National Beverage Corp logo

National Beverage Corp(FIZZ)

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EXPLORE ADVISORIES AND THEIR HISTORY
QUALITY SIGNAL RECENCY
1-STAR RATING
Consider higher Upturn Star rating
BUY for 16 days
PROFIT SINCE LAST BUY
+6.24% ▲
LAST CLOSE
$37.14
11/06/2026
(24-hour delay)

Advisory History & Simulated Performance *

*as per simulation (see disclosures)
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  • 1Y
  • 1M
  • 1W
  • BUY Advisory
  • SELL Advisory (Profit)
  • SELL Advisory (Loss)
  • Profit
  • Loss
  • PASS (Skip)
Upturn Stock price based on last close iconStock price based on last close
Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Advisory Performance History (Simulated)Advisory Performance History info

Simulated performance—not actual client returns. Excludes advisory subscription fees, trading commissions, and taxes, which would reduce returns. Results depend on calculation assumptions and do not guarantee future outcomes. See Disclosures for full methodology, assumptions, and limitations.

Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FIZZ

11/06/2026: FIZZ (1-star) has a low Upturn Star Rating. Not recommended to BUY.

National Beverage Corp is a notable participant in the sparkling water and soft drink industry, best known for its flagship LaCroix brand. The company maintains a lean, operationally focused business model that has historically provided strong margins and steady cash flow. Its primary growth opportunity lies in leveraging its established brand equity to innovate within functional and wellness beverages. However, it faces intense competitive pressure from global beverage giants and the inherent risks of a concentrated product portfolio. The stock may suit value-oriented investors who prioritize balance sheet strength, though they should monitor competitive dynamics and the potential for shifts in consumer preference.

How to Read the Upturn Advisory

The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.

Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.

Investor Fit

Investor styleFitWhy
Growth investorMixed fitGrowth has slowed since the peak expansion of LaCroix, making it a more mature play.
Momentum investorWeak fitThe stock often exhibits long periods of consolidation rather than consistent upward momentum.
Value investorStrong fitThe company often trades at valuations that reflect a reasonable entry point given its cash generation capabilities.
Dividend investorMixed fitThe company uses intermittent special dividends rather than a predictable, growing dividend stream.
Low-risk investorMixed fitWhile the balance sheet is healthy, consumer product volatility and competition pose risks.

Risk Profile

Risk factorLevelWhy it matters
Price volatilityMedium / highThe stock can react sharply to earnings surprises and shifts in the competitive landscape.
Valuation riskMediumInvestors must weigh the premium for growth against the risks of a mature market.
Competition risk (Beverage Conglomerates)HighLarge competitors like PepsiCo and Coca-Cola can utilize massive scale to erode shelf space.
Business qualityStrongThe company maintains a high-quality balance sheet and historically strong margins.
Dividend incomeMediumThe lack of a regular, growing dividend makes it less suitable for traditional income-focused portfolios.
Execution riskMediumSuccess depends on maintaining brand relevance in a trend-driven consumer market.

Analysis of Past Performance

Type Stock
Historic Profit -26.38%
Avg. Invested days 29
Today’s Advisory Consider higher Upturn Star rating
Upturn Advisory Rating upturn star rating icon
Upturn Advisory Performance Upturn Advisory Performance icon 2.0
Stock Returns Performance Upturn Returns Performance icon 1.0
Upturn Profits based on simulation icon Profits based on simulation
Upturn last close icon Last Close 11/06/2026

Upturn Scorecard

Upturn Star Rating

★★★★★
FIZZ receives a 3-star rating, supported by solid unit economics. The rating is constrained by weak analyst coverage, weak price momentum, and limited analyst upside.

Company Fundamentals

★★★★★
FIZZ has moderate overall fundamentals (3 stars), with solid financial health, moderate growth momentum, and moderate ownership. In FY2026 versus FY2025, solid cash generation (FCF margin 13.2%) and solid profitability (net margin 15.6%) are partially offset by slightly negative earnings growth (-1.7%), slightly negative revenue growth (-1.7%).

