FTAI Infrastructure Inc. logo

FTAI Infrastructure Inc.(FIP)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL
1-STAR RATING
PASS
LAST CLOSE
$2.87
10/29/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
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  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FIP

10/29/2026: FIP (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. is a U.S.-based owner and operator of critical industrial assets across the railroad, terminaling, and power sectors. The company is known for its portfolio of niche infrastructure that benefits from high barriers to entry and strong location-based moats, particularly in energy and steel corridors. Its primary growth opportunity lies in aggressive M&A and asset optimization, aimed at scaling EBITDA significantly. However, investors face risks from high leverage, ongoing net losses, and the complexities of being an externally managed firm. This stock may suit growth-oriented investors with a high risk tolerance who are looking for exposure to industrial infrastructure development.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitThe company offers growth potential through M&A and asset development but faces significant profitability challenges.
Momentum investorMixed fitMomentum is conditional on positive price trends and successful execution of current large-scale asset acquisitions.
Value investorMixed fitWhile assets may be undervalued relative to replacement costs, the lack of consistent earnings makes valuation assessment difficult.
Dividend investorMixed fitThe company pays a dividend, but it is currently not supported by consistent net income.
Low-risk investorWeak fitHigh leverage and volatility make this stock unsuitable for conservative, risk-averse portfolios.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityHighThe stock has experienced large swings due to its small-cap nature and project-based business model.
Valuation riskMediumSignificant debt and operational losses complicate standard valuation metrics like P/E.
Competition risk (Rail and Terminal)MediumThe company faces intense localized competition from much larger, better-capitalized players.
Business qualityMediumThe business relies on specific, long-lived assets that require high utilization to generate sustainable returns.
Dividend incomeMedium / highThe sustainability of the dividend depends on improving cash flows from new acquisitions.
Execution riskHighSuccessfully integrating and scaling new infrastructure projects is critical to the company's long-term financial health.

Price Behavior

Steep Decline
PRICE PATH

Steep Decline

The stock price has dropped sharply with strong downward pressure.

Choppy
PRICE STABILITY

Choppy

The stock has experienced frequent reversals and pronounced short-term price swings.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit 21.96%
Avg. Invested days 36
Today’s Advisory PASS
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 3.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 3.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 10/29/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
FIP receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid company fundamentals, and solid analyst coverage. The rating is constrained by weak unit economics, soft quantitative characteristics, and weak price momentum.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
FIP has solid overall fundamentals (4 stars), with moderate financial health, moderate growth momentum, and strong ownership. In FY2025 versus FY2024, strong earnings growth (+52.1%) and strong revenue growth (+51.6%) are partially offset by weak cash generation (FCF margin -79.5%), weak profitability (net margin -21.3%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
FIP's financial health is supported by moderate efficiency, including operating-expense and cost-of-revenue discipline (opex 3.2% of revenue). Liquidity is soft (2 stars), which helps explain the 3-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
Earnings growth is FIP's strongest growth driver at +52.1% FY2025 versus FY2024 (strong, 5 stars). By comparison, revenue growth (+51.6%, strong) is also strong, while free-cash-flow growth (-307.0%, negative) holds the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 89.9% and approximately 92.0% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable, supporting liquidity and institutional participation. Insider ownership of 8.28% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

Wellington Management Company LLP 11.41%
Washington State Investment Board 9.97%
BlackRock Inc 7.57%
Frontier Capital Management CO Inc 6.99%
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, LLC 4.65%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
FIP generates approximately $111 of gross profit, $79 of operating income, and $-795 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2025 results. Negative free cash flow explains the 1-star rating, with weak cash conversion and weak capital efficiency.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 2.14%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
FIP has a liquid profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback, while valuation that is moderately attractive rather than deeply discounted.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

High VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze RiskHighly Liquid / Institution-Friendly

Key Highlights

Company Size Small-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 332.09M USD
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 9.44
Price to earnings Ratio -
1Y Target Price 9.44
Volume (30-day avg) 1.4M shares
Beta 1.93
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 6.56
Updated Date 10/29/2026
52 Weeks Range 2.23 - 6.56
Updated Date 10/29/2026
Dividends yield (FY) 4.49%
Basic EPS (TTM) -5.19

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
RailroadIndustrial switching and short-line freight services for heavy-industry customers.The company makes money by acting as a 'last-mile' rail provider for factories and mills.
Jefferson TerminalStorage, transloading, and dock access for energy commodities.It charges fees for handling and storing energy products at its coastal terminal facility.
Repauno & Power/GasPort services, underground storage rentals, and power generation output.Revenue comes from lease-like storage fees and selling electricity to the grid.

Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth

Revenue by Products

Product revenue - Year on Year

Valuation

Trailing PE -
Forward PE 83.33
Enterprise Value 4.32B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value 4.32B
Price to Sales(TTM) 0.5
Enterprise Value to Revenue 6.53
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 56.98
Shares Outstanding 118.18M
Shares Floating 108.69M
Shares Outstanding 118.18M
Shares Floating 108.69M
Percent Insiders 8.28
Percent Institutions 89.91

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

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