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4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc (FDMT)



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Upturn Advisory Summary
08/14/2025: FDMT (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
1 Year Target Price $30.4
1 Year Target Price $30.4
5 | Strong Buy |
4 | Buy |
2 | Hold |
0 | Sell |
1 | Strong Sell |
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 28.26% | Avg. Invested days 25 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Star Rating ![]() ![]() | Upturn Advisory Performance ![]() | Stock Returns Performance ![]() |
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Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 331.59M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 30.4 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 30.4 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 12 | Beta 2.82 | 52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 17.41 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 |
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 17.41 | Updated Date 08/15/2025 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) -3.53 |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Earnings Date
Report Date 2025-08-07 | When - | Estimate -0.7269 | Actual -0.98 |
Profitability
Profit Margin - | Operating Margin (TTM) -396373.34% |
Management Effectiveness
Return on Assets (TTM) -25.18% | Return on Equity (TTM) -38.87% |
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE - | Enterprise Value 61439515 | Price to Sales(TTM) 10048.11 |
Enterprise Value 61439515 | Price to Sales(TTM) 10048.11 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1861.8 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA -3.55 | Shares Outstanding 46702500 | Shares Floating 35683487 |
Shares Outstanding 46702500 | Shares Floating 35683487 | ||
Percent Insiders 3.85 | Percent Institutions 93.2 |
Upturn AI SWOT
4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
Company Overview
History and Background
4D Molecular Therapeutics (4DMT) was founded in 2013. It is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering and developing gene therapies utilizing its proprietary Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform. The company's goal is to create targeted and evolved vectors for efficient gene delivery.
Core Business Areas
- Therapeutic Vector Evolution Platform: This is 4DMT's core technology. It involves engineering viral vectors to target specific tissues and deliver therapeutic genes.
- Clinical Development Programs: 4DMT is developing gene therapies for various diseases, including retinal, cardiac, and pulmonary diseases.
Leadership and Structure
David Kirn, M.D., is the Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer. The company has a typical biotechnology structure with departments focused on research, development, clinical operations, and business development. Curtis Lockshin is the Chief Financial Officer, and Robert Fishman is the Chief Medical Officer.
Top Products and Market Share
Key Offerings
- 4D-150 (Wet AMD): A gene therapy product candidate for wet age-related macular degeneration (wet AMD). It aims to inhibit angiogenesis. Competitors include Regeneron (Eylea) and Roche/Novartis (Lucentis, Beovu, Vabysmo). Revenue is currently $0 because it's in Clinical Trials. Market Share is therefore currently $0.
- Competitors: Regeneron (Eylea), Roche/Novartis (Lucentis, Beovu, Vabysmo)
- 4D-310 (Fabry Disease): A gene therapy product candidate for Fabry disease, a rare genetic disorder. Competitors include Sanofi (Fabrazyme) and Takeda (Replagal). Revenue is currently $0 because it's in Clinical Trials. Market Share is therefore currently $0.
- Competitors: Sanofi (Fabrazyme), Takeda (Replagal)
Market Dynamics
Industry Overview
The gene therapy market is a rapidly growing segment of the pharmaceutical industry. It is driven by advancements in vector technology and increasing regulatory approvals. Key players include Novartis, Biogen, and bluebird bio.
Positioning
4DMT is positioned as an innovator in gene therapy vector technology. Its Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform provides a competitive advantage in targeting specific tissues and enhancing gene delivery efficiency.
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
The total addressable market for gene therapy is projected to reach billions of dollars in the coming years. 4DMT is positioning itself to capture a significant share of this market through its innovative platform and pipeline of product candidates. TAM is projected to be ~$25B by 2030.
Upturn SWOT Analysis
Strengths
- Proprietary Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform
- Strong intellectual property portfolio
- Experienced leadership team
- Pipeline of product candidates targeting high unmet medical needs
- Strategic partnerships
Weaknesses
- Clinical-stage company with no products currently generating revenue
- High research and development costs
- Dependence on clinical trial success
- Relatively small company compared to larger pharmaceutical firms
Opportunities
- Expanding gene therapy market
- Potential for strategic collaborations and partnerships
- Positive clinical trial results
- Regulatory approvals for product candidates
- Addressing unmet needs in orphan diseases
Threats
- Clinical trial failures
- Regulatory hurdles
- Competition from established pharmaceutical companies
- Patent challenges
- Economic downturn impacting funding
Competitors and Market Share
Key Competitors
- VIR
- SNY
- BMY
- BLUE
Competitive Landscape
4DMT's advantage lies in its vector technology, which aims to improve gene delivery efficiency. However, it faces competition from larger pharmaceutical companies with more resources and established market presence. The company's competitive edge is their innovative approach to vector design.
Growth Trajectory and Initiatives
Historical Growth: Historical growth is characterized by advancements in its Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform and the progression of its pipeline through clinical trials.
Future Projections: Future growth depends on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approvals. Analyst estimates vary widely but generally project significant revenue growth in the coming years if products are approved.
Recent Initiatives: Recent initiatives include expanding its pipeline of product candidates, advancing clinical trials, and exploring strategic partnerships.
Summary
4D Molecular Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biotechnology company with promising gene therapy technology and a pipeline of product candidates. Its proprietary Therapeutic Vector Evolution platform provides a competitive advantage. However, the company faces risks associated with clinical trials, regulatory approvals, and competition from larger pharmaceutical companies. Their future success depends on positive trial outcomes, which make it a risky investment at this point. They have significant upside potential due to its differentiated technology and focus on high unmet medical needs.
Peer Comparison
Sources and Disclaimers
Data Sources:
- 4D Molecular Therapeutics Investor Relations
- SEC Filings
- Company Press Releases
- Analyst Reports
Disclaimers:
The data provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Investment decisions should be based on individual research and consultation with a qualified financial advisor. Market share data is approximate and based on publicly available information and analyst estimates.
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
About 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
Exchange NASDAQ | Headquaters EmeryVille, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2020-12-11 | Co-Founder, CEO & Director Dr. David H. Kirn M.D. | ||
Sector Healthcare | Industry Biotechnology | Full time employees 227 | |
Full time employees 227 |
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc., a late-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development of adeno-associated virus vectors from its proprietary synthetic vector discovery platform, Therapeutic Vector Evolution in the Netherlands and the United States. Its lead product candidate is 4D-150 for the treatment of retinal vascular diseases by providing multi-year sustained production of anti-VEGF from the retina with intravitreal injection, as well as for treating wet age-related macular degeneration and diabetic macular edema. The company is also developing 4D-710, which is in early-stage study for the treatment of cystic fibrosis; 4D-175 that is in in preclinical stage for treating geographic atrophy; 4D-725, which is in preclinical stage for the treatment of alpha-1 anti-trypsin deficiency lung disease; and 4D-310 that is in Phase 1 clinical trial for treating Fabry disease. 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. has collaboration and licensing agreements with Astellas Gene Therapies, Inc.; Arbor Biotechnologies, Inc.; and uniQure biopharma B.V. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

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