Financial Health Rating

★★★★★
FIZZ's financial health is supported by solid liquidity, including working-capital and asset support (WC/assets 53.8%). Profitability is moderate (3 stars), which helps explain the 4-star overall score.

Growth Momentum Score

★★★★★
FIZZ's growth profile is soft, with the least-weak measure being earnings growth at -1.7% FY2026 versus FY2025. By comparison, while revenue growth (-1.7%, slightly negative) and free-cash-flow growth (-8.4%, negative) hold the profile back, so recent growth is not broad-based across the business.

Ownership

★★★★★
Institutional ownership is 26.8% (moderate) and 25.3% of outstanding shares are publicly tradable (soft). Insider ownership of 74.64% supports management-shareholder alignment.

Top 5 Institutional Investors

BlackRock Inc 4.56%
Renaissance Technologies Corp 3.03%
Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management LLC 2.18%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. 1.75%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC 1.68%

Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)

★★★★★
FIZZ generates approximately $370 of gross profit, $195 of operating income, and $132 of free cash flow for every $1,000 of revenue. Based on FY2026 results. Moderate margins, cash conversion, and capital efficiency support the rating.

Economic Dimensions

★★★★★
Effective Tax Rate: 23.66%

Quantitative Style Profile

★★★★★
FIZZ has a high-quality, relatively low-volatility profile. Weak momentum is the primary drawback.

Style Classification

Quality Focused

Value-OrientedQuality TiltLow VolatilitySmall / Mid Cap RiskShort Squeeze Risk

Key Highlights

Company Size Mid-Cap Stock
Market Capitalization 3.48B USD
Price to earnings Ratio 20.2
1Y Target Price 31
Price to earnings Ratio 20.2
1Y Target Price 31
Volume (30-day avg) 364.5K shares
Beta 0.79
52 Weeks Range 27.80 - 38.45
Updated Date 11/05/2026
52 Weeks Range 27.80 - 38.45
Updated Date 11/05/2026
Dividends yield (FY) -
Basic EPS (TTM) 1.84

How Company Makes Money

Business areaWhat it includesRetail investor read
Sparkling WaterLaCroix and other carbonated, unsweetened water products sold through retail and wholesale channels.This is the core profit driver and the primary focus for market share growth.
Carbonated Soft Drinks & EnergyShasta, Faygo, and Rip It brands sold primarily in North America.These legacy brands act as a steady cash cow to support the company's innovation efforts.

Valuation

Trailing PE 20.2
Forward PE 18.48
Enterprise Value 3.48B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.95
Enterprise Value 3.48B
Price to Sales(TTM) 2.95
Enterprise Value to Revenue 2.82
Enterprise Value to EBITDA 13.81
Shares Outstanding 93.61M
Shares Floating 23.68M
Shares Outstanding 93.61M
Shares Floating 23.68M
Percent Insiders 74.64
Percent Institutions 26.75

Financial Metrics

🧭 Investment Snapshot

Total Revenue (Scale)

Information icon Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.

Net Income (Profit)

Information icon Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.

Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)

Information icon Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.

📈 Growth & Strength

Operating Income (Core Profit)

Information icon Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.

EBITDA (Cash Earnings)

Information icon Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.

Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)

Information icon Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.

🛡️ Financial Safety

Cash (Liquidity Buffer)

Information icon Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.

Total Debt (Leverage Risk)

Information icon Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.

Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)

Information icon Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.

🧱 Balance Sheet Strength

Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)

Information icon Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.

Total Assets (Asset Base)

Information icon The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.

Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)

Information icon Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.

⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors

Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)

Information icon Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.

Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)

Information icon Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.

Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)

Information icon Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.

Form CRS provides a relationship summary of our automated advisory services, flat subscription fees, and conflicts of interest. Form ADV Part 2A brochure contains complete details on services, billing, and disclosures. If any summary differs from our current regulatory filings, the filed Form ADV controls.