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4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc (FDMT)


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Upturn Advisory Summary
10/15/2025: FDMT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $32.67
1 Year Target Price $32.67
5 | Strong Buy |
4 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 79.93% | Avg. Invested days 32 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 471.23M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 32.67 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 32.67 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 2.92 | 52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 10.73 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 10.73 | Updated Date 10/17/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.53 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date - | When - | Estimate - | Actual - |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -396373.34% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -25.18% | Return on Equity (TTM) -38.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 134762388 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14279.63 |
Enterprise Value 134762388 | Price to Sales(TTM) 14279.63 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 4083.71 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.55 | Shares Outstanding 46702467 | Shares Floating 35658268 |
Shares Outstanding 46702467 | Shares Floating 35658268 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.95 | Percent Institutions 86.94 |
Upturn AI SWOT
4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc

Company Overview
History and Background
4D Molecular Therapeutics (4DMT) was founded in 2013. It focuses on developing gene therapies using its proprietary Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform. The company aims to treat diseases with significant unmet medical needs.
Core Business Areas
- Precision-Guided AAV Gene Therapy: Focuses on discovering and developing targeted and evolved adeno-associated virus (AAV) vectors for gene therapy products. Their platform optimizes AAV vectors to target specific organs or tissues within the body, increasing therapeutic efficacy and reducing off-target effects.
Leadership and Structure
David Kirn, M.D., is the CEO and co-founder. The company has a scientific advisory board and a management team with expertise in gene therapy, vector biology, and clinical development.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- 4D-150 (Wet AMD): An investigational gene therapy product candidate being developed for the treatment of wet age-related macular degeneration (wet AMD). Competitors include Regeneron (EYLEA), Roche/Novartis (Lucentis, Vabysmo), and biosimilars.
- 4D-110 (Choroideremia): An investigational gene therapy product candidate being developed for the treatment of choroideremia, an inherited retinal disease. No direct competitors as of now, but other gene therapy companies working on retinal diseases are potential indirect competitors.
- 4D-710 (Cystic Fibrosis Lung Disease): An investigational gene therapy product candidate being developed for the treatment of cystic fibrosis lung disease. Competitors include Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Trikafta) and other emerging gene therapy companies.
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The gene therapy market is rapidly growing, driven by advancements in vector technology and increasing regulatory approvals. It faces challenges related to manufacturing, delivery, and cost.
Positioning
4DMT is positioned as an innovator in AAV gene therapy through its Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform. It seeks to differentiate itself by optimizing vectors for tissue-specific targeting and efficient gene delivery.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The TAM for gene therapies is estimated to be in the tens of billions of dollars, depending on disease area and market penetration. 4DMT is positioned to capture a portion of this market with its targeted AAV vectors.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform
- Strong scientific team
- Targeted AAV vector technology
- Diverse pipeline of gene therapy candidates
Weaknesses
- Clinical trial execution risk
- Manufacturing scalability challenges
- High research and development costs
- Limited revenue generation to date
Opportunities
- Expanding gene therapy applications
- Strategic partnerships with pharmaceutical companies
- Positive clinical trial results
- Regulatory approvals for key pipeline products
Threats
- Competition from other gene therapy companies
- Adverse clinical trial outcomes
- Regulatory hurdles
- Reimbursement challenges
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- VIR
- CRSP
- EDIT
- BEAM
- AVRO
Competitive Landscape
4DMT competes with other gene therapy companies, as well as companies developing traditional therapies for similar diseases. Its AAV vector technology offers a potential competitive advantage.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is characterized by R&D spending and clinical trial advancements rather than revenue generation.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on clinical trial success, regulatory approvals, and market adoption of its gene therapies. Analyst estimates would be needed for detailed projections.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include advancing clinical trials for 4D-150, 4D-110, and 4D-710, and expanding its pipeline through preclinical development.
Summary
4D Molecular Therapeutics is a promising gene therapy company with a unique AAV vector platform. Its success hinges on positive clinical trial results and overcoming manufacturing challenges. The company's strong scientific foundation and pipeline offer significant potential, but it faces competition and regulatory risks.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- Company website
- SEC filings
- Analyst reports (hypothetical)
- Industry publications
Disclaimers:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investment decisions should be made based on individual circumstances and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share percentages are estimated and may not reflect precise values.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters EmeryVille, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-12-11 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Dr. David H. Kirn M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 227 | |
Full time employees 227 |
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc., a late-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development of adeno-associated virus vectors from its proprietary synthetic vector discovery platform, Therapeutic Vector Evolution in the Netherlands and the United States. Its lead product candidate is 4D-150 for the treatment of retinal vascular diseases by providing multi-year sustained production of anti-VEGF from the retina with intravitreal injection, as well as for treating wet age-related macular degeneration and diabetic macular edema. The company is also developing 4D-710, which is in early-stage study for the treatment of cystic fibrosis; 4D-175 that is in in preclinical stage for treating geographic atrophy; 4D-725, which is in preclinical stage for the treatment of alpha-1 anti-trypsin deficiency lung disease; and 4D-310 that is in Phase 1 clinical trial for treating Fabry disease. 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. has collaboration and licensing agreements with Astellas Gene Therapies, Inc.; Arbor Biotechnologies, Inc.; and uniQure biopharma B.V. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

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