warning about potential inaccuracies or hallucinations in Upturn AI-generated summaries AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.

About Duolingo Inc

Exchange NASDAQ
Headquaters Pittsburgh, PA, United States
IPO Launch date 2021-07-28
Co-Founder, Chairman of the Board, President & CEO Dr. Luis Alfonso von Ahn Arellano Ph.D.
Sector Technology
Industry Software - Application
Full time employees 830
Full time employees 830

Duolingo, Inc. operates as a mobile learning platform in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers courses in 40 different languages, including Spanish, English, French, German, Italian, Portuguese, Japanese, and Chinese through its Duolingo app. It also provides a digital English language proficiency assessment exam. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.