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Upturn AI Summary - About
Five Point Holdings LLC(FPH)
Advisory History & Simulated Performance *
*as per simulation (see disclosures)- ALL
- 1Y
- 1M
- 1W
- BUY Advisory
- SELL Advisory (Profit)
- SELL Advisory (Loss)
- Profit
- Loss
- PASS (Skip)
Stock price based on last close Advisory Performance History (Simulated)
Upturn Advisory & Investor View for FPH
09/24/2026: FPH (1-star) is currently NOT-A-BUY. Pass it for now.
Five Point Holdings LLC is a real estate development company focused on large-scale master-planned communities in California. Its primary strength lies in controlling massive, scarce land parcels in supply-constrained coastal markets, which are highly desired by national homebuilders. The company's growth story centers on successfully entitling and developing these lands for residential and commercial use. However, it faces significant risks from California's complex regulatory environment, economic sensitivity to interest rates, and the lumpy nature of revenue from land sales. The stock may suit long-term investors comfortable with project-specific development risks, as it offers no dividend and remains susceptible to regional economic and housing cycles.
How to Read the Upturn Advisory
The Upturn Star Rating and the current BUY, SELL, or PASS advisory are generated by Upturn’s AI advisory engine based on proprietary signal analysis, price behavior, advisory history, and historical signal performance.
Company fundamentals, valuation, risks, and news provide supporting context about the business.
Investor Fit
| Investor style | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth investor | Mixed fit | The company offers long-term land appreciation potential but lacks consistent, predictable short-term growth metrics. |
| Momentum investor | Weak fit | Stock performance is typically driven by long-term development cycles rather than short-term price momentum. |
| Value investor | Mixed fit | Investors may find value based on underlying land assets, though valuation is difficult due to the complexity of entitlement risk. |
| Dividend investor | Weak fit | The company does not pay a regular dividend, making it unsuitable for income-focused investors. |
| Low-risk investor | Weak fit | The concentration in a few large projects and California-specific regulatory risk creates higher volatility. |
Risk Profile
| Risk factor | Level | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Price volatility | High | The stock is susceptible to swings based on market interest rates and housing sentiment. |
| Valuation risk | Medium | Assessing the net asset value of long-term development land is inherently subjective and uncertain. |
| Competition risk (Real estate developers) | Medium | The company competes for capital and homebuilder interest with other large land developers. |
| Business quality | Medium | While the land positions are prime, the business is highly sensitive to external regulatory and economic conditions. |
| Dividend income | Low / none | Investors should not rely on this company for income generation. |
| Execution risk | High | Successfully navigating entitlement, infrastructure, and environmental permitting is complex and prone to delays. |
Price Behavior
Downtrend
The stock has experienced a sustained decline in price over recent periods.
Smooth
The stock has moved along a generally orderly path with only modest fluctuations.
Analysis of Past Performance
Type Stock | Historic Profit 8.32% | Avg. Invested days 41 | Today’s Advisory PASS |
Upturn Advisory Rating  | Upturn Advisory Performance  2.0 | Stock Returns Performance  2.0 |
| Profits based on simulation | Last Close 09/24/2026 |
Upturn Scorecard
Upturn Star Rating 
Company Fundamentals
Financial Health Rating
Growth Momentum Score
Ownership
Top 5 Institutional Investors
Unit Economics (Per $1K Revenue)
Economic Dimensions
Quantitative Style Profile
Style Classification
Quality Focused
Key Highlights
Company Size Small-Cap Stock | Market Capitalization 698.10M USD | Price to earnings Ratio 6.84 | 1Y Target Price 12 |
Price to earnings Ratio 6.84 | 1Y Target Price 12 | ||
Volume (30-day avg) 152.4K shares | Beta 1.33 | 52 Weeks Range 4.55 - 6.47 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 |
52 Weeks Range 4.55 - 6.47 | Updated Date 09/24/2026 | ||
Dividends yield (FY) - | Basic EPS (TTM) 0.69 |
How Company Makes Money
| Business area | What it includes | Retail investor read |
|---|---|---|
| Land Sales | Sale of entitled land parcels to homebuilders for residential construction. | Revenue comes from selling plots of land to companies that build and sell the actual homes. |
| Commercial Development | Development and leasing/sale of commercial and retail space within communities. | The company also derives value from building the commercial infrastructure surrounding its housing developments. |
Analyzing Revenue: Products, Geography and Growth
Revenue by Products
Product revenue - Year on Year
Revenue by Geography
Geography revenue - Year on Year
Valuation
Trailing PE 6.84 | Forward PE 11.3 | Enterprise Value 448.95M | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.97 |
Enterprise Value 448.95M | Price to Sales(TTM) 5.97 | ||
Enterprise Value to Revenue 3.84 | Enterprise Value to EBITDA 154.97 | Shares Outstanding 71.78M | Shares Floating 63.04M |
Shares Outstanding 71.78M | Shares Floating 63.04M | ||
Percent Insiders 18.02 | Percent Institutions 57.22 |
Upturn AI Summary
AI Summarization is directionally correct and might not be accurate.
