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Upturn AI Summary - About
FutureFuel Corp(FF)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FF
10/29/2026: FF (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.
FutureFuel Corp is a specialized chemical and biofuel manufacturer centered on its primary facility in Batesville, Arkansas. The company's strengths lie in its vertically integrated site and historical ability to manage costs, though it operates in a highly cyclical and regulatory-dependent environment. Its core investment story revolves around its dual-segment model and potential payouts from excess cash. However, risks are significant, including heavy reliance on federal biofuel mandates and intense competition from larger, multi-national chemical firms. The stock may best suit investors who understand the risks of commodity cycles and legislative volatility, and who monitor federal energy policy closely.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Weak fit | The company's growth has been inconsistent and largely tied to commodity and regulatory cycles rather than secular growth trends. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | The stock often lacks the consistent upward price momentum required for this style. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | The stock may appear attractively valued during downturns, but the cyclical nature of the business makes valuation difficult to project. |
| Dividend investor | Mixed fit | While the company has a history of paying dividends, they have often been special dividends rather than consistent, predictable payouts. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The company's exposure to regulatory risk and commodity price volatility creates a risk profile unsuitable for low-risk investors. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The business is highly sensitive to fluctuations in chemical and biofuel commodity prices. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Earnings volatility makes it difficult to assign a stable valuation multiple to the stock. |
| Competition risk (commodity and chemical industry competition) | High | The company faces intense competition from larger, better-capitalized chemical and energy firms. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the facility is capable, the reliance on external regulatory factors limits the quality of the franchise. |
| Dividend income | Medium | Dividends are inconsistent and often tied to periodic cash surplus rather than steady earnings growth. |
| Execution risk | Medium | Operational concentration at a single facility exposes the company to risks associated with site-specific disruptions. |
Price Behavior
Strong Uptrend
The stock has maintained a strong upward price trend across the last three quarters.
Choppy
The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit -44.38% | Avg. Invested days 21 | Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  1.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 10/29/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 254.41M USD | Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14 |
Price to earnings Ratio - | 1Y Target Price 14 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 393.3K shares | Beta 0.95 | 52 Weeks Range 2.98 - 6.98 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 2.98 - 6.98 | Updated Date 10/29/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) 3.26% | Basic EPS (TTM) -0.7 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Chemicals | Custom synthesis and manufacturing of specialty chemicals for industrial applications. | Revenue is earned by selling specific chemical intermediates to industrial clients on a contract basis. |
| Biofuels | Production of biodiesel for sale to fuel distributors. | Revenue depends on volume sold and market prices for biofuels, often supplemented by government incentives. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE - | Forward PE 16.34 | Enterprise Value 221.42M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.66 |
Enterprise Value 221.42M | Price to Sales(TTM) 1.66 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 1.45 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 2.69 | Shares Outstanding 43.86M | Shares Floating 26.02M |
Shares Outstanding 43.86M | Shares Floating 26.02M | ||
Percent Insiders 40.7 | Percent Institutions 39.66 |
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
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