Summarized information shown could be a few years old and not current.
Fundamental Rating based on AI could be based on old data.
AI-generated summaries may have inaccuracies (hallucinations). Please verify the information before taking action.
Financial Metrics
🧭 Investment Snapshot
Total Revenue (Scale)
Total money earned from selling products or services before any costs. It is needed to understand the scale of the business and its ability to generate income.
Net Income (Profit)
Final profit after all expenses, interest, and taxes are deducted. It is needed to determine the overall profitability available to shareholders.
Free Cash Flow (Cash Strength)
Cash remaining after operating activities and capital expenditures, showing cash available for growth. It is needed to evaluate the company’s ability to invest, pay dividends, or reduce debt.
📈 Growth & Strength
Operating Income (Core Profit)
Profit from core operations after deducting all operating expenses. It is needed to measure how efficiently the company runs its primary business activities.
EBITDA (Cash Earnings)
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, indicating operating cash potential. It is needed to compare operating performance across companies without accounting or financing differences.
Gross Profit (Unit Profitability)
Revenue minus cost of revenue, showing profit after direct production costs. It is needed to evaluate core business profitability before overhead expenses.
🛡️ Financial Safety
Cash (Liquidity Buffer)
Total cash and cash equivalents on hand. It is needed to evaluate immediate liquidity and financial flexibility.
Total Debt (Leverage Risk)
Total debt including both short-term and long-term components. It is needed to assess the company’s leverage and financial risk.
Net Working Capital (Short-Term Health)
Current assets minus current liabilities, indicating short-term liquidity strength. It is needed to assess whether the company can meet its short-term obligations.
🧱 Balance Sheet Strength
Stockholder Equity (Net Worth)
Total equity value held by shareholders. It is needed to understand the net worth of the company from the owners’ perspective.
Total Assets (Asset Base)
The full value of everything the company owns, including cash, inventory, equipment, and investments. It is needed to understand the resource base used to generate revenue.
Income Before Tax (Pre-Tax Earnings)
Income before provision for income taxes. It is needed to analyze profitability independent of tax structures.
⚙️ Cost & Drag Factors
Cost of Revenue (Production Cost)
Direct costs required to produce and deliver the products or services sold. It is needed to assess efficiency in production and service delivery.
Total Operating Expenses (Operating Cost)
Indirect costs of running the business such as salaries, marketing, and administration. It is needed to understand how much it costs to sustain ongoing business operations.
Income Tax Expense (Tax Drag)
Amount of taxes paid or payable to the government. It is needed to evaluate the impact of taxation on overall profitability.
About Five Point Holdings LLC
Exchange NYSE | Headquarters Irvine, CA, United States | ||
IPO Launch date 2017-05-10 | President & CEO Mr. Daniel C. Hedigan J.D. | ||
Sector Real Estate | Industry Real Estate - Development | Full time employees 90 | Website https://www.fivepoint.com |
Full time employees 90 | Website https://www.fivepoint.com | ||
Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers. It also provides development management services; and asset management services to land banking funds that are primarily focused on acquiring, developing, and managing residential lot option programs. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
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